transformation and development in a new … and development in a new environment november 28, 2013...
TRANSCRIPT
Transformation and Development in a
New Environment
November 28, 2013
China Life Insurance Company Limited
Agenda
Features of the Current Life Insurance
Industry in China Section I
Development Outlook of China’s Life
Insurance Industry Section II
Section III China Life’s Transformation &
Development Strategy
主要内容
Section I: Features of the Current Life
Insurance Industry in China
Over the past decade, the CAGR for premium income of China’s life insurance
industry was 24%, while Europe, the US and Japan’s CAGR was less than 7%. By
2012, China became the 5th largest life insurance market in the world.
Source: The China Insurance Yearbook and CIRC website. The annual premium data between 2003-2010 were recorded
before the implementation of the “No.2 Interpretation of Accounting Standards for Business Enterprises”
Feature I. Rapid Growth
4
872
10,501 9,958
59.7%
48.3%
28.9%
4.2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Life Insurance Premiums Growth Rate
RMB 100 mn Industry Premiums between 1999-2012
872
10,501 9,958 99.7% 98.2%
82.9% 77.2%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Premiums Top 6 Companies
Market Concentration
Top 6 Companies
99.7%
77.2%
Year 1999
Year 2012
Feature II. Relatively High Concentration
5 Source: The China Insurance Yearbook and Company annual reports and the CIRC website.
RMB 100 mn
Investment-oriented products emerged
in 2000, and have grown rapidly
In New
Premiums
2004 2012
85% 98%
In GWP 2000 2012
3% 80%
Feature III. Dominated by Investment-oriented
Products
6
85% 98%
3%
80%
0%20%40%
60%
80%
100%120%
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Percentage of Investment-oriented Products
Percentage in New Premiums Percentage in GWP
Short-term Participating
Endowment
Universal Life
Unit-Linked
Investment-
oriented
Products
Source: The China Insurance Yearbook and the CIRC website
81% 77% 77%
79%
74% 73% 71% 68%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Percentage of Single Premiums in First-year Premiums
Feature IV. High Percentage of Single Premiums
7
During 2004-2012,while the percentage of single premiums in
first-year premiums has fallen from 81% to 68%, it remains at
a high level.
Source: The China Insurance Yearbook and the CIRC website
2000, full liberalization of bancassurance led to its rapid development.
2004-2009 bancassurance CAGR reached 38%.
2004-2010 bancassurance contribution in new premiums rose from 37% to 70%.
2010-2012, CAGR fell to -6%, and the percentage of bancassurance in new
premiums fell to 56%.
Feature V. Bancassurance is the Dominant Channel
8
37% 38%
46%
65% 66% 70%
65%
56%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2004 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Percentage of Bancassurance FYP in Company FYP
Source: The China Insurance Yearbook and the CIRC website
9 Source:Company Internl Research
Items 1999 2000 2001 2002
JPY: bn % JPY: bn % JPY: bn % JPY: bn %
Expense
Spread 1,143.3 50.55% 999.9 48.80% 789.7 39.95% 703.9 33.57%
Mortality
Spread 2,517.7 111.32% 2,519.5 122.97% 2,706.7 136.93% 2,690.6 128.33%
Investment
Spread -1,399.3 -61.87% -1,470.6 -71.78% -1,519.8 -76.89% -1,297.8 -61.90%
Total 2,261.7 100% 2,048.8 100% 1,976.7 100% 2,096.7 100%
Three Sources of Surplus and Contribution of Japan’s Life Insurance Industry, 1999—2002
76% 90% 85%
100% 114%
87% 86% 90% 101%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Percentage of Investment Spread in Three Sources of
Surplus(China Life only)
Feature VI. Profits Mostly Driven by Investment
Spread
主要内容
Section II: Development Outlook of China’s
Life Insurance Industry*
Note:Mainland China
02000400060008000
10000120001400016000
2003200420052006200720082009201020112012
Density
AVERAGE
CHINA
JAPAN
GERMANY
FRANCE
UK
USA
As of the end of 2012, the penetration and density of China’s life insurance market (1.7% and
US $102.9) were substantially lower than the world average (3.69% and US $ 372.6), offering
great potential for development.
In 2012, China’s life insurance penetration was 7 percentage points lower than the UK and
Japan, 2 percentage points lower than the US and Germany. China’s life insurance density was
only 3% of that of the UK and Japan, and 5% of that of the US and France. China’s share in the
global life insurance market was 15 percentage points lower than the United States and Japan.
11
I. Still Has Great Potential for Development
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
% Penetration
USA
UK
FRANCE
GERMANY
JAPAN
CHINA
AVERAGE
Source: Sigma
US $
China’s GDP Growth Rate from 2013 to 2020 (Forecast)(%)
Steady economic growth has laid the foundation for the development
of China’s life insurance industry.
According to China’s “12th Five-Year Plan", the average annual GDP growth rate is
expected to reach 7% over the next five years.
Per capita disposable income of urban residents and per capita net income of rural
residents are expected to increase by more than 7% annually.
China will further promote economic transformation and gradually release “reform
dividends”.
12
II. Expected to Maintain Rapid Growth
Mid-to-Long-term Trend GDP
Source: the National Bureau of Statistics
On 5 August, 2013, the CIRC released measures on the adjustment of pricing rates of
insurance products(The last adjustment occurred on June 10, 1999).
One
deregulation
The CIRC removed pricing interest rate cap for traditional life policies. Life insurers are
expected to set product pricing interest rate prudently.
The Statutory reserve
valuation rates for traditional
life policies was lifted from
2.5% to 3.5%.
For pension and long-term (10
years and above) annuity
business, the statutory reserve
valuation rate cap was further
raised to 4.025%.
Changes in the cap of
agent commission rates.
Commission rates can be set
by insurers within the range
of expense loading.
Reduced minimum capital
requirement for pure risk
components. The minimum
capital requirement is determined
by risk category, instead of
insurance period previously.
13
Now Past
Health:0.24%
Death:0.15%
Accident:0.06%
Less than 3-year
term death:0.1%
3-5 year term death
0.15%
Others:0.3%
III. May Experience Structural Changes
Three Adjustments
Changes in market
players
Changes in premium
payment duration
There will be fewer participating products and more
fixed-income products in the market. Priority will be
given to protection products (pension, critical illness,
and medical insurance.)
Single premiums will decrease, whereas regular and
renewal premiums will gradually increase. Premium
payment duration will be lengthened.
Bank-affiliated insurers will maintain rapid
expansion with increased market share.
Changes in product
mix
14
III. May Experience Structural Changes
Government policies will facilitate the development of pension and health insurance products
CIRC and relevant government authorities started to
research on tax-deferred policy for pension insurance
2006
2007
2009
2010
2011
2012
By 2020, a social security system will be established to cover all Chinese citizens.
Accelerated the building of social security system that covers both urban and
rural residents
The government may purchase insurance services to further promote
the “New Rural Pension” Program
Laid down the guiding principle of “Coverage that is wide,
basic, multi-leveled and sustainable”
Proactively promoted commercial health insurance; improved supplementary medical insurance system; encouraged social capital to
establish nursing homes for the seniors;
Under the premise of fund security and effective supervision, the government can purchase medical care management services from
qualified insurers.
Allow qualified insurers to operate the Supplementary Major Medical Insurance
for urban and rural residents
2013
September, “Opinions on Accelerating the Development of Senior Citizens Service Industry”. Encourage senior service organizations
to buy liability insurance, seniors to buy health, long-term care and accident insurance; advance connection between commercial senior
insurance and senior service industry; encourage and support insurance funds to invest in senior citizens real estate and other senior
service sectors.
October, "Opinions on the Promotion of Health Services "Health insurance services should be further improved; variety of commercial
health insurance products should be enriched; the number of people covered by commercial health insurance should substantially
increase; the proportion of commercial health insurance premiums to overall health expenses should be significantly increased; a solid
health insurance regime should be established with support from fiscal policies and preferential tax.
The18th session of the CPC Central Committee: Tax exemption, deferred taxes and other incentives to accelerate the development of
enterprise annuity, occupational pension and commercial insurance, deepening medical and health system reform, accelerating
urbanization.
The 6th Plenary
Session of the 16th
Central Committee
The 17th National Congress
The State Council's " New Rural Pension"
pilot programs
Social Insurance Law
12th Five-year Plan
The six ministries,
“Guidance on
Supplementary Major
Medical Insurance for
Urban and Rural
Residents”
15
IV. Pension and Health Insurance Will Become Leading
Products in Life Insurance Industry
* According to CIRC regulation, critical illness
products belongs to health insurance
Pension Assets of Major Countries from 2002-2012
China’s pension
market lags far
behind
The per capita
long-term life
policy in China
is 0.1, far below
the average level
of 1.5 in
developed
countries
A promising
prospect for
China’s pension
insurance
16 Source: Global Pension Assets Study
China 181 2,078 2.52% 27.6%
Country Total Assets(USD 100 mn)
Proportion of pension
assets to GDP by the
end of 2012 (in local
currencies)
CAGR in the
past 10 years
2002 year end 2012 year end
AUSTRALIA 2,920 15,550 101% 18.2%
BRAZIL 530 3,400 14% 20.4%
CANADA 7,540 14,830 84% 7.0%
FRANCE 1,070 1,680 7% 4.6%
GERMANY 1,860 4,980 15% 10.3%
HONG KONG 270 1,040 40% 14.4%
IRELAND 340 1,130 55% 12.7%
JAPAN 22,890 37,210 62% 5.0%
NETHERLANDS 5,030 11,990 156% 9.1%
SOUTH AFRICA 730 2,520 64% 13.2%
SWITZERLAND 3,330 7,320 118% 8.2%
UK 1,120 27,360 112% 9.3%
USA 89,680 168,510 108% 6.5%
Total 147,400 297,540 78%1 7.3%
1.Calculated with all currencies converted to USD
IV. Pension and Health Insurance Will Become Leading
Products in Life Insurance Industry
Compared to developed countries, China’s overall health expenses
to GDP ratio is substantially lower.
The Proportion of National Health Expenses to GDP and Government
Expenditure to National Health Expenses
A bright future
for China’s
health
insurance
17 Source: World Health Statistics
17.6
9.6 11.4 11.7 11.5 9.2 5.0
48.2
83.2
71.1 76.9 76.8
80.3
54.3
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
USA UK CANADA FRANCE GERMANY JAPAN CHINA
Health Expenses/GDP Government Expenditure on Health Care/Health Expenses
(%)
IV. Pension and Health Insurance Will Become Leading
Products in Life Insurance Industry
8.2
14.8 12.9
10.1
3.5
40.8
1.2
7.2
14.9
23.8
10.3
3.5
40.6
1.5
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
UK CANADA AUSTRALIA GERMANY JAPAN USA CHINA
2009
2010
2011
Less than 2% of the medical expenses are covered by commercial
health insurance, lower than the average of developed countries and
the average of countries offering free medical services.
Percentage of Medical Expenses Covered by Commercial Health Insurance
A bright future
for China’s
health
insurance
18 Source: World Health Statistics
(%)
IV. Pension and Health Insurance Will Become Leading
Products in Life Insurance Industry
Supporting polices for
pension insurance
Encourage government to
purchase pension insurance
service
Insurance fund investment in
senior citizen real estate
and related services
Pilot launch of reverse mortgage
endowment products and progress
of tax deferred pension insurance
Supporting policies for
health insurance
Encourage government to purchase medical protection services
Entrust insurers to handle medical care management services
Encourage the development of commercial health insurance that is linked to basic medical insurance
Advance the progress of commercial insurers undertaking Supplementary Major Medical Insurance for urban and rural residents
19
IV. Pension and Health Insurance Will Become Leading
Products in Life Insurance Industry
In 2012, the trustee-administered funds amounted to
RMB 12.98 billion, premium income RMB 11.3
billion, compensation paid RMB 18 billion, and
claims and compensation paid over 34.7 million
person/times.
Annual commercial health insurance premium income
totaled RMB 86.3 billion and 29.8 billion was paid
for claims.
By the end of June 2013, nine insurance companies
are carrying out the Supplementary Major Medical
Insurance plan for urban and rural residents in the 84
regions across 21 provinces nationwide, covering
more than 200 million people. 20
Pension
insurance
Health
insurance
Undertake basic
pension program,
enterprise annuity
business and
individual pension
insurance products
In 2012, the insurance industry gained 18
qualifications for operating enterprise annuity.
Entrusted assets accounted for 70% of corporate
trustee services and investment management assets
accounted for 47% of market share.
Annual annuity insurance premiums totaled RMB
131.9 billion.
Participate in New
Rural Health Care
program, Basic
Medical Insurance for
Urban Residents, and
Supplementary Major
Medical Insurance that
is being rolled out
nationwide.
IV. Pension and Health Insurance Will Become Leading
Products in Life Insurance Industry
Investment channels for insurance funds have been fully liberalized
and asset allocation options further broadened
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Term deposits
Treasury bonds
Large state-owned
enterprises bonds
+ + + + + + + + Negotiated
Deposits
Mutual funds
Investment in
Affiliated
Enterprises
Before
1999
AA-rated
Corporate
Bonds
Stocks
Foreign
Currency
Investment
Infrastructure
Commercial Bank
Equity
Medium Term Note
Overseas
Investment
PE
Real estate
Trust
Unsecured Debt
Financial Derivatives
Fixed Income Alternative
Investments
Cash and
Equivalents Equities
Improve asset liability matching. Stabilize and enhance long-
term investment returns. Leader of cross-class investment
21
V. Insurance Asset Management Will Gradually Become The
Major Part of Life Insurance Business
22 Source: The China Insurance Yearbook and CIRC website
V. Insurance Asset Management Will Gradually Become The
Major Part of Life Insurance Business
Investment income not only was the main source of earnings,
but also had direct impact on business development
59.7%
31.1%
7.2%
14.0% 11.4%
21.9%
48.3%
11.0%
28.9%
6.9% 4.2%
3.1% 2.7% 2.9%
3.6%
5.8%
12.2%
1.9%
6.4%
4.8%
3.6% 3.4%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Industry Premium Growth Rate Industry Investment Yield
Infrastructure debt plan
Infrastructure equity plan
Local construction fund
Quasi-loan financial products
Deregulated overseas investment restrictions, foreign investment has
been extended to the money market, fixed income, equity and real
estate, and markets have been expanded from Hong Kong to 25
developed markets and 20 emerging markets. The overseas
investment quota has been raised from 2% to 15% of total assets.
China Insurance
Regulatory Commission
August 27, “Guiding
Opinions on Supporting
Economic Restructuring and
Transformation and
Upgrading of the Insurance
Industry”
23
V. Insurance Asset Management Will Gradually Become The
Major Part of Life Insurance Business
主要内容
Section III:China Life’s Transformation
& Development Strategy
From policy centered to customer centered
From premium-driven to value & efficiency-driven
From resource-driven to innovation-driven
From FYP-driven to Renewals-driven
From investment-oriented to protection-oriented while
offering diversified products
Operating Philosophy
I. China Life's Transformation and Development
25
Development Mode: From Equally Emphasizing on Scale & Value to
Prioritizing Value & Efficiency
Life Insurance Products
Operating Goals
Growth Pattern
Development Drivers
Focus on the development of long-
term regular payment business to
optimize business structure steadily.
Focus on the development of
traditional products, with moderate
development of investment-oriented
products.
Agents, bancassurance and group
insurance as the main sales channels,
actively expand into telemarketing,
internet sales and service counter
direct sales.
Align overall development goals
with individual growth targets to
achieve a rapid, coordinated and
sustainable business development.
II. Business Development Strategy
26
III. Product Development Trend
27
Short-term Participating
Universal
Unit-Linked
Enterprise
Individual
Term
Whole Life
Inpatient
Outpatient
Investment-oriented
Pension
Critical Illness
Health
With the most extensive
distribution network
across China, we have
established a flat and
specialized management
system in our branches.
After a period of rapid
growth, our sales force
and number of outlets in
agent channel, group
insurance channel,
bancassurance channel
and telemarketing
channel are growing
steadily.
Appendix I. Organization, Outlets and Personnel
29
Year 2012
Provincial Branches 36
City Level Branches 324
County Level Sub-branches 2,690
Field offices 17,960
Bancassurance outlets 96,000
Exclusive individual agents 693,000
Direct sales representatives 16,000
Bancassurance sales 46,000
Account managers 25,000
Financial advisors 21,000
Telemarketing agents 5,204
Employees 99,271
30
Appendix II. Organizational Chart
Pro
fit Cen
tre R
even
ue C
enter
Revenue Center
(Sales Unit)
Cost Center
(Non-sales Unit)
Agent Direct Sales Bancassurance Customer
Service Accounting …… Business
Processing
Service Counters
Headquarters
Provincial
Branches
City Level
Branches
County Level
Sub-branches
Business
Processing
Units after
provincial
centralization
(horizontal)
became cost
centers
All branches below city
level (include) became
revenue centers
All Service
Counters
became cost
control
centers
First-tier profit
center
Provincial Sales
Units(horizontal) became
revenue centers
Second-
tier profit
center
Each sales channel
(vertical)is a
revenue center
All Non-sales
Units(vertical)
are cost centers
Customer
Service Accounting
…… Business
Processing
Service Counters
1315
18989
38.3%
19.9%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
20000
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
Total Assets Growth Rate
Total Assets between 1996-2012 The Company has
maintained a rapid
growth of total assets.
By the end of September 2013,
the Company’s total assets
reached RMB 1.96 trillion.
Appendix III. Total Assets
Source: The China Insurance Yearbook and company annual reports 31
CAGR:25.1%
1996-2012
Increased 35 times in 16 years
RMB: 100 mn
32
192
3227 102.6%
1.4%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
GWP GWP Growth%
Gross Written Premiums between 1996-2012 The Company’s
gross written
premiums
continue to
grow rapidly.
Premium Income in 2012
RMB 322.7 billion
Appendix IV. Premium Income
Source: The China Insurance Yearbook and CIRC website
CAGR:19.3%
1996-2012
Increased 16 times in 16 years
RMB: 100 mn
33
65.6% 70.9%
32.2%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
Change in the Company’s Market Share between
1996-2012
The Company continues
to maintain its leading
position in spite of an
increased number of
competitors and
increasingly fierce
competition.
Number of Life Insurers
Year 1996 7
Year 2012 69
As of September 2013,
the Company’s market
share was 32.2%.
Appendix V. Market Share
Source: The China Insurance Yearbook and CIRC website
34
Appendix VI. Business Mix
2003-2013 Business Mix of China Life
70%
36%
23%
57%
8% 7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013.9
FYP of Long Term Policy Renewal Short-Term Policy
83% 66%
17%
34%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Single Premiums First Year Regular Premiums
42% 46% 45% 45%
50%
34% 40% 41%
52%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013.9
Percentage of 10 year or longer regular
premiums
2010- 2012 Premium Income by Channels (%)
Appendix VII. Premium Income from Channels
Note: Other channels mainly refer to telemarketing channel 35
47.3% 50.5% 55.7%
47.9% 45.4% 39.9%
4.3% 4.0% 4.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2010 2011 2012
Other
Direct Sales
Bancassurance
Agent
36
9.6
338.1
238.9
0
100
200
300
400
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013.9.30
Net Profits between 2004-2013.9
Appendix VIII. Net Profits
RMB: 100 mn