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CSO © Kaz Ataka 2017, 不許複製 170213 METI “シン・ニホン” AI×データ時代における 本の再と材育成 安 和 Chief Strategy Officer Yahoo! JAPAN 経済産業 産業構造審議会 新産業構造部会 February 13, 2017

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  • CSO

    Kaz Ataka 2017, 170213 METI

    AI

    Chief Strategy OfficerYahoo! JAPAN

    February 13, 2017

  • CSO

    Kaz Ataka 2017, 170213 METI

    with +

    Chief Strategy Officer (CSO)

    1

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    Kaz Ataka 2017, 170213 METI

    Biz

    Sci Eng

    2

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    Kaz Ataka 2017, 170213 METI

    recap

    3

  • Kaz Ataka 2017, 170213 METI

    : 2015.5.23 (http://www.applstat.gr.jp/seminar/ataka.pdf)

    (18~20)

    4

    recap

  • CSO

    Kaz Ataka 2017, 170213 METI

    ICT ICT

    AV

    5

    recap

    : 2015.5.23 (http://www.applstat.gr.jp/seminar/ataka.pdf)

  • CSO

    Kaz Ataka 2017, 170213 METI

    : Diamond (2015/11)

    6

    recap

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    7

    New York City 1900

    https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:EasterParade1900.jpg

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    8

    New York City 1913

    https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Ave_5_NY_2_fl.bus.jpg

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    9

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    618 539

    483 402 374 356 332

    232

    217

    178

    billion dollars

    123456:13:20:29

    46 14 17 24

    16 1 4

    1

    5

    18

    Ranking Market capRe:Net profit

    ICT companies

    : World Stock Market Cap by Think 180 around (Dec 2016)

    :

    :

    :

    recap

    10

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    billion dollars

    : World Stock Market Cap by Think 180 around (Dec 2016)

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    0 10 20 30 40 50

    Market cap

    Net profit

    recap

    11

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    Kaz Ataka 2017, 170213 METI

    Old Game New Game

    /GDP

    ICT

    12

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    https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Steve_Jobs_Headshot_2010-CROP.jpghttps://www.tesla.com/powerwall?redirect=no 13

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    AI3

    ICT

    : 2 (2015.10)http://www.meti.go.jp/committee/sankoushin/shin_sangyoukouzou/002_haifu.html

    recap

    14

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    recap

    15

    10 10 7.6

    2.2

    17

    3.20.11

    3.0 1.6

    0.39

    10

    0.70

    WebYahoo! JAPAN (201611

    e

    LINE

    SNS

    0.47

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    Protections everywhere

    Car sharing

    C2C payment

    TEDxTokyo 2016 Shin Nihon by Kaz Ataka (2016.10.22)

    Room sharing

    16

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    cost of industrial electricity (yen/kwh)

    IEA Energy Prices and Taxes (OECD

    510

    TohokuKyushuU.S.

    Japan

    17

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    TEDxTokyo 2016 Shin Nihon by Kaz Ataka (2016.10.22) 18

  • CSO

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    IPAIT 2009

    ICT

    recap

    19

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    SIercoder *

    : 2015.5.23 (http://www.applstat.gr.jp/seminar/ataka.pdf) *

    recap

    20

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    Kaz Ataka 2017, 170213 METI

    Number of science and technology graduates10k/year

    Ratio of science and tech major student

    2012Populationmillions

    OECD Graduated by field of education (http://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DatasetCode=RGRADSTY#)

    63

    63

    45

    31

    23

    S Korea

    Germany

    UK

    US

    Japan

    21

    recap

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    Totalthousands

    Graduates per 100 people

    Big data: The next frontier for innovation, competition, and productivity (McKinsey Global Institute; May 2011) 22

    recap

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    Number of Data Science degree programs

    500+

    120~30

    201720162015

    TEDxTokyo 2016 Shin Nihon by Kaz Ataka (2016.10.22) 23

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    MIT CSAIL Prof. Daniela Rus Toward the Fourth Industrial Revolution 2016.7.14)

    # of undergraduate computer science major in US top schools

    24

    recap

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    Kaz Ataka 2017, 170213 METI

    # of introductory computer science enrollment in US top schools

    MIT CSAIL Prof. Daniela Rus Toward the Fourth Industrial Revolution 2016.7.14) 25

    recap

  • CSO

    Kaz Ataka 2017, 170213 METI

    : 2015.5.23 (http://www.applstat.gr.jp/seminar/ataka.pdf)

    recap

    26

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    27

  • CSO

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    *

    geek/hacker

    *: 2015.5.23 (http://www.applstat.gr.jp/seminar/ataka.pdf)

    recap

    28

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    Kaz Ataka 2017, 170213 METI

    Larry Page

    Sergey Brin

    StanfordPhD programComputer science

    ElonMusk

    StanfordPhD programApplied physics

    Jerry Yang

    StanfordBS/MSElectrical engineering

    Andy Rubin

    Utica CollegeBSComputer science

    HPWikipedia

    MarkZuckerberg

    HarvardBSPsychology & Computerscience

    29

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    renew

    : 2015.5.23 (http://www.applstat.gr.jp/seminar/ataka.pdf) 30

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    Not even a competition

    31

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    Like 164 years ago164

    32

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    : 5 (2016.1) http://www.meti.go.jp/committee/sankoushin/shin_sangyoukouzou/005_haifu.htmlTEDxTokyo 2016 Shin Nihon by Kazuto Ataka (2016.10.22) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G6ypXVO_Fm0

    1750~ 1900~ 1960~

    33

    recap

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    1750~

    1900~

    1960~

    : 5 (2016.1) http://www.meti.go.jp/committee/sankoushin/shin_sangyoukouzou/005_haifu.htmlTEDxTokyo 2016 Shin Nihon by Kazuto Ataka (2016.10.22) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G6ypXVO_Fm0 34

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    : 5 (2016.1) http://www.meti.go.jp/committee/sankoushin/shin_sangyoukouzou/005_haifu.html

    AI

    Phase IAI

    AI

    Data professionals

    Phase II

    AI

    2025?

    Power to the people

    Phase III

    2035?

    recap

    35

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    &

    36

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    37

  • CSO

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    : AI 20164http://www.hitachihyoron.com/jp/pdf/2016/04/2016_04_00_talk.pdf

    AI

    vs AI vs

    38

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    +

    MECE

    So What

    + +

    : 2015.5.23 (http://www.applstat.gr.jp/seminar/ataka.pdf) 39

  • Kaz Ataka 2017, 170213 METI

    40

    3

    (business problem

    solving)

    (data science)

    (data engineering)

    (2014.12.10) http://www.datascientist.or.jp/news/2014/pdf/1210.pdf

    recap

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    Not this But this

    codingSE

    : 2015.5.23 (http://www.applstat.gr.jp/seminar/ataka.pdf)

    data professional

    41

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    Kaz Ataka 2017, 170213 METI

    (1)

    42

    Google Micro-Moments

    : https://www.thinkwithgoogle.com/micromoments/intro.htmlhttps://think.storage.googleapis.com/docs/micromoments-guide-to-winning-shift-to-mobile-download.pdf

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    (2)

    http://www.nature.com/articles/nature21056.epdf 43

  • CSO

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    Data Scientist

    ()

    ()

    ()

    44 21(NLP2015) Yahoo! JAPAN (2015.3.17)

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    AI

    : Diamond (2015/11) 45

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    38 25

    19461859

    29

    Google 1998

    Larry Page 25Sergei Brin 25

    Apple 1976

    Steve Jobs 21Steve Wozniak 26

    : Wikipedia,

    1917

    24 16

    1875

    Graham Bell 28

    1868

    Thomas Edison 21

    1905

    Albert Einstein 26

    46

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    Entrepreneurship

    : http://scet.berkeley.edu/undergrad/, http://extreme.stanford.edu 47

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    https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2017/01/google-sergey-brin-i-didn-t-see-ai-coming/

    Exponential thinking

    48

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    3+2AI

    Exponential thinking+

    + ICT+

    : 5 (2016.1) http://www.meti.go.jp/committee/sankoushin/shin_sangyoukouzou/005_haifu.html 49

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    https://twitter.com/masahiro_ono/status/826885171995512832 50

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    19

    8

    (1945~)

    Wikipedia, / 2016),

    51

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    52

  • CSO

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    Not this But this

    53

  • CSO

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    ICT

    :http://headlines.yahoo.co.jp/hl?a=20170210-00000001-kyt-l26http://www.newsweekjapan.jp/stories/world/2016/06/post-5365.php 54

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    55

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    : http://japanese.joins.com/article/294/216294.htmlhttp://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXLZO11372310W7A100C1MM8000/https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/whitehouse_files/microsites/ostp/NSTC/preparing_for_the_future_of_ai.pdf

    2016AI

    56

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    570

    19821992

    Human Brain Project Ph1 $10+B

    19932004StrategicComputing Initiative

    $1B 19831993

    Decade of Brain19902000

    Brain Initiative $3B 2013

    AI Initiative20152020

    Human Brain Project Ph220042013

    $3B19842003

    inspire

    NIH Blueprint for Neuroscience Research 2005

    : 2 (2015.10)http://www.meti.go.jp/committee/sankoushin/shin_sangyoukouzou/002_haifu.html 57

    AI100 x 10

    2016~15

    1980s 90s 2000s 2010s 2020srecap

    57019922001

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    1428

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2011

    2012

    2013

    2014

    310

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2011

    2012

    2013

    2014

    41*

    * 2.5(2013)2014117/$

    58

    recap

  • CSO

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    * Operating expense ($1=100 **benefit: financial report (enrollment)

    712

    837

    2,096

    2,141

    2,729

    2,960

    3,309

    Princeton

    Harvard

    Yale

    MIT

    Stanford

    41%

    42%

    53%

    50%

    63%

    49%

    63%

    **%: 2015

    */(100/: 2015

    59

  • CSO

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    /*100/: 2015

    * endowment: financial report (enrollment) ($1=100

    60

    58

    138

    448

    262

    296

    529

    Princeton

    Harvard

    Yale

    MIT

    Stanford

    152

    155

    356

    379

    565

    622

    563

    19

    28

    115

    188

    136

    148

    199

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    829

    298

    265

    330

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    24

    1159

    831

    1127

    622

    827

    R&D *

    Lincoln laboratory

    SLAC

    216

    242

    327

    295

    639

    444

    893

    > 800> 400

    60

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    endowment

    : financial report (enrollment) ($1=100

    671

    403

    513

    289

    340

    1

    n/a

    When=1

    endowment$ million : 2015

    0

    110

    21,595

    35,666

    25,543

    13,182

    22,200

    Princeton

    Harvard

    Yale

    MIT

    Stanford

    n/a

    endowment/: 2015

    0

    4 2,708

    1,625

    2,071

    1,165

    1,371

    1

    n/a

    61

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    endowment

    1. * (research university) 10

    * 10Ph.D.++**stipend *** Harvard University financial report FY16, https://ces.commerce.yale.edu/givingtoyale/gifts.cgi

    2. professional7%

    3. 3.5%1/21/4**1/4

    4. *** (education gift)

    5. (matching gift)

    62

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    () Federally Funded Research and Development Center (FFRDC)

    $1759M

    $785M

    $346M

    $956M

    $448M(2015) (2014)(2015-20)(2016) (2016)

    : financial report https://www.sei.cmu.edu/news/article.cfm?assetid=442332&article=209&year=2015, http://www.lbl.gov/about/, Wikipedia,

    NASA

    NASA

    63

  • CSO

    Kaz Ataka 2017, 170213 METI

    The Economist, 64

    60/402/3

  • CSO

    Kaz Ataka 2017, 170213 METI

    1. 2. 1

    3

    3. data professional

    4. 3+2

    ICT/5.

    6. endowment

    7. 65