globalfoodsafety_daneels

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    CARVER+Shock

    Jeffrey J. DanneelsDepartment Manager 

    Sandia National Laboratories

    Albuquerque, NM

    Sandia is a multiprogram laboratory operated by Sandia Corporation, a Lockheed Martin Company,

    for the United States Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-AC04-94AL85000.

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    Mission-Driven Laboratory

    • Design and development: nonnuclear portions of US nuclear weapons

    • Production: advanced components

    • Safety, security, use control• Treaty verification, nonproliferation,counterproliferation

    • Advanced military technologies

    • Energy and environment• Homeland security, countering weaponsof mass destruction

    We serve many agencies of the

    US Government with:

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    Highly Skilled Workforce

    • More than 8,600 full-time employees• More than 1,500 PhDs and 2,700 MS/MAs

    • 2,200 on-site contractors• $2.33 billion FY06 total budget

    Mechanical Engineering - 16%

    Electrical Engineering - 22%

    Other Engineering - 15%

    Other Science - 6 %

    Physics - 6%

    Chemistry - 6%

    Math - 2%

    Computing - 16%Other Fields - 6 %

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    Energy, Resources, and Nonproliferation

    Energy, Water, and Security Enabled by Science & Technology

    • Secure energy supplies for

    national security• Clean, abundant and

    affordable energy

    • Water research• Infrastructure protection

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    • Physical security

    solutions for DOE andother federal agencies

    • Critical infrastructure protection

    • Systems analysis forrisk management

    Risk Management and Critical Infrastructure Protection

    Program

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    CARVER+Shock Defined

    C – CriticalityPublic health and economic impacts

    A – AccessibilityAbility of an attacker to reach a target

    R – RecognizabilityEase of identifying a target

    V – VulnerabilityAnalyzes the potential success of an attack 

    E – Effect

    Direct loss of productionR – Recuperability

    Ability of the system to recover 

    Shock – Combined health, economic and psychological effects

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    CARVER+Shock Functions

    •Three main steps

    1. Develop a process flow diagram

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    CARVER+Shock Functions

    •Three main steps

    1. Develop a process flow diagram

    1. Are vehicles allowed to enter the fenced area?

    2. Do you control all access points through fixed guards,limited-rate gates (e.g. revolving gates), or detection-

    activated surveillance?

    3. How do you control access to the building? (check all that

    apply)

    4. What kinds of security do you have inside the building

    during working hours? (check all that apply)

    2. Interview questions

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    CARVER+Shock Functions

    •Three main steps

    1. Develop a process flow diagram2. Interview questions

    3. Scoring

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    • Identify protection techniques from 5 major chemical/biologicalagent categories

    • User friendly and universally understood • Based on CARVER military targeting methodology• Microsoft Windows 98 and newer Microsoft Windows

    operating systems

    Objectives

    • Reduce time and effort required to meet food defense goals

    •Prepare food defense software for all food processors

    • Bring established security principles to the food industry

    Features

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    Operational Features

    • Potentially over 250 questions

    •Over 290 pre-programmed processing steps (icons)

    • Ability to define new processing steps• 14 pre-programmed processes• Relative scoring between processing steps• Mitigation text embedded 

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     Agents

    High

    Medium

    High

    Low

    Very high

    Water 

    Water & oil

    Oil

    Water 

    Water 

    80

    100

    100

     All temps

     All temps

     Agent 1

     Agent 2

     Agent 3

     Agent 4

     Agent 5

    Relative ToxicitySolubility

    Max

    Temperature

    Degree C

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    User Session

    (Mitigation)

     A node is crit ical when introduction of threat

    agents into food at this location would have

    significantly affect Criticality include produce

    traceabili ty and recall pol icies and

    procedures.

    ----------------------------------------------------* Product cannot be traced to distribution

    centers and retail outlets. Consider

    establishing traceability procedures such as

    matching product code dating with

    destinations. Accurate traceability will

    decrease the potential scope and effect of acontamination event and decrease product

    recall time.

    * Consider establishing product codes.

    Coding should include a process to match

    codes with distributions pathways.

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       F  a  c   i   l   i   t  y

       S  e  c  u  r   i   t  y

       F  e

      n  c  e    S  e

      c  u  r   i   t   y

              B        u

              i          l         d          i        n

           g              S

           e       c        u        r          i          t

            y  R          o        o        m         S          e        c        u        r        i           t             y        

    Total

    Security

    I   c  o  n   S   e  c  u  r   i   t    y   

           R     o     o     m

           A      w     a     r     e     n     e     s

         sI       c     o     

    n      A      w      a     r      e     n     e     s     s     

       F  a  c   i   l   i   t  y   A  w  a  r  e  n  e

      s  s

       T   i  m  e   N  e  e   d  e   d

       T   i  m  e   A  v  a   i   l  a   b

       l  e

    Calculation

       D   i   f   f   i  c  u   l   t  y

    Time

    Modifier 

       M  o  n   i   t  o  r   i  n  g

     Awareness

    SecurityFacility

    Security

       D   i   f   f   i  c  u

       l   t  y

       M  o  n   i   t  o

      r   i  n  g

       T   i  m  e   M  o

       d   i   f   i  e  r

       A  w  a  r  e  n  e  s  s

         E    x    c   e    s    s       T

         i    m   e

           j  

    Facility AnswersBuilding Answers

    (if Icon j is within)Fence Answers

    (if Icon j is within)

    Room Answers

    (if Icon  j is within)Icon  j Answers

    Icon

     Accessibi li ty jScore

    to

    Reconizability j

    baseAccessibility = TotalSecurity+Monitoring+Awareness

    If baseAccessibility < 0 then set to zero

     Accessibi li ty = 10–baseAccessibi li ty–Difficulty–TimeModif ier 

     Algorithm Structure

    (Accessibility only as example)

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    Feed Mill Comparison

    (Software vs. Live Session)

    30 35 40 45 50 55 60

    28

    2624

    22

    20

    18

    16

    14

    12

    10

    Software Total

       F   t .   D  o   d  g  e   R  e  s  u   l   t  s y = 0.4539xR2 = 0.6974

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    Issues and Needs

    • Testing and calibration must continue

    • Food processing jargon and better equipment understanding• User uncertainty and chief concerns• Conservative assumptions must be confirmed 

    • User session improvements necessary for continued use

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    • V2.0 will include retail and pre-harvest modules• Calibration and validation will be ongoing• Updates will be well communicated and distributed 

    Next Steps

    Conclusions

    • Value to food industry in time/labor/product savings

    • Consumer value in safer food supply• Improved homeland security

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