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THE TRUMPET WEEKLYO C T O B E R 2 0 , 2 0 1 2
Justice for Ft. Hood heroes 2
Dont take your eyes off Jerusalem 3
Germanys fiscal overlord demand 5
Scotland to break up the Union? 8
Shocking government waste 10
Britain Readying to Leave EuropeBY BRAD MACDONALD
see LEAVE page 12
E Britain joined the European Community in, the Trumpetand its predecessor have forecast thatBritain will one day remove itself fromor be tossed outofthe European Union.
Over the last few days, a momentous development thatwill hasten this event has occurred.
In short, for the first time in years senior politiciansfrom Britains major parties are now publicly makingovertly anti-European statements.
Te first to do so was Teresa May, Britains homesecretary and a rising star within the Conservative Party.May attacked the EU on two different occasions and ontwo separate issues in just the last week. On Sunday, PhillipHammond, Britains
defense secretary anda fellow Conservativepolitician, joined Mayin her assault on theEU by declaring thatits time for a resetof the Britain-Europerelationship.
Perhaps the mostsignificant declara-tion came from Mi-chael Gove, Britainseducation secretary
and also a Conserva-tive Party member.Mr. Gove revealedover the weekend thatif a referendum onBritains membershipin the EU was heldtomorrow, he would
vote for a Britishwithdrawal.
If youre unfa-miliar with British
politics, its important to note that each of these figures isa member of the Conservative Party, which is led by Prime
Minister David Cameron. Ever since Cameron took office,his government has successfully practiced a sweep-it-un-der-the-rug policy when it came to Britain leaving Europe.Of course, one of the reasons ignoring and avoiding theEurope question has been possible is that government lead-ers have remained aloof on the subject.
Until now.Peter Oborne, chief political commentator at the Tele-
graph,wrote an excellent piece explaining this develop-ment. Te importance of these remarks [from May, Ham-mond and Gove] cannot be overstated, he wrote.
Although many
people have criticizedEurope, B - M F . Eversince Mr. Foots hu-miliation in the general election, there
has been a consen-sus among all seniorpoliticians in all threemain parties thatBritains membershipof the EU, howeverirritating in practice,is a good thing inprinciple (emphasisadded throughout).
ANTHON Y ROSENBERG/SCIB AK /ISTOCK PHOTO
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OCTOBER 20, 20122THE TRUMPET WEEKLYEUGENE REGIS
MIDDLE EAST
Justice for Ft. HoodHeroesCaroline Glick | October 18
N , the day before the U.S.presidential elections, will be the
third anniversary of the massacre of U.S. soldiers at Ft. Hood by Islamicterrorist, U.S. Army Maj. Nidal MalikHasan.
Te Obama administration hasrefused to acknowledge that the attackwas a terrorist attack. Te Defense
Department has insisted on coveringup the nature of the attack. Te reportsit released following the attack failed tomention Hasans Islamic motivations.Still today the Defense Departmentinsists on defining the massacre as acase of workplace violence.
W soon be coming to Ethio-pia.In March of , at the height
of the political revolution in Egypt,Ethiopia announced that it wouldsoon start construction on a massivehydroelectric dam on the headwatersof the Nile River. Tis is an explosivedeclaration. Not only will this dam undoubtedly reduce theamount of water flowing into Sudan and Egypt for severalyears it is an existential threat to Egypt.
For Egypt, allowing Ethiopia to construct this dam issomewhat like Israel allowing Iran to build a nuclear bomb.
Egypt is nothing without the Nile. Almost percentof Egypts million inhabitants live along the Nile River.
It is literally the lifeblood ofthe country. It does morethan just support agricultureand industry; it providesthe water necessary to pushthe turbines at Egypts giantAswan Dam. Tis dam, oneof the biggest hydroelectricengineering feats of all time,helped transform modernEgypt into a Middle Easternsuperpower.
Due to colonial-era trea-ties between Egypt, Sudanand the United Kingdom,Egypt holds sole authority over the Nile Rivers waterfor-ever. Until recently, this meant that if any upstream nation(also former British protectorates/colonies at the time)wanted to use water from any tributary flowing into theNile, they had to seek Egyptian approval.
But now that may be about to change.Ethiopias Blue Nile River generates approximately
percent of the total water flowing into the Nile. Ethiopiacontends that it was not a signatory to the treaty, andthus it should not have to abide by a treaty that takes virtu-
ally percent of its water that flows into the Nile. TusEthiopia is leading the charge to rewrite the treaties.
More than leading the chargeit is now the first nation
to actively challenge Egypts monopoly on the Nile.In , Ethiopia, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda and anza-
nia signed an agreement rejecting Egypts claim to the Nileand formed a new partnership to redistribute the rivers
water more equitably.Ethiopias Grand Renaissance Dam is the first test of this
agreementand Egypts resolve. It is scheduled for comple-tion in three years, at which time large amounts of waterwill be withheld from the Nile. But perhaps even more im-portantly from Egypts perspective, if not stopped it couldherald a gold rush of other hydro-electric projects that willinevitably lead to increased agricultural projects within theregion. If Ethiopia succeeds, it will be the end of Egyptscontrol of the Nile. In water-limited Africa, that would bean unmitigated disaster for the land of the pharaohs.
What will Egypt do?According to intelligence agency Stratfor, Egypts most
likely response will be toreactivate and support proxymilitant groups hostile toEthiopia. Tere are at leasta dozen such armed groupsscattered across ethnicallydivided Ethiopia that areworking to overthrow thegovernment or carve outindependent regions. Egyptcould also use its allies in Er-itrea to destabilize Ethiopia.
Tis is exactly what ap-pears to be happening.On Monday, Ethiopia
announced that it had seized weapons and thousandsof rounds of ammunition being smuggled into the countryfrom Sudan. Te seizure comes just a month aer six exiledEthiopian opposition groups announced the formation ofarmed movements against the government. According toAfrica Review, armed opposition groups have recentlytaken up arms against the Ethiopian government.
Ethiopia may quickly be headed for civil warinstigatedby Egypt!
Will Egypt soon topple the Ethiopian government? Te
Bible says Egypt will be instrumental in bringing a radicalpolitical reorientation to Ethiopia. Watch while it happens.
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War Over the Nile River
ROBERT MORLEY
Egypts giant Aswan Dam spans the Nile River. One of the
biggest hydroelectric engineering feats of all time, it helpedtransform modern Egypt into a Middle Eastern superpower.
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o advance this fiction, the Defense
Department has refused to awardPurple Hearts to the families of thesoldiers murdered by Hasan, or tothose who were wounded in his attack.It has refused to compensate the fami-lies of those murdered or the survivorswho were incapacitated at the level theU.S. military compensates the familiesof soldiers killed in the line of dutyand soldiers wounded by enemy fire.
Tis year Congress tried to rectifythis obscenity by including Purple
Heart citations for Ft. Hood casualties
in the Defense Appropriations Act.Obama said he would veto the bill
(and thus deny the military funding)if they didnt remove the clause aboutthe medals. Tat is how far Obamais willing to go to keep up this fic-tion, cover up the existence of enemyforces within the U.S. military, denythe threat posed to the U.S. by radi-cal Islam, and in the process, punishand dishonor American soldiers whowere killed in the line of duty in an
act of war against the U.S. by a self-
proclaimed Soldier of Allah.Tere is no precedent in U.S. his-
tory for this sort of behavior by anAmerican president. None. Andthink about them, and the command-er in chief who refuses for ideologicalreasons to recognize what happenedthat day, and so dishonors them everysingle day. Tink about four moreyears of this reckless behavior if he isreelected the day aer the third an-niversary of the massacre .
Jerusalem Is the Focal Point
L , the Muslim Brotherhoodssupreme guide Mohammed Badiecalled on radical Islamists to use forceagainst the Zionist oppressors of Jeru-salem. Tis same group of radicals now
runs the nation of Egypt.Zionists only understand force, Ba-
die said in a public statement publishedOctober .Arabs cant achieve justicethrough the corridors of the United Nations or throughnegotiations, he said. Jerusalem is Islamic and nobodyis entitled to make concessions [on the Holy City].
Keep in mindthis hateful diatribe is coming from thespiritual adviser of Egypts new president, MohammadMorsi.
In ancient times, the king of the south was locatedjust south of Jerusalem in Egypt. In this end time, it willcomprise a conglomerate of nations much larger and
more powerful than ancient Egypt. And this group ofnations will be located south of the king of the north inEurope.
Gods Word says there will be a clash in this end timebetween the kings of the north and southRoman CatholicEuropeand the I! History, in other words,will repeat itself. Te Bible says radical Islam will aggres-sively push against Europe (Daniel :). Te Euro-beastwill then retaliate forcefully against the Islamic pushlikea whirlwind, it says. Aer that, the Bible says the Euro-pean superpower will enter J.
He shall stretch forth his hand also upon the countries:
and the land of Egypt shall not escape (verse ). Egyptwont escape because it will be firmly ensconced in theIranian camp. Tis prophecy in Daniel is why we knew,decadesago, that Egypt would eventually turn to radicalIslam. Tat has now happened.
Even the major media outlets have awakened to thesobering reality of an Islamist state in Egypt.
Americas spectacular foreign-policy blunders are lead-ing directly to what Jesus described in Matthew :: Forthen shall be great tribulation,
to this time, no, nor ever shall be.In verse , Jesus told us to heed to prophetic warn-
ings of the Prophet Daniel: When ye therefore shall seethe abomination of desolation, spoken of by Daniel the
prophet,stand in the holy place, (whoso readeth, let himunderstand:).
Now compare this verse with Luke :: And when ye
shall see J compassed with armies,then knowthat the desolationthereof is nigh. Jerusalem is the trigger!God calls these armies surrounding Jerusalem a desola-tion because, as it says in Daniel :, it is the abomina-tion that makesdesolate. It causes the desolation of manynations. God is talking about problems like weve neverseen before. It will get so bad that no flesh would be savedalive were it not for Christs intervention to put a stop to it(see verse and Matthew :-).
Tis is where the events we have been witnessing inthe past few years are leading. We are on a countdown!Tere is no turning back! It doesnt matter if America getsa new president this November. Its not going to roll back
the Islamic winter. Its not going to reset everything in theMiddle East to where staunchly pro-American dictatorshold back the tide of radical Islam.
Te dam has broken! America is in full-scale retreat.It took out Saddam and handed Iraq to Iran. Te surgein Afghanistan has failed. Te U.S. le Iranian protestorsisolated during the Green Revolution and then made thetragic mistake of enabling Islamic uprisings in Egypt andLibya. And it has totally abandoned Israelthe only Mid-east nation, by the way, where there never seems to be anyprotests outside the U.S. Embassy.
As Charles Krauthammer recently said, the jihadists in
the region are saying, Tis is our time. Tey know this istheir time. Te imperialist empire now forming in Europealso knows that this is its time.
And so, we had better watch Jerusalemclosely! Jeru-salem is the powder keg that will set off a world explosion.From now on, Herbert W. Armstrong wrote back in ,Jerusalem will be the focal point of world happenings.For more on this subject, make sure to readJerusalem inProphecy.
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STEPHEN FLURRY
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Netanyahu AgainOffers the GolanHeights to Syria?Daniel Pipes | October 14
S S reports in YediothAhronoththat in secret talks in via U.S. government mediator FredericC. Hof, Israels Prime Minister Ben-
jamin Netanyahu agreed in principleto a full withdrawal from the GolanHeights to the June , , lines inreturn for the expectation of Basharal-Assad cutting ties with Iran, andthat the nearly completed negotiationsended because of the anti-Assad upris-ing that began in January .
How plausible is this claim? Hereis a summary of the report publishedby Yedioth Ahronoth: According to
American sources, Netanyahu andBarak agreed to withdraw to the lines in exchange for a comprehen-sive peace deal that would include anIsraeli expectation for the severing ofties between Syria and Iran. However,the sources said, the burgeoning dealdid not include an explicit commit-ment by Assad to sever ties with theIslamic Republic.
Te report said the sides did notagree on a timeline for the Israeli
withdrawal: Syria wanted the agree-ment to be implemented within oneand a half to two years, while Israelasked for more time before pulling outof the region.
Yediothquoted a senior Americanofficial as saying that the negotiationswere serious and far-reaching andwould have likely ended with an agree-ment had they not been interrupted bythe uprising against Assad. Te officialestimated that Netanyahu resumed
the talks with Assad to justify thestalemate in the negotiations with thePalestinians and because he viewedSyria as the weak link in the so called
axis of evil, which also includes Iran,Lebanon and Hezbollah.
Yediothsaid U.S. President BarackObama and Vice President Joe Biden
were aware of the negotiations, as wereSecretary of State Hillary Clinton, Na-tional Security Adviser om Donilon,Ambassador to Israel Dan Shapiro andDennis Ross.
Netanyahus office replied to theYedioth Ahronothreport that Tis wasone of many initiatives proposed toIsrael over the years. Israel has neveraccepted that proposal. It is an old andirrelevant proposal. In contrast, theState Department partially endorsedthe report: Prior to the eruption of all
of the violence in Syria, there were ef-forts to try to support contacts betweenIsrael and Syrian officials. Tis was partof the mandate of George Mitchell.
TW I N B R I E F
n UN plans to send Europeantroops to SyriaTe new United Nations peace envoyto Syria is creating plans to send ,peacekeeping troops to Syria. Te
envoy, Algerian diplomat LakhdarBrahimi, reportedly considers African,Britain, American, Russian and Chi-nese forces and soldiers from neigh-boring Arab countries ill equipped forthe job for varying reasons. Tis leaves
just one region: Europe. Europeantroops are also seen as being mostfamiliar with the region. Brahimisplans tie directly into Bible prophecy.Trumpeteditor in chief Gerald Flurryhas predicted that Europe would soon
get very involved in Syria. Accordingto Bible prophecy, Syria will end upa German ally. Now Europe, includ-ing Germany, is the top candidate forleading a peacekeeping mission to thecountry. Te Bible also prophesiesthat European forces will be invitedin to Israel aspeacekeepers. Te same
criteria that make European troopsthe logical choice for Syria wouldcommend them equally well to Israel.Te arrival of European peacekeeperssurrounding Jerusalem is a key stepon the road to Christs return.
n Iran shows off naval powerIranian defense officials said Mondaythat Irans speedboats can fire anti-ship cruise missiles while traveling atspeeds faster than any other missileboat in the world. Earlier this year,
the Revolutionary Guard Corps saidthat Iran had thousands of speedboatsin their navy. All throughout theworld, Iran is the only country whichhas speed vessels with the ability offiring (rockets and missile) at highspeeds, Rear Admiral Ali Fadavisaid at the time. Te announcementcomes at the same time as Der Speigelreleased a report that Iran is consider-ing artificial ly inducing an environ-mental disaster in the Strait of Hor-
muz. Iran is considering the optionof artificially producing an enormousenvironmental disaster that wouldaffect the entire region, the Times ofIsraelreported. Irans RevolutionaryGuards have developed a secret planto intentionally cause an oil tanker tocontaminate the strategically impor-tant Strait of Hormuz. Whether ornot Iran actually implements the plan,clearly it is touting its naval strengthto the world.
EUROPE
France At Risk ofEconomic HurricaneTELEGRAPH | October 15
F sliding into a grave eco-nomic crisis and risks a full-blown
hurricane as investors flee rocket-ing tax rates, the countrys businessfederation has warned.
Te situation is very serious. Somebusiness leaders are in a state of quasi-panic, said Laurence Parisot, head ofemployers group .
Te pace of bankruptcies has ac-celerated over the summer. We areseeing a general loss of confidenceby investors. Large foreign investorsare shunning France altogether. Itsbecoming really dramatic.
said the threat has risen
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from a storm warning to a hurricanewarning, adding that the Socialist
government of Franois Hollande hasyet to understand the extreme grav-ity of the crisis.
Te immediate bone of contentionis Article of the new tax law, whichraises the top rate of capital gains taxfrom . percent to . percent. Tiscompares with percent in Spain,. percent in Germany and per-cent in Britain.
Lets be clear, Article is not ac-ceptable, even if modified. We will notbe complicit in a disastrous economic
mistake, Mrs. Parisot told Le Figaro. Mrs. Parisot said the policies border
on economic illiteracy: Te idea ofaligning taxes on capital with those onwages is a profound economic error.It is scandalous that the French havebeen le in such economic ignorancefor years.
Te fear is that a fiscal shock in will tip the economy into a sharpdownward slide. France needs morefiscal austerity right now like a hole in
the head, said sovereign debt strate-gist Nicholas Spiro.
Tey dont have any chance ofmeeting their growth target of .percent next year, but that does not initself put French debt at risk.
Te real danger is contagion ifthings turn ugly in Spain.
Finance Minister Pierre Moscovicihas hinted at a shi in policy, sayingthere may have to be a reorientationof the eurozones fiscal strategy. Tepeople are not going to like Europe ifit cant offer growth, he said.
Mrs. Parisot said business feels
deeply unloved and is in revolt acrossthe country.
Smash ChinaGERMAN FOREIGN POLICY | October 18
A the German presi-dent and officials of the Germangovernment, the laureate of a promi-nent German cultural award madea plea for smashing China to pieces.
China is a heap of rubbish, he said, itmust be dismembered, insisted the
Chinese author Liao Yiwu, a residentof Germany, who was awarded theprestigious Peace Prize of the GermanBook rade last Sunday. His accep-tance speech, in which he made a pleafor dismembering his native country,received hey applause from GermanPresident Joachim Gauck and othergovernment officials. Tis diplo-matic affront occurred only a few daysaer the German Foreign Minister andhis Chinese counterpart had signeda Common Declaration, in which
Berlin declared its intentions to en-hance its strategic partnership withBeijing. On the one hand, this declara-tion has resulted from the fact that,because of Chinas economic strength,Germany, for the time being, needs acertain form of cooperation, not onlyto satisfy the business interests of itsenterprises, but also to get support insolving the euro crisis. On the otherhand, the applause for Liaos recentanti-Chinese invectives shows that
G stated its exorbitant price for keepingGreece in the euro and agreeing to mass bond purchas-es by the European Central Bank.
Tere must be an EU currency commissioner with
sweeping powers to strike down national budgets; a largestep towards fiscal union; and yet another EU treaty.
Finance Minister Wolfgang Schuble dropped his bomb-shell in talks with German journalists on a flight from Asia,and apparently had the blessing of Angela Merkel, the chan-cellor. When I put forward such proposals, you can take itas a given that the chancellor agrees, he said.
Officials in Brussels reacted with horror. If that is thedemand, they are not going to get it. Nobody in the Coun-cil wants a new treaty right now, said one EU diplomat.
Weve got the fiscal compact and quite enough fiscaldiscipline. Not even the Dutch want a commissioner tellingthem how to tax and spend, he said.
Te new demands risk another stormy summit in Brus-sels on Tursday, pitting Germany against the Latin bloc.Te last summit in June ended with an acrimonious deal inthe small hours on a banking union that began to unravelwithin days.
Mr. Schuble said the currency chief should have powerssimilar to those of the EUs competition commissioner, aman feared around the world.
Te competition tsar is the arch-enforcer of the EUmachine, with powers to launch dawn raids, deploy teams, and block mergers on his own authority. Te jobwas the making of Italys Mario Monti a decade ago when
he blocked the GE-Honeywell merger aer it had beencleared by Washington.
Mr. Schuble poured scorn on counter-proposals byEU president Herman van Rompuy,including a first steptowards debt pooling through joint eurobills. Te term
Fiskalunion in Berlin has a specific meaning: more powerto police the affairs of debtor states. It does not mean debtmutualization or a joint EU treasury. Germany has so farrefused to cross this Rubicon.
Michael Link, the countrys Europe minister, said Mr.van Rompuys plans are dead on arrival. When you makeproposals that are simply unacceptable for certain mem-bers, this will only give the impression of division. You can
phrase it any way you like, treasury bills, debt-redemp-tion funds or eurobonds, this type of debt issuance willnot fly with our government. We have always said this veryclearly.
Te comment invited a barbed retort from his Frenchcounterpart, Bernard Cazeneuve. Well, for us, it is yes,
just as clearly, he said. Such an open ri between Germanyand France on the eve of a summit is rare.
Germanys Fiscal Overlord DemandAmbrose Evans-Pritchard, TELEGRAPH | October 16
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Berlin still considers Beijing as its rivalto be combated, on a long-term basis.
TW I N B R I E F
n EU strengthens Iran sanctions,Israel applaudsTe European Union levied a new ar-
ray of sanctions on ehran on Monday.Te EU said it was troubled by whatit called Irans refusal to come cleanon its nuclear program. Te measuresare designed to hit Irans treasury bybanning Iranian natural gas imports.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Ne-tanyahu praised the EU for toughen-ing its stance. I want to commend theEU for the tough sanctions that wereadopted yesterday againstthe greatest threat to peacein our time, he said. Iranian
Foreign Ministry spokes-man Ramin Mehmanparastdenounced the new sanctionsas inhuman and said thesanctions would only makeIran stronger. Te EU alsoboosted pressure on Iranianally Syria. New regulationsban Syrian Arab Airlinesfrom EU airports and prohibit
the provision of any financial servicesto Syrian arms exports. Europesramped up action in the Middle Eastcomes at a time when America is notonly seeking an exit from the region,but is distracted with the Benghazimassacre and the coming presidentialelections. Bible prophecy indicates
that the current Iran-Europe disputewill culminate in a modern-day Euro-pean crusade against Iran.
n Europe launches key GalileosatellitesTe European Space Agency has suc-cessfully launched the third and fourthsatellites of the Galileo global naviga-tion satellite system, Europes version
of Americas . Te systems in-orbitvalidation satellites are now complete.Te successful launch on October enables engineers to run intensivetests on every aspect of Galileo fromits ground operation centers in Mu-nich, Germany, and Fucino, Italy, and
clear[s] the way for rapid full-scale
deployment of the constellation ofthe remaining operational satellites,according to European Space Agencysdirector of the Galileo program, Di-dier Faivre. Te operational satellitesfollowing this validation phase willbe launched every three months begin-ning next spring until of them areorbiting space. At that pointprojectedto be late the system would have
reached initial operationalcapability, ready for initial use.Full operational capability will
be reached with additionalsatellites by . Galileo willbe times more accuratethan . It will have civilianand commercial usesbutas the Registerwrote, Gali-leo only makes sense in thecontext of European militaryaction and infrastructure se-curity, independent of the U.S.
A Soyuz rocket carrying a pair of Galileo In-Orbit Validationsatellites lifts off from Europes Spaceport in Sinnamary,
12 kilometers from Kourou, French Guiana, on October 12.
ASIA
TW I N B R I E F
n China eyeing AfghanistanOn September , Zhou Yongkang, atop Chinese security official, made asurprise four-hour visit to Kabul, Af-ghanistan. His meeting with AfghanPresident Hamid Karzai representsthe first high-level visit by a Chineseofficial to Afghanistan in years. Te
Washington Timescalled the visit aclear signal of a policy shi on Bei-
jings part and probably the harbingerof further engagement to come. Untilnow, Beijings approach to Eurasianstates like Afghanistan has been so,mostly founded on infrastructureprojects and investment, and promot-ing Chinese language and culture.Chinas investment in Afghanistansnatural resources such as oil and cop-per have allowed Beijing to reap the
benefits of U.S. stabilization effortsin the country without expendingany Chinese political capital. But, asWashingtons withdrawal dead-line approaches, watch for Beijing totake a more active and multifacetedinterest in Afghanistan.
n Japanese PM takes hawkish
turnSpeaking at a naval ceremony on Sun-day, Japanese Prime Minister Yoshi-hiko Noda spouted off some hawkishrhetoric not previously seen in hisleadership approach. Nodas speechincluded a jingoistic phrase used ina slogan for naval battles during theearly th centurys Russo-Japan War,and included nationalistic slogans thatJapanese naval cadets have recited sincebefore World War . Te security
environment surrounding our nationhas become more difficult than everbefore, Noda told the troops. Wehave a neighbor that launches missilesdisguised as satellites and engages innuclear development. We are facing
various cases related to territory andsovereignty, he said, referring to NorthKorea, China and South Korea. For
years, U.S. foreign policy has worked tosuppress Japanese militarism, but withChina rising and the U.S. afflicted byeconomic and moral disease, Wash-ington appears ready to allow okyo totake on a greater regional security role.Te rising frictions throughout Asiaare largely the result of disputes amongAsian states, but the military mightthese nations are amassing will soon bepooled together and channeled againstEurope.
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Europe to LeaveCrippled BritainBehind?
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard,TELEGRAPH | October 17
H S at the Ger-man bank Berenberg tells us thismorning that Britain is next in line for
punishment.Te eurozone has gone through the
brunt of its fiscal squeeze and will bewell on the way to recovery by . Teeconomic/debt crisis will rotate fromContinental Europe to the UK, with
peak austerity hitting the British in/ just in time to do maximumdamage before the Scottish referendum.
Let us call it the German view.
He buys the claim that there hasbeen very little belt-tightening in thecurrent fiscal year. Du lieber Himmel.Net tightening this year is . percentof . Any more would be idiotic.
But he is right that more pain is yetto come, and for that we can thank thestructural deficit of . percent of at the top of the cycle le by GordonBrown. It was an egregious fiscal bubble,
S business leaders inNew York City last Tursday, LeonPanetta, the U.S. Secretary of Defense,delivered a dramatic warning aboutone of the less publicized dangerscreeping up on America: Cyberwar-fare.
During his speech Mr. Panettadrew attention to some recent cyberat-tacks on U.S. financial institutions. Te tactics used by theattackers werent new, he explained, but (emphasis added throughout). Te potential for cyberat-tacks to inflict damage on a large scale is quickly increas-ing, he explained, and a cyberattack perpetrated by nation
states or violent extremists groups could be as destructiveas the terrorist attack on /.
Mr. Panetta de-scribed a recent cyberassault on a SaudiArabian state-run oilcompany that de-stroyed, comput-ers.A few days later asimilarly destructiveand expensive at-tack occurred against
RasGas, an Qatar-based energy company.Imagine the impact anattack like that wouldhave on your companyor your business, he said.
But the threat posed to U.S. businesses and institutionsand the people they serve is only half the story. Panettacontinued: We know that foreign cyber actors are prob-ing Americas critical infrastructure networks. Tey aretargeting the computer control systems that operate chemi-cal, electricity and water plants and those that guide trans-portation throughout this country. W
. We also know that they
are seeking to create advanced tools to attack these systemsand cause panic and destruction and even the loss of life.
Remember, this is the U.S. Secretary of Defense.Mr. Panetta then delivered a script that would make
Steven Spielberg salivate: Let me explain how this couldunfold. An aggressor nation or extremist group could usethese kinds of cyber tools to gain control of critical switch-es. Tey could, for example, derail passenger trains or evenmore dangerous, derail trains loaded with lethal chemicals.
- .
Te most destructive scenarios involve cyber actors
launching several attacks on our critical infrastructureat one time, in combination with a physical attack on our
country. A - .
Its an incred-ible scenario, one thatalmost seems fanciful:For the first time in
history, computer geekshave the meansif notthe motiveto inflictcatastrophic damageon an entire nation!
Mr. Panetta concluded his scenario with a stark anddramatic warning, one that hasnt received nearly the at-tention it commands: Te collective result of these kindsof attacks could be a ; an attack thatwould cause physical destruction and the loss of life. In fact,it would , ..
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U.S. Vulnerable to Cyber Pearl Harbor
BRAD MACDONALD
ANGLO-AMERICA
JAMIGA/ISTOCKPHOTO
Just like the attack on Pearl Harbor, a cyber attack willhit closer to home than many Americans may realize.
https://twitter.com/Brad_Mac007https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XdG-bjs934k&list=UUb-Oi0o6gTesGI7a97Le2sg&index=2&feature=plcphttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XdG-bjs934k&list=UUb-Oi0o6gTesGI7a97Le2sg&index=2&feature=plcphttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XdG-bjs934k&list=UUb-Oi0o6gTesGI7a97Le2sg&index=2&feature=plcphttps://twitter.com/Brad_Mac007 -
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far worse than anything done by Spain.Te cuts will be especially painful
in Scotland where dependency on gov-ernment spending is higher (thoughthat cuts both ways on the Scottishreferendum).
If the euro crisis fades over thecourse of , as we expect, the
contrast between a UK reeling underadditional austerity and a eurozonewhich has already emerged from itsown adjustment crisis could strength-en the hand of those in Scotland whowant their nation to be an indepen-dent part of the European familyrather than a part of the UK.
Te biggest risk could be a marketperception that, aer a British divorce,a rump UK could turn even moreanti-EU than the UK is now. Even theslightest perceived threat that a rump
UK might eventually leave the Euro-pean Union or could opt out of somemajor rules and institutions affectingthe common market for services couldbe a major blow for Greater London,which has successfully turned itselfinto the services center for Europe anddepends on guaranteed and fully freeaccess to its major market.
It would be ironic if, aer a pos-sible fading to the euro crisis in ,markets start to discuss the risks to
another union of nations in Europethe United Kingdom. Fortunately, therisk still looks contained.
But the claim that Europe isthrough the worst is surely courtingfate. Yet this is now the new ortho-doxy. French President FranoisHollande said this morning that theeurozone is very close to close toovercoming the crisis.
Scotland Historic
Independence VoteTELEGRAPH | October 15
S up a historic indepen-dence referendum on Monday aerits leader and Britains prime ministerfinalized arrangements for a vote thatcould lead to the demise of its three-centuries-old union with England.
Scotlands drive for sovereignty, ledby its nationalist leader Alex Salmond,
echoes separatist moves by otherEuropean regions such as Cataloniaand Flanders which feel they couldprosper as separate entities inside theEuropean Union.
Signed in the Scottish capital Ed-inburgh, the referendum agreementallows Scotland to ask its people in
a vote whether their homelandshould become an independent coun-try or stay within the UK.
Its a historic day for Scotland, avisibly excited Salmond said aersigning the deal with Prime MinisterDavid Cameron. Do I think we canwin this campaign? Yes, I do.
One of the most contentious issuesat stake is the ownership of an esti-mated billion barrels of recoverableoil and gas reserves beneath the UK-controlled part of the North Sea.
Britain is also worried about thefuture of its nuclear submarine fleetbased in Scotland as Salmond saysthere would be no place for nucleararms on Scotlands soil aer inde-pendence. Moving the fleet elsewherewould be costly and time-consuming.
Cameron, who did not addressreporters alongside Salmond, opposesScotlands push for independence butagrees it is up to its people to deter-mine their future in a vote.
Many Scots are unconvinced. AComres poll for News found only percent supported independenceand percent agreed that Scotlandseconomy would suffer as an indepen-dent country.
o convince doubters, Salmond isbanking on his skill as an orator totap into a centuries-old rivalry withEngland and show that independencewould allow his country to pursue amore distinct le-leaning agenda thanits southern neighbor.
He has also won a major concessionfrom London to allow Scotland to low-er the voting age to from Britainscountrywide a coup for Salmondwho believes that young people aremore likely to vote in favor of inde-pendence.
Nationalists have timed the referendum to coincide with the thanniversary of the Battle of Bannock-burn when Scottish forces led by Robertthe Bruce defeated English invaders.
50 Years After CubaMissile CrisisCHRISTIAN SCIENCE MONITOR |October 14
T marks the th anniver-sary of the beginning of the tensestandoff. And while the politics ofthe Cold War have little relevance forU.S.-Latin American relations today,in some ways the U.S. finds itself inthe very position that set the stage forconflict in the first place, says PhilipBrenner, a historian of the missile cri-sis at American University. With U.S.influence waning in the region, LatinAmerica is forging ahead with its ownagenda.
What the U.S. feared the most in has come to pass, says Brenner
. We were concerned about oursphere of influence that we had takenfor granted. [oday] we cannotdominate this region anymore. Teydo not look to us for leadership. Coun-tries look within the region, and tosome extent to Cuba still.
At the same time, over the pastdecade the global economy shied,with Latin America no longer lookingjust north to the U.S. for leadershipand investment, but to India, China
and Russia. China surpassed the U.S.as Brazils biggest trading partner in.
Most of these relationships areeconomic in nature among emergingeconomies. If Russia, for example, onceeyed Cuba to buoy its political projectclose to the American border, today itis inking energy deals and selling armsin Latin America because it finds will-ing partners and purchasers there.
Te flurry of investment in coun-tries ranging from Venezuela to
Bolivia helps to further undermine U.S.global dominance in the region, a sce-nario that many leaders welcome today.Chief among them is Mr. Chvez, who
just won another six-year term in of-fice, and his allies including PresidentEvo Morales in Bolivia and PresidentDaniel Ortega in Nicaragua.
Indeed, the anniversary of theCuban missile crisis will likely providean opportunity for the extreme lein Latin America to express support
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for Cuba, says Johns Hopkins LatinAmerican expert Riordan Roett. Teywill be in solidarity about the survivalof the Castro brothers, Mr. Roett says.
Tat kind of defianceshowingrespect for a nation that for so longthe U.S. has considered a thorn inits sidewould have been unthink-able years ago. Before the Cubanmissile crisis, aer the failed Bay ofPigs invasion, the U.S. pressured LatinAmerican countries to suspend Cubas
membership from the Organizationof American States(). At the sametime, Cuba signed onto the non-aligned movement, and Brenner saysit was that move that the U.S. fearedother countries in Latin Americamight follow. At the time, U.S. think-ing on the movement was, you arewith us or you are against us.
Te politics surrounding Cuba atthe highlights the declining influ-ence of the U.S. in the region. Fiy
years ago, the U.S. advocated Cubassuspension and was successful; butduring the groups summit in April,leaders across political spectrums saidthey would question attending anothersummit without Cuba at the table.
Tis comes from [ColombianPresident Juan Manuel] Santos, ourmost loyal ally in the region, saysBrenner. Cuba was once the pariahstate; it is now a linchpin for all theother countries.
TW/LUIS PRADO FROM THE NOUN PROJECT
W has grown substantially over thepast four years, reaching billion in or morethan Social Security, basic defense spending or any othersingle chunk of the federal governmentaccording to a
new memo by the Congressional Research Service.Te steady rise in welfare spending, which covers more
than programs primarily designed to help low-incomeAmericans, got a big boost from the stimulus andhas grown, albeit somewhat more slowly, in and .One reason is that more people are qualifying in the weakeconomy, but the federal government also has broadenedeligibility so that more people qualify for programs.
Sen. Jeff Sessions, the ranking Republican on the Sen-ate Budget Committee, who requested the CongressionalResearch Service report, said it underscores a fundamentalshi in welfare, moving away from a Band-Aid and towarda more permanent crutch.
Overall, welfare spending as measured by obligationshas grown from billion in fiscal to billion infiscal , or a jump of percent.
By far the biggest item on the list is Medicaid, the
federal-state health program for the poor, which at billion in federal spending made up percent of all low-income assistance in . Tat total was up billionfrom .
Several programs to funnel cash to the poor also rankedhigh. Led by the Earned Income ax Credit, Supplemen-tal Security Income and the Additional Child ax Credit,direct cash aid accounts for about a fih of all welfare.
Mr. Sessions staff on the Budget Committee calculatedthat states contributed another billion to low-incomeassistancechiefly through Medicaid. Combined, thatmeans the federal and state governments spent . tril-lion on welfare programs.
Welfare Spending Jumps 32 Percent in Four YearsWASHINGTON TIMES | October 18
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
$80
$86
$95
$102
$134
(PROJECTED)
SOURCE: USDA
$140
AMERICANSRECEIVING FOODSTAMPS
(MILLIONS)
AVERAGE BENEFITPER AMERICAN
(MONTHLY, $USD)
2002 19.1
2004 23.8
2006 26.5
2008 28.2
2010 40.3
2012 46.7(TO DATE)
SOURCE: USDA
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How the Government
Wasted Your MoneyThis YearKevin Glass, TOWNHALL.COM |October 16
S Coburn releasedthe Wastebook today detail-ing the most egregious wastes oftaxpayer money. Te -page reportdetails waste in all manner of federalspendingfrom multi-billion dollar
programs all the way down to a
grant to a small-town library for a StarWars-themed event. Its emblematicof the waste found everywhere in thefederal budget.
Coburn details a million U.S.Agency for International Develop-ment program for pottery classes inMorocco. Te program, which has aquestionable premise in the first place,was doomed due to incompetence andmismanagement. ranslators with aquestionable grasp of English were
hired and used materials unavailable
to Moroccans. Te inspector generalconcluded that the program was inef-fective and poorly implemented.
While the viral video of an Obamasupporter claiming to have receiveda free phone may stretch credibility,the truth is more real than you think.Tere is in fact a federal programaimed at providing free or reduced-price cell phone service. Te cellphone program, called Lifeline, hasexploded in recent years. Te Lifeline
Reflections on a Battlefield
JOEL HILLIKER
I me, the way those hulkingrelics of war stood starkly againstthe tropical foliage. Demolished,pockmarked concretesurroundedby beautiful, lush green plants. Tis isCorregidor, island of antithesis.
Tis small island fortress in thePhilippines was the scene of some ofthe most dramatic scenes of WorldWar . It simultaneously symbolizes bravery and betrayal,humanity and hatred, strength and savagery.
Gazing across the scene, I was bombarded by these incon-gruous images and emotions. But the biggest collision in mymind was between the epic past and the uncertain present.
Aer it captured the island from Spain in , theUnited States built a major military outpost on Corregidor.Te Rock bristled withguns and mortars, a totalof separate batteries.
One of its massive gunsrequired an unbelievable soldiers to discharge.
Most of these impres-sive installations are stillthere. But now they areskeletons bearing thegarish scars of the hor-rors they endured.
Of those enormousbarracks filled with sol-diers, only empty con-
crete shells remain, in-terlaced with rebar thatholds sagging chunks ofstaircases and walls aloin twisted formations. Gaping holes and mounds of rubblemutely testify of the furious Japanese aerial bombardment.
Te ruins stil l reverberate with the voices of thesoldiers who occupied these structures, who mannedthese munitions. Every blast hole brings to mind the menwhose bodies were also blasted and battered when the
bombs fell.A short walk away is the Pacific War Memorial Mu-
seum. Tere I stared at the black-and-white portraits of theofficers who had orchestrated the offensives and com-manded the troops. Tey seemed like superior men. Seri-ous, manly, steely, intelligentmen of character, men whoinspired men. I felt small.
I tried to comprehend this conflicted past: noble andbrutal, crucial and futile, eternal and long-gone. Teseruins impressed me with what men did here, yet I couldnot escape the whole truth: Like every battlefield, this was
just another horrid chapter in human war-making, anotherplace where high rhetoric clashes with the low things hu-man beings do to each other.
Tese ruins are oddly relevant to the present. Teir hol-lowed hulks evoke the decline of America. As Moses proph-esied long ago, the pride of its power has been broken, and
lies in rubble; only thefaades remain. Treegenerations aer what
proved to be Americaslast unequivocal military
victory, the U.S. pres-ence in the Philippines isonly an echo. Americasreputation is mortallywounded; its ambitionhas shrunk. Its unprec-edentedly superior mili-tary is oddly impotentagainst the most pitifulof threats.
I walked beyond thememorial museum toa rotunda. Tere I sawwords chiseled in stone
that finally reminded me of hope: Sleep my sons, yourduty done for freedoms light has come. Sleep in the si-lent depths of the sea, or in your bed of hallowed sod, untilyou hear at dawn the low, clear reveille of God.
Tey will not have to wait for that dawn much longer.Follow Joel Hilliker: Twitter
Two impressive guns stand out against battle-worn concrete.
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program now costs taxpayers . bil-lion annually and subsidizes the cellphone service of . million Ameri-cansand a survey found that almost percent of all enrollees should noteven be eligible for the program.
Te National Science Foundationspent , to fund a study done
by the University of Washington andCornell Universitys to measure gay-darthe ability of people to identifysexual orientation merely by appear-ance. Te researchers confirmed that
gaydar exists, writing that partici-pants were about percent accuratewhen attempting to identify sexualorientation by appearance.
More from the report: Food stampsfor the deceased: Te black liquorloophole . Bridge to Nowhere .Millions for vineyards .
Coburn turns his sharpest gunson his colleagues in the U.S. Senateand U.S. House of Representatives.
Te report chastises Congress for thehigh cost of merely being open despiterunning one of the least productivesessions in history. Te Senate castfewer votes in thus far than anyyear in decades. [M]any high schoolstudent councils have been moredeliberative than the U.S. Senate. Te
outrageous and wasteful contentsof this report were made possible byeither the action or lack of action ofCongress, earning it the well-deservedbut unwanted distinction as the big-gest waste of taxpayer money in .
Two Thirds of U.S. Stillin DroughtCNS NEWS | October 17
A thirds of the continen-tal U.S. is still experiencing drought
conditions as of October , according
to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.Te U.S. Drought Monitor main-
tained by , the University ofNebraska-Lincoln, and the NationalOceanic and Atmospheric Adminis-tration, indicates that . percent ofthe continental United States, whichexcludes Alaska, Hawaii and Puerto
Rico, is in drought, which is a de-crease from late September.
On September , . percentof the continental United States wasexperiencing drought, which wasthe highest percentage area since thestart of .
Te Drought Monitor attributes theslight decrease to increased rains in theSouth and Eastern United States, aswell as the Great Plains and Midwest.
Brad Rippey, a meteorolo-gist, wrote that in spite of increased
rainfall, more will be needed to,ensure proper crop emergence andestablishment.
MAP OF DROUGHT IN AMERICA
NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC
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Now,for the first time in nearly years, mainstream andsenior British leaders are speaking out against Europe!
Mr. Goves decision to break with that consensuswould be a moment of first-rate importance even if hewere acting on his own. B C C. Indeed there is even reason to
speculate that Mr. Gove, who is a close family friend of theprime minister, may be acting as an outrider for Mr. Cam-eron (ibid).
Tis huge development will rock British politics, andmore significantly, Britains relationship with Europe. Itis clear that the Conservative Party has reached a turn-ing point, wrote Oborne. M. C
E , .
Its hard to predict the details of how this will unfold.However, what is certain is that the addition of seniormainstream politiciansfrom the Cameron government,no lessto the anti-EU bandwagon will give it much great-er momentum. I reckon the education secretary and hiscabinet supporters aregenuinely ready to try to take Britain
out of the European Union,confessed Oborne.If you havent read it already, its time you read Britain
Was Warned! Momentous events are unfolding in Europeand Britain, and its vital you understand exactly what ishappening. Te Europe question is about to explode inBritain, and when it does, as Mr. Oborne put it, it could allbe very bloody and horrible.
Britain Turns Away From EuropeBY RICHARD PALMER
T B government plans to opt out of Euro-
pean Union laws on crime, justice and policing, HomeSecretary Teresa May announced on October . Te eu-roskeptic Daily Expressnewspaper heralds the announce-ment as Britains First Step to EU Exit.
Teyre right. A large segment of the British publichas long been unhappy with Brita ins place in the EU.But for years Britain continued to dri closer to Europe.London gave Brussels more and more power over Britainand even signed the Lisbon reaty despite widespreadopposition.
Ten, last December, this dri toward Europe stopped asPrime Minister David Cameron vetoed the fiscal pact. Te
other EU nationsmoved on, leavingBritain behind.
Now, Britain hasdone more thansimply stop: It hasreversed direction.
Its opting out ofthe crime and justicelaws marks thefirst time that anyEuropean nation hasbacked away from
ever closer union.Even the Finan-
cial Times,whichcalled for Britainto join the euro, endorsed the opt out, in a leader: Anygovernment, especially a ory one, has to acknowledge theEUs increasingly shaky legitimacy in the UKwhere pollssuggest a majority want to withdraw from the union alto-gether. Against this backdrop, to concede a further loss ofnational controlin such a sensitive area to an unaccount-able courtwould invite a backlash.
Te opt out comes aer eight cabinet ministers called
for Britain to renegotiate its relationship with the EU orwalk out.
Its not just British ministers that see that Britain andEurope are heading for a split. Europes most powerful na-
tion, Germany, has also come around to the same view.Spiegel Online reported how German Chancellor Angela
Merkel once went out of her way to keep Britain in Eu-ropebut not anymore. Merkels hopes for a Europe withBritain have now been dashed, it wrote. Te Germangovernment is convinced that the Euro Group will be thecore of a new, more deeply integrated Europe. It wrote thatthe chancellor has long since come to terms with the factthat there will no longer be a path back to the center of theunion for the British.
Tis reality doesnt just apply to financial integration.Last fall, the British blocked an attempt by the other
EU member states toestablish a joint head-quarters for militarymissions, Spiegelwrote. Now the planis to be revived andimplemented, evenagainst Londons re-sistance, if necessary.
Its not just Britainthat the Germans seegoing it alone. On theone side of the cur-
rent divide is a hardcore of countries thatwant to work togethermore closely, said
Spiegel. On the other side are countries like Great Britain,Denmark and Sweden, which are essentially condemnedto be spectators if they no longer wish to join the rest. Tedream of an expanding and more tightly integrated GreaterEurope is over.
Germany has paused and waited for Britain to comealong. Now, that wait is over: Te Germans have commit-ted to moving on without them.
British Prime Minister David Cameron in front of a sign readingBritain Can Deliver at a convention in Birmingham, England.