[premoney 2014] innovation works >> chris evdemon, "the global vc: china"
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"The Global VC: China"TRANSCRIPT
What does any tech startup founder want?
Ecosystem
An early stage ecosystem.
Talent Pool
Domestic Market
Start-Up Services
Financing
Culture
Understanding China
China
A booming middle class leads toconsumption growth never seen before.
2012 20220
50
100
150
200
250
300
36
193
Upper Middle Class
Mass Middle Class
2005 2015 20250%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Private Consumption (% of GDP)Urban Households
In 2013, U.S. >70%, India >60%.
Understanding China
China
It’s a volume play. It’s incredibly challenging to operate.
Holiday Travel
Customer Service
Career Fair
Dating Event
Internet Café
Logistics
The Chinese Internet
Internet
News Search Email IM Music Gaming Blog Ecommerce
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%79% 76%
57%
72%
83%
71%
55%
34%
70%
89% 91%
38% 34% 35%
11%
71%
Different Usage of Internet
Enormous, mobile-centric, information overloaded. Different demographics, usage and aesthetics.
The Chinese Internet
China
Appealing to the Chinese grassroots users is what builds
amazing businesses.
Affordable Entertainment
Curiosity & Discovery Self Expression Communication Virtual Identity
& PrideBargain
Shopping
Reserved for locals and cut-throat competitive …
Internet
Most competitive market in the world. Users expect everything for free, have near-zero
loyalty and are ruthlessly vocal in social media about all products.
Dead
Abandoned
Inaccessible
Innovation, China-style …
Internet
Copy-news + blog integration
Social + Games + Qzone
Free Music + Q&A community + cloud computing
Free listings, AdWords up-sell
Netflix + Hulu + smart ads
COD + proprietary logistics + warehousing
Inspired
by international “first-movers”
Localizedby integrating most
relevant features
Iterated
with amazing speed and micro-innovations
Internationalizedstarting from the emerging markets
Everything is ( real ) freemium …
Internet
… and the world has a lot to learn from China!
• Chinese online games’ hierarchy of needs.
• Deep understanding of human psychology, desire, weakness.
• Result = 4x U.S. ARPPU, while 10% of the U.S. per capita income.
GAMES
PAID
FREE
Technopreneurship in China
Entrepreneurship
Founder
Success
Mentor
Angel or VC
Entrepreneurship is cool. not so cool.
Young people are risk taking. averse.
Failure is a plus. not acceptable.
Success stories and role models are everywhere. scarce.
The start-up ecosystem has been around for 40 years. barely 5 years.
Recirculation of capital and know-how is in its Nth iteration. 1st iteration.
But, the pace of change is near zero. lightning fast.
A good startup ecosystem is defined by its degree of recirculation of capital and know-how.
A new class of Chinese technopreneurs has emerged:
Hungry for success.
Familiar with the local market.
Able to iterate extremely quickly.
Grew up with the Internet.
+
+
+ +
$250K Chinese “lean start-ups”CEO / Produ
ct Manag
erUI / UXDesig
ner
CTO + 5
more engineers
Starting-up in China
Entrepreneurship
Home-grown CEOs need mentoring.
Entrepreneurs are often one-dimensional.
Limited cutting edge innovation and imagination.
Limited business, industry, and operational experience.
Few home-grown role models.
Everyone wants to be the boss.
Difficult to assemble a complete and complementary team. Limited access to resources, network, and talent.
Information flow is not fluid in China.
Sharing culture is limited.
>250,000 software engineers graduate annually but hiring top talent is almost “mission impossible”.
Angel investors are few and immature.
They offer minimal value-add, unfair deals and have unreasonable return expectations.
Very few VCs have technical / product / market understanding to evaluate early-stage opportunities.
The immature ecosystem leads to a variety of challenges.
Legal complexity. The “VIE” structure.
IN CHINA
OFFSHORE
Contract
CAYMAN / BVI
HONG KONG
WFOELOCAL
COMPANYTransfer Pricing
OperatingLicenses
USD Investment
Nascent angel network. Limited VC attention to early stage.
Start-up services are scarce …
Services
China needs a lot more start-up friendly services.
© Zhen Fund
• Proper cloud infrastructure.
• Law and accounting firms that understand Founders’ needs and can defer payments.
• Recruiters specializing in the tech industry.
• Banks that are entrepreneur-friendly and can provide short-term liquidity.
• Modern co-working spaces that are affordable and easy to commute to.
• Incubators that go beyond real estate, have professional support services and offer fair deals.
• More local events, meet-ups and professional tech media.
Various services:
Incubators / Accelerators:
= PROSPERITY!
Limited ( local ) angel ( ? ) investment activity …
Incubators
VCs
Founders
AngelsAngel VC
?
$30B$20B
$7B
Financing
Despite recent progress, still short of Silicon Valley’s
“smart money” angel investor definition, both in terms of quality, quantity
and fairness.
Xu Xiaoping Lei JunCai
Wensheng Angel Funds
Angel Club
… but gradually joined by more and more successful entrepreneurs, as well as early employees / senior executives from companies like Baidu, Alibaba, Tencent, etc. who start investing in start-ups and mentoring Founders.
Venture Capital in China
• Already the 2nd largest VC market in the world but still only about 1/3rd of the U.S.
• Chinese GPs are by now almost entirely local.
• Early-stage-minded GPs with previous own start-up / operational experience are a scarce resource in China.
• Traditional industries still account for about 50% of the VC money invested in the market.
• RMB funds are in the ascendancy and increasingly preferred by entrepreneurs.
• Beijing (especially for TMT) is the place to be.
• 2014 is seeing major deal activity, as there are still a lot of funds in the market with capital to deploy, and …
• … fundraising has been relatively easier for China GPs, as the “China story” has not yet run out of steam.
• China IPOs were hit hard in the past few years but have a major resurgence in 2014.
Financing
Growing and improving, but with limited attention to - and relevant skillset for - early stage investments.
Some facts:
Strategic investments and M&A
• Anjuke – $50M (2011)
• Qunar – $300M (2011)
• Dianxin (2012)• PPS – $370M (2013)
• 91.com – $1.9B (2013)
• Umeng (2013)• AutoNavi –
$300M (2013)• SINA Weibo –
$600M (2013)• PPTV (2013)• Kanbox (2013)• UCWeb (2014)
• Comsenz (2010)• eLong – $85M (2011)
• Caixin (2012)• Sogou – $450M (2013)
Unprecedented level of activity by all major players in the last 3 years.
Major strategic deals for product, user base and market positioning …
But also talent acquisitions!
And industry-wide consolidation for
online games.
Financing
Beware, China is coming out to the world!
Ever-increasing outflow of capital, products, business models and talent.
Financing
China Emerging Markets
Developed Markets
Recent U.S. Investments International Expansion Model
Talent Constraints and … the Solution!