서울대학교의과대학 의료관리학교실 김영치 young chi kim, md, … week - market...
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Health Policyin Economic Perspectives:
Market Failure08 NOV 2007
서울대학교 의과대학
의료관리학 교실
김영치
Young Chi Kim, MD, PhD, MPH
THE INVERSE CARE LAW
Julian Tudor Hart. The Inverse Care Law. The Lancet 1971, 297(7696): 405-412.
INEQUITY IN UTILIZATION
INEQUITY IN UTILIZATION
아플 때 도움을 요청할 데가 없는저소득층 비율
(한국은 2004년 한국종합사회조사다른 나라는 2001년 국제사회조사기구 조사결과)
0 2 4 6 8
한국
핀란드
뉴질랜드
영국
미국
스페인
헝가리
일본
People’s Want from a Health Care System
Good health
Low cost
Satisfaction on the part of consumers and providers
Equity, both medical and financial
Objectives of a Health Care System
Cost control
Good health outcomes
Equity
Popular satisfaction
Medical Care MarketplaceCost of Care
Medical Care MarketplaceCost of Care
Medical Care MarketplaceCost of Care
Medical Care MarketplaceCost of Care
- 동아일보 07 NOV 2007 A13
Medical Care MarketplaceCost of Care
Medical Care MarketplaceCost of Care: Prospects for the Future
Medical Care MarketplaceCost of Care: Prospects for the Future
Total Expenditure on Healthper capita, USD ppp
1980 1990 2000 2003
US 1055 2738 4539 5635
UK 482 986 1833 2231
Canada 783 1737 2502 3001
Germany 965 1748 2671 2996
Netherlands 757 1438 2259 2976
France 711 1568 2456 2903
Japan 580 1115 1971 2139
Korea 164 377 771 1074
OECD 1416 2371 2853
Total Expenditure on Healthper capita, USD ppp
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
USA UK
CANA
DA
GER
MAN
Y
NETH
ERLA
NDS
FRAN
CEJA
PAN
KORE
AO
ECD
1980
1990
2000
2003
Public Expenditure on Healthper capita, USD ppp
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
USA U
KC
ANAD
AG
ERM
ANY
NETH
ERLA
NDS
FRAN
CE
JAPA
NKO
REA
OEC
D
1980
1990
2000
2003
Total Expenditure on HealthShare of GDP
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
US
UK
CAN
AD
A
GERM
AN
Y
NETH
ERLAN
DS
FRAN
CE
JAPAN
KO
REA
OEC
D
1980
1990
2000
2003
Growth of Total Expenditure on HealthCompared to GDP Growth
1980-2003 2003 real per capita
GDP Total HE Health Expenditure (1992=100)
US 2.0 4.4 145
UK 2.2 3.7 146
Canada 1.6 3.1 128
Germany 0.9 2.0 124
Netherlands 1.7 2.9 141
France 1.6 3.2 131
Japan 2.1 2.9 137
Korea 5.8 7.3 204
OECD 2.2 3.4 147
Public Expenditure on Healthper capita, USD ppp
1980 1990 2000 2003
US 438 1085 2008 2503
UK 430 824 1482 1860
Canada 592 1295 1760 2098
Germany 760 1593 2098 2343
Netherlands 525 965 1425 1856
France 569 1201 1862 2214
Japan 413 865 1602 1743
Korea 55 139 356 531
OECD 822 1409 1524 1685
Public Expenditure on HealthShare of GDP
012345
6789
10
US
UK
CANAD
A
GERM
ANY
NETH
ERLAND
S
FRANC
E
JAPAN
KO
REA
OEC
D
1980
1990
2000
2003
Growth of Public Expenditure on HealthCompared to GDP Growth
1980-2003 2003 real per capita
GDP Total HE Health Expenditure (1992=100)
US 2.0 4.8 152
UK 2.2 3.4 144
Canada 1.6 2.7 121
Germany 0.9 2.0 120
Netherlands 1.7 2.4 140
France 1.6 2.9 130
Japan 2.1 3.6 143
Korea 5.8 9.5 292
OECD 2.2 3.4 151
Health Expenditureby source of funding, 2003(total expenditure on health = 100)
Total Public GOV’T SS Schemes Total Private Insurance Out-of-Pocket
US 44 22 13 56 37 14
UK 83 83 0 17
Canada 70 69 2 30 13 15
Germany 78 10 68 22 9 10
Netherland 62 4 58 38 17 8
France 76 3 74 24 13 10
Japan 82 16 66 19 0 17
Korea 49 9 40 51 2 42
Efficiency: PPF
Public sector
U
I
Private sector
카스퍼 다비드 프리드리히 - 안개 낀 바다의 방랑자
MARKET FAILURE
In any given market, the quantity of a product demanded by consumers does not equate to the quantity supplied by suppliers.
A market is not efficiently allocating goods and services.
The social costs of producing the goods and services are not minimized, resulting in a waste of some resources.
Market forces do not serve the perceived public interest.
The Competitive Market Model
Self-interest
Invisible hand
Optimizing behavior
Efficient outcomes
Allocative efficiency and technical efficiency
Economic efficiency and social equity
Equilibrium
Price
P1
P0
P2
S
0 Q0
Surplus
ShortageD
Quantity
Perfect Competition
Perfect competition:
All firms sell an identical product.
All firms are price-takers.
All firms have a relatively small share.
Buyers knows the nature of the product being sold and the prices charged by each firm.
The industry is characterized by freedom of entry and exit.
Perfect Competition
P P MCS
D
AC
P0 P0 D = MR
QQQ0
q0
Representative FirmMarket
Market Failure
Definition:
Where the market mechanism fails to allocate resources efficiently“ Pareto Efficiency”Social Efficiency
Allocative Efficiency
Technical Efficiency
Productive Efficiency
Market Failure
Social Efficiency = where external costs and benefits are accounted forAllocative Efficiency = where society produces goods and services at minimum cost that are wanted by consumersTechnical Efficiency = production of goods and services using the minimum amount of resourcesProductive Efficiency = production of goods and services at lowest factor cost
Causes of Market Failure
Imperfect Knowledge
Market power: Imperfect competition
Externalities
Public goods
Inequality
Market FailureImperfect Knowledge: Akerlof(1970)’s “Market for Lemons”
Consumers do not have adequate technical knowledge
Advertising can mislead or mis-inform
Seller knows more about a product than the buyer.
Producers cannot accurately measure
productivity
Decisions often based on past experience rather than future knowledge
Market Failure
Market Power:
Existence of monopolies and oligopolies
Collusion
Price fixing
Abnormal profits
Market Power
Definition: When one buyer or seller in a market has the ability to exert significant influence over the quantity of goods and services traded or the price at which they are sold
Monopoly
Oligopoly
Monopsony
Pricing and Output under
Imperfect Competition
PriceMC
D
P0
Q0
P1
Q10 Quantity
MR
Natural Monopoly
Definition: One firm can produce a desired output at a lower social cost than two or more firms-that is, there are economies of scale in social costs.
railways, telecommunications, water services, electricity, and mail deliveryA natural monopoly and a monopoly are not the same concept. A natural monopoly describes a firm's cost structure (high fixed cost, extremely low constant marginal cost). A monopoly describes market share and market power; the two are not synonymous.
Oligopoly: Collusion
Uniform prices
A penalty for price discounts
Advance notice of price changes
Information exchanges
Swaps and exchanges
Monopsony
PriceMC S
(Opportunity cost)
P0
Q0 QDQuantity
D
Externalities
Positive and Negative ExternalitiesThe effects of a decision by consumers and producers that has an impact on a third party
Positive Externalities – beneficial effects on third parties
Negative Externalities – costs incurred by third parties
Positive and Negative ExternalitiesCosts and benefits in production:
External costs in production – where MSC = MSB – MPC
e.g. air and water pollution, congestion, housing development on green belt areas, destruction of hedgerows and wildlife, noise, pollution, anti-social behaviour, crime
External benefits in production – where MSC < MPC
e.g. human resource development, research and development in industry
Externalities
MarginalPrivate Cost
MarginalBenefit
P*
Pm
MarginalSocial Cost
Cost perCommuterMile
MSCm
Commuter Miles
QmQ*
The External Costs of a Daily Commute
Public Goods
Definition: goods or services that can be consumed by several individuals simultaneously without diminishing the value of consumption to any one of the individuals
Non-rivalry
Non-excludability
Optimal Output: Private versus Public Goods
PricePrice
Supply
∑D
D1D2
0
P0
Q0 Q1
∑D
D1
Supply
P1
P2
P3 D2
0Q* Q*Quantity Quantity
Public GoodPrivate Good
Free Rider
Price
Ds
Supply
∑D
Quantity
The Free Rider Problem
Ronald Coase, The Lighthouse in Economics 1974
Market Failure
Merit Goods
Education – nurseries, schools, colleges, universities – could all be provided by the market but would everyone be able to afford them?
Market Failure
De-Merit Goods
Goods which society over-produces
Goods and services provided by the market which are not in our best interests!
Tobacco and Alcohol
Drugs
Gambling
Market Failure
Inequality:Poverty – absolute and relative
Distribution of factor ownership
Distribution of income
Wealth distribution
Discrimination
Housing
Market Failure
Measures to correct market failureState provisionExtension of property rightsTaxationSubsidiesRegulationProhibitionPositive discriminationRedistribution of income
Market Failure
Objections:
Advocates of laissez-faire capitalism – libertarians and economists of the Austrian School
Public Choice School -Milton Friedman – Government Failure
Marxian economists – high levels of inequality (equity)
Coase theorem
Individuals can organize bargains so as to bring about an efficient outcome and eliminate externalities without government intervention:
- Property rights are well defined
- People act rationally
- Transaction costs are minimalAn important basis for most modern economic analyses of government regulation, especially in the case of externality.Economic basis to the ‘cap and trade’ approaches to addressing climate change
Market Failure
Neoliberalism:
“Market-oriented solutions” to market failure
Internalizing the external cost, e.g., the pollution permit – Government creates an artificial market for pollution rights
Market Failure in Medical Markets
● Traditional Sources of Market Failure
— Market Power
— Externalities
— Public Goods
● Imperfections in Medical Markets
— Imperfect Information
— Barriers to Entry
— Prevalence of Third-party Payers
Information Asymmetry
Kenneth Arrow, Uncertainty and the Welfare Economics of Medical Care, 1963
Adverse selection
Moral hazard
George Akerlof, The Market for Lemons, 1970
Why The Public Role in Health Care Matters
Consume large resources: 8% of world incomes
60% is public spending
Many health systems are inefficient or inequitable or both (“crisis”)Is there an appropriate frontier between private and public action, and a best combination for the state to use when it intervenes?