ieta letter on redd provisions
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8/9/2019 IETA Letter on REDD Provisions
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8/9/2019 IETA Letter on REDD Provisions
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IETAInputonProvisionstoReduceTropicalDeforestationinEnergyandClimate
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Whilethereareanumberofdifferentapproachestosettingbaselinesthatwouldbealigned
withthefactorsjustnoted,noneofthemaimtoequatecreditingbaselinesandpolicygoals.
Indeed,REDDtechnicalexpertsandspecialistpolicy-makershavebeenconsideringpossible
methodsfor determiningREDD crediting baselinesfor thepast severalyears,yet nothing
similartothisideahaseverbeenseriouslyconsidered.Annex2containsasampleofdesign
optionsthathavebeenconsideredrecently,includingshortdescriptionsofeach;IETAwill
gladly pass on longer descriptions at your request. Peer reviewed studies have also
demonstrated the importance of setting crediting baselines based on national
circumstances,showingthattheyarecriticaltodeterminingwhetherornotcountries“opt-
in”toREDDoffsetsprograms.2
IETA understands the inclination to link baselines, and therefore compensation, with the
achievement of REDD policy goals, and we believe that it is possibleto come upwith a
workable approachfor doing so. As such, weare open toconsidering awide varietyof
possiblemethodologiesforthedeterminationofcreditingbaselines.
Forexample,wesupportthe intentoftherecentamendmentsenttoyoubyTheNature
Conservancyon18July2010.Inparticular,wecouldsupporttheestablishmentofnational
baselinesforaninitialperiodatorlowerthantheaverageannualhistoricaldeforestation
emissionsofthenationduringarecentperiodofatleast5years,withadjustmentsmade
taking intoaccountthe driversof deforestationandother factors, toensureadditionality.
We could also support the periodic lowering of those baselines, partly based on recent
achievements.
As an additional safeguard, we also suggest that the legislation mandate the
Administratortoreviewthebaselinetrajectoryandachievementsforeachcountrytwentyyearsafterthedateonwhichthenationaldeforestationbaselinehasbeenestablished.
The Administrator could be given the authority to determine whether to maintain the
baseline,re-adjustthebaseline,ordiscontinuecrediting.3
2. Given the current limitations on project-based crediting for REDD, it is essential that
afforestation, reforestation and revegatation (A/R/R) either be included as a separate
categoryofeligibleinternationaloffsetactivities,orreceiveaminimum15-yearcrediting
periodforinitial,project-basedactivitiesinbothlargeandsmallemitters.TreatingA/R/R
like REDDwillmake investmentsin A/R/R largelyunviable andwill have a detrimental
2Buschetal.,“ComparingClimateandCostImpactsofReferenceLevelsforReducingEmissionsfrom
Deforestation,”EnvironmentalResearchLetters ,Vol.4.No.4,Oct.2009. 3 In general, IETA strongly believes that a firm 20-year cut-off date for crediting is unlikely to be
appropriate forREDD activities in any country, regardless of how the baseline is set. REDDactivities
require a relatively long lead-time to plan and implement, and time is needed for REDD economic
incentivesto help bringaboutthechanges inlandand resource usethatareneeded toreduce forest
lossandpermanentlychangeland-usebehaviors.Inaddition,REDDactivitiesareverylikelytorequire
additional, if diminished, finance to ensure the permanence of land-use changes in later years by
continuingtopromoteactivitiesthatincreasesequestrationonceforestecosystemshavestabilized.
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impactontheeffectivenessoftheREDDprogramoverall.CreditableA/R/Ractivitiesare
crucial to successful REDD efforts; they enable the use of integrated land management
approachesthathelpcontrolleakagearoundprotectedforestsbyalleviatingthepressures
todeforest.
A/R/R activitiesare fundamentally different fromtraditionalREDDprojects, since they
sequester, rather than avoidemissions. A/R/R projects have substantially higher upfront
costs – forpreparingland, purchasing andplanting seeds, andmaintainingforests during
maturation— and generate offsets only as trees grow slowly over-time, both of which
greatlyextendthepaybackperiodoninvestment,whencomparedwithREDD.
Graph1 inAnnex3 depictsa typicalproject-level A/R/Rcarbonstockcurve,showingthat
sequestrationand,thus,crediting,onlybeginstotakeoffatyear5.(Graphs2-4,takenfrom
university studies, support that assertion.) Graph 1 also demonstrates the impact on
crediting that will occur given an 8-year crediting period. Thisgraph shows that the vast
majorityofemissionssequesteredthroughtheprojectoccurinlateryearsandwillthusgoun-credited, orwillbe subsumedina nationalscheme.Giventheuncertainty surrounding
theimplementationofnestedcreditingduringtheearlyyearsoftheprogram,thisissimply
not a situation in which private investors willprovidethe upfront financeneeded to get
projectsup-and-running.
3. There-inclusionofproject-basedcreditingfor"smallemitters"isanimportantstepinthe
right direction, but IETAbelieves that the legislationshouldextenda limited periodof
project-based crediting to large emitters aswell. Allowing project-based crediting in all
countriesforalimitedamountoftimewouldkick-startREDDactivitiesandprotectforestsin
thenear-term, until nationalgovernmentscan build thenecessary capacity to do so and
gainthetrustofmuch-neededprivateinvestors.
Projects serve two essential purposes. First, they permit local communities to gain direct
financeforREDDactivities,givingthemthefreedomtoprotecttheirhomesandlivelihoods
inatimelymannerwhengovernmentsareunabletodosoquicklyorreliably,whichisthe
currentsituationinthemajorityofforestnations.
Second, project-based crediting serves as a hook that draws much-needed private
investment to REDD initially, hopefully convincing investors to maintain and deepen
investments as countries move to national baselines. The initial period of project-based
crediting should serve as an ‘incubation period’ that acclimates private investors to the
REDD space, giving them time to become comfortable financing activities that require
harmonizedpublic/privateapproachesinunconventionalinvestmentsituations,wheretheir
investmentsfacesignificantsovereignrisk.
ExistingREDDprotocolsdevelopedinconjunctionwithhighlyrespectednon-governmental
conservation organizations establish additionality, set crediting baselines and address
concerns about leakage, permanence,and non-carbon social and environmental benefits.
Giventheadditional,extensivesafeguardsforproject-basedactivitiesalreadyincludedin
the draft legislation, IETA believes that restricting an initial period of project-based
creditingtosmallemittingcountriesisarbitraryandunnecessarilyslowsREDDeffortsby
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severely limiting theflowofprivatefinancing in largeemitters,where thepressures to
deforestarehighest.
4. IETAbelievesthatreductionsinillegaldeforestationmustremaineligibletoreceiveoffset
credits,attheproject-based,subnational,andnationallevels.Whileprecisedataonthe
scopeof illegalforestactivitiesis notavailable,organizationssuchas theWorldBankand
ChathamHouse estimate that between50-80% of deforestation is illegal, which makes it
clear that denying funding from activities to halt illegal deforestation would completely
undermine REDD efforts. Moreover, concerns about the possibility of crediting illegal
actorsfornotundertakingillegalactivities,whichwouldclearlycreateasituationofmoral
hazard, are unfounded and reflect misunderstandings about the differences between
planned and unplanned deforestation and the actors that would be eligible to act as
project participants and gain direct access to credits. IETA would gladly explain these
differencesingreatdetail,ifneeded.
OnbehalfofIETA’smembercompanies,Iwouldliketothankyouforyourattentiontothisletter.Pleasedonothesitatetocontactme,orKimCarnahan<[email protected]>inourWashingtonD.C.Office,
withanyquestionsthatyoumayhave.
Sincerely,
HenryDerwent
PresidentandCEO,IETA
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Annex1:
8/9/2019 IETA Letter on REDD Provisions
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Annex2:
ReferenceLevel/CreditingBaselineDesignOptions
ASampleofProposalsfromExistingStudies
Designoption Reference Description
“Nationalhistorical” Santillietal.(2005) Referencerateishistoricalforall
countries.Referenceperiodsetto
theaveragedeforestationrateof
thelast10years,updatedevery3
years.
“Higherthanhistoricalfor
countrieswithlow
deforestationrates”
Molliconeetal.(2007);da
Fonsecaetal.(2007)
Referencedeforestationrateis
0.3%forlow-deforesation
countries;Baselineishistoricalforhighdeforestationcountries.
“Weightedaverageof
nationalandglobal”
Strassburgetal.(2008) Referencerateis0.6*global
averagerate+0.4*historicalrate
forallcountries.Different
scenarioscanbegeneratedby
differingtheweightsputon
historicalglobaldeforestationand
national deforestation.
“Flowwithholdingand
stockpayment”
Cattaneoetal.(2008) Referencerateishistoricalforall
countries;30%“withholding”onflowpaymentstopayforstock
payments.
“Uniformfractionofat-risk
stock”
Ashtonetal .(2008) Referencelevelis1%ofat-risk
forestforallcountries;80%of
totalforestisassumedtobeat-
riskinallcountries.
“Halftheglobalaverage” JointResearchCenter
proposalofArchardetal.
(2005)
Useshistoricalglobal
deforestationratestoset
individualcountrybaselines.
Countrieswitharateof
deforestationlowerthanhalfthe
globalaverageusethatasa
nationalbaseline,whilecountries
withhigherdeforestationrates
useanationalhistoricalbaseline.
“DevelopmentAdjustment
Factor”
CoalitionforRainforest
Nations
Inordertotakeintoaccount
nationalcircumstances,countries
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withlowlevelsofGDPpercapita
willgetmoregenerousbaselines.
Thisisjustifiedbecause:(i)the
poorestcountriesarepresumablyatanearlierstageinforest
transition,andtherefore
deforestationislikelytoaccelerate
ratherthanslowdowninaBAU
scenarioand(ii)thecapacityto
implementREDDmaybeinversely
relatedtoGDPpercapita,and
largertransfersareneeded.
“EconomicModelsof
NationalDeforestation”
AngelsenandKaimowitz
(1999)
Factorsincludingpopulation
densityandgrowth,forestarea,
economicgrowth,commodity
prices,governancevariables,and
location(tropicalandregional)
couldallbeincludedinaformula
forsettingbaselines.
“CorridorApproach” Schlamadingeretal.(2005) Increasespercentageofreductions
beingcredited.Forexample,a
reductionindeforestationand
degredationfrom0.8%to0.7%per
year(ortheequivalentinGHG
emissions)givescarboncreditsworthonly20%oftheestimated
emissionsreductions,while
reductionsfrom0.7%to0.6%give
creditsequivalentto40%ofthe
estimatedreductions,andsoon.
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Annex3:
Graph1:IETADepictionofTypicalProject-LevelA/R/RCarbonStockCurve
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Graph2:StudyfromUniversityofIdaho,Moscow(March2008)4
4O’Laughlin,J."CarbonSequestrationintheForestSector."PolicyAnalysisGroupIssueBriefNo.
11.UniversityofIdaho,CollegeofNaturalResources.March2008.Sourcesforthescientificclaims
anddataforthefigurescanbefoundinthePAGIssueBriefdocumentat
www.cnrhome.uidaho.edu/default.aspx?pid=106665.
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Graphs3and4:StudyfromUniversityofWashington(June2003)5
5Lippke,B.,J.P.GarciaandC.Manriquez."ExecutiveSummary:TheimpactofForestsandForest
ManagementonCarbonStorage."RuralTechnologyInitiative,CollegeofForestResources,
UniversityofWashington.June2003.