capm_apt
TRANSCRIPT
-
7/28/2019 CAPM_APT
1/24
Chandra Shekar BMFaculty & Research ScholarDept of Commerce,
Bangalore University
-
7/28/2019 CAPM_APT
2/24
The model was developed by three researchers in the mid of 1960s
William Sharpe
John Lintner and
Jan Mossin
It is an extension of Portfolio theory of Markowitz
Portfolio theory is a description of how rational investors should build efficient
portfolios and select the optimal portfolio
Capital Asset Pricing model derives the relationship between the expected return
and risk of individual securities and portfolios in the capital markets if everyone
behaved in the way the portfolio theory suggested.
-
7/28/2019 CAPM_APT
3/24
The model was developed by three researchers in the mid of 1960s
William Sharpe
John Lintner and
Jan Mossin
It is an extension of Portfolio theory of Markowitz
Portfolio theory is a description of how rational investors should build efficient
portfolios and select the optimal portfolio
Capital Asset Pricing model derives the relationship between the expected return
and risk of individual securities and portfolios in the capital markets if everyone
behaved in the way the portfolio theory suggested.
-
7/28/2019 CAPM_APT
4/24
The model was developed by three researchers in the mid of 1960s
William Sharpe
John Lintner and
Jan Mossin
It is an extension of Portfolio theory of Markowitz
Portfolio theory is a description of how rational investors should build efficient
portfolios and select the optimal portfolio
Capital Asset Pricing model derives the relationship between the expected return
and risk of individual securities and portfolios in the capital markets if everyone
behaved in the way the portfolio theory suggested.
-
7/28/2019 CAPM_APT
5/24
Risk and Return are two imp characteristics of every investment
Risk is measured by variability in returns
Investors attempt to reduce the variability of returns through diversification
With a given no of securities you can create any no of portfolios altering
proportionsAmong these some dominate others and some are more efficient
Even well diversified portfolios are not risk free
Risk = Systematic risk + Unsystematic Risk
Systematic risk cannot be eliminated through diversification & affects all securities
Systematic risk is measured by Beta
All securities do not have same level of systematic risk. Therefore, the required rate
of return goes with the level of systematic risk.
-
7/28/2019 CAPM_APT
6/24
Assumes investors are rational
Rational investors expect the return on a security to commensurate with its risk
Since the relevant risk is market risk / systematic risk, it is implied that the return
is expected to be correlated with this risk only.
CAPM gives the nature of the relationship between the
expected return and systematic risk of a security
-
7/28/2019 CAPM_APT
7/24
In simple words
The relationship between the risk and return established by the security
market line . It is basically a simple linear relationship.
The model shows that the expected return of a security consists of the
risk-free rate of interest and the risk premium. The CAPM, when plotted on
a graph paper is known as the Security Market Line (SML).
mon security (Ri)
Expected return on security = Risk free return + Beta (risk premium)
-
7/28/2019 CAPM_APT
8/24
A major implication of CAPM is that not only every security but valid for
all portfolios whether efficient or inefficient. CAPM can be used to estimate
the expected return of any portfolio with the following formula.
=
E(Rp) = Expected return of the portfolio
Rf = Risk free rate of return
Bp = Portfolio beta i.e. market sensivity index
E (Rm) = Expected return on market portfolio.E (Rm) Rf = Market risk premium.
CAPM provides a conceptual frame work for evaluating any investment
decision where capital is committed with a goal of producing future returns.
-
7/28/2019 CAPM_APT
9/24
(i) The Investors objective is to maximise the utility of terminal wealth;
(ii) Investors make choices on the basis of risk and return;
(iii) Investors have homogenous expectations of risk and return;
(iv) Investors have identical time horizon;
(v) Information is freely and simultaneously available to investors;
(vi) There is a risk-free asset, and investors can borrow and lend unlimited
amounts at the risk-free rate;
(vii) There are no taxes, transaction costs, restrictions on short rates, or other
market
imperfections;
(viii) Total asset quantity is fixed, and all assets are marketable and divisible.
-
7/28/2019 CAPM_APT
10/24
CML provides a risk return relationship and a measure of risk for efficient portfolios
A line formed by the action of all investors mixing the market portfolio with the
risk free asset is known as Capital Market Line. All efficient portfolios of all
investors will lie along this capital market line
-
7/28/2019 CAPM_APT
11/24
The relationship between the return and risk of any efficient
portfolio on the CML can be expressed in the form offollowing equation
-
Expected Return = Price of time + ( Risk Premium * Amount of Risk)
e e m
m
WhereRe = Return on Efficient portfolio
Rf = Risk free rate of return
Rm = Return on Market Portfolioe = SD of efficient portfoliom = SD of Market portfolio
-
7/28/2019 CAPM_APT
12/24
SML provides the relationship between the expected return and beta of a security or
portfolio.
-
7/28/2019 CAPM_APT
13/24
The relationship between the return and risk of any security on
the SML can be expressed in the form of following equation
Expected Return = Price of time + ( Risk Premium * Beta)
Risk premium of a security is directly proportional to the risk measured
by Beta.
m
WhereRi = Return on Security
Rf = Risk free rate of return
Rm = Return on Market Portfolioi = Beta of the Security
-
7/28/2019 CAPM_APT
14/24
CML SMLIn CML the risk is defined as total risk
In SML the risk is defined as
and is measured by Standard Deviation Beta
Capital Market line is valid only forefficient portfolios
Security Market Line is valid for all
portfolios and all individual securities
as well
CML is the basis of the Capital MarketTheory
SML is the basis of the CAPM
-
7/28/2019 CAPM_APT
15/24
1. Based on highly restrictive assumptions
a) we made the assumption that investors had identical
preferences, had the same information, and hold the same
portfolio (the market).b) Also, there is the problem that identifying and measuring
the market return is difficult, if not impossible
2. The market factor is not the sole factor influencing the stock
returns
3. There are serious doubts about its testability
-
7/28/2019 CAPM_APT
16/24
The APT model was developed as an alternative to the CAPM.
Like the CAPM, this model provides implications for the
relationship between expected returns and risk on securities.
However, the model differs from CAPM in its assumptions,its implications, and in the way that equilibrium prices are
reached.
-
7/28/2019 CAPM_APT
17/24
The APT is an approach to determining asset values based on
law of one price and no arbitrage.
It is a multi-factor model of asset pricing.
T e APT mo e was eve ope as an a ternat ve to t e CAPM.Like the CAPM, this model provides implications for the
relationship between expected returns and risk on securities.
However, the model differs from CAPM in its assumptions, its
implications, and in the way that equilibrium prices are reached.
-
7/28/2019 CAPM_APT
18/24
In APT, the assumption of investors utilizing a mean-
variance framework is replaced by an assumption of the
process of generating security returns.
APT requires that the returns on any stock be linearly related
to a set of indices.
In APT, multiple factors have an impact on the returns of an
asset in contrast with CAPM model that suggests that return
is related to only one factor, i.e., systematic risk
-
7/28/2019 CAPM_APT
19/24
1. Capital markets are perfectly competitive
2. Investors always prefer more wealth to less wealth withcertainty
3. The stochastic rocess eneratin asset returns can be
presented as a k- factor model
4. Others
a) All securities havefi
nite expected values and variances.b) Some agents can form well diversified portfolios
c) There are no taxes
d) There are no transaction costs
-
7/28/2019 CAPM_APT
20/24
Multiple factors expected to have an impact on all assets:
Inflation
Growth in GNP
Changes in interest rates And many more.
Contrast with CAPM assumption that only beta is relevant
-
7/28/2019 CAPM_APT
21/24
Ri = Rf + 1f1 + 2f2 + 3f3 + ...+ kfk + ei
Ri = Return on asset i during a specified time period
Rf = Risk free rate of return (Alpha)
1 = eac on n asse s re urns o movemen s n acommon factor 1
f1 = A common factor with a zero mean that influences the
returns on all asset
ei = unsystematic risk
K = Number of factors
-
7/28/2019 CAPM_APT
22/24
Measurse how each asset (i) reacts to a common factor (k)
Each asset may be affected by a factor, but the effects will
differ
In application of the theory, the factors are not identified
Similar to the CAPM, the unique effects are independentand will be diversified away in a large portfolio
-
7/28/2019 CAPM_APT
23/24
Studies by Roll and Ross and by Chen support APT by
explaining different rates of return with some betterresults than CAPM
Reinganums study indicated that the APT does notexplain small-firm results
Dhrymes and Shanken question the usefulness of APTbecause it was not possible to identify the factors and
therefore may not be testable
-
7/28/2019 CAPM_APT
24/24