data_0227120312

49
สำนักงานคณะกรรมการพัฒนาการเศรษฐกิจและสังคมแห่งชาติ รายงานการศึกษา เรื่อง การพัฒนาพื้นที่ชายฝั่งทะเลภาคใต้ 19 ธันวาคม 2554 Sungai Petani Malaysia Myanmar ลองกรสุราษฎร์ธาน นครศรีธรรมราช .ทุ่งสง ปัตตาน ปั นราธ ราธ .สุไหงโก-ลก .เบตง .กระบี.านตาขนอง ระนอง นอง

Upload: prayonce-non

Post on 06-Nov-2015

8 views

Category:

Documents


2 download

DESCRIPTION

12

TRANSCRIPT

  • 19 2554

    Sungai Petani Malaysia

    Myanmar

    .

    .-

    .

    .

    .

  • 2

    8 SWOT 19 2554

    2554

  • 1. 1

    2. 1

    3. 11

    4. 28

    5. 29

    6. 32

    7. 35

    8. 44

  • 1.

    ( ) .. 2550

    (.) 2

    11 (.. 2555-2559) 2550

    2.

    2.1 (1) .. 2550

    .. 2550 4 1) 2) 3) 4)

  • -2-

    1) 57

    2) 5 78(2)

    3) 5 78 80 14 281 290

    4) 66-67 80 85 87

    (2) 1) 2532

    . . 4 2532 / / () () 21 2532

    2) 22 2536 () () 44 - 4 (134 )

  • -3-

    3) 27 2550 . 6 2550 . ADB (Planning for the Sustainable Development of Southern Thailand) ADB 2551 2551 . 6 2551

    y 3 (1) (2) - (NCER) (ECER) (3) /

    y (Comprehensive Development Area: CDA) (Cluster) 3 1) 2) 3)

    1) 2)

    . - - 14 2552 1) 2) -

  • -4-

    . - 2554

    4) 2552 2553 3 2552 25 2552 . 6 2552 . 9 2553

    5)

    (3) 11 (.. 2555-2559) 11

    1) ( ) : -- -- - (Royal coast)

    2) ( ) : -- -

    3) ( ) : --

  • -5-

    (ECER) -

    2.2 .

    - Marine Terminal Pipeline Project

    (1) 1) .

    ADB

    1.1) 3 (1) (2) - (NCER) (ECER) (3) /

    1.2) (Comprehensive Development Area : CDA) (Cluster) 3 1) 2) 3)

    2) ( 2551) 2 . . . . 12,000 130 30 .. (70,000 ..)

  • -6-

    3) ( 2552) 6 2551 Dubai World Feasibility Study on the Development of Landbridge between Southern Coastlines of Thailand

    3.1) (Landbridge) . . . . 146 .

    3.2) 1) (Single Point Mooring : SPM) . 1 ULCC ( 300,000 450,000 DWT) . 1 VLCC ( 200,000 300,000 DWT) 2) 3) 1.5 800 .

    3.3) . . Regional Port 5,000 TEUs . . Feeder Port 2,000 TEUs .

    3.4) (1) (2) (3) (Special Economic Zone)

    4) ( 2552 (EIA) )

    4.1) 8 (. . / . .) (. . . / . ./ . .) ( .) ( .) 3 . . . . . .

    4.2) . . 9-12 1 9,000-20,000 DWT 3 3

  • -7-

    5) ( 2552) 1 . . ( 2552 )

    5.1) 1 . .

    y . . . 50 . 40 . 15 . 5 .

    y 3 ( 12 ) 1 5 825,000 TEU 292 750 220 14 1,700 4 4.5 2 3 1,375,000 TEU 240 500 ( 1,250 ) 3 4 2,475,000 TEU 450 1,000 ( 2,250 180 300 )

    y 37,480 ( - 95 . 10,130 ) 19,568 1 9,736

    y 4.2 . ( 30 .) 1.5 .. 416 4137 ( 2 ) 0.03 / ( 10 ) 2,500

  • -8-

    5.2)

    y 26 2553 5/2552 1 . . . 4,734

    y 8 2553 (.) 6/2553 7 2553 (.) 6 .

    y 29 2553

    5.3) 23 2554 .. 2554 ()

    6) 2553 .

    6.1) ------- 2 142 . - 1

  • -9-

    6.2) 3 1 - 107.5 . 2 - 2 34.5 . 3 - 2 142 . 3 1) 2) 3) 30 17.5

    (2) - (

    2555) 1) -

    1.1) 3 2535

    - 2539 35 . 3 . 17 2543

    1.2) 20-21 2545 IMT-GT 1 - /- 71 . - 5-8 2546 - - -/- 6 .

    1.3) 2 11 2552 (Nakawan) 4 2 2 /

  • -10-

    2) - 5 2553 9 2553 67 2 15 2554 2555

    (3) Marine Terminal Pipeline Project (.

    SKSC 11 2551) 1) SKS Corporation SDN BHD (SKSC) Albukhary Group

    . () Marine Terminal Pipeline Project (MTP) ( 250 KBD 500 KBD) Kota Perdana Kedah Jerlun-Kota Perdana- 150 . Kedah- 100 . . - (TTM)

    2) . MOU SKSC 2551 2551 . SKSC SKSC .

    3) ( 9) Kedah 50 . (250 KBD) Economy of Scale NGO Right of Way 190

  • -11-

    3. 3.1

    (1)

    (2) 5 69,845 2 18

    (3) 2543 2552 2543 62.4 58.2 2552 3

  • -12-

    1 .. 2543 - 2552

    2543 2552 /

    (..) (..) . /

    1,589.95 2.25 2,445.10 3.46 855.15 5.98 44,093.06 62.36 41,156.41 58.21 -2,936.65 -0.74 / 6.16 0.01 0.56 0.00 -5.60 -10.10 6,521.22 9.22 4,336.66 6.13 -2,184.56 -3.72 35.44 0.05 19.36 0.03 -16.08 -5.04 31,670.55 44.79 31,477.00 44.52 -193.54 -0.07 4,934.16 6.98 4,372.09 6.18 -562.07 -1.27 11.55 0.02 47.41 0.07 35.86 34.51 52.60 0.07 16.01 0.02 -36.59 -7.73 0.31 0.00 0.12 0.00 -0.19 -6.84 861.08 1.22 887.20 1.25 26.12 0.34 21,328.81 30.16 20,484.15 28.97 -844.66 -0.44 20,112.55 28.44 19,406.91 27.45 -705.64 -0.39 1,216.27 1.72 1,077.24 1.52 -139.03 -1.27 1,143.20 1.62 3,721.81 5.26 2,578.61 25.06 2,562.02 3.62 2,900.57 4.10 338.55 1.47 1,438.85 2.03 2,285.70 3.23 846.85 6.54 1,123.17 1.59 614.87 0.87 -508.30 -5.03

    70,708.04 100.00 70,708.04 100.00 - -

    : .. 2543 2553

    (4)

    1) 2 5,639 .. 1,404 .. 2552 920 36,617 2549 426 23,460

  • -13-

    2 2549 2552

    / 2549 2552

    57 2,552 668 30,557 13 11 73 83

    226 17,888 252 6,060 53 76 27 16

    143 3,020 0 0 33 13 0 0

    426 23,460 920 36,617 100 100 100 100

    31,115 2,960,824 4,643 502,762

    2) 2551 4,521 301,940 2549 2,647 172,142 10

    3 2549 - 2551

    /

    2549 2551 2549 2551 2549 2551

    875 2,676 54,290 173,150 186,984,478 1,261,269,812

    () 33 5,919 31 57 31 77

    1,737 106 116,563 1,636 393,945,226 8,088,264

    () 66 2 6,771 0 66 0

    35 1,739 1,289 127,155 18,800,700 771,514,910

    () 1 38 1 42 3 23

    2,647 4,521 172,142 301,940 599,730,404 1,640,272,926

    () 12 12 20 15 6 22

    22,771 38,448 1,673,822 2,031,943 9,627,418,620.00 7,601,796,302.00

  • -14-

    3) ( 5 ) ( 1-5 ) 357 ( 35 ) 5 100 ( 9 ) 4 2554

    /

    (.)

    (.)

    50 370 19 67 659.12 115 81.38 196.38 34 235 21 68 937.98 65.37 18.21 83.58

    48 355 18 65 509.56 104.32 72.59 176.92 257 1,695 91 320 3,148.23 576.79 253.28 830.07

    : 2554 4)

    / 2531-2552

    5) 2 270 150 2547 5,400 9.0 6

  • -15-

    3.2 (1) 2544-2552

    2.3 80 (GRP) 5 ( 2531)

    2552 :

    123,266 34.0 46,644 33.0 32,915 35.4 43,708 34.2 78,276 21.6 34,270 24.2 13,836 14.9 30,171 23.6 160,885 44.4 60,528 42.8 46,255 49.7 54,102 42.3 GRP 2531 362,428 100.0 141,442 100.0 93,005 100.0 127,980 100.0

    : 2553

    (2)

    1)

    80 60 8.9 48 2.8 4 21 1.4 5.8 31 2.6

  • -16-

    6 2552 :

    /

    8,950,936 1,524,414 44,733 6,615,578 71,862 57,546 636,803 4,039,364 170,976 1,309 3,722,935 19,686 10,516 113,942 5,894,903 864,499 11,117 4,676,809 30,159 36,207 276,112 18,885,203 2,559,889 57,159 15,015,322 121,707 104,269 1,026,857 : 2553

    2) 2553 12 11.8 66 79.5 (1.7 ) (1.2 ) (1.2 ) (1.1 ) 2550 - 2553 736,000 2553 236,000 273 2550 251 2553

    3) 2521 2553 3.5 2552 2.9 2550 - 2553 2.9 3.5 ( 6.5 ) 2552 92

    4) 2552 3.1 419 ( 425 ) 515 ( 599 ) 2543-2552 4.1 2.7 1.4

  • -17-

    7 2550 2553 2550 2553

    : /

    x 1,000 ./ x 1,000 ./

    2550 2551 2552 2553 2550 2551 2552 2553 2550 2551 2552 2553 2550 2551 2552 2553 1,652 1,806 1,933 2,032 2,161 3,026 2,458 2,085 4,227 4,322 4,385 4,561 266 272 255 242 1,091 1,251 1,276 1,288 2,242 2,823 2,319 2,004 2,805 2,935 2,998 3,065 263 271 261 248 166 191 211 216 1,401 2,214 2,140 1,716 4,079 4,081 4,129 4,223 280 284 273 260 2,903 3,246 3,421 3,536 2,447 3,248 2,589 1,924 11,113 11,339 11,513 11,849 273 278 264 251

    : 2553 5)

    64 65 2551 950,464 67 529,167 56 243,513 27 17

    2551 75 25 98 2

    8 2551

    /

    ()

    ()

    ()

    163,137 508 1,029 868 61 258,100 269 2,592 709 1,883 529,227 434 5,725 5,380 345 950,464 1,211 9,346 6,957 2,289

    : 2551

  • -18-

    9 2548 2552

    / 2548 2551 2552

    () () () () () ()

    123,859 102,752 48,555 105,645 54,082 127,847

    34,109 67,342 32,538 104,310 33,503 111,107

    63,279 48,646 27,569 76,675 30,068 90,179

    221,241 218,740 108,662 286,630 117,653 329,133

    : 2551 2552 2553

    (3)

    1) 78 30 28 20 14 10 2550

    /

    10 7 10 3 11 6 14 2 7 2 7 6 4 3 8 11 11 1 2 0 10 7 9 2 14 4 3 3 5 1

    27 20 23 8 33 21 28 6 14 3 : 2550

    2) 2544 - 2552 1.3 2548 16.3 13.3 21,061

  • -19-

    16,471 7,529

    3) 19,006 ( 96) 38 ( 0.2) ( 21) ( 11) ( 9) 4,480

    (4)

    1) 2544 - 2552 67 4.3 2550 76 42,286

    2) 2553 - 497,600 2552 320,400 177,200 143,200 11 - 2551 - 2553

    : 2551 2552 2553

    272,039.19 226,892.49 320,403.84 169,782.81 160,404.50 177,186.15 102,256.38 66,487.99 143,217.70 441,822.00 387,296.99 497,589.99

    : 2553

  • -20-

    (5)

    1) 2549 17.1 1.47 21 2550-2551 19 21 1.7 1.9 2552 17 1.8 26 1 4 2553

    12 2549 - 2553

    /

    2549 2550 2551 2552 2553

    ()

    ()

    ()

    () ()

    ()

    ()

    ()

    ()

    () 4,719,957 26,672 5,198,784 28,120 5,789,486 30,508 5,300,706 44,524 5,733,603 27,888

    (27.6%) (18.1%) (27.6%) (16.4%) (27.7%) (16.5%) (31.2%) (24.4%) (27.9%) (14.1%) 8,374,482 104,474 9,571,481 127,034 10,965,278 137,233 7,510,459 120,718 10,058,826 148,785

    (48.9%) (70.9%) (50.8%) (74.2%) (52.4%) (74.1%) (44.2%) (66.3%) (49.0%) (75.1%) 4,017,934 16,150 4,074,442 16,114 4,169,275 17,330 4,197,527 16,967 4,744,097 27,888

    (23.5%) (11.0%) (21.6%) (9.4%) (19.9%) (9.4%) (24.7%) (9.3%) (23.1%) (14.1%) 17,112,373 147,297 18,844,707 171,270 20,924,039 185,072 17,008,692 182,209 20,536,526 198,066

    (100%) (100%) (100%) (100%) (100%) (100%) (100%) (100%) (100%) (100%) 136,247,145 705,046 144,301,357 747,628 161,568,872 794,995 124,840,868 715,985 156,437,103 904,376

    : 2549 - 50 2551 - 2553

    2) 2552 17 -- () 4 9 153,599 3 3.34 25492552

    3) 2550 1 127 16 4 28 6 16

  • -21-

    1

    : ., 2553

    : 2550 2551-2552

    (6)

    2552 5,096,989 45 41 14 42 17 8 2544 - 2552 2.5 0.9 2552 2,163,742 1,925,745 1,007,502 2544 0.3 2550 1.8 2552

  • -22-

    13 2552

    () () () () () () () () 2,286,820 44.9 1,082,049 50.0 448,495 44.5 756,276 39.3 724,359 14.2 277,802 12.8 114,766 11.4 331,791 17.2 2,085,810 40.9 803,891 37.2 444,241 44.1 837,678 43.5

    5,096,989 100.0 2,163,742 100.0 1,007,502 100.0 1,925,745 100.0 : 2553

    3.3 (1)

    2543-2553 675,404 0.79 2552 ( 0-14 ) 23.64 27.17 2542 ( 15-59 ) 65.42 63.46 2542 ( 60 ) 10.94 9.37 2542 57.6 2542 52.9 2552

    (2) 2552 4,410 766 78 46 ( 3-17 ) 27.7 2542 24.0 2552

    (3) 4,172 1,654 2,518 (1 : 3,746 1 : 5,000 )

  • -23-

    (4) 2553 26,000 89

    (5) 3 2547 2553 11,298 4,262 7,036

    3.4 (1)

    1)

    1.1) -- - 4 ------ 41 42 43 ------- - 44 - 406 -

    1.2) -------- - -

    2)

  • -24-

    3) 4 7

    (2)

    1) 4 - / - - -

    2)

    (3)

    (4) .. 2553 2573 (PDP 2010)

  • -25-

    (5) 263 18 7

    3.5 (1) 2541-2551

    7.6 11.7 54

    (2) 0.60 0.43

    (3) (Over Fishing)

  • -26-

    1

    (4) 2551 2.69 0.01 ( 0.38) 2.68 2549 13.98 19.26 19.47 4.28

  • -27-

    14 :

    / .../ .. ..

    .

    20,167,158 1,324,740 8,943,299 14.81 2,824,880

    11,023,725 180,910 4,223,852 4.28 632,080

    13,006,082 1,188,094 6,101,030 19.47 1,292,892

    44,196,992 2,693,744 19,268,181 13.98 4,749,852

    :

    (5) 2549 7 BOD (Bio-Chemical Oxygen Demand) 5 - 2 2551 2 - 2 3

    (6) 2552 42,557 .. 40,000 - 120,000 .. 64,000 .. 138,000 .. 20,000 .. 3,000 .. 11,600 .. 540 250 120 - 140 200 140 180 - 200 120 - 140

  • -28-

    (7) 2550 4 1) 2) 3) 4) 54 2 3.7 18 33.3 34 63

    4. 4.1

    (1) (Creative Economy)

    (2) (Eco-Industrial Estate Eco-Industrial Town) 3Rs (Reduce, Reuse, Recycle)

    (3) 10-20

    (4) -

  • -29-

    (5) () () ()

    (6)

    (7) IMT-GT JDS GMS (AEC)

    5. 5.1

    (1) 1)

    -

  • -30-

    2)

    3)

    4)

    5) JDS (-) IMT-GT (--)

    (2) 1) FTA - -

    - (Home Stay) (Spa)

    2)

    3) OTOP

    4) SMEs

    5)

  • -31-

    5.2 (1)

    1)

    2)

    3)

    4)

    5)

    6)

    7)

    (2) 1)

    2)

    3) (FTA)

  • -32-

    4)

    5)

    6.

    (1) 19-22 2554 500 14 21-22 2554 140 (2) 6,000 (- ) 2553- 2554

    6.1 (1)

    (2) 3 1) ( )

  • -33-

    2) ( ) (AEC) 2558

    3) ( ) / ( ) . ( )

    6.2

    (1) (Focus group) 25 250 (2) (In-depth interview) 555 (3) (Questionnaires) 5,416

  • -34-

    (1)

    ( ) ( )

    (2)

    / ( ) ( )

    (3)

    1) 2) (3) 4)

    (4)

    / / (Motorway) - - -

  • -35-

    (5) (

    )

    6.3 (1)

    1) 2) 3) 4) / 5)

    (2)

    7.

    (SWOT Analysis) - 2550 11 3

  • -36-

    1 : (1)

    1 ( 7-1)

    1)

    2) /

    3) - (Southern Border Economic Zone: SBEZ) ECER / NCER

    (2) 1)

    1.1)

    1.2)

    1.3)

  • -37-

    2)

    / 2

    3)

    4) (Royal Coast)

    (Super Cluster) - 4 44

    5)

    ( ) NCER ECER -

  • -38-

    7-1: 1 :

  • -39-

    2 :

    (1) 2

    () ( 7-2)

    (2) 1)

    2)

    3)

    4)

  • -40-

    7-2 2:

  • -41-

    3 : (1)

    1 2 1 2 ( 7-3)

    (2) 1)

    11

    2)

    2.1) (Rubber City) (Palm City)

    2.2)

    2.3)

  • -42-

    3)

    / / (Tourism and Environmental Management Plan - TEMP)

    4)

    44

    5)

  • -43-

    7-3 3:

    1 2

  • -44-

    8. 8.1 (

    )

    8.2 .. 2550

    (1) 1)

    2) .. 2550

    3)

  • -45-

    4)

    (2) 1)

    2)

    3)

    4)

    4

  • -46-

    5)

    (3)

    (4) 1) (Economic

    Incentives and disincentives)

    2) 60 40

    3)

    4) (Strategic Environmental Assessment: SEA)