webinar on "clearing the air: reducing ghg emissions from u.s. natural gas systems"

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James Bradbury, Senior Associate, Lead Author Co-authors: Mike Obeiter, Laura Draucker, Wen Wang and Amanda Stevens April 23, 2013 Clearing the Air: Reducing Upstream Greenhouse Gas Emissions from U.S. Natural Gas Systems

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Lead authors James Bradbury and Michael Obeiter review a new WRI working paper and its key findings, with particular attention on state-level policy solutions. For more information about this webinar, visit http://www.wri.org/event/2013/04/webinar-clearing-air-reducing-ghg-emissions-us-natural-gas-systems

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Webinar on "Clearing the Air: Reducing GHG Emissions from U.S. Natural Gas Systems"

James Bradbury, Senior Associate, Lead Author

Co-authors: Mike Obeiter, Laura Draucker, Wen Wang and Amanda Stevens

April 23, 2013

Clearing the Air:

Reducing Upstream Greenhouse Gas Emissions from U.S. Natural Gas Systems

Page 2: Webinar on "Clearing the Air: Reducing GHG Emissions from U.S. Natural Gas Systems"

Overview

1) What is known about methane emissions from natural gas systems?

2) What has been done to reduce those emissions?

3) What more can be done?

Page 3: Webinar on "Clearing the Air: Reducing GHG Emissions from U.S. Natural Gas Systems"

Why we need to “get it right”

Page 4: Webinar on "Clearing the Air: Reducing GHG Emissions from U.S. Natural Gas Systems"

Natural gas vs. coal: a climate perspective

Source: adapted from IEA, “Golden Age of Gas” special report (Figure 1.5)

Page 5: Webinar on "Clearing the Air: Reducing GHG Emissions from U.S. Natural Gas Systems"

Estimating Emissions From Shale Gas Systems

Page 6: Webinar on "Clearing the Air: Reducing GHG Emissions from U.S. Natural Gas Systems"

Opportunities to Reduce Fugitive Methane

• New EPA rules – NSPS/NESHAP– Volatile Organic Compounds(VOCs)– Hazardous Air Pollutants (HAPs)

• Two Scenarios with additional reductions– Low-hanging fruit– “Go-getter” scenario

Page 7: Webinar on "Clearing the Air: Reducing GHG Emissions from U.S. Natural Gas Systems"

Upstream GHG Emissions Projections, Shale Gas Systems

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

Business as Usual

Reference Case, with EPA NSPS Rule

MM

t CO

2e, 1

00 y

r GW

P

Pre-NSPS

BAU (w/ NSPS)

Source: Baseline GHG data from Weber and Clavin (2012), EPA (2012a), and EIA (2012).

Page 8: Webinar on "Clearing the Air: Reducing GHG Emissions from U.S. Natural Gas Systems"

Upstream GHG Emissions Projections, All Natural Gas Systems

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Reference Case

Reference Case, with EPA NSPS Rule

MM

t CO

2e, 1

00 y

r GW

P Pre-NSPS

BAU (w/ NSPS)

Source: Baseline GHG data from Weber and Clavin (2012), EPA (2012a), and EIA (2012).

Page 9: Webinar on "Clearing the Air: Reducing GHG Emissions from U.S. Natural Gas Systems"

Upstream GHG Emissions

Projections from all Natural Gas

Systems, with Two

Abatement Scenarios

Source: Baseline GHG data from Weber and Clavin (2012), EPA (2012a), and EIA (2012).

Page 10: Webinar on "Clearing the Air: Reducing GHG Emissions from U.S. Natural Gas Systems"

Federal & State Policies to Reduce Emissions

• EPA - Direct regulation of GHG emissions– Address new and existing sources– Gets sources with lower VOC concentrations

• Enabling State Policy Leadership– Raise revenues to help state agencies keep pace– Provide technical and regulatory assistance to

states with expanding O&G development– Develop a database on state policy actions;

support model rules and legislation

Page 11: Webinar on "Clearing the Air: Reducing GHG Emissions from U.S. Natural Gas Systems"

Improve Understanding of Emissions/Expand Policy and Technology Options

• Collect and Analyze emissions data– Direct emissions measurements– Update emissions factors for key processes

• Applied technology research and development– Emissions measurement/leak detection– Reduce costs for abatement options

• Identify and address barriers to investment in cost-effective emissions controls

Page 12: Webinar on "Clearing the Air: Reducing GHG Emissions from U.S. Natural Gas Systems"

Key Takeaways1. Fugitive methane emissions represent roughly 3 to 4% of

total U.S. GHG emissions

2. Reducing these emissions to below 1% will help ensure that fuel-switching to natural gas is beneficial

3. Fugitive methane occurs at every stage of the natural gas life cycle, more direct measurements are needed

4. Recent EPA rules will stem methane leakage; but much greater reductions can be achieved cost-effectively

5. The Clean Air Act is an appropriate tool for policy action; responsive to industry and flexible for states

Page 13: Webinar on "Clearing the Air: Reducing GHG Emissions from U.S. Natural Gas Systems"

Thank YouJames Bradbury Mike [email protected]@wri.org