tnk-bp investor presentation april 2010. 2 2 important notice these materials include statements...
TRANSCRIPT
TNK-BPInvestor PresentationApril 2010
2
2
Important noticeThese materials include statements that are, or may be deemed to be, ‘‘forward-looking statements’’. These forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology, including, but not limited to, the terms ‘‘believes’’, ‘‘estimates’’, ‘‘anticipates’’, ‘‘expects’’, ‘‘intends’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘target’’, ‘‘will’’, or ‘‘should’’ or, in each case, their negative or other variations or comparable terminology or by discussions of strategy, plans, objectives, goals, future events or intentions. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts. They include, but are not limited to, statements regarding the intentions, beliefs and statements of current expectations of TNK-BP International Limited and its subsidiaries (“TNK-BP”) concerning, amongst other things, TNK-BP’s results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth, potential acquisitions, strategies and as to the industries and locations in which TNK-BP operates. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to future events and circumstances that may or may not occur. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and the actual results of TNK-BP's operations, financial condition and liquidity and the development of the country, regions, political environment and industries in which TNK-BP operates may differ materially from those described in, or suggested by, the forward-looking statements contained in these materials. TNK-BP does not intend, and does not assume any obligation, to update or revise any forward-looking statements or information set out in these materials, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. TNK-BP does not make any representation, warranty or prediction that the results anticipated by such forward-looking statements will be achieved.
These materials contain reserves data for TNK-BP which has been extracted without material adjustment from the Reserves Reports prepared for TNK-BP by independent petroleum engineers using three different methods. These methods include the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") standards, the U.S. Society of Petroleum Engineers, Inc. ("SPE") standards and a variation of the SEC standards pursuant to which reserves are calculated through the economic life of the fields ("SEC-LOF"). The SEC-LOF standards differ in certain material respects from the SEC standards and the SPE standards. Unless otherwise indicated reserves data contained in these materials are based on the SEC-LOF standards as in effect on the date of the Reserve Report from which such data has been extracted. The SEC has adopted significant revisions to the SEC standards on oil and gas reporting, which became effective on 1 January 2010. The main revisions that may have an impact on TNK-BP’s reserve quantities relate to the use of a 12-month average price to estimate reserves rather than the price on the last day of the year and to the use of new technology and the enlargement of the areas for which reserves may be determined.
These materials do not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or acquire any securities in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity. No part of these materials, nor the fact of its distribution, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever.
These materials may not be forwarded, distributed or reproduced in whole or in part, in any manner whatsoever, without TNK-BP’s express consent.
3
3
1. Company introduction
2. Corporate governance
3. Business update
– Performance highlights
– Upstream
– Gas
– Downstream
4. Financial overview
5. 2010 outlook
Table of contents
Company introduction
5
5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
Rosnef
t
Lukoi
l
TNK-BP
Surgu
tnef
tega
s
Gazpr
om N
eft
Tatne
ft
Slavn
eft
Russn
eft
Bashne
ft
mmbpd
TNK-BP – one of the leading oil companies globally
• Ranks in the top ten private oil producers in the world
• Third largest oil company in Russia
• 2009 liquids production 1,489 mbpd*
Source: EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook, April 2009, daily liquids production in 2009
Russia leads global oil production TNK-BP 3rd largest oil producer in Russia
Source: CDU TEK, TNK-BP data, daily liquids production in 2009 without JVs
* All TNK-BP data on reserves and production in this presentation are shown without Slavneft unless otherwise stated
0
5
10
Russi
a US
Saudi A
rabi
a
China Ira
n
Canad
a
Mex
ico
mmbpd
6
6
East Siberia
Reserves: 1.9bn boe
West Siberia
Reserves: 18.3bn boe
Yamal (early development)
Reserves*: 5.8bn boe
Orenburg
Reserves: 2.4bn boe
Refineries
Greenfield projects
YANOS refinery, 50/50 ownedwith Gazprom Neft
TNK-BP at a glance
Liquids
Reserves: 27.4bn boe
Production: 1,489 mbpd
Gas
Reserves: 3.4bn boe
Sales: 12.1 bcm
Refining
Throughput: 675 mbpd
Refining cover: 42%
Retail
1,466 sites under BP and TNK brands
EBITDA
2009 – $9.0bn
2008 – $10.1bn
2007 - $9.6bn
Financials
Net income
2009 – $5.0bn
2008 – $5.3bn
2007 – $5.3bn
2009 operations
3P reserves as of 31 Dec 2009 *Incl. Rospan
Brownfield projects
7
7
13
1.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
BP
Exxon
Rosnef
t
Chevro
nShel
l
TNK-BP
ConocoTota
lENI
Stato
il
Repso
lOM
V
Liq
uid
s p
rod
uct
ion
, mm
bp
d
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Res
erve
life
ind
ex (
RL
I), y
ears
Strong competitive positionWorld class F&D costs vs RRRAmong top companies in production and RLI globally
One of the leaders in oil & gas production growth among Russian vertically integrated majors in 2009
Source: UBS Global Integrated Oil & Gas Analyser, 2009Production FY 2009 estimate. Reserve life based on 2008 disclosure and SEC data
Source: CDU TEK, TNK-BP data, daily liquids production in 2009 without JVs
Source: company reports, TNK-BP data
TNK-BP
Rosneft
Gazprom Neft
BPChevron
Conoco Phillips
Exxon Mobil
R&D Shell
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
3Y average F&D costs (2007-2009), $/boe
3Y a
vera
ge
org
anic
RR
R (
2007
-200
9)
-4%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
Rosneft TNK-BP Lukoil Tatneft Gazprom Neft Surgutneftegas
8
8
Corporate governance
• Sustain world class business practices and systems
• Promote business ethics and standards
• Increase transparency
• Run a sustainable business that withstands cycles
Monetize our gas portfolioEnhance marginsConvert resources
to reserves to production
• Increase contribution of gas sales
• Exploit significant gas and associated gas resources
• Extend the value chain to end consumers
• Develop gas-to-power
• Pursue strategic partnerships
• Pursue unconventional opportunities
• Optimise refining coverage
• Grow marketing coverage
• Grow in B2B
• Optimize product flow
• Utilise competitive logistics
• Replace a minimum of 100% of our annual production with new reserves
• Innovate and apply new technology
• Sustain production efficiency at brownfields
• Effectively develop new greenfields
• Acquire new subsoil licenses
• Expand international footprint
• Pursue inorganic opportunities
Become a world class oil and gas group, an industry leader in Russia with a clear focus on the sustainability and renewal of its resources and the efficiency of its operations
Inspirational leadership and a dedicated team of international and national professionals
Best-in-class technology to achieve operational efficiency with no damage to people and the environment
Corporate strategy – priorities and goals
9
9
TNK-BP corporate structure1
50%
Upstream Refining Marketing
95%
c.50%
TNK-BP Ltd (BVI)
50%
63%
STBP Holdings Ltd.
100%
RUSIAPetroleum
Slavneft
(JV withGazprom Neft)
TNK-BP Finance S.A. (Luxembourg)
100%
Lisichansk Refinery
(UKRAINE)
c.95%
Alfa, Access/Renova B P
100%
TNK-BP Holding
TNK-BP Management
100%East Siberia Gas
Company
50%
TNK-BP Commerce (UKRAINE)
TNK-BP International Ltd (BVI)
100%
Note: Showing principal holding and operating companies
Corporate governance
11
11
• 11 members - 4 representatives each from BP and AAR plus 3 independent directors• Approves major transactions and key strategic decisions• Key functions: provides strategic directions, reviews strategy and performance of TNK-BP• 3 Board Committees: Audit, Compensation and HSE Committee
11
New Shareholder Agreement
Board of Directors
CEO and Management Board
• Signed in January 2009• Maintains 50:50 ownership structure of TNK-BP Group• Defines the management and financial framework• Includes dead-lock resolution mechanism
• BP nominates the CEO, subject to the Board of Directors unanimous approval• CEO heads the Management Board; personal authority of CEO expanded • Key functions: responsible for TNK-BP’s day-to-day management
Boards of Directors at key subsidiaries
• Boards of Directors at key TNK-BP subsidiaries to have equal number of representatives from BP and AAR and will also have an independent director
• Enhances shareholder governance and prevents deadlock
Financial framework • Target gearing range of 25-35% • Quarterly dividends of not less than 40% of TNK-BP’s net income
Corporate governance update
12
12
Board of Directors
Mikhail FridmanChairman
Alfa Group
Mikhail FridmanChairman
Alfa Group
Lord Robertson of Port Ellen
Deputy Chairman
Lord Robertson of Port Ellen
Deputy Chairman
Viktor VekselbergChairman, Renova Group
Viktor VekselbergChairman, Renova Group
Gerhard SchroederChairman of the Shareholders’ Committee of Nord Stream AG
Gerhard SchroederChairman of the Shareholders’ Committee of Nord Stream AG
Alexander ShokhinPresident of the Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs
Alexander ShokhinPresident of the Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs
James LengEuropean Chairman, AEA (an American
private equity partnership)Board member of a number of other
international companies
James LengEuropean Chairman, AEA (an American
private equity partnership)Board member of a number of other
international companies
representatives of AAR
representatives of BP
independent directors
Iain MacdonaldDeputy CFO, BP
Iain MacdonaldDeputy CFO, BP
David PeattieExecutive Vice President for Russia and
Kazakhstan, BP
David PeattieExecutive Vice President for Russia and
Kazakhstan, BP
Andy InglisChief Executive of Upstream Business,
BP
Andy InglisChief Executive of Upstream Business,
BP
Len Blavatnik Chairman, Access Industries
Len Blavatnik Chairman, Access Industries
Alex KnasterChairman of Pamplona Capital
Management, Alfa Group
Alex KnasterChairman of Pamplona Capital
Management, Alfa Group
13
13
Management structure
members of the Management Board
CFOJ. MuirCFO
J. Muir
Deputy Executive Director,
Gas business development
A. Ferguson
Deputy Executive Director,
Gas business development
A. Ferguson
EVP Upstream
S. Brezitsky
EVP Upstream
S. Brezitsky
Executive Director, EVP Downstream
D. Baudrand
Executive Director, EVP Downstream
D. Baudrand
EVPTechnology
F. Sommer
EVPTechnology
F. Sommer
EVPSupport Services
A. Tyomkin
EVPSupport Services
A. Tyomkin
EVPStrategy
& BusinessDevelopment
S. Miroshnik
EVPStrategy
& BusinessDevelopment
S. Miroshnik
Chief Legal
Counsel
I. Maydannik
Chief Legal
Counsel
I. Maydannik
CEOInterim
M. Fridman
CEOInterim
M. Fridman
Executive DirectorG. Khan
Executive DirectorG. Khan
СООB. Schrader
СООB. Schrader
Executive DirectorV. Vekselberg
Executive DirectorV. Vekselberg
Deputy CEOM. Barsky*
Deputy CEOM. Barsky*
*M. Barsky to become CEO effective 1 January 2011
Business update Performance highlights
Upstream
Gas
Downstream
15
15
Improving business environment
• Oil price recovered from early 2009– Urals at $36/bbl at end 2008 and $77/bbl at end 2009
• Inflation diminished– 8.8% during 2009 vs 13.3% during 2008
• Forex weakened (with a positive effect on costs)– RUR / USD average 32 for 2009 vs 25 for 2008
Macro environment
Licences
Fiscal
• Corporate income tax rate reduced from 24% to 20% effective 1 Jan 2009
• Export duty calculation methodology changed effective 1 Dec 2008, reducing duty lag effect
• Export duty suspended for oil generated from 22 East Siberian fields (including Verkhnechonskoe, Suzun, Tagul) effective Jan 2010
• Non taxable threshold for mineral extraction tax (MET) up from $9 to $15 per barrel from 1 Jan 2009
• MET holidays introduced to encourage development of new fields in East Siberia, Yamal-Nenets Autonomous District
• Accelerated VAT refund effective from 2010 – positive for working capital
•Renewal: 24 licenses extended during 2008 and 2009
•Accessibility: 10 licenses acquired in federal auctions during 2008 and 2009
16
16
Operations
• HSE: continued improvements in safety metrics and spill rates
- 2009 fatalities lower by 62%, DAFWC down by 26% and spills by 11% relative to 2008
• Reserves: record reserve replacement under PRMS
- 329% total proved reserves reserve replacement ratio (RRR) under PRMS
- 177% total proved RRR under SEC LOF
• Production: continued growth to record production
- 2.9% growth vs 2008 with 9 consecutive quarters of production growth
- average annual growth rate of 5% since 2004
- new production areas commenced on time
• Costs: reduced to 2007 levels
• Exploration: 74% success rate
Financial
• Full investment grade ratings from S&P, Moody’s and Fitch
• EBITDA: $9.0bn; Net Income: $5.0bn
Portfolio
• Selective expansion in retail markets and sale of oilfield services business
2009 performance highlights
17
17
HSE - “the best run companies tend to be the cleanest and the safest”
• Legacy land remediation
– 2,776 hectares of polluted land remediated to end 2009
• Pipeline integrity
– $1bn invested in 2004-2009, with 3,600 kilometres of pipelines reconstructed, resulting in a significant reduction of oil spills
Environment Health and safety
• Occupational safety
– significant reduction in Days Away From Work Cases (DAFWC)
• Transportation safety
– the most significant health and safety risk
– significant reduction in vehicle accident rates
Spill rate: 12 months rolling average,# of spills per ‘000 tonnes produced
DAFWC rate: 12 months rolling average, per 200,000 man-hours
0.04
0.11
OGP Top QuartileOGP 2008 Average
TNK-BP
0.160.14
0.09
0.07
2006 2007 2008 2009
0,09
0,050,04 0,03
0.00
0.05
0.10
2006 2007 2008 2009
0.09
0.050.04 0.03
2006 2007 2008
Spill rate down by two-thirds
Business update Performance highlights
Upstream
Gas
Downstream
19
19
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Proved 2P 3P
bn boe
Reserve life19 years
Reserve life> 50 years
Reserve life> 30 years
ProvedProved Proved
Probable Probable
Possible
19
Extensive resource base
Reserve Replacement RatioResource base at YE2009 (PRMS)
258% organic reserve replacement ratio (PRMS)2007-2009 average. 3-year average reserve replacement ratio on SEC-LOF basis 146%
73% exploration success rate2007-2009 average
$3.6 finding & development (F&D) costs per barrel2007-2009 average. $2.2/boe in 2009
11.7 billion barrels of proved reserves and with 19 years reserves life (PRMS)As at end 2009. SEC-LOF reserves of 8.6 billion barrels and 14 years reserve life
104125
156
297
146
329
127149
129
179
82
177
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
%
PRMS SEC LOF
20
20
Samotlor
Other West Siberia fields
3P Reserves: 4.8bn boe
2009 prod’n: 295 mbpdMoscow
Orenburg
Nizhnevartovsk
Nyagan
Novosibirsk
Brownfield asset base
Orenburg fields
3P Reserves: 2.4bn boe
2009 prod’n: 378 mbpd
Novosibirsk fields
3P Reserves: 0.1bn boe
2009 prod’n: 38 mbpd
Samotlor field
3P Reserves: 7.6bn boe
2009 prod’n: 573 mbpd
Nyagan fields
3P Reserves: 4.7bn boe
2009 prod’n: 89 mbpd
21
21
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Brownfields
Orenburgneft(Volga-Urals)60-70 years old fields
Samotlor andother brownfields(West Siberia)40 years old fields
• Brownfield production maintained broadly flat through application of select new technology and processes
• Base production decline rate decreased by 1% in 2009 and 4% since 2007
• Samotlor
– delivers 39% of total liquids production
– will remain a reliable producer going forward
– 3P reserves of 7.6bn boe
• Orenburg
– delivers 26% of total liquids production
– 3P reserves of 2.4bn boe
– outstanding growth of 6% in 2009
mboed
Sustaining brownfield production
22
22
Astrakhan
Uvat
Rospan
RusskoeTagul
Suzun
Messoyakha*
Timan-Pechora
Verkhnechonskoye
Greenfields: foundation for production growth
Projects at phase of commercial production
Greenfield projects under development
Gas project
Further exploration focus areas
Verkhnechonskoye3P Reserves: 1.9bn boe
Start-up: 2008
2009 prod’n: 24 mbpd
Uvat 3P Reserves: 1.2bn boe
Start-up: 2009
2009 prod’n: 41 mbpd
Yamal projects3P Reserves: 3.1bn boe
Start-up: 2012-2014
*Messoyakha (3P reserves - 1.8bn boe) is owned by Slavneft, a 50/50 JV between TNK-BP and Gazprom neft
Kamennoye
Kamennoye3P Reserves: 2.4bn boe
Start-up: 2009 (north)
2009 prod’n: 39 mbpd
23
23
Producing greenfields: Verkhnechonskoye• Largest oil field in East Siberia though discovered in 1978, developed in partnership with Rosneft
• 3P reserves c.1.9bn bbl
• 2009 production 24 mbpd
• Expected plateau production - 125 mbpd by 2014
• Total Capex to end 2009 of $1.4bn
• Tax incentives currently apply
Verkhnechonskoye
Verkhnechoskoye and ESPO pipeline
Wells completed Oil productionSource: Reuters
Oil production and wells completed in Verkhnechonskoye
(‘000 tonnes) (# wells)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
2007 2008 2009
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
24
24
Producing greenfields: Uvat• 21 fields in 15 license plots in the south of Tyumen
region, West Siberia, some 700 km away from Tyumen city
– Eastern Hub: a new production centre launched in 2009 with 41 mbpd produced at Urnenskoye and Ust-Tegusskoye fields
– Central Uvat: pilot production commenced at Tyamkinskoye field in 2010
• Development partly financed with government grants as the project stimulates industrial development of the region and creates jobs
• Total Capex to end 2009 of $1.9bn
25
25
25
Yamal - a major new production area for TNK-BP and Russia
• Oil and gas province of global significance
• Next generation of projects which have the potential to account for a significant amount of our output in the future
• Development currently enjoys mineral extraction tax holidays and some fields are temporarily exempt from export duty
• Transportation infrastructure key for effective development
Yamal projects3P resources,
bn boePotential year of first production
Suzun 0.1 2013
Tagul 0.9 2014-2015
Russkoe 2.1 2015
Messoyakha, 50% 0.9 2020
Total 4.0
Business update Performance highlights
Upstream
Gas
Downstream
27
27
Strategy: monetize our gas portfolio
• Increase contribution of gas sales
• Exploit significant gas and associated gas resources
• Extend the value chain to end consumers
• Develop gas-to-power
• Pursue strategic partnerships
• Pursue unconventional opportunities
Gas business development
Gas sales and APG utilisation rate
Natural gas
• Rospan: 3P gas reserves of 1.4bn boe, 2009 gas sales 2.4 bcm
• Nizhnevartovsk gas caps
Associated petroleum gas
• Over $1.2bn investments planned for 2010-2012 to increase APG utilisation at brownfields to 95% by 2012
• Associated gas processing JV with Sibur• Orenburg integrated project
• Plan to invest over $700mln in development of power generation projects in 2010-2012
• Construction of power generation facilities launched at Verkhnechonskoye, Kamennoye, Van-Eganskoye, Bahilovskoye and Samotlor fields
• JV with OGK-1 in Nizhnevartovsk to secure long-term sales of gas and purchase electricity
Gas-to-power
2009 A 2008 A
Total gas sales (excl. JV) 12.1 11.3
APG utilisation rate, % 84.8 79.6
Business update Performance highlights
Upstream
Gas
Downstream
29
29
Strong refining presence and an extensive marketing network
Nizhnevartovsk
Built in 1998
Capacity: 27 mbpd
Utilisation: 90%
Krasnoleninsk
Built in 1998
Capacity: 4 mbpd
Utilisation: 78%
YANOS (50%)
Modernised in 2006
Capacity: 300 mbpd
Conversion ratio: 63%
Light products output: 57%
Utilisation: 91%
Lisichansk
Modernised in 2008
Capacity: 144 mbpd
Conversion ratio: 69%
Light products output: 58%
Utilisation: 71%
Saratov
Modernised in 2004
Capacity: 132 mbpd
Conversion ratio: 68%
Light products output: 44%
Utilisation: 88%
1,466 retail sites
Moscow
Orenburg
Nizhnevartovsk
Nyagan
Novosibirsk
Retail sites
Refinery assets Ryazan
Modernised in 2006
Capacity: 323 mbpd
Conversion ratio: 63%
Light products output: 56%
Utilisation: 95%
30
30
661701 698 675
80%
90%
100%
2006 2007 2008 2009
0
200
400
600
800
mbpd
Refining throughput, mbpd Operating availability
• Total refining throughput of 675 mbpd in 2009
• Robust refining margins benefiting from fiscal regime
• Scheduled turnarounds at Ryazan and Saratov – incident free and completed ahead of schedule
• Operating availability of over 93%
Stable throughput and high operating availability
Refining• Continued modernization of refining portfolio to
produce fuel to meet European quality standards
• Over $2.0bn to be invested next 5 years to:
– ensure asset integrity
– enhance product quality
– maximize operational efficiency
Refining margins outperform other regions
Source: BP Trading Conditions Update, company data
$/bbl
2008 2009
TNK-BP
North West Europe
Europe Mediterranean
31
31
Continued retail expansion
• Inorganic activities in Russia, Belarus, Ukraine
• Launch of new fuels
• New range of products under TNK and BP brands
• B2B business expansion: jet fuels, bitumen, lubricants and marine fuel
Brand # of sites at 31 Dec 09
Company owned and operated sites
BP 64 TNK 805
Jobber sites 597
TNK-BP retail network in Russia, Ukraine and Belarus
Throughput per site
5348
11 1211 11
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2008 2009
Ave
rag
e th
rou
gh
pu
t p
er s
ite,
klp
d
0
5
10
15
20
25
Ret
ail
fuel
mar
gin
, c/
l
Average throughputper BP site (Russia)
Average throughputper TNK site
Indicativethroughput (Europe)
Financial overview
33
33
Highlights
• Efficient cost management – costs at early 2007 levels, despite transport and electricity tariffs up by 19% and 21% respectively
• Improved tax environment – tax benefits from legislation changes
• Strong liquidity – healthy cash balances and continued access to debt markets
• Robust financial profile– gearing towards bottom range due to strong free cash flows
• Efficient debt management– $1.3bn of debt repaid prior to maturity during 2009
9.0 EBITDA
34.8 REVENUES
5.0 NET INCOME
2009 financial performance highlights, $bn
34
34
Business environmentSignificant price improvement during 2009:
• Range: $36/bbl to $77/bbl
• Average: $61/bbl
• Duty lag benefit higher by $3.5/bbl
2009 overall weaker than 2008:
• Urals lower by 36% ($34/bbl)
Positive impact of forex in 2009:
• RuR/$ weakened from 25 to 32
• Cost benefits partly offset by negative effect on domestic sales and working capital conversion
Price
30
50
70
90
110
130
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
$/bbl
Urals Duty Reference Price
2008
2009
duty lag +$0.9$/bbl
duty lag +$4.4$/bbl
Exchange rates (Average)
20
25
30
35
40
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
RUR/USD
2009
2008
35
35
35
Costs
• Forex benefit: $0.5bn
• Forex benefit partly offset by tariff increase of c.19%
• Costs flat overall
• Forex benefit: $1.3bn
• Small net inflationary increase
• $0.5bn of real reductions resulting from cost management initiatives
Transportation
3.13.22
4
2008 Forex Tariff Volume 2009
$bn
Opex & SG&A
5.47.1
4
8
2008 Forex Inflation Savings 2009
$bn
36
36
Taxes
Taxes other than Income Tax lower by 47%:
• Urals price: causes 40% reduction in Export duties and MET ($10.8bn)
• Legislation: increased MET threshold and depleted fields relief benefits - further $0.9bn of savings
Income tax lower by 35%:
• Taxable profits: lower in 2009
• Legislation: 4% rate reduction - benefit of $0.3bn
Taxes other than Income Tax
14.4
27.1
-
15
30
2008 Price Duty lag Taxlegislation
2009
$bn
Income Tax
1.5
2.3
-
2.5
2008 Taxableprofit
Taxlegislation
Other 2009
$bn
37
37
Net Income
Legislation:
• MET and Income Tax benefits
Environment:
• Price: Urals down $34/bbl (-36%)
• Duty lag: positive effect of $3.5/bbl
• Forex: cost benefits from weaker RuRPerformance:
• Operations: - Volume: +48 mboed (excl. Slavneft) - Cost reduction initiatives
• OFS: divestment gain
5.05.33
6
2008 Price -Market
Price -Duty lag
Forex Taxlegislation
Operations OFS Other 2009
$bn
38
38
Strong cash flows
• Operations: strong pre-tax inflows of $22.4bn from operations and working capital management
• Taxes: total $16bn paid
• Capex: $2.5bn of organic investments
• Debt: $2.8bn repaid with $1.8bn of new debt raised
• Dividends: $3.5bn paid in respect of 2H08 and 9M09 earnings
$bn
Organic Capex
Operations
Dividends
Taxes
12
24
Sources Uses
Acquisitions
Net Debt repayment
39
39
Prudent financial strategy
• Maintain gearing within a range of 25% to 35%Narrowed from the previous 25-50% starting from Jan 2009
• Maintain financial ratios in line with strong investment grade companies
• Maintain investment grade credit ratings
• Dividends of 40% min of Net Income
Financialframework
Debt strategy
• Maintain average life of debt portfolio at 4-5 yearsReflecting investment project cash generation profiles
• Maintain the right fixed / floating ratioBy balancing between bonds and bank financing
• Maintain a smooth repayment profile
• Keep debt portfolio largely unsecured
• Maintain proper currency of debt
• Broaden investor base
Focused on supporting the Group’s growth while minimising financial risks and maintaining a
strong balance sheet with adequate liquidity and financial flexibility
40
40
Debt and Gearing
YE 2003 YE 2008 YE 2009
Fixed / Floating46% / 54%
66% / 34%
66% / 34%
USD denominated 62% 97% 96%
LT / ST debt68% / 32%
76% / 24%
77% / 23%
Unsecured / Secured
51% / 49%
89% / 11%
93% / 7%
Average life 2.9 years 4.7 years 4.0 years
Debt portfolio characteristics
• Average life of debt portfolio maintained within 4-5 years target
• Debt portfolio largely unsecured and US dollar denominated
• Active cash management with $1.3bn of debt repaid prior to its maturity in 2009
• Continued access to debt markets with $1.8bn of new debt raised in 2009
• $1bn Eurobond issued in January 2010, with $210mln of short-term debt pre-repaid during 1Q 2010 using Eurobond proceeds
• Year end 2009 gearing at 28%, within 25%-35% band set forth by the Shareholder Agreement
Gearing
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
31.12.08 31.03.09 30.06.09 30.09.09 31.12.09
41
41
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Bank debt Eurobonds Other
$bn
Liquidity Management
• Maintaining ample liquidity reserve to cover c. 3 quarters of scheduled debt repayments:
– cash balances of at least $0.5bn
– undrawn committed lines of up to $0.5bn
Debt maturity profile as of 31 December 2009
Cash and cash equivalents
• Smooth debt repayment profile
$bn Strong liquidity
0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
31.12.08 31.03.09 30.06.09 30.09.09 31.12.09
42
42
YE2002 YE2003 YE2004 YE2005 YE2006 YE2007 YE2008 1H2009 Dec2009
S&P Fitch Moody's
42
Investment grade credit ratingsCredit Ratings of TNK-BP International
BB
B+
BB-
BB
BB+
Baa2Baa2
Ba2
BB
BB+
BBB-Investment grade
BBB-
Ba1
• Investment grade ratings from S&P (BBB-), Moody’s (Baa2) and Fitch (BBB-)
• Ratings upgrade: to BB+ by S&P in May 2009 and further to BBB- in December 2009
• Financial metrics consistently maintained in line with strong investment grade companies
Funds from operations / Net Debt (%)
EBITDA / interest expense (x)
Net Debt / EBITDA (x)
0.0
0.7
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
0.7x average for AA*
0
10
20
30
40
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
17.3x average for AA*
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
98% average for AA*
* S&P average for EMEA industrials, 2006-2008
2010 outlook
44
44
2010 outlook
Operations
• $4.4bn Capex approved by the Board
• Continued production growth (1-2%)
• Further development of Greenfields, including Yamal
• Cost focus – particularly energy efficiency
• Refinery upgrades to improve fuel quality
Portfolio
• Selective M&A opportunities
Financing
• Continuous optimization of debt portfolio
Governance
• M. Barsky to assume a deputy CEO role from mid 2010