Gastos Mximos AnualesAOGasto mx. anual1931269.81932179.81933299.951934806.4193566719363151937392.41938288.8193929719401961941409.51942163.9

Grfico1

Fncin NormalAOGasto mx. anualFUNCION NORMAL1931269.81932179.8m357.12921933299.95s194.83131934806.41935667TrP(x)F(x)Q193631520.50.5357.1292m3/s1937392.450.20.8521.1034m3/s1938288.8100.10.9606.8156m3/s1939297250.040.96698.2177m3/s1940196500.020.98757.2638m3/s1941409.51000.010.99810.3747m3/s1942163.95000.0020.998917.8853m3/s10000.0010.999959.2033m3/s50000.00020.99981046.8485m3/s100000.00010.99991081.7102m3/s

Log Normal

AOGasto mx. anualln(hp)diferencia (hp- m)(hp- m)^2LOG NORMAL1931269.85.5977-0.16610.02761932179.85.1918-0.57190.3271m = a5.76381933299.955.7036-0.06010.0036s = b0.48301934806.46.69260.92880.862719356676.50280.73900.5462TrP(x)F(x)Q19363155.7526-0.01120.000120.50.5318.5444m3/s1937392.45.97230.20850.043550.20.8478.2978m3/s1938288.85.6657-0.09800.0096100.10.9591.5247m3/s19392975.6937-0.07000.0049250.040.96741.9471m3/s19401965.2781-0.48560.2359500.020.98858.8944m3/s1941409.56.01490.25120.06311000.010.99979.7537m3/s1942163.95.0993-0.66450.44165000.0020.9981278.9654m3/s10000.0010.9991416.9032m3/s50000.00020.99981760.7418m3/s100000.00010.99991919.6694m3/s

Funcin Pearson IIIAOGasto mx. anual(hp-hp)3/n((hp-hp)3/n)/s3FUNCIN PEARSON III1931269.8-55500.4752-0.00751932179.8-464685.6631-0.0628g =1.15141933299.95-15578.7360-0.0021b =3.01711934806.47556895.71961.0218a =112.165919356672479481.39700.3353n =61936315-6231.1379-0.0008d =18.70861937392.43656.50280.00051938288.8-26585.0283-0.0036TrP(x)F(x)X2YQ1939297-18116.5004-0.002420.50.55.34812.6741318.6471m3/s1940196-348611.1207-0.047150.20.88.55814.2790498.6700m3/s1941409.511969.80860.0016100.10.910.64465.3223615.6916m3/s1942163.9-601224.6756-0.0813250.040.9613.19786.5989758.8812m3/s500.020.9815.03327.5166861.8155m3/sn121000.010.9916.81198.4059961.5695m3/s5000.0020.99820.791210.39561184.7389m3/s10000.0010.99922.457711.22891278.2055m3/s50000.00020.999826.249913.12491490.8784m3/s100000.00010.999927.856313.92821580.9748m3/s

Funcin GumbelAOGasto mx. anualFUNCIN GUMBEL1931269.81932179.8m =357.1292my0.5035a0.00501933299.95s =194.8313sy0.98327b257.36251934806.4n =1219356671936315TrQ1937392.42329.9857m3/s1938288.85554.5701m3/s193929710703.2645m3/s194019625891.1403m3/s1941409.5501030.5173m3/s1942163.91001168.8652m3/s5001488.5660m3/s10001626.0098m3/s50001944.9933m3/s100002082.3478m3/s

Gumbel dos PoblacionesGUMBEL DOS POBLACIONESAOGasto mx. anualAOGasto mx. anualdiferencia1931269.81934806.4m =357.1292m =416.2056m =179.90001932179.81935667139.4s =194.8313s = S190.8520s = S16.05021933299.951941409.5257.5my = Yn =0.49015my = Yn =0.428591934806.41937392.417.1551.9605sy = Sn =0.92882sy = Sn =0.64348P =0.25001935667193631577.4a1 =0.0049a2 =0.040119363151933299.9515.05b1 =315.4906b2 =169.20971937392.419392972.95n=9n=31938288.81938288.88.219392971931269.819POBLACION 1POBLACIN 2TrP(X)F(X)Q1940196194019673.8Datos ciclonicosDatos no ciclonicos20.50.5390.8133m3/s0.50001941409.51932179.816.2AOGasto mx. anualAOGasto mx. anual50.20.8623.7113m3/s0.80001942163.91942163.915.91934806.41940196100.10.9890m3/s0.940819356671932179.8250.040.96900m3/s0.94351941409.51942163.9500.020.981117.1372m3/s0.9800-0.00001937392.41000.010.99279.15m3/s0.300419363155000.0020.998346m3/s0.42201933299.9510000.0010.999375.34m3/s0.4735193929750000.00020.9998450.56m3/s0.59561938288.8100000.00010.9999470.78m3/s0.62521931269.8

Pruebas de BondadmQrTr=n+1/mP(X)F(X)NORMALLOG NORMALPEARSON IIIGUMBELDOBLE GUMBELFUNCIN PEARSON IIIQc(Qc - Qp)2Qc(Qc - Qp)2Qc(Qc - Qp)2Qc(Qc - Qp)2(Qc - Qp)2Qc(Qc - Qp)2x2y1806.413.00000.07690.9231634.973629386.9941634.288429622.3928657.745422098.2023757.72062369.68252369.6825834.3778782.757311.39448937815.6972446890.9231-0.000026676.50000.15380.8462555.872012349.4333521.349521214.0765544.170215087.1694611.93303032.37403032.3740683.2332263.51689.36936107164.68468053580.8462-0.00003409.54.33330.23080.7692500.58668296.7670454.58052032.2474473.05844039.6661522.486512765.955812765.9558590.394332722.74788.10138612694.05069306340.76920.00004392.43.25000.30770.6923455.01293920.3715406.0204185.5142419.3922728.5810455.59213993.24713993.2471521.026316544.72517.14448007363.57224003680.69230.000053152.60000.38460.6154414.28909858.3111367.03382707.5165375.11803614.1694400.53517316.25037316.2503463.968222191.52466.35503754143.17751877070.6154-0.00006299.952.16670.46150.5385375.94185774.7555333.75121142.5243336.51561337.0452352.39082750.04042750.0404414.067213022.73535.66672988012.833364940.5385-0.000072971.85710.53850.4615338.31651707.0549304.030349.4257301.468519.9671308.3318128.4094128.4094368.37685094.64765.04181342222.52090671110.46150.00018288.81.62500.61540.3846299.9693124.7534276.4609152.2526268.5435410.3278266.3798502.6638502.6638325.12821319.73814.4547365722.2273682860.38460.00009269.81.44440.69230.3077259.2455111.3982249.9148395.4202236.56101104.8281224.79242025.68512025.6851283.1092177.13483.88446703251.94223351620.3077-0.0001101961.30000.76920.2308213.6717312.2905223.2179740.8155204.266868.3394181.5185209.7136209.7136242.44522157.15663.3086365071.65431825350.23080.000011179.81.18180.84620.1538158.3863458.5449194.6305219.9436169.7969100.0619133.14422176.76272176.7627205.8912680.75072.69401389781.34700694890.15380.000012163.91.08330.92310.076979.28477159.7515159.975315.4030128.79511232.356670.72088682.36808682.3680173.101284.66211.96292127290.98146063650.0770-0.000112=79460.4259=58477.5325=49840.7142=45953.152745953.1527=95042.0967FUNCION NORMALLOG NORMAL FUNCIN PEARSON IIIGUMBELGUMBEL DOS POBLACIONESm357.1292m = a5.7638g =1.1514m =357.1292m =357.1292P =0.2500s194.8313s = b0.4830b =3.0171s =194.8313s =194.8313a =112.1659n =12n =6my0.5035m =416.2056m =179.9000d =18.7086sy0.98327s = S190.8520s = S16.0502a0.0050my = Yn =0.49015my = Yn =0.42859b257.3625sy = Sn =0.92882sy = Sn =0.64348a1 =0.0049a2 =0.0401b1 =315.4906b2 =169.2097n=9n=3

ResultadosNORMALLOG NORMALPEARSON IIIGUMBELDOBLE GUMBEL79460.425948575858477.532484649349840.714204863845953.152743191995042.09674638

281.8872575137241.8212821169223.2503397643214.3668648443308.2889825251

43215

281.8872575137241.8212821169157.8618291495214.3668648443177.9907270491

54132

p22324