8/15/2019 Lecture Rostow 120

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ROSTOW : THE CRITIQUE

THE ATTACK WAS ‘BROAD, INTENSE [AND] PUBLICISED’ (SUPPLE)

IT SURVIVES AS ‘A STRAW MAN FOR TEACHERS OF ECONMICS ANDECONOMIC HISTORY’ (SUPPLE)

!) TH BROAD CRITIQUE

") FALSE UNIFORMITY IN STA#ES PRO#RESSION

$) HOW ESSNTIAL WERE THE IDENTIFIED ‘PRECONDITIONS’%

") & $) NE'T LECTURE

) HOW DOES A COUNTRY MOVE FROM ONE ‘STA#E’ TOANOTHER%

) THE ‘TAKE OFF’:

*) WHAT DOES ‘INDUSTRIALISATION TAKIN# HOLD’MEAN%

**) HOW FAR MUST INDUSTRIALISATION PROCEED BEFOREIT ‘TAKES HOLD’%

***) WHAT IS ‘A DECISIVE BREAK+THROU#H FOR ‘THEFORCES OF MODERNISATION’%

* ) WHAT IS ‘A SUBSTANTIAL MANUFACTURIN# SECTOR’%

) WHAT IS ‘A HI#H RATE OF #ROWTH’%

*) WHAT IS MEANT BY ‘STRUCTURAL CHAN#E’ IN THEECONOMY’%

IS IT:

") A - CHAN#E IN OUTPUT DISTRIBUTION AMON# VARIOUSINDSTRIES%

$) A - CHAN#E IN THE DISTRIBUTION OF INPUTS (LABOUR, CAPITAL)%

) A MEANS OF DIFFERENTIATIN# BETWEEN ‘TEMPORARY’ OR‘PERMANENT’ CHAN#ES%

8/15/2019 Lecture Rostow 120

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8/15/2019 Lecture Rostow 120

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FO#EL’S CASE FOCUSSES ON BACKWARD LINKA#ES WITH ‘SECONDARY#ROWTH SECTORS’ * 8 SUPPLYIN# INDUSTRIES

!) IRON : IRON OUTPUTS ↑ 3', !241+61

RAILROAD SHARE OF TOTAL OUTPUT 7 !5- (!1- !241+91)

0) COALDIRECT DEMAND BY RAILROADS WAS ‘NE#LI#IBLE’ : EARLY USLOCOS WERE FUELLED BY WOOD

3) LUMBER !241+!261, RAILROADS DEMANDED ‘LESS THAN HALF OF ONEPERCENT OF LUMBER PRODUCTION’

4) TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENT

‘IN !29. THE DOLLAR VALUE OF THE OUTPUT OF VEHICLES DRAWNBY ANIMALS WAS STILL ALMOST TWICE AS #REAT AS THE OUTPUTOF EQUIPMENT FOR THE CELEBRATED IRON HORSE’

9) ‘NAIL IN THE COFFIN’‘NAILS RATHER THAN RAILS’

CONCLUSION

ROSTOW’S THESIS IS CONTEPTUALLY FLAWED AND WHEN PUT TO THETEST HIS ‘FACTS’ ARE WRON#

BUT ON THE POSITIVE SIDE

!) ROSTOW’S ‘THEORY’ TRI##ERED OFF AN ENORMOUS RESEARCHEFFORT

0) HIS TERMINOLO#Y BECAME EMBEDED IN THE LITERATURE

3) HE ADVANCED ‘KNOWLED#E AND UNDERSTANDIN#’

NE'T LECTUREROSTOW ; #ERSCHENKRON