choi nasa pmc_2012

마스터 제목 스타일 편집

2012-02-23 11

PM Challenge 2012

2012. 2. 22

Korea Aerospace Research Institute

KARI Space Project Manage-ment in a Changing Global

Environment

PM Challenge 2012

2

1. Major Factors to Change a Global Environment in Space Program

Economy

Iran, North Korea, …

Bankrupcy of Lehman Bros.(2008), Euro-pean Sovereign Debt Crisis(2009 - present), …

Global Warming, Natural Disaster, …

Mars Exploration, Asteroid Exploration, Space Defense, Green Energy, …

Alien, New Creature, Water in Moon,…

Diplo-macy

Nature

Initiative

New Dis-covery

PM Challenge 2012

3

70

73

84

93

102

81

93

86

77

87

0.0300000000000001

0.0400000000000001

0.0400000000000001

0.0900000000000001

0.01

61

53

58

64

65

13

14

16

22

22

Commercial Space Products & ServicesCommercial Infrastructure & Support IndustriesCommercial Space Transportation Services

Keep increasing despite economycrises

2. Global Space Economy Size

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

225.4

232.4

244.1

256.8

276.5

단위 , B$

Average An-nual growth

rate : greater than 5%

(출처 : Space Foundation, The Space Report 2011)

Global Space Activity Revenues and Budgets

2020 년 :

$400B

PM Challenge 2012

4

$102B(37%)

$87.39B(32%)

$64.63B(23%)

$22.49B(8%)

$0.01B(<1%)

Commercial SpaceTransportation ServicesNon-U.S. Government

Space Budgets

U.S. GovernmentSpace Budgets

Commercial Infrastructure & Support Industries

Commercial SpaceProducts & Services

Korean Government

Budget in 2010 : $271B

2010 Military Space Budget - U.S. $43.7B - Non U.S. $2.3B - Total $46.0B

Government Space Budget - Space Exploration - National Security Program - Scientific Research

Global Space Activity, 2010

Total

$276.52Billion


PM Challenge 2012

5

Type 2010 2019(E)

Earth Observation 2.01 3.80

- Data Sales (0.89) (1.80)

- Value-Added Services (1.12) (2.00)

Direct-to-Home TV 79.22

Satellite Radio 2.84

Satellite Services 17.92

Total 102.00

Commercial Space Product & Service, 2010

Unit : B$


PM Challenge 2012

6

Type Commercial Government Sum

Launch Industry 2.45 4.90 7.35

Satellite Manufacturing 3.41 7.14 10.55

Ground Station & Equipment 80.47

- Geolocation & Navigation Equipment (71.62)

- Others (Ground Control Station, Mobile Satellite Terminal, etc) (8.85)

Independent Research & Development 0.18

Insurance 0.88

Sum 87.39

Commercial Infrastructure & Support Indus-tries, 2010

Unit : B$


PM Challenge 2012

7

3. Space Competitiveness Index

SCI in 2009 (From : Futron, 2009 Space Competitiveness Index(SCI))

PM Challenge 2012

8

Global

KoreaAutomobile

In 2009

AutomobileIn 2009

Semi-ConductorIn 2010

Semi-ConductorIn 2010

AerospaceIn 2010

AerospaceIn 2010

Ship BuildingIn 2010

Ship BuildingIn 2010

$1.4Trill $47.7B (3.5%)

$300B

$39B (12.9%)

$71.7B

$30.6B(42.7%)

$570B

$2.5B(0.4%)

Korea Competitiveness in Market ShareKorea Competitiveness in Market Share

※Complete Car

Global

Korea

Global

Korea

Global

Korea

4. Korea Competitiveness

PM Challenge 2012

9

Year 2006 2007 2008

2009

2010

Sales Total ($Mill) 733 955 784 676 699

Space Manufacturing 8.1% 14.3% 27.9%

21% 11.5%

Space Application 91.9% 85.7% 72.1%

79.0%

88.5%

Korea Space Industries Sales2007 2008 2009 2010

Space Manufacturing($Mill)

Satellite 45.4 40.9 17.0 40.2

Launcher 15.7 19.1 5.8 1.3

Ground Equip-ment

75.4 158.6 119.2 38.8

Space Applica-tion

($Mill) 818.4 565.4 534.0 618.7

Korea Space Activities (Sales+R&D+Research)

Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Activities Total ($Bill)

1.17 1.36 1.19 1.00 0.91

5. Korea Space Sales

PM Challenge 2012

10

Success of

Government

Space

Projects

Expansion of

Space Cul-ture

Collaboration with Foreign

Countries

Achievement

of Core Tech-

nologies

KARI

CanSat, CubeSat for students Space Exploration,Space Science, Earth Sci-ence (w/ NASA, JAXA, etc.)

6. KARI Top Management Strategy

Collaboration with several government bodies

Evolution of technology

PM Challenge 2012

11

7. KARI Project Management

Political Support

Ocean PayloadDevelopment

Meteorological PayloadDevelopment

Environment PayloadDevelopment

System/BusDevelopment2nd Korean

GeostationarySatellite

2nd KoreanGeostationary

Satellite

ME MEST

MLTMKMA

National Committee of Space Development

ME : Ministry of EnvironmentKMA : Korea Meteorological Administration

MEST : Ministry of Education, Science & TechnologyMLTM : Ministry of Land, Transport & Maritime Affairs

Collaborative Support from Government

PM Challenge 2012

12

II. Satellite Development

Evolution of Technology

KOMPSAT-1

Sys-tem

Co-Op(w/ )

BusCo-Op(w/ )

Pay-load

Procure + OJT(w/ )

KOMPSAT-2

Led byConsult

with

Led by

Co-Op(w/ ELOP)

KOMPSAT-3

Indigenous

Indigenous

Led by Consult

1999 2006 2012


http://www.trw.com/home/main/1,,,00.html



PM Challenge 2012

13


Evolution of Technology

Optical Payload

COMSAREA

Korea leading de-velopment(Expert support for some in-sufficient Technology)

GEO-KOMPSAT2

Ka-band Payload

Ground/Operation

System

Satellite Bus

Co-Develop-ment

Self-Develop-ment

Co-Development

Self-development(Performance Enhancement)

PM Challenge 2012

14

○ Space Science and Space Exploration are most suitable area

for international cooperation

○ Mutual use of infra and resources is the big advantage

KARI and NASA offered the following joint project topics- Space Exploration : 5 topics including lunar impactor- Space Science : 3 topics- Earth Science : 6 topics


KARI and JAXA are collaborating in the following areas;- ISS/JEM Utilization- Aviation Program- Environmental Test Technology- Sentinel Asia Program- Space Education, APRSAF Task Force, etc.

PM Challenge 2012

15


• NASA will lead the mothership (or-biter) & cubesat design, analysis & manufacturing

• NASA will provide the launch service and DSN(Deep Space Network) for the lunar impactor mission

• KARI would possibly join the mothership (orbiter) design, analysis & manufacturing in the selected subsystem as well as mission design for the whole lunar mission

• Korean universities perform cubesat design & manufacturing as well as scientific analy-sis from the acquired scientific data

Lunar Swirl

Lunar Prospector Magnetic Field Map

Orbiting Mother ship < 200kg

Cubesat Probe

The Lunar Impactor mission is designed to investigate the lunar swirls which are one of the most enigmatic geologic features in the solar system.

Example

PM Challenge 2012

16

8. Summary

○ Despite economy crises, global space economy size has increased

○ Korea space economy size has fluctuated during that period

○ In Korea, the major customer is the government so that, at present, the

domestic environment is much more important than the global envi-

ronment

○ KARI has 4 launches(4 satellites and 1 launcher) in 2012

so that KARI space project management will be evaluated

according to the results

KOMPSAT-32012. 5. 18

KOMPSAT-5Middle of 2012

NARO 3rd AttemptOctober of 2012

STSAT-3End of 2012

PM Challenge 2012

17

○ Space exploration, space science and earth science may be the most

suitable areas to cooperate with global partners in any global environ-

ment changes

○ The space development strategy and program management approaches

developed in Korea could be a bench mark model to emerging coun-

tries in space development

8. Summary

Thank You