asifma
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FACTORS THAT ASSIST THEDEVELOPMENT OF LIQUIDITY 2009
Asia Securities Industry and
Financial Markets Association
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Japanese Banks Assets Related to Public
Entities for WGBI Included Countries
Japanese Banks' Claimes to Public Entities
US$ million
02/12 03/3 03/6 03/9 03/12 04/3 04/6 04/9 04/12 05/3 05/6 05/9 05/12 06/3 06/6 06/9 06/12 07/3 07/6 07/9 07/12 08/3 08/6 08/9 08/12
Poland 103 56 293 409 521 758 882 1,032 1,399 1,831 2,000 2,300 2,418 2,506 2,509 2,507 2,991 3,302 3,564 3,319 4,383 5,131 5,176 4,580 3,615
Norway 198 240 386 832 1,723 1,654 1,515 1,178 1,602 2,418 2,960 3,608 3,101 3,369 3,488 2,866 3,372 3,913 5,295 6,556 7,748 9,332 10,536 9,180 6,814
Singapore 50 44 57 67 83 89 80 95 308 495 777 728 696 734 920 926 1,010 933 1,181 1,071 1,307 1,347 1,523 1,006 824
Malaysia 1,715 1,625 1,541 1,730 1,545 1,503 1,615 1,420 1,320 1,468 1,530 1,460 1,443 1,421 1,486 1,721 1,739 1,664 1,615 1,856 2,146 2,286 3,220 2,993 2,953
09/3 09/6
Poland 3,088 3,535
Norway 6,552 7,793
Singapore 736 727Malaysia 2,790 2,357NoteRed character and blue background after WGBI inclusionSource: International Consolidated Banking Statistics, BIS, Bank of Japan
Japanese banks assets related to public entities have skyrocketedsince the inclusion of Citigroup WGBI.
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Japanese Banks Assets Related to Polish Public
Entities
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08
US$ million
May 2003 Inclusion of Poland in WGBI
Source: International Consolidated Banking Statistics, BIS, Bank of Japan
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Japanese Banks Assets Related to Norwegian
Public Entities
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08
US$ million
September 2003 Inclusion of Norway in WGBI
Source: International Consolidated Banking Statistics, BIS, Bank of Japan
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Japanese Banks Assets Related to Singaporean
Public Entities
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08
US$ million
January 2005 Inclusion of Singapore in WGBI
Source: International Consolidated Banking Statistics, BIS, Bank of Japan
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Japanese Banks Assets Related to Malaysian
Public Entities
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08
US$ million
July 2007 Inclusion of Malaysia in WGBI
Source: International Consolidated Banking Statistics, BIS, Bank of Japan
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FACTORS THAT ASSIST THE DEVELOPMENT OF
LIQUIDITY
Issuance Program
Existing stock
Market makers Shorting and repos
Legal framework for shorting and repos
Derivative markets Sound infrastructure
Domestic investor base
Long term foreign investors
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ISSUANCE PROGRAM
Predictable
Announced
Disciplined no market timing
When issued market
One issuer
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EXISTING STOCK
Re-opening
Open market operation
Buy-backs
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MARKET MAKERS
Create liquidity
Evaluated on liquidity generation
Rewarded for liquidity generation
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SHORTING AND REPOS
Market makers must be able to go short
Trade the curve
Shorting and repos need each other
Repo markets add liquidity
Repos allow dealers to fund positions
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LEGAL FRAMEWORK FOR SHORTING AND REPOS
Shorting explicitly allowed
No punitive penalties for fails
Re-hypothecation not pledge repo
Certainty in bankruptcy Documentation
Taxation of repos
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DERIVATIVE MARKETS
Government bond futures contracts
Interest rate swap market
Interest rate options
Stripping
Not restricted to hedging
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SOUND INFRASTRUCTURE
Trading (OTC, brokers: not exchange)
Bonds, repos, derivatives
Clearing and settlement
Integrated or inter-operable
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BROAD DOMESTIC INVESTOR BASE
Pensions funds, insurance companies, mutual funds,banks
Minimal barriers to trading (e.g. transaction taxes) Reduce bias to hold to maturity resulting from
regulations, accounting or tax
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LONG TERM FOREIGN INVESTORS
Simplify access and trading: (Q)FII limits, registration(reporting is OK)
Remove withholding tax on income or capital gains Simplify access and trading
Simplify custody and financing (e.g. ICSDs)
Inclusion in leading fixed income indices (e.g. CitibanksWGBI, JP Morgan etc.)
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Global Quantitative Easing
Rs 800 Billion
Rs 420 Billion
Government securitiesRBIS (MSS) Bonds
Reserve Bank of India
No upper limitGovernment SecuritiesIsrael Central Bank
-FX
Corporate Bonds
SNB Switzerland
Up to GBP 50 Billion (within 175Billion)Remainder of 175 Billion
Corporate Bonds, CPGilts
Bank of England
JPY 5 TrillionJPY 1 TrillionJPY 1.8 Trillion per monthJPY 1 Trillion
CP/ABCPCorporate BondsGovernment SecuritiesBank Stock
Bank of Japan
EUR 60 BillionCovered BondsEuropean Union
USD 1.25 TrillionUSD $200 BillionUSD $300 Billion
Agency MBSAgency DebtUS Treasuries
Federal Reserve
Max amountPurchaseCentral Banks
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Government Debt Outstanding, State and Global
*Preliminary SIFMA estimates for Canada Source: EUROSTAT, Statistics Canada, Federal Flow of Funds, Statistics Japan, SIFMA
$Billions$Billions