2015 年經濟發展願景

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2015 年年年年年年年 年年年年年年年年年年 年年年年年 年年年 2007 年 12 年 4 年

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2015 年經濟發展願景. 行政院經濟建設委員會 副主任委員 葉明峰 2007 年 12 月 4 日. 大 綱. 壹、當前經濟情勢 貳、經濟發展願景與策略  一、全球趨勢與內在挑戰  二、經濟發展願景與目標  三、發展策略 參、結語. 壹、當前經濟情勢. 一、國際經濟. 根據國際經濟機構最新預測,由於主要國家緊縮性貨幣政策的累積效果、美國近期次級房貸風暴,以及國際油價仍上漲等因素,已使全球經濟成長略為減緩。惟全球經濟基本面尚佳,預測今、明全球經濟及貿易仍可維持穩健成長。 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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  • 2015

    2007124

  • %f1.Global Insight Inc., World Overview, Oct. 2007. 2.IMF,World Economic Outlook ,Oct. 2007. 2007

    2007f2008fIMFGlobal InsightIMFGlobal Insight5.23.64.83.4 1.92.01.92.0 2.01.91.71.7 2.52.62.12.0 () 9.88.08.87.76.66.7

  • ()2007112007124.19%5.24%36.92% 4(1014.4%)5.43%35.46%%()

  • 19,2622004200624,5872001200319,2621997199921,2352004200619,0001993~961997~99200020012002200320042005200624,587()

    Chart1

    16834.259759.254746.5

    21234.666666666713956.66666666675036

    23940167044897

    19100121864568

    19109128443997

    19577133594026

    24202182684118

    24384181724161

    25176191784091

    &A

    Page &P

    Sheet1

    BARLINELINE

    199315,2198,3804,300

    199416,3059,2714,766

    199518,00910,6665,003

    199617,80410,7204,917

    199719,55612,5814,931

    199821,85514,6355,00716,8349,7594,747

    199922,29314,6545,17021,23513,9575,036

    200023,94016,7044,89723,94016,7044,897

    200119,10012,1864,56819,10012,1864,568

    200219,10912,8443,99719,10912,8443,997

    200319,57713,3594,02619,57713,3594,026

    200424,20218,2684,11824,20218,2684,118

    200524,03017,8044,17324,38418,1724,161

    200624,84418,7824,13325,17619,1784,091

    Sheet2

    Sheet3

  • 200732.73%5.75%6.58%6.39%%19920071122

  • 2001200656.91993199928.52006139.72007110129.3(UNCTAD)2007200621831(20056231)628.556.91-10

  • ()20071-102,0141,8059.0%7.0%2091602,82915.1%2006(1-10)

    2003 2,714 1,442 1,273 169 1,7002004 3,419 1,740 1,679 61 2,1512005 3,810 1,984 1,826 158 2,3182006 4,267 2,240 2,027 213 2,9932007(1-10) 3,8192,0141,805 2092,829

  • ()200710CPI5.342.27%2007110CPI1.35%2004 CPI 1.62 2003 CPI-0.28 2005 CPI 2.30 5.34(2007/10)2006 CPI 0.60

  • NBRICs

  • 20095.0(2015)20,0004.020155.0(2015)30,0004.020074.616,8863.82.0GDPGDP2.02.062015

  • ()2015MIC2006/9

    200940200100601,2806,4003,2001,920201536083018020011,52026,5605,7606,400

  • WiMAXWiMAX50 20077620081,000201220,000IC/CPEWiMAX(Test-Bed)WiMAX (ecosystem)IC/CPE / otorola Nortel NEC SGS /

  • 200774 20042.89 30051.76

  • & & 6261530 (Solar City)

  • ()(1)(2)(3)(4) :a 2006

    200520062009()()3,8243,803a4,139GDP()1,8981,8172,136 ()591554555 (/)64.768.474.2

  • 96613

  • 101,0004,00053400

  • (1)(2) (3) (4) a2006

    200520062009()()11.711.4a14.0GDP() 2.4 2.5 3.0(/ )98102a124

  • 41 (69.2%)2 (22.1%)1(48%)(34)(2007)820121441 (76.8%)2 (20.7%)1(34.6%)(19)8191200.421.372.02,20090/70/65SoC31 (65%)2 (25%)1 (50%)(36)81812182,000451SoC

  • 63()5% (5)2.51313.530.0321.281.61,1832,5672()(>10)132.4%(14)(2007)5~6127.52142%(17)5~6137.5381

  • 3001290%1471553%420892%0.41.21.5

  • 0.994,759120.482,219130.480.991.141.15,35012

  • 4,63517,50052,61915,50070.490.781.57,35017,5004

  • (1)(2)(3) (4)(5)

    200520062009()GDP()8.28.510.5()579.3585.7632.7(/)141.4145.1162.8

  • ADSL

  • (2006)3529801.2. 3,9683751.5(2007)(2009) 4,483 5201.2 20093Taiwan, touch your heart

  • (2006)6,962.120.4 7,025.422.3(2007)(2008)(2009) 7,350.3: 23.2 7,724.2: 24.2e e

  • ()()

    ()

  • ()

  • ()

    20061502007(1120)

  • ()

  • 1831631427

  • 20000668820071091884362

  • 2015(2007-2009)