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TRANSCRIPT
IT Industry Performance
Annual Review 2012-13
Prepared for Prepared by
02Industry Validation of the Market Figures
03
01
04
ITOPS
Longest Running Tracker Study on the Indian IT Hardware market
Only Demand-Side Study on the Indian IT
Hardware market
Largest Tracker Study on the Indian IT Hardware
market
About ITOPS… An Introduction
Data is collected after ‘Last Mile’
Market/ Customer Sentiments
• No undercounting/over counting stock in pipeline• Includes direct imports by customers • Accurate estimation of assembled market
• Factors in the market/ customer sentiments and opinion along with industry level indicators
Accurate assessment of Buyer Profile
Identification of Emerging Segments
Identify and observe Market Trends
• “Who bought”, “Where used”…Not dependent on ‘perceptions’ of reseller/ channel member/ vendor
• Need to monitor changes in user’s perspective to obtain cues for innovative marketing
ITOPS
Only Demand-Side Study on Indian IT Hardware Market… Designed to deliver the much needed demand-side insights
• The Study covers a sample of around 28,000 + entities
• The study is conducted on an annual basis
• … across 35 cities of India for the household segment– Representation of entire urban India
• … across 22 cities of India for the household segment– Greater than 0.2 Million Pop Towns
28,000+Entities
19,500+Households
8500+Estabs
Largest Study on Indian IT Hardware Market… Coverage of 35 Cities in Household segment and 22 cities in Establishment segment
MAIT
Findings on Market-size projected to
All - India Urban market
Various IT Players
Validation
Validation
• The findings from ITOPS is accepted as the official market performance of Indian IT hardware market by Manufacturers Association for Information Technology (MAIT), the nodal body for IT hardware industry in India.
• Information used by Govt. of India for all IT & allied planning.
Industry Validation… Two Pronged Validation Process
ITOPS Advantage… The cutting edge
Accurate, Relevant & Timely Knowledge
Regular Market Feedback
Customization to meet needs
Continuous & Holistic Support
A two-pronged approach involving primary route among end-users and validation of this data from the vendors and the channel ensures accuracy of the data
Also, with data for more than eleven consecutive years, the study is now able to plot the trends to show the future direction
Bi-annual reports provide the performance and trends of the preceding half year
Quarterly channel reports provide mid quarter check on the performance and the need for course correction required if any
Specific question (s) or rider questionnaire (s) can be incorporated as per client’s requirement to test out hypotheses in the dynamic changing business environment
Also, the report could also be customized based on client’s requirement of product & information coverage
ITOPS is a continuous relationship. Analysts and consultants from the eTechnology Group @ IMRB would be available for answering any query, drill-downs, special analysis etc that client may need to internalize the findings from ITOPS
SAMPLING METHODOLOGY
Sampling Methodology… Households
Households and Home Offices
SEC A SEC B SEC C
Random Sample of SEC A, SEC B, SEC C , SEC D/E Households in each city
Pure Household
Employed by Others
Home Office
Self-Employed
Based on Occupation of the CWE
Universe Estimation of SEC A, SEC B & SEC C HH National Readership Survey
SEC D SEC E
Sampling Methodology… Establishments
Businesses owning at leastOne telephone line
Small Medium Large
Random Sample Across ACE* Grid
Type of Establishment
Universe of Estimation Based on ITOPS Universe Estimation Frame work
Government Outlet Office Manufacturing
Industry Vertical
*ACE- Principal Activity carried out at the respective establishment Classified by Employee Size
ANNUAL ROUND-UP ON IT HARDWARE
INDUSTRY
PC MARKET SLOWING DOWN, GREW ONLY BY
5%
01
Missed MAIT forecast by 1.1 million
12
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 -
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
5,046,558.00
6,341,451.00
7,344,306.006,796,107.00
8,034,556.00
9,314,934.00
10,817,709.0011,307,734.34
SALES OF PC YEAR-ON-YEAR- ALL INDIA , URBAN
+05%
CAGR growth * +14%
Year
Sale
of P
C (in
mill
ion
units
)
+16%
* CAGR growth – Growth of 2011-12 over 2005-06
NOTEBOOKS CONTINUES TO PUSH
UP THE PC SALES
02
14
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-130
2000000
4000000
6000000
8000000
10000000
12000000
4,614,724.005,490,591.005,522,167.005,279,648.005,525,992.006,030,418.006,711,911.006,769,423.45
431,834.00850,860.00
1,822,139.001,516,459.002,508,564.00
3,284,516.004,022,501.004,404,878.76
Notebook
Desktop PC
Growth Desktop PC Notebook2012-13 over 2011-12 +01% +16%2011-12 over 2010-11 +11% +22%2010-11 over 2009-10 +09% +31%
CAGR GROWTH* +06% +45%
NOTEBOOK CONSTANTLY OUTPERFORMING DESKTOP PC OVER THE YEARS
SALES OF PC , ALL INDIA , URBAN
Sale
of P
C (in
mill
ion
units
)
Year
11.17
Overall sales (in million)
10.73
9.31
8.03
6.807.346.34
5.05
+05%+16%
* CAGR growth – Growth of 2011-12 over 2005-06
REST OF INDIA CONTINUES TO MARCH
AHEAD IN PC SALES
03
Its the only market where overall Desktop PC sales has witnessed a growth
16
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-130%
25%
50%
75%
100%
54%60% 65% 68%
61% 57% 59% 60%
13%8%
12% 7%8% 13% 13% 12%
33% 32%23% 25%
31% 30% 28% 28%
Top 4 cities
Next 4 cities
Rest of India
REST OF INDIA CONTRIBUTION IS ON THE RISE FOR THE 3RD CONSECUTIVE YEARSa
le o
f PC
– by
Tow
n cl
ass
(in %
)
Year
SALES OF PC, BY TOWN CLASS, ALL INDIA , URBAN
11.3110.829.318.036.807.346.345.05
Overall sales (in million)
+05%+16%Overall sales
(in million)
HH SEGMENT DID SLOW DOWN BUT
GREW IMPRESSIVELY
04
18
HH SEGMENT IS DRIVING PC SALES CONTRIBUTING AROUND 60% OF THE MARKET
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-130
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
4,614,724.00 4,616,571.00 4,365,613.00 4,242,849.00 4,323,783.00 4,440,666.00 4,862,975.00 4,519,534.91
431,834.001,724,880.00
2,978,693.002,553,258.00
3,732,773.004,874,269.00
5,871,435.00 6,788,199.44Household
Establishment
Sale
of P
C (in
mill
ion
units
)
Year
SALES OF PC, ALL INDIA , URBAN Overall sales (in million)
11.31
10.82
9.31
8.03
6.807.34
6.34
5.05
+05%+16%
19
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-130
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
7,000,000
8,000,000
3,472,323.004,084,197.00
3,338,416.00 3,496,150.00 3,205,004.00 3,015,864.00 3,174,751.48 2,746,957.52
1,142,401.00
1,406,394.002,183,752.00 1,783,498.00 2,320,988.00 3,014,555.00
3,537,159.07 4,022,465.94 Household
Businesses
DESKTOP SEEMS TO BE MORE RELEVANT FOR HOUSEHOLD
Year
Sale
of D
eskt
op P
C (in
m
illio
n un
its)
Growth Household Businesses2012-13 over 2011-12 +14% -13%2011-12 over 2010-11 +17% +05%2010-11 over 2009-10 +30% -06%
SALES OF DESKTOP PC, ALL INDIA – URBAN
6.776.716.03
5.535.285.525.49
4.61
+01%+11%CAGR growth * +06%
* CAGR growth – Growth of 2011-12 over 2005-06
Overall sales (in million)
20
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-130
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
4,500,000
5,000,000
376,577.00 532,374.001,027,197.00 746,699.00
1,118,779.00 1,424,802.00 1,688,224.00 1,733,010.1955,257.00 318,486.00
794,941.00769,760.00
1,411,785.00
1,859,714.00
2,334,276.002,671,868.57 Household
Businesses
NOTEBOOK GROWTH IN BUSINESSES HAS BEEN DECLERATED BUT IT HAS EXHIBITED POSITIVE GROWTH OVER THE YEARS
Year
Sale
of D
eskt
op P
C (in
m
illio
n un
its)
SALES OF NOTEBOOK PC , ALL INDIA – URBAN
4.40
4.02
3.28
2.53
1.52
1.82
0.850.43
+10%
+22%
CAGR growth * +43%
* CAGR growth – Growth of 2011-12 over 2005-06
Overall sales (in million)
Growth Household Businesses2012-13 over 2011-12 +14% +03%2011-12 over 2010-11 +26% +18%2010-11 over 2009-10 +32% +27%
SEC C HAS BECOME AN ESTABLISHED PC
DRIVER
05
Posted a growth of 67%
22
WHILE DESKTOP GROWTH IS MUTED IN SEC A AND B , SEC C CONTINUES TO SHOW UP ITS GOOD PERFOMANCE
2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-130%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
43% 39%30% 31% 30% 31%
39%39%
42% 39% 34% 27%
18% 22% 29% 30% 36% 42% SEC C
SEC B
SEC ADes
ktop
PC
– H
H –
SEC
wis
e (i
n %
)
Year
Growth SEC A SEC B SEC C2012-13 over 2011-12 +18% -09% +31%2011-12 over 2010-11 +14% +02% +41%2010-11 over 2009-10 +34% +24% +34%
4.023.53Overall sales
(in million) 3.012.321.782.18
Overall sales (in million)SALES OF DESKTOP PC, HH, ALL INDIA – URBAN
+14%+17%
23
A POSITIVE GROWTH IS EXHIBITED ALL ACROSS SEC BUT SEC C LEADS THE PACK
2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-130%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
69% 73%59% 56%
45%38%
26% 18%32%
32%37%
33%
5% 9% 8% 12% 18%31%
SEC C
SEC B
SEC A
Not
eboo
k P
C –
HH
– S
EC w
ise
(in
%)
Year
2.672.33Overall sales
(in million) 1.861.410.770.79
Overall sales (in million)SALES OF NOTEBOOK PC, HH, ALL INDIA – URBAN
Growth SEC A SEC B SEC C2012-13 over 2011-12 +01% +05% +90%2011-12 over 2010-11 +01% +45% +88%2010-11 over 2009-10 +25% +32% +76%
+26% +14%
SMB AND GOVT SEGMENT HAS
REBOUND FROM THE SLUMP
06
CONTRIBUTED MAINLY BY DESKTOP PC
25
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-130%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
52%
30%43% 45%
57%43% 38%
67%
48%
70%57% 55%
43%57% 62%
33%
Large
SME
SME CONTRIBUTION HAS INCREASED THIS YEAR FOR DESKTOP PC
+49%
-53%
CAGR GROWTH – SME +07%
CAGR GROWTH – LARGE -17%
Year
Des
ktop
PC
- Bus
ines
ses
(in
%)
2.753.173.023.213.503.344.083.47
-13%+05%Overall sales
(in million)
SALES OF DESKTOP PC, BUSINESSES, ALL INDIA – URBAN Overall sales (in million)
26
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-130%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
53%44%
57%68%
56%46%
60% 63%
47%56%
43%32%
44%54%
39% 37%
Large
SME
A DECENT POSITIVE GROWTH IS EXHIBITED BY BOTH SEGMENT IN NOTEBOOK SEGMENT
+07%
CAGR GROWTH – SME +30%
CAGR GROWTH – LARGE +14%
Year
Des
ktop
PC
- Bus
ines
ses
(in
%)
1.731.691.421.120.751.030.530.28
+04%+19%Overall sales
(in million)
SALES OF NOTEBOOK PC, BUSINESSES, ALL INDIA – URBAN Overall sales (in million)
+03%
27
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-130%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
10% 5% 8% 5% 1%9% 6% 8%
81% 88% 84%
62%82%
74% 83% 77%
9% 6% 7%
13%
12% 16%10%
11%
1% 1% 2%
20%
5%
1% 1% 3%
Govt. Locations
Outlets
Office locations
Factory locations
GOVT. SEGMENT SURGED IN DESKTOP SALES
+38%
Not
eboo
k P
C - B
usin
esse
s
(in %
)
Year
SALES OF NOTEBOOK PC, BUSINESSES, ALL INDIA – URBAN
1.731.691.421.120.751.030.530.28
+05%+19%Overall sales
(in million)
Overall sales (in million)
LJP IS BECOMING THE DE-FACTO PRINTER
07
LJP is the sole positive contributor
29
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-130
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
472,074.00 441,316.00 374,700.00 393,951.00 383,597.00 384,869.00 392,589.00 272,933.99
717,001.00 608,991.00 783,607.00 751,683.00
1,142,431.00 1,355,504.00 1,190,676.001,083,645.27
325,111.00 443,200.00 442,286.00 472,022.00
971,807.00
1,386,408.371,381,770.55 1,572,293.54
Laser printer
Inkjet printer
Dot Matrix Printer
Year
Prin
ter s
ales
, Al
l Ind
ia ,
Uni
ts (i
n m
illio
n)
2.932.973.13
2.50
1.621.601.491.51
-01%-05%CAGR growth +12%
SALES OF PRINTER, ALL INDIA – URBAN
Growth DMP IJP LJP2012-13 over 2011-12 0% 19% 43%2011-12 over 2010-11 2% -12% 0%2010-11 over 2009-10 -30% -9% 14%
Overall sales (in million)
WHILE LJP SALES IS INCHING UP ,DMP SALES SEEMS TO BE DIPPING AWAY
TABLET PC IS SHOWING A PHENOMENAL
GROWTH FOR SECOND CONSECUTIVE YEAR
08
31
2010-11 2011-12 2012-130
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
93,150.00357,500.0
0
1,903,356.42 Tablet PC sales
45% 05%29%
21%
TABLET OWNER AS
PC OWNER SMARTPHONE OWNER
PC OWNER + SMARTPHONE OWNER
ONLY TABLET
Sale
of T
able
t (i
n m
illio
n un
its)
Year
+424%
SALES OF TABLET PC, ALL INDIA – URBAN
TABLET PC SURGED IN GROWTH AND AROUND 1/5TH OF TABLET OWNERS OWN ONLY TABLET PC
+284%
32
Projected sales Actual sales10
10.5
11
11.5
12
12.5
13
13.5
12.37
11.17
0.62
1.9
Tablet PC
Product category Projected sales Actual sales DifferenceIn million In million
PC 12.37 11.17 -1.2Tablet 0.62 1.90 +1.28
PC + Tablet 12.99 13.07 +0.08
SALES OF PC AND PRINTER, ALL INDIA – URBAN
Sale
(in
mill
ion
units
)
CONSUMERS PREFERENCE SEEMS TO BE TILTING FROM PC TO TABLET
SERVER MARKET FELL BUT THE DECLINE WAS
LOWER THAN BUSINESSES PC SALES
08
34
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-130
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
89,161.00 90,189.00
122,178.00 119,591.00
101,827.0087,275.00 90,699.00 89,074.82
SERVER SALES, ALL INDIA,URBAN
-02%
CAGR growth +0%
Town class Growth of 2012-13 over 2011-12PC - Businesses - 08%
Server - 02%
* CAGR growth – Growth of 2011-12 over 2005-06
+04%
Serv
er s
ales
, un
its
(in
mill
ion)
UPS SALES IS DRIVEN SOLELY BASED ON HH
PC GROWTH
09
36
2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-130
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
2,172,290.00
1,620,738.00 1,518,433.00
2,324,480.00 2,384,197.002,554,779.00 2,532,895.37
-01%CAGR growth – +3%
UPS SALES, ALL INDIA,URBAN
Growth Household Businesses2012-13 over 2011-12 +04% -01%2011-12 over 2010-11 +06% +11%2010-11 over 2009-10 +10% -15%
UPS
sal
es ,
units
(i
n m
illio
n)
WHAT LIES IN FUTURE
10
38
FORECAST, ALL INDIA,URBAN
Total Sales (in million)
2013-14 2012-13 % Growth
Desktops 6.99 6.77 +03%
Notebooks 5.12 4.40 +16%
Total PC 12.11 11.17 +08%
39
Total Sales (in million)2013-14 2012-13 % Growth
Dot Matrix Printer 0.19 0.27 -30%
Ink Jet Printer 1.05 1.08 -03%
Laser Jet Printer 1.82 1.57 +22%
Total Printer sales 2.96 2.93 +05%
FORECAST, ALL INDIA,URBAN
40
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