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中華海運研究協會 船舶 海運 通訊 SHIP & SHIPPING NEWSLETTER 第三十三期 Issue No. 33 2006 9 12 長:林 輯:楊仲筂 執行編輯:葉耀澎 址:台北市林森北路 372 405 話:02-25517540 真:02-25653003 址:http://www.cmri.org.tw 電子郵件:[email protected] 錄 海運專論 .......................................................................................................................... 2 港口國際物流發展方向............................................................................................... 2 本會會訊 .......................................................................................................................... 3 海運市場動態報導 .......................................................................................................... 4 貨櫃運輸動態報導....................................................................................................... 4 油輪市場動態報導..................................................................................................... 11 國際散裝乾貨船海運市場行情分析......................................................................... 13 專題報導 ........................................................................................................................ 18 板片式熱交換器......................................................................................................... 18 《船舶與海運通訊》徵稿 1. 【海運專論】係針對當前之熱門話題,以 短文方式(字數以 1500 字為限)提供經 驗交流之評論及建言以契合時事之脈動。 2. 【專題報導】係針對當前國內外海運相關 資訊從研究心得、實務操作、及資料蒐整 分析角度加以深入報導,以提供讀者獲取 最新海運相關動態與新知。 3. 歡迎所有海運相關之產、官、學界之個人 或團體提供資訊、文稿及建言。 4. 《船舶與海運通訊》將以不定期方式出 刊,並以 E-mail 方式寄送有需要的會員 及相關單位,或請至本會網站自行下載。 如需本會 E-mail 者請逕洽本會陳小姐, 電話:02-25517540 分機 95. 欲訂閱紙本之讀者,將酌收紙張印刷及郵 費每年新台幣 500 元(含國內郵費)。請 利用郵政劃撥 01535338 帳號訂閱。

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  • SHIP & SHIPPING NEWSLETTER Issue No. 33

    2006 9 12

    372 405 02-25517540 02-25653003 http://www.cmri.org.tw [email protected]

    .......................................................................................................................... 2

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    .......................................................................................................................... 3

    .......................................................................................................... 4

    ....................................................................................................... 4 ..................................................................................................... 11 ......................................................................... 13

    ........................................................................................................................ 18

    ......................................................................................................... 18

    1.

    1500

    2.

    3.

    4. E-mail

    E-mail

    02-25517540 9 5.

    500

    01535338

  • 2

    1

    2000

    (Supply Chain Management, SCM)(Global Logistics

    Management, GLM)

    (Total Logistics Cost)

    ()

    19 (Liner conference system)

    ()

    1950~1960

    1

  • 3

    (EDI)

    2001

    .

    (2005)

    ()

    (8)

    9 7 /

    10

    PLC

  • 4

    7 14

    7 21

    (1)

    .

    1956 Malcom Mclean

    Ideal-X

    1995

    2001 911 (security)

    2003 2005

  • 5

    .

    1956

    500 TEU

    1966 1970 1,000 TEU

    (ISO)

    1971 1983 2,000 TEU

    //

    96

    1984 3,000 TEU

    Post-Panamax

    10,000 TEU

    1990

    (hub-and-spoke)

    hub hub

    45 48

    .

    1990

    1.

  • 6

    1 1990

    2005 1990 26% 2005 35%

    /

    1

    1990 2001 2005 2005

    18.95% 12.61% 11.10% 9.3%

    / 43.82% 34.27% 30.51% 8.6%

    7.46% 8.41% 7.71% 7.5%

    26.17% 30.36% 35.18% 13.3%

    11.01% 14.91% 13.51% 10.3%

    / 6.11% 7.34% 8.13% 14.2%

    // 9.49% 11.78% 10.41% 11.1%

    2.00% 3.40% 3.39% 15.6%

    2.65% 2.15% 1.88% 3.7%

    3.74% 3.70% 4.20% 15.2%

    100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 11.4%

    Drewry Shipping Consultants

    2.

    2

    2 (2006.1.1 )

    Ships Teu Share Teu

    Liner total 5,380 9,136,632 100.0%

    Top 100 4,176 8,660,517 94.8%

    Top 50 3,544 8,269,781 90.5%

    Top 25 2,885 7,648,088 83.7%

    Top 10 1,945 5,478,992 60.0%

    AXS Liner

    10~20 TEU 3 20~40 TEU

    12 40~80 TEU 3 80~160 1 160 TEU 1 3

  • 7

    3 (As to August 2006)

    Rank Operator Total Order Book

    TEU Ships TEU % existing Ships

    1 APM-Maersk 1,729,922 569 628,237 36.3% 117

    2 MSC 935,181 305 308,887 33.0% 43

    3 CMA CGM 628,648 282 263,965 42.0% 55

    4 Evergreen 532,250 163 124,288 23.4% 26

    5 Hapag-Lloyd 445,625 136 63,482 14.2% 10

    6 COSCON 387,731 131 156,018 40.2% 24

    7 CSCL 372,094 131 154,810 41.6% 33

    8 Hanjin/Senator 340,744 87 140,773 41.3% 22

    9 APL 326,736 105 142,758 43.7% 33

    10 NYK 318,019 120 204,708 64.4% 35

    11 MOL 274,406 89 130,600 47.6% 20

    12 OOCL 271,937 70 90,894 33.4% 18

    13 K Line 259,058 83 137,336 53.0% 24

    14 CSAV 246,026 87 32,705 13.3% 5

    15 Zim 230,444 97 178,106 77.3% 32

    16 Yang Ming 220,734 80 109,930 49.8% 23

    17 Hamburg-Sud 202,162 99 113,686 56.2% 31

    18 Hyundai 156,939 39 165,496 105.5% 25

    19 PIL 141820 106 48,623 34.3% 21

    20 Wan Hai 117998 71 49,022 41.5% 11

    AXS Liner

    3.

    ( 1)1988 1,286 TEU1999 1,697 TEU

    32% 2005 2,174 TEU 2009 2,580

    TEU 1999 2009 52%

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    3000

    1988

    1990

    1992

    1994

    1996

    1998

    2000

    2002

    2004

    2006

    2008

  • 8

    1

    Drewry Shipping Consultants

    4 2,264 TEU 19.6

    11.6 5,000 TEU post-panama

    25

    4

    Drewry Shipping Consultants

    ( 5) 419 TEU

    5,000 TEU Post-Panamax 220

    TEU 53% 8,000 TEU 133 TEU

    1.5

    5

    1 1 .6 1 9 .6 1 0 0 .0 %8 ,3 9 2 ,8 5 41 0 0 .0 %3 ,7 0 7T o ta l

    1 .0 2 5 .3 6 .2 %5 2 3 ,1 2 2 1 .7 %6 28 ,0 0 0 +

    4 .1 2 5 .0 3 .7 %3 0 9 ,0 3 2 1 .1 %4 27 ,0 0 0 -7 ,9 9 9

    4 .7 2 5 .2 6 .8 %5 7 4 ,7 5 2 2 .4 %8 96 ,0 0 0 -6 ,9 9 9

    4 .3 2 5 .2 1 3 .4 %1 ,1 2 8 ,3 4 9 5 .6 %2 0 75 ,0 0 0 -5 ,9 9 97 .1 2 4 .0 1 6 .2 %1 ,3 6 3 ,4 2 7 8 .4 %3 1 04 ,0 0 0 -4 ,9 9 9

    1 2 .7 2 2 .5 1 1 .9 %1 ,0 0 0 ,4 7 3 7 .9 %2 9 33 ,0 0 0 -3 ,9 9 91 0 .7 2 1 .7 9 .3 %7 8 2 ,4 5 4 7 .8 %2 8 82 ,5 0 0 -2 ,9 9 9

    1 0 .9 2 0 .8 8 .1 %6 7 6 ,5 1 3 8 .0 %2 9 62 ,0 0 0 -2 ,4 9 9

    1 1 .3 1 9 .7 9 .0 %7 5 8 ,0 9 9 1 2 .1 %4 4 71 ,5 0 0 -1 ,9 9 91 3 .0 1 8 .3 7 .7 %6 4 8 ,9 6 5 1 4 .8 %5 4 91 ,0 0 0 -1 ,4 9 91 1 .3 1 6 .8 5 .8 %4 9 0 ,0 1 9 1 8 .3 %6 8 05 0 0 -9 9 92 0 .8 1 4 .0 1 .6 %1 3 7 ,6 4 9 1 2 .0 %4 4 4< 5 0 0

    A v e ra g eA g e

    (Y e a rs )

    A v e ra g eS p e d

    (K n o ts )%

    T o ta l C a p a c ity

    (T E U )%N o . o f V e s s e ls

    S iz e R a n g e (T E U )

    W o rld c o n ta in e rs h ip fle e t b y s iz e ra n g e (A t A p r il 2 0 0 6 )

    1 1 .6 1 9 .6 1 0 0 .0 %8 ,3 9 2 ,8 5 41 0 0 .0 %3 ,7 0 7T o ta l

    1 .0 2 5 .3 6 .2 %5 2 3 ,1 2 2 1 .7 %6 28 ,0 0 0 +

    4 .1 2 5 .0 3 .7 %3 0 9 ,0 3 2 1 .1 %4 27 ,0 0 0 -7 ,9 9 9

    4 .7 2 5 .2 6 .8 %5 7 4 ,7 5 2 2 .4 %8 96 ,0 0 0 -6 ,9 9 9

    4 .3 2 5 .2 1 3 .4 %1 ,1 2 8 ,3 4 9 5 .6 %2 0 75 ,0 0 0 -5 ,9 9 97 .1 2 4 .0 1 6 .2 %1 ,3 6 3 ,4 2 7 8 .4 %3 1 04 ,0 0 0 -4 ,9 9 9

    1 2 .7 2 2 .5 1 1 .9 %1 ,0 0 0 ,4 7 3 7 .9 %2 9 33 ,0 0 0 -3 ,9 9 91 0 .7 2 1 .7 9 .3 %7 8 2 ,4 5 4 7 .8 %2 8 82 ,5 0 0 -2 ,9 9 9

    1 0 .9 2 0 .8 8 .1 %6 7 6 ,5 1 3 8 .0 %2 9 62 ,0 0 0 -2 ,4 9 9

    1 1 .3 1 9 .7 9 .0 %7 5 8 ,0 9 9 1 2 .1 %4 4 71 ,5 0 0 -1 ,9 9 91 3 .0 1 8 .3 7 .7 %6 4 8 ,9 6 5 1 4 .8 %5 4 91 ,0 0 0 -1 ,4 9 91 1 .3 1 6 .8 5 .8 %4 9 0 ,0 1 9 1 8 .3 %6 8 05 0 0 -9 9 92 0 .8 1 4 .0 1 .6 %1 3 7 ,6 4 9 1 2 .0 %4 4 4< 5 0 0

    A v e ra g eA g e

    (Y e a rs )

    A v e ra g eS p e d

    (K n o ts )%

    T o ta l C a p a c ity

    (T E U )%N o . o f V e s s e ls

    S iz e R a n g e (T E U )

    W o rld c o n ta in e rs h ip fle e t b y s iz e ra n g e (A t A p r il 2 0 0 6 )

    50.0%8392419316336147513241042Total

    255.6%5231337121654193803618,000+21.0%3096500036297,000-7,999

    76.2%57543804021591926,000-6,999

    33.2%1128374011165118805,000-5,999

    51.2%13636980562872271284,000-4,99921.2%10002120459102473,000-3,999

    54.7%7824280311351341282,500-2,999

    8.4%6775700734162,000-2,499

    31.9%7582420189589401,500-1,999

    27.3%649177045656611,000-1,499

    32.9%49016147365559500-999

    2.9%138400121

  • 9

    Drewry Shipping Consultants

    4.

    100%

    5.

    1990 Tanjung Pelepas

    6.

    ( 6)

    6

    1997 Hanjin DSR Senator

    CP Ships Likes Lines Contship

    NOL APL

    1998 P&O Nedlloyd P&ON

    P&ON Blue Star Lines

    CP Ships Ivaran Lines ANZDL

    Hamburg Sud Alianca South Seas

    Steamship

    Evergreen Lloyd Triestino

    DAmico Italia Line

    1999 AP Moller Sea-Land Safmarine 2000 CP Ships Christensen Canadian African

  • 10

    P&ON Tasman Express

    CSAV Companhia Libra

    Montemar

    Hamburg Sud Transroll Intem

    Lines

    CSAV Norasia

    P&ON Farrell Lines Harrison Line

    Grimaldi ACL 40%

    2001 Grimaldi ACL 90%

    Tropical Shipping Kent Line

    CSAV CCNI 26%

    2002 CP Ships Italia di Navigazione

    AP Moller Torm Lines

    Wan Hai Trans Pacific Lines

    2003 AP Moller SCF Oriental Lines

    Hamburg Sud Kien Hung Shipping

    2004 Castle Harlan Horizon Lines

    2005 AP Moller P&ON

    Hapag-Lloyd CP Ships

    2006 ?

    7.

    7

    7 Alliance Member Total TEUs Total Ships

    CKYH Coscon, K Line, Yang Ming, Hanjin

    1,208,267 381

    Grand Alliance Hapag Lloyd, NYK, OOCL, MISC

    1,091,084 346

    New World Alliance APL, MOL,Hyundai 758,081 233

    AXS Liner

    AP Moller 569 173

    TEU CKYH 381 120 TEUGrand Alliance 3465

    109 TEU TNWA 233 75

  • 11

    67

    BP

    1591 75.05

    70.44 71.01 66.86 .

    76.43 67.33

    VLCC

    VLCC

    WS122.5

    WS 140

    WS120

    WS115 WS 140

    WS108

    SUEZMAX

    SUEZMAX

    WS150 WS 190

    65

    WS210 9 6 WS160

    AFRAMAX

    AFRAMAX

    WS 190 WS 180 WS 245

    WS247 WS 140

    WS 163

  • 12

    (Baltic Clean

    Tanker Index) 1341 55,000

    WS 285 38,000

    WS 250

    Baltic Spot Rates(Crude Oil) Baltic Clean Rates

    TANKER MARKET WS RATE AUGUST/2006

    DIRTY TYPE 4-AUG 11-AUG 18-AUG 25-AUG

    MEG / WEST VLCC 87.5 95.0 100.0 100.0

    MEG / JAPAN VLCC 122.5 120.0 140.0 140.0

    WAF / USG VLCC 115.0 120.0 140.0 140.0

    WAF / USAC 130,000 150.0 170.0 200.0 190.0