institute of physics, savanoriu 231, lt-2058, vilnius, lithuania, e-mail: [email protected] ;
DESCRIPTION
Institute of Physics, Institute of Botany Lithuania. The LIETDOS-BIO assessment approach to Environment protection from ionizing radiation T. Nedveckaite, D. Marciulioniene. Institute of Physics, Savanoriu 231, Lt-2058, Vilnius, Lithuania, E-mail: [email protected] ; - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
The LIETDOS-BIO assessment approach to Environment protection from ionizing radiation
T. Nedveckaite, D. Marciulioniene
Institute of Physics, Savanoriu 231, Lt-2058, Vilnius, Lithuania, E-mail: [email protected]; Institute of Botany, Žaliųjų ežerų 49, LT-2021 Vilnius, Lithuania, E-mail: [email protected]
Institute of Physics, Institute of Botany
Lithuania
Ignalina NPP with decommissioning, spent fuel storage and waste disposal problems;Maisiagala RADON type radioactive waste repository amongst others with earlier (1963-1973) military radioactive waste from Lithuania, Kaliningrad and Belarus.
EstoniaRussian
Federation
BelarusPoland
Lithuania
Latvia
INPP
KaliningradMaisiagala
repository
Ignalina NPP, Druksiai Lake – cooling pond,spent fuel storage
RSR – rain sewage release, Intake - cooling water intake, Release - cooling water release, PFoHE - purification facility of the household effluents of INPP and Visaginas, HSS – household sewerage release after biological treatment, SFSF - Spent Fuel Storage Facility.
The sampling points in Ignalina NPP
cooling pond-Druksiai Lake
The spatial pattern of activated corrosion products54Mn and 90Co in bottom sediments of Druksiai Lake.
The highest activity concentrations correspond to sampling points: 2-sewerage outflow and 4-cooling water outflow .
Other monitoring radioniclides and heavy metals:54Mn, 60Co, 137Cs, 90Sr, 210Pb, 210Po, 238U, 226Ra, 232Th
Pb, Cd, Cr-VI, Ni, Cu, Zn-II, Zn
The projected Ignalina NPP decommissioning low-level
repository sites
MAISIAGALA radioactive waste repository
Tritium in underground water in close vicinity of the repository reservoir (January-March 2007)
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 90
100
200
300
400
500
600
4000
8000
12000
16000
20000
3 H,
Bq
L-1
Gręžinio Nr.
2007.01.30 2007.02.28 2007.03.23
Borehole No.
LIETDOS and LIETDOS-BIO – a software to calculate the radiological dose for human and non-human biota due to
the presence in LITHUANIA radiation safety problems
LIETDOS –segmental atmospheric diffusion-convection model-code tested using data on I-131 released from Hanford (BIOMASS)
LIETDOS-human exposure modelused for the regulating document in Lithuania LAND 41-2001 : “Limitation of Radioactive Discharges from nuclear facilities and
Order of Issuance of Permits for Discharges”
• Nedveckaite T., Motiejunas S., Kucinskas V., Mazeika J., Filistovic V., Jusciene D., Maceika E., Morkeliunas L., Hamby D.M. Environmental releases of radioactivity and the incidence of thyroid disease at the Ignalina Nuclear Power Plant. Health Physics, Vol. 79, No. 6, 666-684 (2000)
LIETDOS-BIO modela tool for calculating radiation doses
to Freshwater and Terrestrial Biota with input file that is subsequently read by MCNPX
MCNPX code
Source(nuclide)
Ecosystem Organisms/reference organisms
Dynamic/steady-state transfer modelling
Radionuclide concentration in
medias
Internal radionuclide
concentration
Preparing MCNPX input file for DCC
calculations
External dose (rate)
Crystal Ball
Total dose (rate)
DCC calculations
Internal dose (rate) Weighting
General/site-specific parameters
LIETDOS-BIO code
• LIETDOS-BIO code is designed to be consistent with MCNPX code. MCNPX is commonly used general purpose radiation transport code that tracks all particles at all energies for internal and external exposure of any geometry organisms calculation.
• LIETDOS-BIO code is designed to be consistent with Crystal Ball software (Crystal Ball is a software for uncertainty analyses) for statistical calculation approaches.
EXPERT CONTROLLED INFORMATION This is a limited distribution unclassified documents with code and may not be given to other persons.
LIETDOS-BIO code Libraries and Data Bases:Nuclides Library - Electron, Positron, Beta, Alpha and Gamma Energy's data
(ICRP 38) Reference Organisms Library:Terrestrial and Freshwater Ecosystems
Concentration ratios (CR) – 3 Data Bases
Partitioning coefficients (Kd) Library and etc.
LIETDOS-BIO (3 CR Data Bases)• Site-specific radionuclide CR distribution-geometric mean
values : Data Bases No. 1.• Generic radionuclide CR values (FASSET, ERICA, BWG Ex
2 CR values): Data Bases No. 2.• Stable nuclide (heavy metals) CR values (ERICA, site-
specific). As demonstrate presented picture after the Chernobyl accident stable CR value may be used after few years: Data Bases No. 3.
FRESHWATER ECOSYSTEM90Sr CR for different type of Macrophytes –
site-specific valuesBased on these data statistical CR approach has been used
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400
Chara asperaChara rudis
Chara fragilisChara contraria
Chara tomentosaChara vulgaris
Nitelopsis ObtuseElodea canadensis
Potamogeton lucensMyrophyllum spicatum
Ceratophyllum demersumPotamogeton pectinatus
Stratiotes aloidesPotamogeton perfoliatus
Potamogeton natansNitella syncarpaLemna trisulca
Cladophora glomerataUtricularia vulgaris
Mean value Standard deviation
The distribution of site specific Sr-90 CR values (macrophytes) involved in DB Nr 1
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 18000.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
0.12
0.14
0.16
0.18
0.20Mean 3.72e+2Geom.Mean 2.84e+2SD 3.14e+2Geom. SD 2.08e+0Median 2.89e+2Skewness 2.48e+0Kurtosis 1.25e+1P05 3.00e+1P95 8.95e+2F
requ
ency
Concentration Ratio
Co-60 CR (FW) site-specific distribution (macrophytes): LIETDOS-BIO site-specific DB (example)
Frequency Chart
m3/kg
.000
.025
.050
.074
.099
0
495.2
990.5
1981
0.055 13.023 25.991 38.959 51.927
20 000 Trials 19 522 Displayed
Forecast: Co-60 Concentration Factor (CF) FW plant
Statsistics: Value
Trials 20000
Mean 8.61
Geometric Mean 3.87
Median 3.565
Mode ---
Standard Deviation 17.114
Variance 292.875
Skewness 7.81
Kurtosis 115.80
Coeff. of Variability 1.99
Range Minimum 0.008
Range Maximum 544.488
Range Width 544.480
Mean Std. Error 0.121
TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMPlume of the Chernobyl accident formation by
meteorological conditions for instantaneous releases on dates and times (GMT) indicated
Aerial Gamma - Spectrometry Test Results. Spots Denote Areas Where the Density of Cs-137 is at least 3700
Bq/square meter (the first contour), with a Contour-spacing of 1100 Bq/m2
Soil Cs-137 activity distribution Bq/kg, 1986-1996Lithuania
Frequency Chart
.000
.006
.012
.018
.024
0
58.75
117.5
176.2
235
8.30 10.36 12.42 14.49 16.55
10 000 Trials 9 906 Displayed
Forecast: Soil (Lithuania), Bq/kg
o
Statistic Value
Trials 10 000
Mean 12.4
Median 12.28
Mode ---
Standard Deviation 1.57
Variance 2.47
Skewness 0.44
Kurtosis 3.4
Coeff. of Variability 0.13
Range Minimum 7.28
Range Maximum 19.83
Range Width 12.56
Mean Std. Error 0.02
The distribution of site specific Cs-137 CR values
involved in DB Nr 1 (Wild boar)
Trials 10 000
Mean 2.41
Geom. Mean 2.37
Median 2.36
Mode ---
Stand. Deviation 0.46
Variance 0.21
Skewness 0.61
Kurtosis 3.72
Range Minimum 1.26
Range Maximum 4.98
Frequency Chart
.000
.006
.011
.017
.022
0
56
112
168
224
1.32 1.89 2.46 3.03 3.61
10 000 Trials 9 868 Displayed
Forecast: CR wild boar
Internal Dose rate calculation
• Biota activity concentration and internal dose rate was calculated as follows:
waterd
entsebiota CСR
K
CСRC dim
biotaintinternal CDCCD
Crystal Ball statistical technique was used with 10 000 number of trials and the Latin Hypercube sampling method. An example:
Forecast: Co-60 Internal dose rate (macrophyte)
Trials 20000
Mean 2.83E-04
Geometric Mean 2.07E-04
Median 2.07E-04
Mode ---
Standard Deviation 2.63E-04
Variance 6.90E-08
Skewness 3.47
Kurtosis 28.18
Coeff. of Variability 0.93
Range Minimum 9.15E-06
Range Maximum 5.61E-03
Range Width 5.60E-03
Frequency Chart
mkGy/h
.000
.008
.016
.024
.032
0
160.7
321.5
482.2
643
1.69E-5 2.55E-4 4.93E-4 7.31E-4 9.69E-4
20 000 Trials 19 484 Displayed
Forecast: Co-60 Internal dose rate (Dint) Plant
External dose rate calculation
• External dose rate from sediment (FW) :
• External dose rate from sediment (DW):wetsed
dryseddrysedsedwetsedsedsedext CDCCCDCCD
,
,,,,
drysedsedsedext CDCCD ,, 1,
, wetsed
drysed
An example of model for MCNPX code DCC calculation -fish (ellipsoid on sediment) in the middle of water cylinder
10 cm
R = 100 cm
5 cm
Hw
=
100
cm
Water
Sediment
Fish
Wf = 60 cm
Hf = 10; Df = 5 cm
Hc=(10 +2 l); Dc= (5 +2 l) cm
Wc = (60 + 2 l) cm
An example of model for MCNPX code external exposure DCC
calculation: fish (ellipsoid) in the middle of water cylinder
Wf = 20 cm
R = 100 cm
50 cm
Hw =
10
0 cm
10 cm
Hf = 12; Df = 4 cm
Water
Sediment
Fish
Hc=(12 +2 l); Dc= (4 +2 l) cm
Wc = (20 + 2 l) cm
An example of model for MCNPX code DCC calculation -rooted submerged hydrophytes
= 1 cmR = 100 cm
Hw
=
10
0
cm
10 cm
Water
Sediment
Plant
An example of model for MCNPX code DCC calculation -unrooted submerged hydrophytes
= 10 cm
R = 100 cm
Hw
=
10
0
cm
10 cm
h = 0.2 cm
Water
Sediment
Plant
h0 = 0.1 cm
Crystal Ball statistical technique was used with 10 000 number of trials and the Latin Hypercube sampling method. An example:
Forecast: Co-60 External dose rate (macrophyte)
Trials 20000
Mean 1.38E-02
Geometric Mean 9.72E-03
Median 9.73E-03
Mode ---
Standard Deviation 1.39E-02
Variance 1.93E-04
Skewness 4.23
Kurtosis 42.67
Coeff. of Variability 1.01
Range Minimum 3.57E-04
Range Maximum 3.39E-01
Range Width 3.38E-01
Mean Std. Error 9.83E-05
Frequency Chart
mkGy/h
.000
.009
.018
.027
.037
0
183
366
549
732
4.53E-4 1.28E-2 2.53E-2 3.77E-2 5.02E-2
20 000 Trials 19 504 Displayed
Forecast: Co-60 External dose rate (Dext) Plant
LIETDOS-W subroutine
• Taking into account tritium activity concentrations in the Ignalina Lake water and groundwater as well as groundwater activity in the vicinity of Maisiogala repository the LIETDOS-W code was developed to predict freshwater BIOTA exposure.
• LIETDOS-W code was tested during Perch Lake scenario (EMRAS working group on Modeling of tritium transfer to biota and man).
Freshwater HTO
Biota OBT
Biota HTO
Sediment Layer HTO
LIETDOS-W subroutine
Steady-state tritium transfer modelling
LIETDOS-BIO
LIETDOS-W: HTO and OBT concentrations in clams(EMRAS TWG Pearch Lake scenario: L – LIETDOS-W data)
HTO concentrations in clams. The model predictions are shown as solid diamonds with the vertical lines representing 95% confidence intervals as estimated by themodelers. The solid horizontal line is the observation with the 95% confidence interval indicatedby the dashed lines.
OBT concentrations in clams. The model predictions are shown as solid diamonds with the vertical lines representing 95% confidence intervals as estimated by themodelers. The solid horizontal line is the observation with the 95% confidence interval indicatedby the dashed lines.
The main LIETDOS-BIO features
• As the organism for which DCC calculated is defined by user, there is possibility for optional using references as well as other organisms or criteria.
• The application of stochastic and probabilistic approach is one of possibility to improve the correctness of biota exposure predictions.
• Radiation Protection and radiological dose assessment tools are well established for humans through the ICRP and national recommendations. Up to now Environment protection from ionizing radiation in Lithuania is accepted as much as it is interconnected with human exposure.
THANK YOU FOR ATTENTION!