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www.strglobal.com China Hotel Marketing Conference - © STR Global 2014
Jesper Palmqvist, Area Director Asia Pacific, STR Global Fiona He, Country Manager - China, STR Global
Shanghai 2014-05-14
Hotel Marketing Conference 2014
China Hotel Market Recap 中国酒店市场概览
www.strglobal.com China Hotel Marketing Conference - © STR Global 2014
The world’s leading
Hospitality Benchmark company
全球领先的酒店数据服务提供机构
APAC: +5,300 hotels
+1,000,000 rooms
Aggregating key hotel metrics into
valuable performance data
Global client base ~50,000 hotels
submitting performance data
Industry standard used by all major hotel groups
全球范围内拥有超过5万家合作酒店,树立标杆数据管理行业标准并为各大酒店集团广泛采用
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全球酒店概览 Global Picture Q1 2014 RevPAR %Change 2014年第一季度每间可售房收入变化率
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亚太酒店概览 Spotlight Asia Pacific Q1 2014 RevPAR %Change (USD) 2014年第一季度每间可售房收入变化率
Australia&Oceania 澳大利亚区域
- 4.2%
Central/South Asia 中南亚
- 9.7%
Southeast Asia 东南亚
- 4.2%
Northeast Asia 东北亚
+ 1.2%
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12m mov avg Demand & Supply %Chg - 滚动12个月供给量和需求量变化率
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Supply % Chg Demand % Chg
亚太酒店市场概览 APAC Hotel Overview
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-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Occ % Chg ADR % Chg
亚太酒店市场概览 APAC Hotel Overview 12m mov avg Occ and ADR %Chg - 滚动12个月房价和入住率变化率
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$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
60%
65%
70%
75%
Luxury Upper Upscale Upscale UpperMidscale
Midscale &Economy
Occ 13 Occ 14 ADR 14
-2.0
-0.2 +2.4 +0.3 -0.2 +0.6
-2.4
-4.8
-4.5
-4.9
亚太酒店市场概览 APAC Hotel Overview March 2013 & 2014 YTD Occ and ADR (USD) 2013第一季度和2014第一季度 房价和入住率(美元)
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-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
Occupancy ADR
亚太主要国家 APAC Countries March 2014 YTD Occ and ADR %Chg (Local currency) 2014第一季度 房价和入住率同比变化率(当地货币)
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-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Occupancy ADR
亚太主要市场 APAC Markets March 2014 YTD Occ and ADR %Chg Local currency) 2014第一季度 房价和入住率同比变化率(当地货币)
-31%
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中国酒店市场 China Hotel Overview CAGR 2007 - 2013 YE (CNY)
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
Occupancy ADR RevPAR Supply Demand
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50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
Luxury Upper Upscale Upscale Upper Midscale Midscale &Economy
Occ 12 Occ 13 ADR 13
-2.3
-4.0
-0.3
-2.5
-3.2 -0.3 -2.5 -3.2 -0.5
-1.6
中国各级别市场 China Hotel By Class YE 2013 Occ and ADR 2013年房价和入住率
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-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
Luxury Upper Upscale Upscale Upper Midscale Midscale &Economy
ADR %Chg Occ %Chg Revpar %Chg
-0.8
中国各级别市场 China Hotel By Class Q1 2014 Revpar, Occ and ADR 2014年第一季度每间可售房收入,房价和入住率
+2.8
-1.5
+1.6
-1.1
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中国主要市场 China Markets YE 2013 RevPar %Chg 2013年每间可售房收入同比变化率
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
RevPar % Chg
ADR was the main driving factor
房价是驱动下滑的主要因素
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中国主要市场 China Markets Q1 2014 RevPar %Chg 2014年第一季度每间可售房收入同比变化率
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
RevPar
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中国主要市场 China Markets Q1 2014 ADR and Occ %Chg 2014年第一季度房价和入住率同比变化率
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
ADR Occ
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China upscale markets
中国高端酒店市场 (Luxury, Upper Upscale, Upscale classes,奢华,超高档和高档酒店市场)
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中国高端酒店 China upscale markets YE 2013 vs. YE 2012 RevPar 2013年每间可售房收入
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
RevPar RevPar %Chg
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中国高端酒店 China upscale markets Q1 2014 RevPar and %Chg 每间可售房收入及同比变化率
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
Revpar RevPar %Chg
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中国高端酒店 China upscale markets Q1 2014 Occ and ADR %Chg 房价和入住率变化率
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
ADR %Chg Occ %Chg
Occupancy driving
入住率是主要驱动因素
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全球筹建项目概览 Global picture Pipeline % increase # of rooms 房间数增长率
+3%
+40%
+15% +8%
+16%
+7%
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50%
35%
14%
16%
29%
40%
43%
34%
22%
49%
2%
12%
19%
12%
8%
8%
10%
33%
51%
14%
China
India
Indonesia
Malaysia
Thailand
Luxury & Upper Upscale Upscale & Upper Midscale Midscale & Economy Unaffiliated
Chain Scale Under Contract
有效新增供给
各级别酒店筹建项目 Pipeline by class Top 5 Pipeline countries, Supply increase % of existing Jan 2014
未来新增供给最多的前五大国家
15%
25%
33%
22%
9%
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2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Indonesia India China
CAGR 3.8%
CAGR 11.9%
CAGR 10.3%
筹建项目 Pipeline Growth Status China | India | Indonesia - Supply growth 中国,印尼和印度未来供给增长趋势
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中国筹建项目 China Pipeline
286753
3% Beijing
40% Sanya 13939
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Amsterdam
Athens
Barcelona
Beijing
Berlin
Birmingham
Brussels
Budapest
Cologne
Copenhagen
Dubai
Dublin
Dusseldorf
Edinburgh Frankfurt
Gatwick
Glasgow
Hamburg
Heathrow Hong Kong
Leeds London
Madrid
Manchester
Milan
Moscow
Munich
Paris L/UU
Prague
Regional UK
Rome
Singapore
Stuttgart
Sydney
Tokyo
Vienna
Warsaw
Zurich
-4%
-1%
2%
5%
8%
-3% -1% 1% 3%
AD
R %
Ch
an
ge
Occupancy % Change
市场预测 Forecast Occ and ADR %Chg Feb 2014 2014年2月 房价和入住率变化率
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盈利数据 Profitability GOPPAR supported by cost controls
Profitability - YE 2013 2013年盈利数据
China (206 Hotels)
-0.6%
-1.9%
-1.6% -0.2%
+0.2%
+1.4%
Shanghai (45 Hotels)
RevPAR
GOPPAR
TRevPAR
NB - Preliminary data
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55% 57% 54% 53% 54%
58%
39% 37% 38%
42% 43%
35%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
China Beijing Hong Kong Shanghai Hangzhou Tianjin
Room % F&B %
2013 Ratio To Sales – Rooms & F&B Revenue 2013年客房可餐饮收入占比
中国盈利数据 China Profitability
NB - Preliminary data
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Fiona He & Jesper Palmqvist
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