numbers and limits: balancing data and design in product management

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Numbers and Limits Balancing data and design April 17, 2016

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Numbers and LimitsBalancing data and design

April 17, 2016

Who is this guy?

Overview

● What’s the problem?

● How do we fix it?

● Getting better at both

Data mindset vs Design mindset

A data mindset is... A design mindset is...

● focused on users as groups ● focused on users as individuals

● measurable ● intuitive

● incrementally focused ● blue-sky thinking

● focused on identifying and weighing different solutions

● focused on identifying, then solving, the right problem

Common problems

“Numbers don’t tell the whole story. How can you boil down someone’s experience into a single metric?”

“The a/b test results were obvious; why can’t we all just move forward with the winning variant?”

“I don’t know whether to trust my head or my heart.”

When data thinking and design thinking disagree, what do you do?

Common problems

What is a PM?

Analytical

User empathetic Organized

What does a PM do?

Analysis

Product design

Project management

Conflict boundaries

Analysis

Product design

Project management

This is where design lives...

So conflicts arise here...

and here

Overview

● What’s the problem?

● How do we fix it?

● Getting better at both

General principles

● right situation, right mindset

● settling differences of opinion

● data skepticism

Right situation, right mindset

● What might tip you toward relying on data, and what might tip you toward design thinking?○ userbase○ product maturity○ internal stakeholders

Settling differences of opinion

● what objective information can you gather before building anything?

● how do you design features and roadmaps to generate answers for you?

Data skepticism

Control (original) Variant

New feature XYZ is here! Do you want to try it out now?

Try it Cancel

New feature XYZ is here! Do you want to try it out now?

Try itCancel

This is an example; no actual users were harmed in the making of this slide

Data skepticism

● CTR increased from 15% to >19%

● this is huge! we’re gonna be rich!

● where else can we apply this learning?

Also an example

Data skepticism

Also an example

Release process: in theory

Write specs In dev

Write specs

Live!

In dev

January February March

Release 1.0

Release 2.0

April

Live!

Write specs In devRelease 3.0

May

Live!

In practice...

Write specs In dev

Write specs

Live!

In dev

January February March

Release 1.0

Release 2.0

April

Write specs In devRelease 3.0

May

Live!

Write specsIn dev

X X X

1. Design and specwriting takes longer than planned, but team isn’t happy and aligned with the output...

2. ...causing dev to start late and take longer because team is thrashing on release’s design while engineers are working

3. Meanwhile, your next release hasn’t started because 2.0 is dragging

One solution

(If needed) Explore design

Add extra time for exploring and aligning on problem and solution space; get stakeholders to agree upfront

Write specs In dev

Write specs

Live!

In dev

January February March

Release 1.0

Release 2.0

April

Live!

Write specs In devRelease 3.0

May

Live!

Overview

● What’s the problem?

● How do we fix it?

● Getting better at both

Hybrids are great

Further reading

● Andrew Chen’s blog, http://andrewchen.co

● Good PM, Bad PM by Ben Horowitz

● Don’t Make Me Think

● The Design of Everyday Things