総合資源エネルギー調査会基本問題委員会 第2回（2011年10月26日）提出資料
Post on 07-Apr-2018
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20111026
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2
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3
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
0 10002000300040005000600070008000
2011
2010
5190kW
62000kW
()
5500
400200
800500
6248
5215
4800
4300
(DSM)
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1
4
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()
1.2.
3.10
5
1.2.3.1
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16/kW8000/kW
()
()
(1) 2
()
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7
311
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8
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Nuclearcapacity(GW)
40(311)
40(311)
2020
2012
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()2
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Data from: GWEA, IAEA, Photon, Platts,
100
10
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()
11
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
()
(1990)
(2000)
(1994)
(1992)
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12: UNEP SEFI, New Energy Finance
:
(2009 )vs
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29
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010/172011/17
30KW 1=120
22/kW(20117)
14
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1. :6%(00)17%(10) 35%(20)2. :3000(10)3. CO21.2(10)4. 5(09)5. :37(10)6. 7.
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()
16
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IGES-ISEP
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Greanpeace Energy [r]evolution, WGBU
2850
200
20 5
2
3078
1
18
10000 : 1
()22 (2011)
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100%
(ECF)
IIASA, PwC, PIK
(EREC)
Greenpeace International
Entwicklung der Bruttostromerzeugung 2005 bis 2050
konventionelle Erzeugung und regenerative Energiequellen (fr 509 TWh/a in 2050)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Jahr
TWh/a
KernE BK SK
(SRU) (UBA)
201014
201015
201055
201077
19
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W2000kW
20()
()
()
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2030/
[]
2031[]
2011-2050
60 60
4 110 114
-42 -50 -92
6011492300-600
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22
*
0.91 0.27 0.25
0.22 0.17 0.15
0.11 0.11(Ditlev Engel/Daniel M.Kammen)
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(good)(bad)()
()
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(HVDC)
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ABB, Power Circle
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()()
(10)
202020%()
()
()