slide: 1 ceos disaster sba team – tokyo, japan – april 2010 guy seguin (csa), chair, ceos...

Slide: 1 CEOS Disaster SBA Team – Tokyo, Japan – April 2010

Guy Seguin (CSA), Chair, CEOS Disaster SBA Team

Roadmap for improved disaster management – path forward?


Overview

• Report on December Frascati Meeting• Report on Workplan DI Actions• Approach for Gap Analysis• Disaster Users’ Needs Conclusions• Architecture Requirements or Measurements• Gap Analysis Results• GEOSS Ten-Year Plan Objectives• CEOS Disaster Activities Roadmap


Frascati Meeting - Objectives

• Review GEO objectives for disaster management• Align CEOS action plan with GEO objectives and

improve planification vs list of actions• Harmonize CEOS action plan with disaster Charter• Develop timeline for roadmap development to achieve

GEO 2015 DI Objectives• Participants:

Michael Tanner (GEO secretariat), Ivan Petiteville (CEOS CEO-ESA), Philippe Bally (ESA – Charter Extension), Francois Boubila (ESA), Lorant Czaran (Head UN-SPIDER office), Steven Hosfors (CNES), Laura Frulla (CONAE), Wolgang Lengert (ESA – INSAR Geohazards), Brian Killough (CEOS SEO, NASA), Shelley Stover (NASA), Claus Zehner (ESA – co-chair ACC and Volcanic Ash)


GEOSS Targets and Achievements

By 2015:• More timely dissemination of data in support of full

cycle of disaster management at local, national and regional levels

• Development of a multi-hazard, end-to-end approach for disasters

• Support implementation of Hyogo Framework


CEOS Contribution to GEO Disaster Tasks

• DI-06-09: Use of Satellites for Risk Management

• DI-09-01: Systematic Monitoring for Geohazards Risk Assessmento a) Vulnerability Mapping and Risk Assessmento b) Seismographic Networks Improvement and Coordination

• DI-09-02: Multi-Risk Management and Regional Applicationso a) Implementation of a Multi-Risk Management Approacho b) Regional End-to-End Disaster Management Applications

• DI-09-03: Warning Systems for Disasterso a) Tsunami Early Warning System of Systemso b) Implementation of a Wildland Fire Warning System at Global

Level


Disaster Management Roadmap

10/09 10/10 10/11Use of satellites for risk management

• Multi hazard end-to-end plan development• Gap analysis• Recommendations to CEOS• Action plan to address Gap• Timely dissemination of Data (WGISS)

Risk Mapping and Assessment• INSAR Super sites• Volcanic ash

Regional End-to-end demonstrations• Caribbean Flood Pilot• African Flood/Disease Pilot

Warning Systems• Operational Fire Warning

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OPEN Disaster Actions

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

DI-06-09_7 Process Modelling for earthquakes, fires and floodsDI-06-09_8 Satellite Systems Architecture for Disaster ManagementDI-09-01a_4 Data for Geohazards Supersites

DI-09-02a_2 Global Operational Volcanic Ash AlertDI-09-02b_2 Caribbean Satellite Disaster PilotDI-09-02b_3 African Flood and Health PilotDI-09-03b_2 Global Geostationary and Polar Orbiting Fire Warning System

2012 – 2015 activities to be defined in 2011 workplan


CLOSED Disaster Actions

DI-06-09_5 Charter Meta Data Catalogue: CNES has completed catalogue based on CNES contributed data. DI-06-09_6 Improved Charter Access: Charter Board has established new mechanisms on regional basis to improve access. ESA conducting African study. DI-09-01a_2 Action Plan for increased INSAR data use: task has migrated to Geohazard Supersite activity (_4)DI-09-01a_3 Operational INSAR use in Canada: initial milestones achieved; task does not involve multiple CEOS agencies and will be monitored directly by CCRSDI-09-02b_1 Contribute satellite data to regional pilots: task has been split into separate Caribbean and Southern African tasks (_2 and _ 3)DI-09-03b_3 Operational Geostationary Fire Warning for GOES, MTSAT and MSG: system up and running at NOAA – new work to focus on integrating polar measurements (_2)

See CEOS Disaster SBA Team Website for presentations on closed actions


• Develop a Data Dissemination model to integrate and make use of existing technologies within WGISS/CEOS, i.e. sensor web, web service, grid, and clearing house for disaster response

• Implement a prototype to demonstrate use of these integrated technologies for Disaster Response

WGISS and Disasters – DI-06-09_7


Geohazards

SuperSites

Active Volcanoes Seismic Faults Landslide prone AreasAreas subject to

subsidence

Best Candidates

• Mauna Loa, Kilauea , Hawaii (USA)

• Etna (I)• Vesuvius / Campi

Flegrei (I)

• Tokyo (Japan)• Istanbul (Turkey)• Los Angeles, US• Vancouver (CA)

Landslides prone areas in: • Ecuador• Japan• Italy • Pakistan (Quetta)• India

Cities (3):• Amsterdam• Mexico• Jakarta

Mining sites (2):• Poland• Loraine (France)

Other Candidates

• Nyiragongo (Congo)• Yellowstone (US)• Piton de la Fournaise

(Fr)• Iceland volcanoes• Sakurajima,

Miyake-Jima (Japan)

• Main Japanese Islands • African Rift Valley• San Francisco (US)• Bam (Iran)• Sumatra (Indonesia)• full Italy / Greece

• ….suggestions?

• ….suggestions?

Initial system

Envisaged enlarged system

Geo-hazard Super Sites – DI-09-01a_4

Provision of SAR and

INSAR Data over the

Geohazard Supersites


Eruption of Etna (Italy) on 27 Oct. 2002

ACC for Volcanic Ash Monitoring – DI-09-02a_2

Demonstrate global operational volcanic ash alert system for aviation hazard avoidance.

Improved algorithms, improved data latency, and addition of

EUMETSAT/SEVIRI data.


Caribbean Satellite Disaster Pilot – DI-09-02b_2

• Phase 1:o Hurricane warning, response and recovery at Caribbean-wide

level: use of Sensor Web to predict flooded areas; near real-time acquisition of optical, thermal infrared, and radar satellite data; post event mapping

o Mitigation activities with five national partners (Barbados, British Virgin Islands, Grenada, Jamaica, Saint-Lucia): satellite data archive mining, background mission imaging, collaboration at national and local level, six regional projects Sensorweb, Coastal decision support tool, urban risk mitigation,

multi-hazard vulnerability mapping, sensitive ecosystem monitoring (landslides) and integration of data into operational warning systems

• Phase 2:o Extension of projects to Phase 2 countries and development of

statement of requirements for Caribbean-wide approach for satellite-based mitigation


Southern African Flood and Health Pilot – DI-09-02b_3

• Extensive flooding in Namibia in 2009• Worked with Guido Van Langenhove, head of Hydrological

Services in Namibia, to identify flood sensorweb pilot scenario

• Collected satellite imagery for months in the Lake Liambezi area

• Collected the following:o Ground measurements (Guido Langenhove)o Rainfall estimates, and predictions for first three months of 2009

(Policelli)o Flood predictions for 1st three months of year (TRMM – Policelli)o Assets:

EO-1 30 meter/10 meter 1 -2 times per week(Frye) Formosat 2 meter data, once per week for 4-6 weeks (requested

from Cheng-Chien Liu MODIS flood map , once per week 4-6- weeks (Requested from Bob

Brakenridge) Radarsat every three days for critical period

Year 3 Accomplishments


Satellite Active Fire Spectral Bands

Resolution IGFOV (km)

SSR (km) Full Disk Coverage 3.9 m SaturationTemperature (K)

Minimum Fire Size at Equator (at 750 K) (hectares)

GOES-E/-WImager

1 visible3.9 and 10.7 m

1.04.0 (8.0)

0.572.3

3 hours >335 K (G-11)>335 K (G-12)

0.15

GOES-10 Imager(South America, 2006)


1.04.0 (8.0)

0.572.3

3 hours (Full Disk)15-min (SA)

~322 K (G-10) 0.15

MSG SEVIRI 1 HRV2 visible

1.6, 3.9 and 10.8 m

1.6 4.84.8

1.0 3.03.0

15 minutes ~335 K 0.22

FY-2C SVISSR(FY-2D, 2006)

1 visible,3.75 and 10.8 m

1.255.0

30 minutes ~330 K (?)

MTSAT-1R JAMI(HRIT)


1.04.0

1 hour ~320 K 0.15

INSAT-3D(4th Qtr, 2007)

1 vis, 1.6 m3.9 and 10.7 m

1.04.0

0.57 ?2.3 ?

30 minutes

GOMS Elektro N2MSU-G (2010)

3 visible1.6, 3.75 and 10.7 m

1.0 km4.0 km

30 minutes

COMS (2008) 1 visible3.9 and 10.7 m

1.0 km4.0 km

30 minutes

Satellite View Angle

80°65°

Global GeostationaryActive Fire Monitoring

Capabilities

0-40-80-120-160 40 80 120

80

60

40

20

0

-20

-40

-60

-80

GOES-EGOES-W MSG COMS (116 or 128 E), MTSAT (140 E)

160

GOMS (76 E), INSAT (83 E), FY-2C (105 E)GOES-10

partially implemented by NOAA

Geostationary and polar global fire networkDI-09-03b_2

Inclusion of satellite-based fuel load and fuel condition data

into global early warning system; create data inventory and define specifications and

requirements


DI-06-09_8 : Satellites for Risk Management – Approach

• Examine high level conclusions from user needs• Derive architecture/measurement requirements• Perform gap analysis and examine results• Review GEOSS ten-year objectives• Establish roadmap for improved activities by disaster cycle phase

o mitigationo warning o response and o recovery


“Stop-Light” Chart

RED = 0 missionsYELLOW = 1 to 5 missionsWHITE = > 5 missions

Disaster SBA Information• Current SEO database contains

shows 339 (of 415) missions, 391 (of 984) instruments and 88 (of 146) measurements relevant to Disasters.

• These measurements are a mixture of atmosphere, land and ocean parameters.

• Measurement requirements are based on the GEOSS 10-Yr Implementation Plan.

• Future gap analyses will require better definition of measurements and their detailed requirements to match relevant missions.

Satellites for Risk Management: Measurements and Gap Analysis


Gap Analysis

04/10 06/10 10/10User requirement product identification

Measurement requirements

Gap analysis

Presentation to CEOS Plenary

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Deliverables for 2010

• Gap analysis for flood • Video on use of satellite data in disaster management• Data dissemination model• Agreement with key CEOS agencies on data for supersites• Phase I of Caribbean flood pilot• Phase I of African flood pilot• Plan for global fire warning using polar orbiting satellites

slide: 1 ceos disaster sba team – tokyo, japan – april 2010 guy seguin (csa), chair, ceos...

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