001 prediction motivation

11
Motivation and pre-requisites Jeffrey Leek Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health

Upload: amitmohanty

Post on 12-Nov-2015

218 views

Category:

Documents


3 download

DESCRIPTION

Coputrsera : Why prediction?

TRANSCRIPT

  • Motivation and pre-requisitesJeffrey LeekJohns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health

  • About this courseThiscoursecoversthebasicideasbehindmachinelearning/prediction

    Whatthiscoursedependson

    Whatwouldbeuseful

    Studydesigntrainingvs.testsets

    Conceptualissuesoutofsampleerror,ROCcurves

    Practicalimplementationthecaretpackage

    TheDataScientist'sToolbox

    RProgramming

    Exploratoryanalysis

    ReportingDataandReproducibleResearch

    Regressionmodels

    2/11

  • Who predicts?Localgovernments>pensionpayments

    Google>whetheryouwillclickonanad

    Amazon>whatmoviesyouwillwatch

    Insurancecompanies>whatyourriskofdeathis

    JohnsHopkins>whowillsucceedintheirprograms

    3/11

  • Why predict? Glory!

    http://www.zimbio.com/photos/Chris+Volinsky

    4/11

  • Why predict? Riches!

    http://www.heritagehealthprize.com/c/hhp

    5/11

  • Why predict? For sport!

    http://www.kaggle.com/

    6/11

  • Why predict? To save lives!

    http://www.oncotypedx.com/enUS/Home

    7/11

  • A useful (if a bit advanced) book

    Theelementsofstatisticallearning

    8/11

  • A useful package

    http://caret.rforge.rproject.org/

    9/11

  • Machine learning (more advanced material)

    https://www.coursera.org/course/ml

    10/11

  • Even more resourcesListofmachinelearningresourcesonQuora

    ListofmachinelearningresourcesfromScience

    AdvancednotesfromMITopencourseware

    AdvancednotesfromCMU

    Kagglemachinelearningcompetitions

    11/11