study on discharge characteristics of pollutant load at gyoungahn river with gis and water quality...

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오염총량관리에 따른 GIS수질모델링에 의한 경안천 유역의 오염부하량 배출특성 연구 Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management 서울시립대학교 Lee, Kwan-Woo

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Page 1: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

오염총량관리에 따른

GIS와 수질모델링에 의한

경안천 유역의

오염부하량 배출특성 연구

Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load

at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

서울시립대학교 물 환 경 연 구 실 Lee, Kwan-Woo

Page 2: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

E X

1. Introduction

2. Materials and Methods

3. Results

D I N

Page 3: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

1. Introduction

Background 1

Industrialization, Urbanization increase pollution loading on water supply source As Management of Point Pollution Source enhanced Contribution rate of Non-point Pollution Source increased Impose of Total Maximum Loads Management (‘99) Ratio of Non-point Pollution Source in Discharge : about 42% (‘05)

3

Page 4: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

1. Introduction

Background 1

4

Discharge Loading By Pollution Source

Page 5: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

1. Introduction

Background 1

5

strengthen Effluent Standard, more Installation of Sewerage Point Source Loading decreased Ratio of Discharge Loading by Non-point Pollution Source increased current Pollution Management reaches the limit related Laws revised ; Government demands Prediction and Countermeasure to Developer

Page 6: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

1. Introduction

Purpose 1

6

Estimating Pollutant Load based on Land Use Plan, Precipitation and Pollution Rate Hard to predict on Runoff Loading of actual Sub-watersheds by Non-point Pollution Source

Non-point Pollution Source run off at rainfall Runoff flow vary on each Season, therefore hard to predict, quantify for more efficient Total Maximum Loads Management require exact Pollution State and Geographic Information System using Digital Elevation Model, to analyze corresponding Water Basins

Page 7: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

7

Purpose 1

Input DATA - GIS DEM, Soils, Land Use - Climate Precipitation etc. - Point Source Sewage Treatment Plant Wastewater Treatment Plant

SWAT Model

Output for each stream - Flow - Constituent Yields

Additional DATA - Hydraulic, Hydrologic Coeff. of Sub-watershed - Slope Length

1. Introduction

Page 8: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

1. Introduction

Purpose 1

8

Research on Land Use Plan, Soil, Climate, Precipitation Input SWAT Model = estimating Pollution Loads by Non-point Pollution Source Research on Characteristic Data about Streams / River Input SWAT Model = Slope Length Patch, Hydraulic / Hydrologic Coefficient

Analyzing Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load Apply to Policy, considering Priority

Page 9: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

1. Introduction

Water Quality Modelling 2

9

Using Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management - to decrease Conflict between local Governments

- to seek balanced Development between local Governments

Therefore, Modelling required reasonable, fair, scientific Process

Page 10: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

1. Introduction 10

1) Procedure - Setting up Purpose - Understanding current State - Setting up Scope - Making Scenario - Analyzing Prediction Results 2) Problem and Limit - lack of fundamental Data or unsuitable - not enough considering local Characteristics - Uncertainty of Prediction

Water Quality Modelling 2

Page 11: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

1. Introduction

SWAT 3

11

SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool) is River basin, or Watershed Scale Model developed by USDA Agricultural Research Service) to predict the impact of land management practices on water, sediment and agricultural chemical yields SWAT’s benefits are Watersheds with no monitoring data can be modeled, The relative impact of alternative input data on water quality or other variables of interest can be quantified SWAT is continuous time Model

Page 12: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

1. Introduction

SWAT 3

12

SWAT Input : - Climate Solar Radiation, Temperature, Wind Speed Precipitation, Relative Humidity

- Hydrology Surface Runoff, Evapotranspiration, Sub-surface Water, Groundwater

- Nutrients / Pesticides Nitrogen, Phosphorus, Pesticides, Sediment, Nutrients, DO, CBOD

- Land Cover / Plant - Main Channel Processes Channel Characteristics, Flow rate and velocity

Page 13: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

Preparation

1. Introduction

SWAT 3

13

Schematic of SWAT Model

Input - GIS DEM, Soils, Land Use - Climate Temp., Relative Humidity, Precipitation etc. - Point Source Sewage Treatment Plant Wastewater Treatment Plant Effluent Water Quality Data

SWAT Model Analyze Output

Calibration & Validation

Page 14: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

1. Introduction

SWAT 3

14

Schematic representation of the hydrologic cycle

Page 15: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

Water Balance Equation

1. Introduction

SWAT 3

15

Page 16: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

1. Introduction

SWAT 3

16

In-Stream Processes modeled by SWAT

Page 17: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

1. Introduction

SWAT 3

17

Partitioning of Nitrogen in SWAT

Page 18: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

1. Introduction

SWAT 3

18

Partitioning of Nitrogen in SWAT

Page 19: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

1. Introduction

SWAT 3

19

Partitioning of Phosphorous in SWAT

Page 20: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

1. Introduction

SWAT 3

20

Partitioning of Phosphorous in SWAT

Page 21: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

2. Materials and Methods

Study Watershed 1

21

Location of Gyoungahn River

Page 22: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

Watershed Overview

2. Materials and Methods

Study Watershed 1

22

Basin Length (km) Area (㎢) Sub-Watershed Area (㎢)

Gyoungahn

River 22.50 / 49.30 575.32

Gyoungahn A 198.4

Gyoungahn B 248.9

Location of Monitoring Site

Page 23: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

2. Materials and Methods

Study Watershed 1

23

Aspect Analysis Altitude Analysis

Page 24: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

2. Materials and Methods

Study Watershed 1

24

Slope Analysis Soil Analysis

Page 25: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

25 2. Materials and Methods

SWAT Input 2

Soil and Land Use over DEM

Page 26: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

26

Streams within Basin and Watershed delineation

2. Materials and Methods

SWAT Input 2

Page 27: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

27

DEM 30m 20 Sub-watersheds

DEM 10m 31 Sub-watersheds

2. Materials and Methods

SWAT Input 2

Watershed Delineation by DEM

Page 28: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

2. Materials and Methods 28

Streams within Basin Land Use and etc.

SWAT Input 2

Page 29: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

29

ArcView GIS Patch 3

SWAT model calculates Average Slope using DEM, simulates with Average Field Slope Length existing SWAT model is developed that use Field Slope Length as 0.05m in the topography of average slope ≥ 25% existing SWAT model is suitable for U.S. topography, in generally gradual Slope these condition is hard to apply to Korean topography, sharp Slope

2. Materials and Methods

Page 30: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

30

Applying SWAT ArcView GIS Patch II correct Field Slope Length to 10m

ArcView GIS Patch 3

2. Materials and Methods

Page 31: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

31

ArcView GIS Patch 3

2. Materials and Methods

Page 32: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

32

ArcView GIS Patch 3

2. Materials and Methods

Apply ArcView GIS Extension Patch II

Page 33: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

33

Main Channel 4

2. Materials and Methods

Page 34: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

34

Main Channel 4

2. Materials and Methods

Page 35: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

35

Main Channel 4

Ch_side_slope

Fd_side_slope

existing SWAT model is suitable for the river of wide channel and gradual side slope Korean River : relatively narrow channel and sharp side slope Therefore, classify by Sub-watershed, modify manually and simulate

2. Materials and Methods

Fd_width

Ch_width

Ch_depth

1

1

Page 36: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

36 2. Materials and Methods

Main Channel 4

subbasin bt_width ch_depth ch_width Fd_width ch_side_slp Fd_side_slp

1 21.5168 0.9095 121.2859 328.4589 17.6411 9.6317

2 5.3814 0.2787 18.7709 19.8549 2.3044 0.1091

3 21.5168 0.9095 121.2859 328.4589 17.6411 9.6317

4 21.5168 0.9095 121.2859 328.4589 17.6411 9.6317

5 5.3814 0.2787 18.7709 19.8549 2.3044 0.1091

6 21.5168 0.9095 121.2859 328.4589 17.6411 9.6317

7 5.3814 0.2787 18.7709 19.8549 2.3044 0.1091

8 21.5168 0.9095 121.2859 328.4589 17.6411 9.6317

9 20.5567 1.1296 33.8516 38.9060 2.2955 0.5059

10 5.9326 0.8904 10.7466 11.6786 0.8948 0.1078

11 21.5168 0.9095 121.2859 328.4589 17.6411 9.6317

12 20.5567 1.1296 33.8516 38.9060 2.2955 0.5059

13 5.9326 0.8904 10.7466 11.6786 0.8948 0.1078

14 5.9326 0.8904 10.7466 11.6786 0.8948 0.1078

15 13.3922 0.8283 26.5473 29.0065 2.4203 0.2587

16 13.3922 0.8283 26.5473 29.0065 2.4203 0.2587

17 5.9326 0.8904 10.7466 11.6786 0.8948 0.1078

18 5.3814 0.2787 18.7709 19.8549 2.3044 0.1091

19 5.3814 0.2787 18.7709 19.8549 2.3044 0.1091

20 21.5139 1.6663 57.9379 70.5742 4.7688 0.7109

21 21.5139 1.6663 57.9379 70.5742 4.7688 0.7109

22 13.3922 0.8283 26.5473 29.0065 2.4203 0.2587

23 21.5139 1.6663 57.9379 70.5742 4.7688 0.7109

24 5.3814 0.2787 18.7709 19.8549 2.3044 0.1091

25 5.3814 0.2787 18.7709 19.8549 2.3044 0.1091

26 5.3814 0.2787 18.7709 19.8549 2.3044 0.1091

27 5.3814 0.2787 18.7709 19.8549 2.3044 0.1091

28 5.3814 0.2787 18.7709 19.8549 2.3044 0.1091

29 5.3814 0.2787 18.7709 19.8549 2.3044 0.1091

30 5.3814 0.2787 18.7709 19.8549 2.3044 0.1091

31 5.3814 0.2787 18.7709 19.8549 2.3044 0.1091

bt_width ch_depth ch_width Fd_width ch_side_slp Fd_side_slp

경안하류 21.5168 0.9095 121.2859 328.4589 17.6411 9.6317

경안중류 21.5139 1.6663 57.9379 70.5742 4.7688 0.7109

경안상류 5.3814 0.2787 18.7709 19.8549 2.3044 0.1091

곤지암하 20.5567 1.1296 33.8516 38.9060 2.2955 0.5059

곤지암중 13.3922 0.8283 26.5473 29.0065 2.4203 0.2587

곤지암상 5.9326 0.8904 10.7466 11.6786 0.8948 0.1078

Page 37: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

37 3. Results

Output 1

0

100

200

300

400

5000

100

200

300

400

500

2009-01-15 2009-08-03 2010-02-19 2010-09-07 2011-03-26 2011-10-12

Pre

cip

itat

ion

(m

m)

Ob

serv

ed

&Si

mu

late

d F

LOW

(CM

S)

Comparison of Observed and Simulated Flow

Precipitation

Observed FLOW

Simulated FLOW

SWAT simulate ; Patch II X, Main Channel X

Page 38: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

38

0

100

200

300

400

5000

100

200

300

400

500

2009-01-15 2009-08-03 2010-02-19 2010-09-07 2011-03-26 2011-10-12

Pre

cip

itat

ion

(m

m)

Ob

serv

ed

&Si

mu

late

d S

S(m

g/L

)

Comparison of Observed and Simulated SSPrecipitation

Observed SS

Simulated SS

SWAT simulate ; Patch II X, Main Channel X

3. Results

Output 1

Page 39: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

39

0

100

200

300

400

5000

10

20

30

40

50

2009-01-15 2009-08-03 2010-02-19 2010-09-07 2011-03-26 2011-10-12

Pre

cip

itat

ion

(m

m)

Ob

serv

ed

&Si

mu

late

d T

-N(m

g/L

)

Comparison of Observed and Simulated T-N

Precipitation

Observed T-N

Simulated T-N

SWAT simulate ; Patch II X, Main Channel X

3. Results

Output 1

Page 40: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

40

0

100

200

300

400

5000

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

2009-01-15 2009-08-03 2010-02-19 2010-09-07 2011-03-26 2011-10-12

Pre

cip

itat

ion

(m

m)

Ob

serv

ed

&Si

mu

late

d T

-P(m

g/L

)

Comparison of Observed and Simulated T-PPrecipitation

Observed T-P

Simulated T-P

SWAT simulate ; Patch II X, Main Channel X

3. Results

Output 1

Page 41: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

41

0

100

200

300

400

5000

4

8

12

16

20

2009-01-15 2009-08-03 2010-02-19 2010-09-07 2011-03-26 2011-10-12

Pre

cip

itat

ion

(m

m)

Ob

serv

ed

&Si

mu

late

d B

OD

(mg

/L)

Comparison of Observed and Simulated BOD

Precipitation

Observed BOD

Simulated BOD

SWAT simulate ; Patch II X, Main Channel X

3. Results

Output 1

Page 42: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

42

Num. of Data : 47

Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) : 0.8195

Coefficient of Determination (R2) : 0.8731

Absolute Percent Bias (APB, %) : 48.6066

Sum of Square Error (SSE) : 32787.2067

Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) : 26.4121

Mean Absolute Error (MAE) : 11.9737

Index of Aggrement (d) : 0.9365

Num. of Data : 47

Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) : -2.5798

Coefficient of Determination (R2) : 0.0023

Absolute Percent Bias (APB, %) : 231.2596

Sum of Square Error (SSE) : 163199.7104

Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) : 58.9265

Mean Absolute Error (MAE) : 39.8455

Index of Aggrement (d) : 0.2514

Validation of Output of SWAT by NSE (Flow, SS)

SWAT simulate ; Patch II X, Main Channel X

3. Results

Output 1

NSE : Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency

Page 43: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

43

0

100

200

300

400

5000

100

200

300

400

500

2009-01-15 2009-08-03 2010-02-19 2010-09-07 2011-03-26 2011-10-12

Pre

cip

itat

ion

(m

m)

Ob

serv

ed

&Si

mu

late

d F

LOW

(CM

S)

Comparison of Observed and Simulated Flow

Precipitation

Observed FLOW

Simulated FLOW

SWAT simulate ; Patch II O, Main Channel X

3. Results

Output 2

Page 44: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

44

0

100

200

300

400

5000

100

200

300

400

500

2009-01-15 2009-08-03 2010-02-19 2010-09-07 2011-03-26 2011-10-12

Pre

cip

itat

ion

(m

m)

Ob

serv

ed

&Si

mu

late

d S

S(m

g/L

)

Comparison of Observed and Simulated SSPrecipitation

Observed SS

Simulated SS

SWAT simulate ; Patch II O, Main Channel X

3. Results

Output 2

Page 45: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

45

0

100

200

300

400

5000

10

20

30

40

50

2009-01-15 2009-08-03 2010-02-19 2010-09-07 2011-03-26 2011-10-12

Pre

cip

itat

ion

(m

m)

Ob

serv

ed

&Si

mu

late

d T

-N(m

g/L

)

Comparison of Observed and Simulated T-N

Precipitation

Observed T-N

Simulated T-N

SWAT simulate ; Patch II O, Main Channel X

3. Results

Output 2

Page 46: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

46

0

100

200

300

400

5000

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

2009-01-15 2009-08-03 2010-02-19 2010-09-07 2011-03-26 2011-10-12

Pre

cip

itat

ion

(m

m)

Ob

serv

ed

&Si

mu

late

d T

-P(m

g/L

)

Comparison of Observed and Simulated T-PPrecipitation

Observed T-P

Simulated T-P

SWAT simulate ; Patch II O, Main Channel X

3. Results

Output 2

Page 47: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

47

0

100

200

300

400

5000

4

8

12

16

20

2009-01-15 2009-08-03 2010-02-19 2010-09-07 2011-03-26 2011-10-12

Pre

cip

itat

ion

(m

m)

Ob

serv

ed

&Si

mu

late

d B

OD

(mg

/L)

Comparison of Observed and Simulated BODPrecipitation

Observed BOD

Simulated BOD

SWAT simulate ; Patch II O, Main Channel X

3. Results

Output 2

Page 48: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

48

Num. of Data : 47

Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) : 0.8510

Coefficient of Determination (R2) : 0.8793

Absolute Percent Bias (APB, %) : 47.4026

Sum of Square Error (SSE) : 27062.4067

Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) : 23.9957

Mean Absolute Error (MAE) : 11.6771

Index of Aggrement (d) : 0.9514

Num. of Data : 47

Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) : -2.4622

Coefficient of Determination (R2) : 0.0167

Absolute Percent Bias (APB, %) : 207.1894

Sum of Square Error (SSE) : 157834.4200

Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) : 57.9498

Mean Absolute Error (MAE) : 35.6983

Index of Aggrement (d) : 0.2930

SWAT simulate ; Patch II O, Main Channel X

3. Results

Output 2

Validation of Output of SWAT by NSE (Flow, SS)

NSE : Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency

Page 49: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

49

0

100

200

300

400

5000

100

200

300

400

500

2009-01-15 2009-08-03 2010-02-19 2010-09-07 2011-03-26 2011-10-12

Pre

cip

itat

ion

(m

m)

Ob

serv

ed

&Si

mu

late

d F

LOW

(CM

S)

Comparison of Observed and Simulated FlowPrecipitation

Observed FLOW

Simulated FLOW

SWAT simulate ; Patch II O, Main Channel O

3. Results

Output 3

Page 50: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

50

0

100

200

300

400

5000

100

200

300

400

500

2009-01-15 2009-08-03 2010-02-19 2010-09-07 2011-03-26 2011-10-12

Pre

cip

itat

ion

(m

m)

Ob

serv

ed

&Si

mu

late

d S

S(m

g/L

)

Comparison of Observed and Simulated SSPrecipitation

Observed SS

Simulated SS

SWAT simulate ; Patch II O, Main Channel O

3. Results

Output 3

Page 51: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

51

0

100

200

300

400

5000

10

20

30

40

50

2009-01-15 2009-08-03 2010-02-19 2010-09-07 2011-03-26 2011-10-12

Pre

cip

itat

ion

(m

m)

Ob

serv

ed

&Si

mu

late

d T

-N(m

g/L

)

Comparison of Observed and Simulated T-NPrecipitation

Observed T-N

Simulated T-N

SWAT simulate ; Patch II O, Main Channel O

3. Results

Output 3

Page 52: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

52

0

100

200

300

400

5000

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

2009-01-15 2009-08-03 2010-02-19 2010-09-07 2011-03-26 2011-10-12

Pre

cip

itat

ion

(m

m)

Ob

serv

ed

&Si

mu

late

d T

-P(m

g/L

)

Comparison of Observed and Simulated T-PPrecipitation

Observed T-P

Simulated T-P

SWAT simulate ; Patch II O, Main Channel O

3. Results

Output 3

Page 53: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

53

0

100

200

300

400

5000

5

10

15

20

25

2009-01-15 2009-08-03 2010-02-19 2010-09-07 2011-03-26 2011-10-12

Pre

cip

itat

ion

(m

m)

Ob

serv

ed

&Si

mu

late

d B

OD

(mg

/L)

Comparison of Observed and Simulated BODPrecipitation

Observed BOD

Simulated BOD

SWAT simulate ; Patch II O, Main Channel O

3. Results

Output 3

Page 54: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

54

Num. of Data : 47

Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) : 0.8012

Coefficient of Determination (R2) : 0.8486

Absolute Percent Bias (APB, %) : 51.6699

Sum of Square Error (SSE) : 36109.8475

Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) : 27.7181

Mean Absolute Error (MAE) : 12.7284

Index of Aggrement (d) : 0.9299

Num. of Data : 47

Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) : -3.5058

Coefficient of Determination (R2) : 0.0070

Absolute Percent Bias (APB, %) : 232.1376

Sum of Square Error (SSE) : 205414.7885

Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) : 66.1100

Mean Absolute Error (MAE) : 39.9968

Index of Aggrement (d) : 0.2304

SWAT simulate ; Patch II O, Main Channel O

Output 3

Validation of Output of SWAT by NSE (Flow, SS)

NSE : Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency

3. Results

Page 55: Study on Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Load  at Gyoungahn River with GIS and Water Quality Modelling for Total Maximum Loads Management

55

Calibration and Validation 4

① Mean Error (ME)

② Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD)

③ Mean Absolute Error (MAE)

④ Root Mean Square Error (RMSE)

⑤ Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency

Poor Fair Good Very Good

NSE for

daily Simulation < 0.60

0.60 ~

0.70

0.70 ~

0.80 0.80 <

Criteria for evaluating model performance (Donigian and Love, 2003)

3. Results

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56

Calibration and Validation 4

3. Results