management by the numbers - a small part of my journey
TRANSCRIPT
managemen tBy the numbers, experience, intuition, thinking
P e t e r C o c h r a n e
cochrane.org.uk
ca-global.org
The realities of managing in a complex
and fast changing world….
Books & Pap e rsAppear to be mostly ideal ist ic
• Company sales, marketing, delivery, support, legal on side • Main board and other departments/units in agreement • Well behaved customer, people and marketplace • Company product offerings and policies aligned • Necessary technologies mature & available • Full completion possible in the time frame • Clearly defined/documented objectives • All potential solutions - tried & tested • Deliveablels defined/understood • Supporting groups on board • The right people in place • All resources available • A full budget agreed
In my entire career this has
never been 100% true
In the worst cases most or none of this has been in
place !
B o o k s & Pa p e r sExhibit incomplete understanding
R&D Unit
Emmergency
Design Phase
Production Delivery
Too simplist
ic and probably c
oncocted
by someone w
ith little o
r no rea
l
management ex
perience
s i m p l i s t i c t h i n k i n gI f only everything could be put into boxes None of these
things exist in isolation…they are al l related and connected
People make mistakes, tel l
l ies , fals i fy data, conceal
errors and mistakes….
s i m p l i s t i c t h i n k i n gThere is an inf inity of wisdoms and diagrams
“If you are good to your people when the are times are good they will rally when the times are hard”
“Build a diverse and capable team of people smarter than you”
I have never seen an al l
embracing set of statements or diagrams
Mostly common sense and obvious…
who would recruit a team
of idiots ??
e a s y t o s ay h a r d t o d oA lot o f th i s i s wr i t ten in the o ld re l ig ious texts
Where in this spectrum of approach will you sit
and how effective will you be - sadist or saviour ?
n e v e r m i s s a n o p p o r t u n i t yTo l earn f rom the bad , med ioc re , good and the b r i l l i an t
• If you witness or experience something bad - don’t emulate it, try to correct it ! • If you witness or experience something good - emulate and propagate it ! • If you do something that works repeat it - encourage others to follow on ! • If you something bad or make an error - don’t repeat, and say sorry ! • Protect your team/company from threats - internal and external ! • Communicate clearly and early - up, down and sideways ! • To get your team to fail fast - close down and restart !
s o m e p e r s o n a l c h o i c e sWhen the game i s over you have to l i ve in your own sk in
• You may employ ’N’ people but you impact ’N’ families - spouse and children
• Afford all your people the same care consideration - training and education
• Be fair, reasonable, considered and supportive - look for the best in people
• Promote (in the widest sense) your team members - at every opportunity
• Your team is in your gift - look upon them as you would your children
• Involve your team in your thinking and decisions - highs and lows
• Defend your team against any form of aggression - and threat
• Be ethical, honest, truthful, open, candid - never hide anything
p e r s o n a l E x p e r i e n c e sUnl ike ly to be in any book - they are rea l l i fe cho ices
“You rarely have all the information you need and it is always
better to make a decision than to ‘suck your thumb’….a wrong
decision can be corrected, but no decision just magnifies the
impending damage”
p e r s o n a l E x p e r i e n c e sUnl ike ly to be in any book - they are rea l l i fe cho ices
“Sometimes you have to do the right thing and put your job on
the line - you have to make the right decision for your people,
the company, the shareholders and the country - as apposed to
electing to choose a path that enhances your career and gaining
greater rewards”
p e r s o n a l E x p e r i e n c e sUnl ike ly to be in any book - they are rea l l i fe cho ices
“You are not running a popularity contest you are trying to
achieve a company and team success - you are trying to get
ordinary people to do the extraordinary, and you are trying to
get the exceptional people to work miracles - you are the
manager, the leader, the coach and the driving force”
p e r s o n a l E x p e r i e n c e sUnl ike ly to be in any book - they are rea l l i fe cho ices
“I have never had a management role where I haven’t had to
assume the role as leader, champion and arbiter”
M a n a g e m e n t r e a l i t yYou are travel l ing at speed with incomplete vis ion• Spec changes • Mission creep • Team changes • Supplier failures • Fickle customer • Budget squeezes • Market pressures • Deadline changes • Competing needs • Transient support • Technology change • Order scale change • Management changes • Shareholder demands
• Strategic internal/customer changes • Political and government changes • Legal and environmental rulings • Competing product offerings • New price point negotiated • Internal conflict of interest • Unforeseen M&A activity • New features demanded • Budget/people squeezes • Operating arena change • Deliverables delayed • Hidden agendas • ++++
C o m m u n i c a t i o n i s k e yMight seem obv ious / t r i v ia l but turns out to be d i f f i cu l t
• Never assume that people are telling you the full detail/facts/truth
• Never assume that people understand what you said and meant
• Targets are generally achieved/met by people bending the truth
• In general 3 - 5 KPIs extol the truth but >10 illicit falsehoods
• KPIs are very often achieved by people fiddling the numbers
• If 10 people are in a meeting then it is 10 different meetings
• Finance/sales/marketing, seldom have the correct numbers
• Personell are there to observe you and not help and assist
W o r t h w h i l e k n i f e f i g h tOn the biggest of projects you need f inance & personnel onside
• Finance and personnel are support functions they earn nothing
• In big companies finance and personnel try to run the show
• You may have to remind them that you pay their salaries
• The only reason they were born is to help you succeed
• You need finance/personnel on your team - not distant!
f o rm a l me t h o d o l o g i e sPRINCE - P ro j e c t s IN Con t ro l l ed Env i ronmen t s
M o s t o f t h i s i s t h e f o r m a l i s a t i o n o f g o o d p r a c t i c e a n d e x p e r i e n c e s t e m m i n g f ro m t h e i n d u s t r i a l r e v o l u t i o n u p t o m o r e r e c e n t i n d u s t r y d e v e l o p m e n t s … .
… i t i s a f o r m a l p r o c e s s t h a t h e l p s m i n i m i s e e r ro r s a n d k e e p t h i n g s o n t r a c k - i t d o e s n o t g u a r a n t e e s u c c e s s !
T H E C O M P L E X R E A L I T YF o r m a l i s a t i o n m e t h o d s c a n n o t o ve rc o m e s c a l e
S o m e p r o j e c t s a r e n o w s o l a r g e a n d c o m p l e x t h e y c a n n o t b e o r g a n i s e d a n d o rc h e s t r a t e d b y h u m a n m i n d s … .
… i t i s t h e m a c h i n e s t h a t d o a l l t h i s , a n d i n t h e e x t r e m e , a m a c h i n e m a y b e t h e u l t i m a t e m a n a g e r
GANTT (Henry 1910) - Schedul ing & Progress SEE Karol Adamiecki in 1896T O O L S A n d P R O C E S S
A p p r o p r i a t e n e s sD o n ’ t u s e a s l e d g e h a m m e r t o c ra c k a wa l n u t
Yo u m i g h t u s e P R I N C E o r s o m e o t h e r f o r m a l m e t h o d t o b u i l d a n
a i r c r a f t b u t n o t t o b u y a p e n c i l ! !
R E A L Ma n a g em e n t E x p e r i e n c eReco l l e c t i on s and rea l i t y spann ing 1980 t o Today
TAT 8 1980 p ro j e c t s t a r t 1986 cab l e i n t o s e r v i c e - Re t i red 2002
Connect ing UK - F rance - USA by the f i r s t t r ansa t l an t i c cab leArt i f i c i a l Ocean Quarry & Traw l s A f l ee t o f 6 sh ip s Anchors & Cha in s L a y i n g E q u i p m e n t Mon i tor ing Sys tems Recovery Equ ipment Sh ipboard Equ ipment Acce le ra ted L i f e Tes t Submar ine Cab le Tes t Measurement Sys tems
Labora tor ie s C lean Rooms C h i p D e s i g n C i rcu i t Des i gn Sys tem Des i gn Ch ip Fabr i ca t ion Opt i ca l F ib re Tes t Power Feed Des i gn Surge /Fa i l u re Tes t ing So f t Fa i l u re Mon i tor ing Undersea Repa i r S t ra tegy
Cos t ~ £350M Peop le ~ 3000 Countr i e s = 4 Compan ie s = 7 Sea depth < 4 .5 km Cab le Span ~ 67000 km Capac i t y = 2 x 280Mb i t / s Repeater span 41 - 65 km Opt i ca l = 1 .3𝜇m 0 .25dB /km
Day 1 s i t u at i o nC o n n e c t U K - F r a n c e - U S A
TAT 8 1980 no t e chno l ogy a va i l ab l e , on l y a s t a t emen t o f i n t en t and a budge t ! ! !
Day 1 s i t u at i o nC o n n e c t U K - F r a n c e - U S A
TAT 8 1980 a l l we had was an ana l ogue l e gacy o f d i s c re t e t e chno l og i e s +++
T H E B i g g e s t c h a l l e n g e sD e l e g a t i o n - p r o b l e m s o l v i n g - o r c h e s t r a t i o n
TAT 8 P e r f e c t i o n - t h e e n e m y o f p r o g r e s sPeop le - the b iggest asset /n ightmare
Wh at i t b e c am eA w h o l l y c o n n e c t e d p l a n e t
I n ternet Sc i ence Network F inanc i a l Network Te lephone Network Eng ineer ing Network Pr imary Wea l th Manager Log i s t i c s Contro l Network +++++ Nervous Sys tem o f The P l anet
R E A L Ma n a g em e n t E x p e r i e n c eReco l l e c t i on s and rea l i t y spann ing 1990 t o Today
1998 P ro j e c t s t a r t 1999 S ta r t ed t rad i ng - So l d 2002
The f i r s t on - l i ne t rave l agent i n the EU - £0 - £1Bn in 4 year s
Or i g i na ted f rom my ABTA l e c tu re i n Marbe l l a Sep tember 2008
F i r s t p l ann ing meet ing October 2008 Fund ing o f £55M ra i sed i n November 2008 F i r s t p rototype sy s tem bu i l t December 2008 Open for bus ines s and t rad ing i n J anuary 2009 Immed ia te g rowth @ 35$ / month cont inu ing to 2002 Ach ieved £1Bn turnover (not va lua t ion ) by end o f year 2003
R E A L Ma n a g em e n t E x p e r i e n c eReco l l e c t i on s and rea l i t y spann ing 1990 t o Today
1995 P ro j e c t s t a r t 1996 S ta r t ed t rad i ng - C l o s ed 2003
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