pny 美商公司之 black friday 預測需求與分析
DESCRIPTION
PNY 美商公司之 Black Friday 預測需求與分析. 組員 --------------------------------------------------- 9534608 謝岱高 9634524 廖鎔熠 9634532 黃雅莉 9634543 郭奇龍. 2007/12/28. 大綱. 一、案例背景介紹 二、 文獻探討 三、 研究方法 四、記憶體零售連鎖通路產業分析 五、結論與建議. 案例介紹. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
-
PNYBlack Friday---------------------------------------------------9534608 9634524 9634532 9634543
2007/12/28
-
PNY /PNY 2002PNY2005
-
Black Friday114
-
Wallmart)ToysRusBest Buy
-
:USBUSBNANDUSBMB
-
PUSBBlack Friday
-
3C 3C()(Communication)(Computer)
-
3C
-
3C ()
-
McCorkell(1997)RFM RFM (Recent)(Frequency)(Monetary Value)Kahan(1998)RFMRFM
-
(Noise)
-
(Averaging techniques)
1.
2. (Weighted average)( 1)
-
RFM
-
RFM ()
-
1. (Recency) 11 768 10.9 10.922 696 9.9 20.833 778 11.04 31.84 44 435 6.17 38.0155 525 7.45 45.4666 531 7.54 5377 1094 15.53 68.6388 1121 15.91 84.4499 1098 15.58 100 7046 100
-
Chart1
10.9
9.9
11.04
6.17
7.45
7.54
15.53
15.91
15.58
Sheet1
76810.910.9
6969.920.8
77811.0431.84
4356.1738.01
5257.4545.46
5317.5453
109415.5368.63
112115.9184.44
109815.58100
7046100100
Sheet1
Sheet2
Sheet3
-
2. (Frequency)
-
Chart2
54.7545059043
19.2044748291
9.2396933913
4.6819970996
3.0453697949
1.9888129273
1.4708928941
5.6142531593
Sheet1
76810.910.9
6969.920.8
77811.0431.84
4356.1738.01
5257.4545.46
5317.5453
109415.5368.63
112115.9184.44
109815.58100
7046100100
Sheet1
10.9
9.9
11.04
6.17
7.45
7.54
15.53
15.91
15.58
Sheet2
1264354.754505904354.7545059043
292719.204474829173.9589807334
34469.239693391383.1986741247
42264.681997099687.8806712244
51473.045369794990.9260410193
6961.988812927392.9148539466
7711.470892894194.3857468407
82715.6142531593100
4827100100
Sheet2
Sheet3
-
3. (Money)
-
Chart3
30.8473171742
22.125543816
13.4452040605
10.7727366895
5.655686762
5.0756163248
2.4860161591
9.5918790139
Sheet1
76810.910.9
6969.920.8
77811.0431.84
4356.1738.01
5257.4545.46
5317.5453
109415.5368.63
112115.9184.44
109815.58100
7046100100
Sheet1
10.9
9.9
11.04
6.17
7.45
7.54
15.53
15.91
15.58
Sheet2
1264354.754.7
292719.273.9
34469.2383.13
42264.6887.81
51473.0490.85
6961.9892.83
7711.4794.3
82715.6199.91
4827100100
Sheet3
()
0~500148930.847317174230.8473171742
500~1000106822.12554381652.9728609903
1000~150064913.445204060566.4180650508
1500~200052010.772736689577.1908017402
2000~25002735.65568676282.8464885022
2500~30002455.075616324887.922104827
3000~35001202.486016159190.4081209861
3500 4639.5918790139100
4827100100
Sheet3
-
RFM
-
RFM
-
RFM
-
Market Share Month of September
-
Flash Drive Overview YTD Sept 2007ObservationsPNY holds the #3 share position YTD1GB represents the largest segment within the category with 39% of the unit sell-thru2GB represents 32% of YTD sell-thruUSB Unit Share YTD Sept 2007
Chart1
5161372
2828593
2621373
1141979
1039358
4663017
Sheet1
Total BRAND17,455,692
Sandisk5,161,372
Memorex2,828,593
PNY2,621,373
Kingston1,141,979
Sony1,039,358
Other4,663,017
Chart1
0.06878836070.17577421710.52929363210.18512084540.0405982520.0004246927
0.05823748460.14269221580.48713331260.26227590550.04786929770.0017917838
0.06640537820.18518094990.36489144230.28513637720.09662261650.0017632358
0.03693998010.1114563220.404723420.35772554450.08467344510.0044812884
0.03456522560.0895478410.38915388290.31882634090.16391435480.0039923548
0.02750791950.09476784610.33193035080.4123861370.12409811920.0093096275
0.01599523040.10411643430.32096861280.38696967620.15862801550.0133220309
0.01846814430.12602146630.37399134070.32156411230.14659892610.0133560103
0.01184160240.10725383860.33225962820.36516841810.16318271890.0202937937
000000
000000
000000
256MB
512MB
1GB
2GB
4GB
8GB
USB Flash Drive Capacity Trend
Sheet1
Jan-07Feb-07Mar-07Apr-07May-07Jun-07Jul-07Aug-07Sep-07Oct-07Nov-07Dec-07
Total MEMSIZE1,770,6921,440,4641,626,5551,239,8221,136,92314656871,705,8212,342,4662,085,613000
256 MB121,80383,889108,01245,79939,298403182728543,26124,697
512 MB311,242205,543301,207138,186101,809138900177604295,201223,690
1.0 GB937,216701,698593,516501,785442,438486506547515876,062692,965
2.0 GB327,792377,799463,790443,516362,481604429660101753,253761,600
4.0 GB71,88768,954157,162104,980186,358181889270591343,403340,336
8.0 GB7522,5812,8685,5564,539136452272531,28642,325
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
256MB6.9%5.8%6.6%3.7%3.5%2.8%1.6%1.8%1.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
512MB17.6%14.3%18.5%11.1%9.0%9.5%10.4%12.6%10.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%
1GB52.9%48.7%36.5%40.5%38.9%33.2%32.1%37.4%33.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2GB18.5%26.2%28.5%35.8%31.9%41.2%38.7%32.2%36.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4GB4.1%4.8%9.7%8.5%16.4%12.4%15.9%14.7%16.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8GB0.0%0.2%0.2%0.4%0.4%0.9%1.3%1.3%2.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
YTD 51212.8%
YTD 1GB39.0%
YTD 2GB32.1%
YTD 4GB11.6%
YTD 8GB0.9%
Sheet2
TOP SELLING SKUs
RankBrandModel DescriptionUnits
1SANDISK2GB MICRO CRUZER USB 2.0 FLASH DRIVE1,849,272
2SANDISK1GB MICRO CRUZER USB 2.0 FLASH DRIVE1,479,508
3SANDISK4GB MICRO CRUZER USB 2.0 FLASH DRIVE871,460
4PNY1GB ATTACHE FLASH DRIVE USB 2.0691,155
5PNY2GB ATTACHE USB 2.0 FLASH DRIVE636,132
6PNY1GB ATTACHE USB 2.0 FLASH DRIVE 3-PK202,188 x 3
7MEMOREX1GB TRAVELDRIVE FLASH DRIVE USB 2.0478,967
8KINGSTON1GB DATA TRAVELER USB 2.0 FLASH DRIVE472,433
9MEMOREX32MB USB 2.0 FLASH MEMORY DRIVE397,652
10DANE ELEC1GB USB 2.0 FLASH DRIVE370,353
-
Black Friday685202280.4/ ()2007 Black Friday35.7(2007)81540/
-
PIT
-
Thank you !!!
3C 3C 3C 3C3C 3C 3C()3C3C3C