shenggen fan, director of ifpri gfpr 2013

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Shenggen Fan, Director of IFPRI GFPR 2013

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Page 1: Shenggen Fan, Director of IFPRI GFPR 2013

To be revised

Page 2: Shenggen Fan, Director of IFPRI GFPR 2013

No room for complacency

• Fairly stable global food prices until Jan. 2014

• But trends vary by country and region

• Rising prices of high-value foods in China and India

Page 3: Shenggen Fan, Director of IFPRI GFPR 2013

Nutrition gets the spotlight

• Increased investments – G8 Nutrition for Growth Summit

• Expansion of New Alliance for Food Security and Nutrition – 10 African countries incl. Senegal

• Bigger momentum of SUN Movement – 30 African countries incl. Senegal

• New evidence – The Lancet Series

Page 4: Shenggen Fan, Director of IFPRI GFPR 2013

Post-2015 agenda and SDGs gain traction

• Recognition of linkages among development outcomes

• BUT lack of consensus on agriculture, food, and nutrition goals

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Page 5: Shenggen Fan, Director of IFPRI GFPR 2013

Regional and national developments• South Asia: Strategic actions for ensuring food security and adapting to climate

change; India’s Right to Food Act

• Central Asia & Russia: New reforms incl. improve agricultural productivity, agribusiness competitiveness, and trade

• Middle East & North Africa: Impressive food policies incl. land reform, open data initiative

• Africa: Development of Science Agenda for Agriculture in Africa; CAADP is 10; Senegal is one of 7 countries that surpassed the 10% target in most years

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Page 6: Shenggen Fan, Director of IFPRI GFPR 2013

Agricultural growth• More than 6% per year in Ethiopia and Nigeria since 2000

Urbanization • 60% of total food consumed by urban dwellers

Diet diversification• Significant shift towards high-value and processed foods

Food supply chain transformation• 10’s of 1000s of SMEs investing in trucking, wholesale, storage,

processing, and retail

The agri-food system is transforming in Africa

Source: Keizire-Blackie 2013; Reardon et al. 2013

Page 7: Shenggen Fan, Director of IFPRI GFPR 2013

End hunger and undernutrition by 2025

For ethical and economic reasons

BUT governments and donors must devote sufficient resources and implement appropriate polices

African Union committed to this goal

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Page 8: Shenggen Fan, Director of IFPRI GFPR 2013

The right strategies can speed up progress

Page 9: Shenggen Fan, Director of IFPRI GFPR 2013

Sustainable agricultural intensification• Nitrogen-use efficiency can improve global rice yields by 20%

New technologies in and outside of agriculture• Higher investments in agricultural R&D boost productivity

• Access to SMS Text increases farmgate prices for maize by 13% in Ghana

Effective social safety nets• Context-specific cash transfers increase caloric acquisition by

20% in Uganda

A comprehensive approach is crucial

Page 10: Shenggen Fan, Director of IFPRI GFPR 2013

Moving forward

Post-2015 agenda needs• People-focused goals with clear targets and timelines

• Comprehensive data and metrics

• Partnerships among all stakeholders

• Strong accountabil ity

• Country-led strategies are crucial for success

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Page 11: Shenggen Fan, Director of IFPRI GFPR 2013

Mixed progress

• 4% per year reduction in child stunting (1992-2012)

• 0.1% per year reduction in undernourishment (1992-2013)

To accelerate pace of reduction

• Enhance public investment in agric. R&D and extension

• Tailor strategies to different types of smallholders

• Expand investment in nutrition-specific interventions (e.g. micronutrient supplementation)

• Scale up affordable, productive safety nets

Senegal has a key role to play

Source: SUN movement 2012; Fan et al. 2013; FAO 2013; WDI 2013

Page 12: Shenggen Fan, Director of IFPRI GFPR 2013

“It always seems impossible until it's done”

- Nelson Mandela