yuriy grachov: from banking collections to a collections business
DESCRIPTION
• The crisis in 2008: the beginning and consequences for Ukraine • LTV as a main driver for Collection Strategies (post-crisis LTVs) • the decision behind creating an NPL business (1st DS Program in Ukraine, people, processes, infrastructure) • the NPL business concept (organizational chart, strategy, HR, IT, KPI's & MIS) • Key elements for successTRANSCRIPT
A Alfa-Bank
FROM BANKING COLLECTIONS TO COLLECTIONS BUSINESS
By Yury Grachov Prague, June 2013
CRISIS IN UKRAINE 2008: THE BEGINNING
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ENVIRONMENT:
Loans: 90% in FOREIGN CURRENCY
Income: 90%+ in UAH (LOCAL CURRENCY)
200% home prices growth for last 2 years
90% Sub-Prime Mortgage with low DP
CRISIS IN UKRAINE 2008: UKRAINE CONSEQUENCES
ENVIRONMENT:
Major Liquidity Crisis: Deposits Withdrawal Cease of Lending
Local Currency (Hrivna) is devaluated 60%
Home Prices is down 60%
Stock Market is down 83,5%
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• Growth of non-performed loans is due to the falling value of home prices together with devaluation of local currency and a general fall in the level of household income
CRISIS IN UKRAINE 2008: UKRAINE CONSEQUENCES
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Cease of lending in 2009-2010 lead to increase of 360+ to the volume of Current The biggest disproportion of Current and Write Off in Non Collateral Loans (short term loans, ↑ Default) Auto is the most stress resistant product due to high liquidity of collateral
LTV IS THE MAIN DRIVER?
• After crisis lenders have found that impossible to avoid credit losses even in the event of collateral sales.
• So, collection strategy based on LTV or Collateral Ratios has became the key to collection success.
Coverage Ratios - 2009
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Cars:– The most liquid collateral in retail – The least fall of value within crisis
Trucks:– Zero liquidity– The most significant fall of value within crisis
Apartments:– Liquidity is adequately to fall of value within crisis
Homes:– Low liquidity– Significant fall of value within crisis
Lands\Plots:– Zero liquidity– No consumer demand
Commercial Real Estate:– In terms of liquidity each object is unique – Fall of value is very similar to apartments
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COLLATERAL VALUE AFTER STRESS SCENARIO
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DEBT SETTLEMENT CONCEPT
We understand:- We are losing or the residual difference between outstanding and collateral value, or the part of this- Voluntary way is the shortest cut to get cash- Voluntary way is the cheapest way to get cash- Standard collections tools do not work
Borrower understands:- He is unable to pay the debt- Investment in collateral does not make sense - His property is at risk
Assumption: is it possible to reach agreement if the lender agrees to accept credit loses from difference and the borrower agrees to sell the collateral under control?
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DEBT SETTLEMENT
Collections = Collateral Value
Collections = Collateral Value + Extra
Debt Settlement
Collateral: Mortgage
Condition:a) Short Sale (not less than 50%)
Target Market 4 DS:1. Coverage Ratio < 80%2. DPD => 360 3. No additional property for legal enforcement
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Collateral: Auto or SME
Condition:a) Short Sale + 20% of the “Tail”
Soft (RS):> Identify possible DS> Remote DS proposal
Field:> Final Negotiation > Collections of documents for deal
Collection Back-Office:>Deal Closure
CRM
• Maintaining of common history of relations with debtor • Effective internal communications between departments• MIS and reporting
Sales
• Own competence of collateral evaluation• Own competence of collateral sales
Head Office
• One center of decision-making. • Strong KPI’s and Incentive Systems
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DEBT SETTLEMENT: HOW DOES IT WORK?
KEY ELEMENTS FOR SUCCESS
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1st DS Programs in Ukraine (Dec 2010): Quick decision-making Tough process timing
Motivation Scheme – 100% of staff incl. support
Full Infrastructure 4 Collateral Collection: Regional network (10 collection clusters) Strong In-House Legal Team RS, FV and Legal work in-parallel In-house Auto and Realty Sales
COLLECTION BUSINESS
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$500 million NPL portfolio under management: 90% - Mortgage 5% - Auto 5% - SME
$400 million NPL portfolio in process of purchasing
Average Purchase = 8-12%
Annual Average Return = 7-9%
Assumption Cost = 20%
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THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!