cis asia foresight intro 20100310
TRANSCRIPT
Foresighting Future Fuel Technology
OpenSpace( innovative ideas) Delphi () Scenario (, )
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early weak signals of change
Source: modified from Bezold and Hancock 1993
Possible and Plausible Futures
The generic foresight process framework
inputsanalysisinterpretationprospectionoutputsstrategyForesight
Source: Voros (2003)Strategic intelligence scanning, DelphiEmerging issues/trends analysisSystems thinking, Causal Layered AnalysisScenarios, visioning, backcasts, roadmapsReports, presentations, workshops, multimediaStrategy development & strategic planning: individual, workgroup, organisation, society, etc.
Note possible loops of feedback throughout the process
1998 Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation
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: SCG, PTT, CDG, TPA, NSTDA, EGAT, CAT, TRIDI, KNIT, , , SIRIM, NISTPASS etc.
APEC Member EconomiesAPEC Official Observers Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) Secretariat Pacific Economic Cooperation Council (PECC) Pacific Islands Forum (PIF)
2008 APEC Secretariat
1-2
A4
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7 November 2009
APEC Center for Technology Foresight www.apecforesight.org