july – december 2013
DESCRIPTION
July – December 2013. Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey. Firm distribution based on Annual Turnover (based on responses received). July – December 2013. January – June 2013. Profile of respondents – by firm size Based on full and part time employment. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
July – December 2013
Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey
1
Firm distribution based on Annual Turnover(based on responses received)
Category by gross annual income
% of firms
0 – R1,5m 5%
R1,5m – R11,5m 42%
> R11,5m 52%
Total 100.0%
0-1.510.3%
1.5-11.555.9%
>11.533.8%
Firm distribution based on turnover
0-1.5 1.5-11.5 >11.5
Category by gross annual income
% of firms
0 – R1,5m 10.3%
R1,5m – R11,5m 55.9%
> R11,5m 33.8%
Total 100.0%
July – December 2013 January – June 2013
0-1.55.1%
1.5-11.542.4%
>11.552.5%
Firm distribution based on turnover
0-1.5 1.5-11.5 >11.5
2
Profile of respondents – by firm sizeBased on full and part time employment
Large (>100)12%
Medium (20 - 100)39%
Small (10 - 20)24%
Micro (< 10)25%
Large (>100) Medium (20 - 100) Small (10 - 20) Micro (< 10)
3
Economic Impact Stable contribution of CESA Membership earnings as percentage of GDP
Source: RBQN, CESA BECS, Industry Insight 4
Fee earnings vs Gross Fixed Capital FormationRbn, real prices
Source: RBQN, CESA BECS, Industry Insight
5
Infrastructure Allocations fall short of NDP targetIn order to achieve 10% target, need to double infrastructure allocations over the Medium Term
2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/170.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
6.5% 7.0% 6.8%7.3% 7.2% 6.9%
6.3%
% of GDP
Source: SARB Quarterly Bulletin, Budget Reviews
NDP specifies 30% target of GFCF to GDP Percentage of GDP
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
R200bn shortfall in current terms to reach 30% target (2012, 2005 prices)
NDP 2030 Target
Projected to increase to 24% of GDP by 2016/17
Fee income, R billions Real 2000 pricesAnnualised | Deflator = CPI
Dec-96 Jun-98 Dec-99 Jun-01 Dec-02 Jun-04 Dec-05 Jun-07 Dec-08 Jun-10 Dec-11 Jun-130.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
Source: CESA BECS 8
Real Fee income, Real pricesAnnual Change | Deflator = CPI
Source: CESA BECS
Jun-97
Dec-97Jun-98
Dec-98Jun-99
Dec-99Jun-00
Dec-00Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-10Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-12
Dec-12Jun-13
Dec-13
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
9
CESA Confidence Index
Source: CESA BECS
Jun-
96
Dec-9
7
Dec-9
8
Dec-9
9
Dec-0
0
Dec-0
1
Dec-0
2
Dec-0
3
Dec-0
4
Dec-0
5
Dec-0
6
Dec-0
7
Dec-0
8
Dec-0
9
Dec-1
0
Dec-1
1
Dec-1
2
Dec-1
3
Dec-1
40
20
40
60
80
100
120
-60.00%
-40.00%
-20.00%
0.00%
20.00%
40.00%
60.00%
% Change (Survey to Survey) - bar, right axisIndex
10
Business confidence vs CESA confidence
Source: CESA BECS, BER 11
Real Fee income vs Industry confidenceIncome deflated using CPI
Source: CESA BECS
Dec-96Jun-97
Dec-97Jun-98
Dec-98Jun-99
Dec-99Jun-00
Dec-00Jun-01
Dec-01Jun-02
Dec-02Jun-03
Dec-03Jun-04
Dec-04Jun-05
Dec-05Jun-06
Dec-06Jun-07
Dec-07Jun-08
Dec-08Jun-09
Dec-09Jun-10
Dec-10Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-12
Dec-12Jun-13
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
Confidence Fee income Rbn, Real prices - right axis
12
CESA Labour Cost Indicator vs CPIYear on Year percentage change
Source: CESA BECS
Jun-
98
Jun-
99
Jun-
00
Jun-
01
Jun-
02
Jun-
03
Jun-
04
Jun-
05
Jun-
06
Jun-
07
Jun-
08
Jun-
09
Jun-
10
Jun-
11
Jun-
12
Jun-
13-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
LCIMoving average (LCI)CPI
13
Employment vs REAL fee income (Rbn) (Deflated using the CPI & LCI)
Source: CESA BECS
Dec-9
7
Dec-9
8
Dec-9
9
Dec-0
0
Dec-0
1
Dec-0
2
Dec-0
3
Dec-0
4
Dec-0
5
Dec-0
6
Dec-0
7
Dec-0
8
Dec-0
9
Dec-1
0
Dec-1
1
Dec-1
2
Dec-1
30.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Employment Revised (right axis)Income: CPI 2000 pricesIncome : CESA LCI 2005 prices
• CPI: Consumer price index• LCI : Labour Cost Indicator
14
Employment vs Salary & Wage bill
Source: CESA BECS
Dec-9
7
Dec-9
8
Dec-9
9
Dec-0
0
Dec-0
1
Dec-0
2
Dec-0
3
Dec-0
4
Dec-0
5
Dec-0
6
Dec-0
7
Dec-0
8
Dec-0
9
Dec-1
0
Dec-1
1
Dec-1
2
Dec-1
30.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Salary/Wage bill (Rbn, Real prices)Employment - right axis
15
Discounting eased to an average of 24%
Source: CESA BECS
JUN07
DEC07
JUN08
DEC08
JUN09
DEC09
JUN10
DEC10
JUN11
DEC11
JUN12
DEC12
JUN13
DEC13
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
A B C D
40
20.9
19.8
26.5
By fi rm category: December 2013
16
Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % ShareDecember 2013
Agricultural
Architecture
Mechanical building Services
Civil
Electrical / Electronic
Environmental
Facilities
Geotechnical
Industrial Process / Chemical
GIS
Hydraulics
Information Systems / Tech-nology
Marine
Mechanical
Mining
Project Management
Quantity Surveying
Structural
Town planning
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Source: CESA BECS 17
Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % ShareChange in market share in the last 12 months
Agricultural
Architecture
Mechanical building Services
Civil
Electrical / Electronic
Environmental
Facilities
Geotechnical
Industrial Process / Chemical
GIS
Hydraulics
Information Systems / Technology
Marine
Mechanical
Mining
Project Management
Quantity Surveying
Structural
Town planning
-6% -5% -4% -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4%
Source: CESA BECS18
Fee income earned by TOP THREE disciplines: R bn Real 2000 pricesMoving average (2 survey period): 2002 – 2013
Source: CESA BECS
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Structural 0.475 0.465 0.551 0.574 0.801 1.233 1.459 1.26389
1.555 1.8711 1.30291
1.3
Proj Mang 0.461 0.32 0.283 0.356 0.442 0.495 0.663 0.7831 0.814 1.31624
1.3356 0.7
Civil - right axis 1.926 1.745 1.869 2.041 2.392 3.234 5.576 4.76046
3.751 3.3487 4.51279
5.4
0.1
0.3
0.5
0.7
0.9
1.1
1.3
1.5
1.7
1.9
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
Structural Proj Mang Civil - right axis
19
Fee income earned by economic sectorPercentage market share December 2012– December 2013
Source: CESA BECS
Water
Transportation
Energy
Mining / Quarrying
Education
Health
Tourism/Leisure
Housing
Commercial
Agriculture / Forestry / Fishing
Other
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0%
Dec-13 Jun-13 Dec-12
20
Profile of earnings by sectorR22,2bn annualised current prices
21
Water (Full water cycle)13%
Transportation (land, air, road, rail, ports)
26%
Energy (electricity, gas, hydro)12%
Mining / Quarrying5%
Education2%
Health2%
Tourism/Leisure1%
Housing (residential inc. land)14%
Commercial19%
Agriculture / Forestry / Fishing1%
Other4%
Fee earnings by selected sectorR billions, Real 2000 prices | Smoothed |2 survey average
DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC11 JUN12 DEC12 JUN13 DEC13
Water 1.26083722717
737
1.26955506560
423
1.26775714947
946
1.52377046158
527
1.85020286339
734
1.85743427741
784
1.58148951980
907
1.28759354331
959
1.24408930242
427
1.072 1.073 1.433 1.37 1.18 1.3
Transporta-tion
1.57510829742
752
1.82554264473
542
1.97422294727
762
2.94413674285
341
3.64603216933
763
3.03788876138
154
2.81904180145
337
3.11368400840
416
3.05538360147
824
2.506 2.378 2.811 2.672 2.8 2.9
Energy 0.43991337724
5271
0.37072885698
5092
0.32595119226
1022
0.30260464099
1086
0.43284937039
3367
0.46287469330
2059
0.27537265316
6938
0.19135156720
6801
0.23900260431
4996
0.522 1.085 1.329 0.932 0.876 1.2
Housing 0.45159326342
0059
0.50311773671
6976
0.68981699516
9426
0.83611100866
7676
0.71011515052
4567
0.80132272077
6857
1.05885130699
586
1.08723090224
768
1.28693319537
356
1.303 0.971 0.684 0.579 0.675 1.1
Commercial 1.30268758018
186
1.24004971687
627
1.73063454504
595
1.82791566516
815
2.12413518734
556
2.05682905740
798
1.97015232920
204
2.21091001345
785
1.75039741851
478
1.808 1.812 1.642 1.607 1.308 1.607
0.3
0.8
1.3
1.8
2.3
2.8
3.3
3.8
Source: CESA BECS22
Fee income (Rm, Real prices) earned by key economic sectorsJune 2005 – December 2013
Jun-
05
Jun-
06
Jun-
07
Jun-
08
Jun-
09
Jun-
10
Jun-
11
Jun-
12
Jun-
130
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
Housing
Jun-
05
Jun-
06
Jun-
07
Jun-
08
Jun-
09
Jun-
10
Jun-
11
Jun-
12
Jun-
130
200400600800
1,0001,2001,4001,6001,8002,000
Water
Jun-0
5
Jun-0
6
Jun-0
7
Jun-0
8
Jun-0
9
Jun-1
0
Jun-1
1
Jun-1
2
Jun-1
30
5001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,500
Transportation
Jun-0
5
Jun-0
6
Jun-0
7
Jun-0
8
Jun-0
9
Jun-1
0
Jun-1
1
Jun-1
2
Jun-1
30
200400600800
1,0001,2001,4001,600
Energy
Jun-0
5
Jun-0
6
Jun-0
7
Jun-0
8
Jun-0
9
Jun-1
0
Jun-1
1
Jun-1
2
Jun-1
30
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Commercial
Source: CESA BECS
Jun-0
5
Jun-0
6
Jun-0
7
Jun-0
8
Jun-0
9
Jun-1
0
Jun-1
1
Jun-1
2
Jun-1
30
50
100
150
200
250
300
Health
23
E-Cape
W-Cape
N-Cape
F State
N-W Lim Gaut Mpu Kwaz Africa Int'l E-Cape
W-Cape
N-Cape
F State
N-W Lim Gaut Mpu Kwaz Africa Int'l
% Share
9.4 19.2 2 2.2 2.5 1.7 35 2.5 10.7 10.3 4.5
Change last 12 months
4.1 2 0.4 -0.8 1.1 -0.7 -3.7 -4.6 -1.3 1.8 1.7
2.50
7.50
12.50
17.50
22.50
27.50
32.50
37.50
-5
-3
-1
1
3
5
% Share Change last 12 months
% S
hare
(bar)
Provincial Market Share: December 2013Vs change in market share from December 2012
GAI
N
mar
ket s
hare
Source: CESA BECS24
Fee income earned by province (Rbn, real prices)High Capacity economies |TREND Annualised smoothed, average over 2 past surveys
Jun-99
Dec-99
Jun-00
Dec-00
Jun-01
Dec-01
Jun-02
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Dec-11
Jun-12
Dec-12
Jun-13
Dec-13
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5Eastern Cape Western Cape Gauteng Kwazulu Natal
Source: CESA BECS25
Fee income earned by provinceJune 1999– June 2013| Rm real prices
Jun-9
9
Dec-0
0
Jun-0
2
Dec-0
3
Jun-0
5
Dec-0
6
Jun-0
8
Dec-0
9
Jun-1
1
Dec-1
20
100200300400500600700800900
1,000
Eastern Cape
Source: CESA BECS
Jun-9
9
Dec-0
0
Jun-0
2
Dec-0
3
Jun-0
5
Dec-0
6
Jun-0
8
Dec-0
9
Jun-1
1
Dec-1
20
200400600800
1,0001,2001,4001,6001,800
Western Cape
Jun-9
9
Dec-0
0
Jun-0
2
Dec-0
3
Jun-0
5
Dec-0
6
Jun-0
8
Dec-0
9
Jun-1
1
Dec-1
20
50
100
150
200
250
Northern Cape
Jun-9
9
Dec-0
0
Jun-0
2
Dec-0
3
Jun-0
5
Dec-0
6
Jun-0
8
Dec-0
9
Jun-1
1
Dec-1
20
50100150200250300350400450
Free State
Jun-9
9
Dec-0
0
Jun-0
2
Dec-0
3
Jun-0
5
Dec-0
6
Jun-0
8
Dec-0
9
Jun-1
1
Dec-1
20
50100150200250300350400450
North West
Jun-9
9
Dec-0
0
Jun-0
2
Dec-0
3
Jun-0
5
Dec-0
6
Jun-0
8
Dec-0
9
Jun-1
1
Dec-1
20
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Limpopo
26
Fee income earned by provinceJune 1999– June 2013| Rm real prices
Jun-9
9
Dec-0
0
Jun-0
2
Dec-0
3
Jun-0
5
Dec-0
6
Jun-0
8
Dec-0
9
Jun-1
1
Dec-1
20
5001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,500
Gauteng
Source: CESA BECS
Jun-9
9
Dec-0
0
Jun-0
2
Dec-0
3
Jun-0
5
Dec-0
6
Jun-0
8
Dec-0
9
Jun-1
1
Dec-1
20
100
200
300
400
500
600
Mpumalanga
Jun-9
9
Dec-0
0
Jun-0
2
Dec-0
3
Jun-0
5
Dec-0
6
Jun-0
8
Dec-0
9
Jun-1
1
Dec-1
20
200400600800
1,0001,2001,4001,6001,8002,000
Kwazulu Natal
Jun-9
9
Dec-0
0
Jun-0
2
Dec-0
3
Jun-0
5
Dec-0
6
Jun-0
8
Dec-0
9
Jun-1
1
Dec-1
20
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
Africa
Jun-9
9
Dec-0
0
Jun-0
2
Dec-0
3
Jun-0
5
Dec-0
6
Jun-0
8
Dec-0
9
Jun-1
1
Dec-1
20
100
200
300
400
500
600
International
Jun-9
9
Dec-0
0
Jun-0
2
Dec-0
3
Jun-0
5
Dec-0
6
Jun-0
8
Dec-0
9
Jun-1
1
Dec-1
20
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Total Fee Earnings
27
Provincial profile by economic sectorwhere fee earnings >50% of total earnings
Water (Full water cycle)
Transportation (land, air, road, rail, ports)
Energy (electricity, gas, hydro)
Mining / Quarrying
Education
Health
Tourism/Leisure
Housing (residential inc. land)
Commercial
Agriculture / Forestry / Fishing
Other
-40% 10% 60%
Western Cape
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Gauteng
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Kwazulu Natal
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Eastern Cape
Source: CESA BECS28
Fee income earned (Real 2000 prices)High Capacity vs lower capacity provincial economies |Smoothed
Jun-99
Dec-99
Jun-00
Dec-00
Jun-01
Dec-01
Jun-02
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Dec-11
Jun-12
Dec-12
Jun-13
Dec-13
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
250.00
300.00
Lower Capacity High CapacityIndex Dec-98=100
High Capacity: Gauteng, Western Cape, Eastern Cape, Kwazulu NatalLow capacity: North West, Free State, Northern Cape, Limpopo, Mpumalanga
84% of fees were earned in high capacity provinces
Source: CESA BECS29
Fee income earned : RSA vs EX-RSAR mill, Real 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed
Dec-98Jun-99
Dec-99Jun-00
Dec-00Jun-01
Dec-01Jun-02
Dec-02Jun-03
Dec-03Jun-04
Dec-04Jun-05
Dec-05Jun-06
Dec-06Jun-07
Dec-07Jun-08
Dec-08Jun-09
Dec-09Jun-10
Dec-10Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-12
Dec-12Jun-13
Dec-13
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
Ex-RSA - left axis RSA - right axis
93% of fees were earned in South Africa
Source: CESA BECS30
Fee income earned by type of clientPercentage share as at December 2013
Central30%
Provincial5%Local
12%Parastatals
15%
Private38%
Source: CESA BECS31
Strong increase in contribution by central government
Fee income earned by type of clientPercentage share
Central Provincial Local Parastatals Private
Jun-10 16.37 13.91 20.42 12.69 36.61
Dec-10 14.8 12 18.14 11.7 43.4
Jun-11 13.6 11.8 19.8 12.1 42.7
Dec-11 5.3 7.5 26 14.3 46.9
Jun-12 8.1 14.3 22.8 20.5 34.3
Dec-12 2.8 5.3 31.2 15.2 45.5
Jun-13 5 10 21 20 44
Dec-13 30.1 5.1 12 15.1 37.7
2.5
7.5
12.5
17.5
22.5
27.5
32.5
37.5
42.5
47.5
Jun-10 Dec-10 Jun-11 Dec-11 Jun-12 Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13
Source: CESA BECS 32
Fee income earned by type of clientR billion Real 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed - avg over 2 survey periods
Jun-
01
Dec-0
1
Jun-
02
Dec-0
2
Jun-
03
Dec-0
3
Jun-
04
Dec-0
4
Jun-
05
Dec-0
5
Jun-
06
Dec-0
6
Jun-
07
Dec-0
7
Jun-
08
Dec-0
8
Jun-
09
Dec-0
9
Jun-
10
Dec-1
0
Jun-
11
Dec-1
1
Jun-
12
Dec-1
2
Jun-
13
Dec-1
30.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
Central Provincial Local Parastatals Private
Source: CESA BECS 33
Fee income earned by type of clientR billions Real 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed - average over 2 survey periods
Jun-01
Dec-01
Jun-02
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Dec-11
Jun-12
Dec-12
Jun-13
Dec-13
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
Public Private
Source: CESA BECS 34
Competition in tenderingPercentage of respondents that reported “Keen to Fierce” vs Fierce competition
Jun-0
0
01-Jun
02-Jun
03-Jun
04-Jun
05-Jun
06-Jun
07-Jun
08-Jun
09-Jun
10-Jun
Jun-1
1
Jun-1
2
Jun-1
30%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Keen to FierceFierceMoving average (Fierce)
Source: CESA BECS 35
% of Firms wanting to increase staff
Eng O Tech Technologist Technicians Support staff
Jun'10 16.6 11.9 11.9 1.7 0.4
Dec'10 81.5 10.07 18.3 18.34 5.8
Jun'11 66 8.3 51.8 52.75 6.6
Dec'11 74 4.8 36 22 6.9
Jun'12 86.5 17.5 38.2 22.2 6.6
Dec'12 61.2 12.5 19.9 18.1 7.5
Jun'13 50.8 20.9 46.2 30.5 24.2
Dec'13 32 36 23 22 28
5.0
15.0
25.0
35.0
45.0
55.0
65.0
75.0
85.0
95.0
Source: CESA BECS 36
Engineering Skills Shortfall
Jun-98Jun-99
Jun-00Jun-01
Jun-02Jun-03
Jun-04Jun-05
Jun-06Jun-07
Jun-08Jun-09
Jun-10
Jun-112Jun-12
Jun-130.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
% Wanting to increase engineers% of firms experiencing difficulties in recruit-ing engineers% of firms experiencing difficulties in recruit-ing (PDI) engineers
Source: CESA BECS 37
Recruitment problems
Eng Technolo-gist
Technician Other Tech-nologist
Other PDI Eng PDI Tech-nologist
PDI Techni-cian
Jun'10 52.7 15.6 41.2 28.8 42.9 60.9 27.8 60.5
Dec'10 86.7 17 25 10 0.4 98 48 35
Jun'11 62.4 56 27.5 31.5 10.8 83 79 68.8
Jun'12 88 59 55 10.7 1.7 95 96.2 32.2
Dec'12 70.8 46.7 42.5 10.7 18.2 78 52.9 45.4
Jun'13 41.8 38.2 11.7 3.6 1.9 52.6 35.4 28.7
Dec'13 60 55 36 33 23 67 63 66
10.0
30.0
50.0
70.0
90.0
110.0
Source: CESA BECS 38
% of firms that reported experiencing problems recruiting the right people
Source: CESA BECS 39
Engineers Male
Engineers Female
Technologist Male
Technologist Female
Technicians Male
Tecnicians Female
Other technical staff Male
Other technical staff Female
Support Staff Male
Support Staff Female
PDI Engineers Male
PDI Engineers Female
PDI Technologist Male
PDI Technologist Female
PDI Technicians Male
PDI Technicians Female
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
BursariesIncreased to 1.6 percentage of the Salary and Wage bill
Jun-00
Dec-00
Jun-01
Dec-01
Jun-02
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Dec-11
Jun-12
Dec-12
Jun-13
Dec-13
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
1.4%
1.6%
1.8%
Source: CESA BECS
Trend line – 2 year average
40
BursariesThe value of bursaries increased to an estimated R350m (current prices)R mill Real 2000 prices (Annualised)
Source: CESA BECS
Rm
Jun-0
0
Dec-0
0
Jun-0
1
Dec-0
1
Jun-0
2
Dec-0
2
Jun-0
3
Dec-0
3
Jun-0
4
Dec-0
4
Jun-0
5
Dec-0
5
Jun-0
6
Dec-0
6
Jun-0
7
Dec-0
7
Jun-0
8
Dec-0
8
Jun-0
9
Dec-0
9
Jun-1
0
Dec-1
0
Jun-1
1
Dec-1
1
Jun-1
2
Dec-1
2
Jun-1
3
Dec-1
3
0
50
100
150
200
250
Trend line – 2 year average
41
Training (Salaries and Direct Training Costs) Percentage of Payroll
Jun'05Dec'05Jun'06Dec'06Jun'07Dec'07Jun'08Dec'08Jun'09Dec'09Jun'10Dec'10Jun'11Dec'11Jun'12Dec'12Jun'13Dec'130%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Dat
a no
t ava
ilabl
e
Dat
a no
t ava
ilabl
e
Source: CESA BECS
Trend line – 2 year average
42
Training (Salaries and Direct Training Costs) Rbn, Real 2000 prices
Jun'05
Dec'05
Jun'06
Dec'06
Jun'07
Dec'07
Jun'08
Dec'08
Jun'09
Dec'09
Jun'10
Dec'10
Jun'11
Dec'11
Jun'12
Dec'12
Jun'13
Dec'13
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
Dat
a no
t ava
ilabl
e
Dat
a no
t ava
ilabl
e
Source: CESA BECS
Trend line – 2 year average
43
Training (Direct costs)Direct training costs as a percentage of payroll moderated to 0.6 percent
Jun-
98
Jun-
99
Jun-
00
Jun-
01
Jun-
02
Jun-
03
Jun-
04
Jun-
05
Jun-
06
Jun-
07
Jun-
08
Jun-
09
Jun-
10
Jun-
11
Jun-
12
Jun-
130.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
Source: CESA BECS
Trend line – 2 year average
44
Training (Direct costs)Rand millions, Real 2000 prices
Jun-98
Dec-98Jun-99
Dec-99Jun-00
Dec-00Jun-01
Dec-01Jun-02
Dec-02Jun-03
Dec-03Jun-04
Dec-04Jun-05
Dec-05Jun-06
Dec-06Jun-07
Dec-07Jun-08
Dec-08Jun-09
Dec-09Jun-10
Dec-10Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-12
Dec-12Jun-13
Dec-13
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
Source: CESA BECS
Trend line – 2 year average
45
Jun-99
Dec-99Jun-00
Dec-00Jun-01
Dec-01Jun-02
Dec-02Jun-03
Dec-03Jun-04
Dec-04Jun-05
Dec-05Jun-06
Dec-06Jun-07
Dec-07Jun-08
Dec-08Jun-09
Dec-09Jun-10
Dec-10Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-12
Dec-12Jun-13
Dec-13
-40.0
-20.0
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Net % Change of respondents expecting an increase in capacity utilisationAverage Utilisation Rate
Net
% C
hang
e
Util
isati
on
Industry Capacity UtilisationOf existing technical staff
Source: CESA BECS 46
Summary of selected indicators by firm size category
47
Firm Size Category
Capacity Utilisation of existing technical staff
during the past 6 months
% of Respondents that expect capacity
utilisation of technical staff to increase over the
next 6 months
Average discount being offered by respondents in
tendering situation to clients,
benchmarked against the ECSA
guideline fee scales
% of Respondents that reported
FIERCE Competition for work during the
last six months
Large 85.7 11.0 40.0 79.0
Medium 93.9 30.0 20.9 13.0
Small 101.1 45.0 19.8 22.0
Micro 81.8 26.0 26.5 13.0
Industry Average
91.8 15.0 (Weighted) 24.0 64.4
Source: CESA BECS
Total fee income outstanding for longer than 90 days increase in the last six months of 2013:Percentage of total fee income earned
Dec-99
Jun-00
Dec-00
Jun-01
Dec-01
Jun-02
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Dec-11
Jun-12
Dec-12
Jun-13
Dec-13
%7.9 11.5
11.7
6.8 9.5 7.9 8.4 15.5
15.6
14.6
16.6
15.8
13.3
12.5
11.2
10.3
11.25
11.09
13.7
9.5 18.5
23.4
15.5
18 24 9.4 8.3 9.94
22
2.5
7.5
12.5
17.5
22.5
27.5Including foreign clientsExcluding foreign clients
Source: CESA BECS
Trend line – 2 year average
48
Escalation trendsYear-on-Year Percentage Change
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
% 8.7 6.9 5.8 5.3 5.7 9.2 5.9 1.4 3.4 4.6 6.6 11.6 7.13 4.3 5 5.7 5.7 6.2 5.9 5.5
1.0
3.0
5.0
7.0
9.0
11.0
13.0
• CPI Basket Revised in January 2013• Forecasts based on latest Treasury estimates
(Budget 2014/15
Source: Treasury estimates Budget 2014 49
Labour unit cost indicatorSlows to an increase of 7% in the last 6 months of 2013Year-on-Year % Change (Smoothed)
Source: CESA BECS
Jun-
98
Dec-9
8
Jun-
99
Dec-9
9
Jun-
00
Dec-0
0
01-Ju
n
01-D
ec
02-Ju
n
02-D
ec
03-Ju
n
03-D
ec
04-Ju
n
04-D
ec
05-Ju
n
05-D
ec
06-Ju
n
06-D
ec
07-Ju
n
07-D
ec
08-Ju
n
08-D
ec
09-Ju
n
09-D
ec
10-Ju
n
10-D
ec
11-Ju
n
11-D
ec
12-Ju
n
Dec-1
2
Jun-
13
Dec-1
3-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
50
Labour unit cost indicatorAnnual Average Year-on-Year Percentage Change
Source: CESA BECS
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
51
CESA labour costs outpace CPI
52
Typical Employment BreakdownJuly – December 2013
Professional Engineer Pr.Eng
Professional Architects
Professional Quantity Surveyors
Professional Other
Technologists Pr TEchENg
Technicians PrTechni
Unregistered technical staff: Engineer
Unregistered technical staff: Technologist
Unregistered technical staff: Technician
Unregistered technical staff: Other
Technical Assistants
Draughtspersons
Laboratory / Survey Assistants
Administration / Support staff
Total
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Black Coloured Asian White
Source: CESA BECS53
07-Dec08-Jun08-Dec09-Jun09-Dec10-Jun10-Dec11-Jun11-Dec12-JunDec-12Jun-13Dec-13
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Black Asian Coloured White
Overall Employment Breakdown, by raceDecember 2007– June 2013
Source: CESA BECS54
Colum
n1
Jun-
00
01-Ju
n
02-Ju
n
03-Ju
n
04-Ju
n
05-Ju
n
06-Ju
n
07-Ju
n
08-Ju
n
09-Ju
n
10-Ju
n
11-Ju
n
12-Ju
n
Jun-
130%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Employment profileBlack only (excluding Asian / Coloureds) representation of total employment % Share of total employment
Source: CESA BECS55
Changing profile of female engineers
56
Executive Staff profile
Source: CESA BECS
JUN06 DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC11 JUN12 DEC12 JUN13 DEC13
Pty Ltd
0.875 0.862 0.83 0.911 0.831 0.908 0.862 0.9138 0.837 0.892 0.872 0.848 0.866 0.893 0.859 0.861
CC 0.118 0.118 0.147 0.083 0.147 0.076 0.1188 0.0831 0.065 0.081 0.056 0.137 0.122 0.078 0.112 0.1
Part-ner-ship
0.008 0.02 0.023 0.006 0.022 0.016 0.019 0.0031 0.098 0.027 0.072 0.015 0.0122 0.029 0.029 0.039
10.0%
30.0%
50.0%
70.0%
90.0%
110.0%
57
Executive Staff: % Share of total employmentPTY, CC & Partnerships
Source: CESA BECS
JUN06 DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC11 JUN12 DEC12 JUN13 DEC130.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
Trend Line
58
Black Executive Staff : (including Asian and Coloured)% Share of total Executive Staff
Source: CESA BECS
JUN06 DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC11 JUN12 DEC12 JUN13 DEC130%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
0%
1%
2%
3%
Black executive as % of total executive
Black executive as % of total employment - right axis
59
African (Black) Executive Staff as % of total Executive | December 2008 – June 2013
Source: CESA BECS
Pty_exec Pty_nonexec Member of CC Partner
Dec-08 0.135 0.815 0.368 0
Dec-09 0.196 0.889 0.518 0
Dec-10 0.152 0.359 0.455 0.125
Jun-11 0.153 0.552 0.37 0.222
Dec-11 0.208 0.857 0.365 0.143
Jun-12 0.197 0.796 0.36 0.2
Dec-12 0.226 0.75 0.62 0.111
Jun-13 0.263 0.9 0.709 0.125
Dec-13 0.298 0.58 0.65 0.25
5.0%
15.0%
25.0%
35.0%
45.0%
55.0%
65.0%
75.0%
85.0%
95.0%
60
Quality Management System
Source: CESA BECS
Large Medium Small Micro Total
Jun-12 0.945 0.926 0.923 0.842 0.911
Dec-12 1 0.926 1 0.8235 0.933
Jun-13 1 0.93 1 0.83 0.94
Dec-13 1 0.91 1 0.86 0.96
10%
30%
50%
70%
90%
110%
61
ISO 9001:2008 Certificate
Source: CESA BECS
Large Medium Small Micro Total
Dec-09 0.909 0.421 0.143 0.167 0.452
Dec-10 0.923 0.25 0 0.2 0.45
Jun-11 0.538 0.556 0.571 0.125 0.478
Dec-11 0.846 0.379 0.292 0.091 0.352
Jun-12 0.889 0.393 0.346 0.053 0.407
Dec-12 0.867 0.4 0.2 0.059 0.378
Jun-13 0.888888888888889
0.379310344827586
0.176470588235294
0 0.328358208955224
Dec-13 0.85 0.39 0.21 0.07 0.32
5%
15%
25%
35%
45%
55%
65%
75%
85%
95%
62
