P260

1%1%1

/

1.P2602.P260

60%50%-60%40%-50%20%-40%20%

%19952007200820021990

Sheet1

9-5

19901995200020062007

()3566035520422205609459305

()3.503.233.132.952.91

()1.981.871.681.531.54

(%)56.5757.8953.6751.8652.92

() ()1.771.731.861.931.89

()1516.214279.026295.9112719.1914908.61

1149.703390.214480.508766.9610234.76

22.5072.62246.24809.56940.72

15.6090.43128.38244.01348.53

328.41725.761440.782898.663384.6

#1510.164282.956279.9811759.4513785.81

()1278.893537.574998.008696.559997.47

693.771771.991971.323111.923628.03

170.90479.20500.46901.781042.00

60.86283.76565.29904.19982.28

108.45263.36374.49498.48601.80

25.67110.11318.07620.54699.09

40.51183.22426.951147.121357.41

112.26331.01669.581203.031329.16

66.57114.92171.83309.49357.70

(=100)

54.2550.0939.4435.7836.29

13.3613.5510.0110.3710.42

6.988.0211.3110.409.83

10.147.447.495.736.02

2.013.116.367.146.99

1.205.188.5413.1913.58

11.129.3613.4013.8313.29

0.943.253.443.563.58

1.9-17

2.2002

Sheet2

198519901995200020052007

52.2554.2550.0939.4436.6936.29

14.5613.3613.5510.0110.0810.42

4.796.988.0211.3110.189.83

8.6010.147.447.495.626.02

2.482.013.116.367.566.99

2.141.205.188.5412.5513.58

8.1711.129.3613.4013.8213.29

7.020.943.253.443.503.58

100.00100.00100.00100.00100.00100.00

%1978-19851996 9-1919902008 9-25

Sheet1

9-25

%

199019952000200520062007

100.00100.00100.00100.00100.00100.00

58.8058.6249.1345.4843.0243.08

7.776.855.755.815.946.00

17.3413.9115.4714.4916.5817.80

5.295.234.524.364.474.63

1.442.585.589.5910.2110.19

5.377.8111.1811.5610.799.48

3.253.245.246.586.776.52

0.741.763.142.132.232.30

199019952000200520062007

100.00100.00100.00100.00100.00100.00

41.5941.1036.1436.1134.5934.97

11.7510.327.416.936.936.96

21.6617.2017.9816.0418.1519.52

8.207.925.795.205.225.37

2.243.927.2511.4811.9511.87

8.3611.9114.5313.8412.6311.05

5.064.946.827.877.937.60

1.132.684.082.542.602.67

Sheet2

9-25

%

197819801985199019952000200520062007

100.00100.00100.00100.00100.00100.00100.00100.00100.00

67.7161.7757.7958.8058.6249.1345.4843.0243.08

12.7012.329.727.776.855.755.815.946.00

10.3013.8518.2417.3413.9115.4714.4916.5817.80

0.000.005.125.295.234.524.364.474.63

9.2912.061.731.442.585.589.5910.2110.19

0.000.003.925.377.8111.1811.5610.799.48

0.000.002.413.253.245.246.586.776.52

0.000.001.070.741.763.142.132.232.30

199019952000200520062007

100.00100.00100.00100.00100.00100.00

41.5941.1036.1436.1134.5934.97

11.7510.327.416.936.936.96

21.6617.2017.9816.0418.1519.52

8.207.925.795.205.225.37

2.243.927.2511.4811.9511.87

8.3611.9114.5313.8412.6311.05

5.064.946.827.877.937.60

1.132.684.082.542.602.67

2007%20089-24

Sheet1

9-25

%

199019952000200520062007

100.00100.00100.00100.00100.00100.00

58.8058.6249.1345.4843.0243.08

7.776.855.755.815.946.00

17.3413.9115.4714.4916.5817.80

5.295.234.524.364.474.63

1.442.585.589.5910.2110.19

5.377.8111.1811.5610.799.48

3.253.245.246.586.776.52

0.741.763.142.132.232.30

199019952000200520062007

100.00100.00100.00100.00100.00100.00

41.5941.1036.1436.1134.5934.97

11.7510.327.416.936.936.96

21.6617.2017.9816.0418.1519.52

8.207.925.795.205.225.37

2.243.927.2511.4811.9511.87

8.3611.9114.5313.8412.6311.05

5.064.946.827.877.937.60

1.132.684.082.542.602.67

Sheet2

100.00100.00100.00100.00100.00

50.3747.8645.1542.6936.75

6.005.916.026.026.03

15.4315.8716.8717.5220.48

4.024.214.554.805.00

7.778.809.7010.4611.98

7.838.368.969.6410.92

6.746.906.566.496.24

1.842.102.192.392.60

1990199520002005

100.00100.00100.00100.00

41.5941.1036.1436.11

11.7510.327.416.93

21.6617.2017.9816.04

8.207.925.795.20

2.243.927.2511.48

8.3611.9114.5313.84

5.064.946.827.87

1.132.684.082.54

.

106.7410051.6348.37

10-1 20041365159.5%207446.3%7238711.1%433848.3%

10-1200415.20%, 53.02% 31.78 1: 3.49 : 2.0915.20% : 53.02% : 31.78 1: 1.76: 1.32

1. 2. 100%100%

3.

4.

5.

10-2 200021205%10%52

10-2 6%4.76%3.16

P2641. 2.

3.P2654.GDPGDP

P33112-6CPIPPI

P2952

3500

2100

1085

798

36500

24500

115200

72000

19600

18000

8450

5900

1

/

3500

2100

1.67

1085

798

1.36

36500

24500

1.49

115200

72000

1.60

19600

18000

1.09

8450

5900

1.43

2 78

-

31%

=1085/3500

38%

=798/2100

7

17%

=19600/115200

25%

=18000/72000

8

3 1.240.01

-

/

10.43

=36500/3500

11.67

=24500/2100

1.24

/

0.23

=8450/36500

0.24

=5900/24500

0.01

Index2004130.1%113.3%

1.P267

2.3.

1.

2.

3.

CPI

P270

1.

2.

1.

q p (qp)=(q)(p)(qp)=(q)(p)(qp)=(q)(p) q p p q

2.P272

3.

I qp 0 1 m IqIp :m = 0,1,

E.Laspeyres1864 Iq Ip

10-3 10-1

(q0q1p0p12000215030334205308070800890180188

q0 p0q1p1q1p0q0p16000070950645006600033600371004240029400144000167320160200150400237600275370267100245800

10-3112.4212.42

10-323.453.45

H.Paasche1874 Iq Ip

10-4 10-1

(q0q1p0p12000215030334205308070800890180188

q0 p0q1p1q1p0q0p16000070950645006600033600371004240029400144000167320160200150400237600275370267100245800

10-41 12.0312.03%

10-4( )3.1 3.12

1.

(2.

(

3. 4.

1.

2. I. Fisher

10-510-1

%112.4158112.0301112.2197112.2228%103.4512103.0962103.2633103.2735

A.YaungpnP287-288

P2951

400

500

500

450

1000

1100

800

960

12

12

:

1.

2. (q0p0)(q1p1)w

q1/q0p1/p0(q0 p0)ww0w0=1,

10-6 10-1

10-6 1q1/q0107.5%126.19%111.25%

10-6 2p1/p0110%87.5%104.44%

10-6 10-310-6

w w=1100%

q1/q0 p1/p0(q1 p1)

10-7 10-1

10-7 1q1/q0107.5%126.19%111.25%2p1/p0110%87.5%104.44%

10-710-410-7

: : WPI

2004-2005 P2953

%

2004

2005

A

160

185

10

B

120

110

-5

C

20

22

2

===P281

3%8% 108%103%=104.85%.= =

P273-27510-310-4

P282

10-8 10-1

10-8(2): = 275370 -237600 =37770() (1) : :

10-8 (3):

10-8(4) 37770()= 29500()+ 8270()115.9=112.42103.1 15.93777012.4212.42295003.13.18270

P2831.,

2. =3.

W=abcd

10-9 10-3

(q0q1p0p1r0r1

200021503033101142053080701513800890180188810

10-9(2) (q)(p) (r)(1) = 2935950-2256000 = 679950()= 2562600-2256000 = 306600()

10-9(3)= 2604560 2562600 = 41960() (4)= 2935950-2604560 = 331390()

10-9(5)130.14%=113.59%101.64%112.72%679950() =306600+41960+331390() 30.14%67995013.59%3066001.64%4196012.72%331390

x f /f

x f/f f/f x P285

1.

2.[P285] x

3. f/f

f /f x

10-10 10-4

/ x0 x1 f0 f160665506005062250400

10-10

10-10(1):(2):= 64.4-56.875=7.525/

10-10:= 64.4 - 56=8.4/(3)::= 56 - 56.875 = -0.875/

10-10(4)113.23% = 115%98.46%7.525 = 8.4 +(- 0.875)/ ,13.23%,7.525/,15%8.4/1.54%0.875/

P2967P2968P2969

Pn

195219571965197019801990

1995

() q1 /q0 q0 p0

w=1

1.

2.

Consumer Price IndexCPI .1.

2. 3.

25160022614680

(Gt) =

(Kt) = n

K,Wt-1 (It ,)

10-1110-5P291

10-11

1000[102.01]101.5[103.54]487104.698.6103.14 1. 70[103.48]95.5[98.82] 1103.594.097.29 2[103.35]95.3[98.49]102.5104.2 3105.096.4101.22 4102.795.798.28 2. 11102.198.5100.57 16. 135101.9100.5102.4154101.498.7100.088798.396.594.865897.598.495.9445102.799.6102.296595.195.891.118999.5107.7107.16115102.0114.9117.20

10-11110.4210.44 23

100 1000

()Standard & PoorsS&P5005001941-1943

()Dow Jones Average

() 33701964731100

()199012191001801803019961000

()=100100100100A20021231=1000