macroeconomics ch 9

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  • 8/11/2019 Macroeconomics Ch 9

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    Keywords: P lanned & Actua l Investment

    Planned investment (Ip) is the amount of investment firms plan to

    undertake during a year = Total business expenditures on plants and

    equipments + planned production of inventories (goods that firms

    are planning to keep as inventories for the future).

    Actual investment (I) is the amount of investment actually

    undertaken during a year = planned investment + unplanned changes

    in inventories = (Ip) + unplanned changes in inventories .

    (I) (Ip) = unplanned changes in inventories can be either positive

    (unintended inventory accumulation: actual inventories > planned

    inventoriesthere was a lack of demand) or negative (unintended

    inventory decumulation: actual inventories < planned inventories

    there was an excess of demandyou had to sell goods that you had

    been planning to keep as inventories for the future).

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    A g g r e g a t e D e m a n d ( A D ) - D e f i n i t i o n

    In macroeconomics, the focus is on the demand and supply of all goods and

    services produced by an economy. Accordingly, the demand for all individual

    goods and services is combined and referred to as aggregate demand. AD is

    the total amount of goods and services demanded in the economy at a given

    overall price level and in a given time period. AD correspond to the total value

    of REAL GDP that all sectors of the economy are willing to purchase at a given

    overall price level and in a given time period.

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    A g g r e g a t e D e m a n d ( c o n )

    AD = C + Iplanned+ G + (EXIM)

    Recall: GDP (Y), by the expenditure

    approach is:

    Y = C + I + G + (EXIM)

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    A g g r e g a t e D e m a n d ( c o n )

    If firms produce goods that NEITHER THE FIRM NOR THE

    CUSTOMERS WERE DEMANDING, those goods are counted

    in GDP, as unintended inventory accumulation, but they are

    not part of aggregate demand, because, clearly, NOBODY

    desired them.

    The difference between AD and GDP = unintended

    inventory accumulation.

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    Aggregate Demand - Components

    Aggregate demand is composed of the sum of aggregate expenditures:

    AD= Expenditures = C + Iplanned+ G +(X - M)

    Where:

    C = Consumers' expenditures on goods and services.

    Iplanned= The amount of investment firms plan to undertake during a year.

    G = Governments expenditures on publicly provided goods and services.

    X = Exports of goods and services.

    M = Imports of goods and services.

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    Aggregate Demand Curve

    Aggregate demand is represented

    by the aggregate-demand

    curve, which represents the

    quantity of goods and services

    that will be demanded

    (purchased) at different price

    levels. This is the demand for

    the gross domestic product

    (GDP) at different price levels.

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    1) The Real Balance Effect

    A higher aggregate price level (higher inflation) reduces thepurchasing power of householdsand companies wealththeywill feel poorertheir spending will .

    2) The Interest Rate EffectA higher aggregate price level (higher inflation) Nominal

    interest rate (nominal interest rate = real interest rate + inflationrate )savingsspending .

    3) The Foreign Purchases Effect

    If prices rise in the homeland, exports decrease and importsincrease, so Xnetdecreases.

    Three Reasons why the AD Curve Slopes Down

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    When a change in the price level

    causes equilibrium GDP to change,

    we move along the AD curve.

    Whenever anything other than the

    price level causes equilibrium GDP to

    change, the AD curve itself shifts.

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    S h i f t F a c t o r s o f t h e A D C u r v e

    Shifts in the aggregate demand curve are not caused by changes inthe price level. Instead, they might be caused by ANY changes:

    1) In the demand for consumption goods and services (C).

    2) In investment spending (I).

    3) In the government's demand for goods and services (G).

    4) In the demand for net exports (EXIM).

    5) In fiscal policy [Tax and/or government spendingAD].

    6) In monetary policy [Federal Reserve money supply interest rates spendingAD].

    7) In consumer confidence or expectations.

    8) In consumer wealth.

    9) In the stock of physical capital (factors of production, such as

    machinery, buildings, or computers..).

    S h i f f h A D C ( )

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    S h i f t s o f t h e A D C u r v e ( c o m )

    In general, any expansionary policy

    shifts the aggregate demand curve to

    the right while any contractionarypolicy shifts the aggregate demand

    curve to the left.

    A shift to the right of the aggregate

    demand curve. from AD to AD, means

    that at the same price levels the

    quantity demanded of real GDP

    has increased.

    A shift to the left of the aggregate

    demand curve, from AD to AD, means

    that at the same price levels the

    quantity demanded of real GDP

    has decreased.

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    Aggregate Supply (AS)

    Aggregate Supplyis the total supply of goods and services that firms in

    a national economy plan on selling during a specific time period. It is

    the total amount of goods and services that firms are willing to sell at

    a given price level in an economy. Aggregate supply is represented

    by the aggregate- supply curve, which represents the quantity of

    real GDP that is supplied by the economy at different price levels.

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    The Short Run Aggregate Supply Curve

    Classical economists believe that in the

    short run the aggregate supply curve is

    upward sloping. In the short run an

    increase in aggregate demand may lead

    to an increase in output, but there will

    also be an increase in the price level.

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    The Long Run Aggregate Supply Curve

    Classical economists believe that in the long run the

    level of real production (GDP) is maintained

    regardless of the price level, which creates a vertical,

    or perfectly elastic, aggregate supply curve. This

    relation results due to flexible prices, which ensure

    that resources markets maintain equilibrium balance

    at full employment (which corresponds to the natural

    unemployment rate) . Should the price level rise or fall,

    wages and resource prices adjust to ensure that

    quantity demanded equals quantity supplied in

    resource markets.

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    The Keynesian Aggregate Supply Curve

    John Maynard Keynes argued that prices and wages were

    sticky, in particular they were inflexible downward due to the

    existence of unions and contracts between employers and

    employees. He argued that in a world of excess capacity, an increase

    in aggregate demand will not impact prices (as the classical

    economists thought) but will instead impact real GDP.

    The assumptions of the Keynesian model are the same as the

    classical model except for two important differences: prices and

    wages are sticky, and excess capacity exists in the economy.

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    The Keynesian Aggregate Supply Curve (con)

    Within the Keynesian framework,

    the aggregate supply (AS) curve

    is sketched horizontally. This is

    done because prices are sticky

    in the short run, represented by

    the flat line (prices dont

    change). Because this onlyoccurs in the very short run, we

    label this the short run

    aggregate supply curve (SRAS1).

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    The Keynesian Aggregate Supply Curve (con)

    New Keynesians realized thatprices and wages were notperfectly sticky, even in theshort run. Because of thisthey developed a new SRAS

    curve which was upwardsloping. This allowed forsome price and wagestickiness, but also allowed

    for some flexibility. Thisupward sloping SRAS2 supplycurve has become thestandard SRAS curve used ineconomic analysis.

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    The Keynesian Aggregate Supply Curve (con)

    We may also see charts thatshow two SRAS curves, onehorizontal, and one upwardsloping. Generally thehorizontal curve shows thevery short run, and the upwardsloping shows the short tomedium run aggregate supplycurve. In the long run, we endup back with the classicalmodel (LRAS), so the threedifferent aggregate supplycurves show us how prices andreal GDP will change overshort, medium, and long timeframes.

    T h A D A S M d l

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    T h e A D A S M o d e lThe ADAS or aggregate demand

    aggregate supply model is a

    macroeconomic model that

    explains price level and output

    (GDP) through the relationship of

    aggregate demand and aggregate

    supply. It is based on the theory of

    John Maynard Keynes presented in

    his work The General Theory of

    Employment, Interest, and Money.