ppt
TRANSCRIPT
EXCHANGE RATE SYSTEM
GROUP MEMBERS Ronak Shah 115
Shreyas Mehta 116
Shaily Mehta 117
Libin Moni 118
Introduction• International Transactions have to
effect payment from one party to other party
• Payments may be gifts or remittances
• Trade of merchandise as well as services is to be considered
• Capital Purchases have a different modes of payment such as forfeiting
What is Money???
• Store Value
• Medium of Exchange
• Unit of account
Barter System works when two individuals each possessing a commodity the other wanted or needed would enter into an agreement to trade their goods
Limitations:-
Lack of Transferability
Lack of Divisibility
Problem of Stocking
Fair Pricing
To solve the problem of barter system came commodity money
It is a kind of currency based on the value of underlying commodity
They are widely desired , valuable, durable, portable and easily storable
In past salt, tea, tobacco, cattle and seeds were commodities & therefore were once used as money
Metal objects were introduced as money around 5000 B.C
Metal was used because it was readily available, easy to work with & could be recycled
Earliest Paper Money became common from about AD 960 onwards in China
With the introduction of Paper Currency, Commodity Money evolved into representative money
Representative money has now been replaced by Fiat Money
Fiat Money is paper or low value metal coins) money authenticated by the government
Fiat is the Latin word for “let it be done”
Money is now given value by a government fiat or decree, in other words enforceable legal tender laws were made
Years Form of moneySome time unknown Barter
9000 BC to 6000 BC Cattle
1200 BC Cowries shells
1000 BC First metal money and coins
500 BC Modern coin age
118 BC Leather money
806 AD Paper currency
1816 AD Gold standard
There are three known kinds of gold standard that have been adopted since the early 1700s - gold specie, gold exchange, gold bullion standards
In this gold standard, the unit of currency is linked to the gold coins that are in circulation
More specifically, the monetary unit is associated with the unit of value of a specific gold coin in circulation along with that of any secondary coinage (coins made of metal that is valued less than gold)
The central bank of the country concerned had to back the currency, promising to buy or sell the metal in unrestricted amount at the price fixed
Extending this reasoning, a person who possessed gold could approach the State mint and have the right to have coin struck from gold, whatever the amount
By the same reasoning, he could also melt the gold as and when he wished to do so;Gold could be freely imported and exported
Money in circulation is a paper note
On these notes is the written promise of monetary authorities that if you demand, on submission of this note, they would give you specified quantity of gold
This means currency is pegged with gold
Unconditional conversion
We can say in this gold standard , gold bullion is sold on demand at a fixed cost. The currency-to-bullion ratio i.e. sold on demand at a fixed cost
In this mechanism, money in circulation is a paper note or coins of lesser valuable metals
On these notes/low-value-metal-coins was the promise by monetary authorities to give specified number of notes/gold coins of other specified country’s currency ,on demand
This means currency is pegged with the other currency
The other specified currency was either in the form of gold coin itself or paper notes with the promise to give gold on submission by monetary authority of that country
Mechanism of Exchange of Two Currencies
It imposes discipline on policy makers regarding expansion of money supply as it is limited by reserve of gold with them
Control on money supply, so it has in-built anti-inflationary system
Exchange rates are more stable
Exchange rates are more predictable
They should never change the ratio of conversion of paper money to gold
They should be ready to convert unlimited amount of paper currency to gold at any time whatsoever
There should not be any restriction on transfer of gold from one country to another. It should be free flow in all respects
They should issue notes exactly proportionate to the quantity of gold they have in reserve
If this quantity decreases, they should reduce note in circulation contracts of money supply)
It imposes very rigid discipline on the policy makers and monetary authority
In order to adhere to success elements, often many economic compromises and sacrifices are required. For instance , full employment may not be targeted
Political cost of such compromises is very high
It is not possible to maintain gold parity ratio) in critical times such as war, earthquake
Free trade of gold with all countries all the time is not practical in order to prevent permanent loss of gold
The USA undertook to convert the US Dollar freely into gold at a fixed parity of $ 35 per ounce. (1 ounce = 28.35 grams)
Other countries agreed to maintain their currencies at specific parties with US Dollar. 1% variation in this parity was allowed
If the exchange rate of these member countries tended to exceed this 1% limit, then their monetary authorities shall take the necessary measures to restore it
This was supposed to be done by buying or selling dollars. For example, if their market is buying dollars heavily, then authorities should sell dollars in order to maintain the parity
In order to follow this parity-maintaining obligation, if required, member countries may borrow from IMF
If there is a genuine problem in maintaining parity to a particular member country, then it can change its parity itself by 10% (+ or -), without consulting IMF
If it desired to exceed 10% limit, it has to inform IMF and seek its consent. Because of this feature, this system was often referred as ADJUSTABLE PEG SYSTEM
Adjustable Peg System An adjustable peg exchange rate is a
system where a currency is fixed to a certain level against another strong currency such as the Dollar or Euro
Usually the peg involves a degree of flexibility of 2% against a certain level
However, if the exchange rate fluctuates by more than the agreed level, the central bank needs to intervene to maintain the target exchange rate peg
Dollar was the universally accepted exchange currency
US did not have freedom to change gold parity of its currency
All other countries were willing to accumulate dollars by selling goods and services to US
US can buy these goods from other countries by simple ‘printing’ dollars
Reason for collapse ofBRETTON WOOD SYSTEM
The system was dependent on dollar as the key currency
United States free from external economic pressures
Member countries were not willing to accept the high inflation rates
Another fundamental problem was the delayed adjustment of the parties to changes in the economic environment of the countries
IMF members have been free to choose any form of exchange arrangement they wish
By allowing the currency to float freely
pegging it to another currency or a basket of currencies
adopting the currency of another country,
participating in a currency bloc or forming part of monetary union
Exchange Arrangements with No Separate Legal Tender
Currency Board Arrangements
Other Conventional Fixed Peg Arrangements
Pegged Exchange Rates within Horizontal Bands
Crawling Pegs
Exchange Rates within Crawling Bands
Managed floating with no Predetermined Path for the Exchange Rate
Independently Floating
I. Fixed (pegged) with one currency (Hard peg or Conventional peg)
Features Central banks buy and sell currencies at
fixed price
Defending of Currency Rate
Central Bank hold foreign currency
Central Bank ultimately devalues its currency
ADVANTAGES
Certainty of Exchange Rate Less inflationary Smooth working Prevents monetary shock
DISADVANTAGES
Heavy burden Need sufficient reserves Fails to solve balance of payments Does not prevent real shocks No long term solution
ll. Free Float and Independent Float (Flexible Exchange Rate System)
ADVANTAGES Simple operation, smoother, more fluid
adjustment Brings realism in forest transactions Disequilibrium in balance of payment
auto stabilize No need to manage exchange rate Prevents real shocks Reinforces monetary policy
effectiveness
DISADVANTAGES
Exchange rate risk to exporters and importers which need to be hedged
Adverse effect of speculation
Encourages inflation
Crawling peg system is that there exists an exchange rate which equilibrates the international supply and demand for particular currency
Possibilities The peg he allowed to ‘crawl’ not more than
one sixth of 1 % in any one month, with the timing of such changes subject to the discretion of govt. officials
Adopt a plan such that the peg’s crawl is automatic. the rate would be allowed to move freely within a band around the crawling peg
Snake in tunnel
The concept was accepted by the European Economic Community since 1972,though was called differently as Joint Float Snake
The graph of the currency moving against each other would look like snake in tunnel
In 1978 snake turn into a worm
Liberalized Exchange Rate Management System
Under the LERMS, 40 percent of foreign exchange earnings had to be surrendered at an official rate determined by the reserve bank
The balance 60 percent of exchange earnings were to be converted at rates determined by the market