詹姆士看天下 2015/04/13
TRANSCRIPT
- 1. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 2015/04/13
- 2. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 124.26 108.55 59.52 37.26 54.80 2008 2014 () -34.64% -15.70% -36.09% -7.28% -21.11% -12.76% -9.52% -5.56% -18.82%-5.58% Bloomberg() 2014/12/312005/12/31 %
- 3. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. Bloomberg 1bp=0.01% :2015/4/10 (%) (bp) (bp) (bp) 4.24 394 381 297 6.46 480 460 335 8.42 784 732 461 3.86 252 242 218 () () () () ()
- 4. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 4/7 : Bloomberg 2015/4/10 (%) 5.75 (&) 4.24 6.46 % % 8.82 -0.68 -0.28 -0.01 0.04 0.19 0.21 0.5 0.56 0.7 0.77 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1
- 5. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 5.6 4.2 4.1 3.0 2.6 2.2 1.4 0.8 3.4 2.8 2.0 1.9 1.5 1.4 1.4 0.8 0.7 0.0 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 5 : Bloomberg 2015/4/10 MSCI MSCI (%)
- 6. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 6 l 50 l 13 5.9 -20.1 -6.3 0.4 5.1 0.5 -0.1 5.8 1.5 0.6 0.3 -0.8 -1.0 -1.3 -1.6 -1.9 -2.1 -2.4 -2.8 -3.3 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 CRB (%) : Bloomberg 2015/4/10 120.22$1207.58 1.947% $1.0604 $51.64
- 7. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 10.5 7.9 7.4 4.4 3.8 3.8 3.4 3.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.2 2.1 2.1 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.2 -0.4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 7 : Bloomberg 2015/4/10 ==225= (%)
- 8. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. (10.5%)(7.9%)(4.4%)A 4000 (7.4%) RTS1000 (3.8%3.4%3.3%)
- 9. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 50 6 350.13 47 20010 7 2 32000 39400 AMSCI 6 1 2015/4/7 - 0302 () () 0404 () - 4220 () 4202 () H AH()3 H
- 10. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 3 3 6 2% 41 12 6%571100 3 2.5%4.5% 2.2% 76% 2015/4/8 ( ) 3830 () 3868 () 8360 () () ( ) 0423 () 0424 () ()- ( ) 4530 () 4584 () 4532 () 4533 ()
- 11. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 8119 IMF4.5 24 10 412%11% QE3525 600 8 10-0.055% QE QE41 12500 20157.45%20162017 2015/4/9 () 2695 () 8925 ()
- 12. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. Bloomberg
- 13. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. ()Bloomberg : 2015/4/10()
- 14. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. () Bloomberg : 2015/4/10()
- 15. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. : Bloomberg 3 GDP 4/13() (4/13-15)3M2 12.4% 12.5% 3 9.0% 48.3% 3 -10.0% -20.5% 4/14() 3 1.0% -0.6% 3 0.2% -0.5% 3 0.2% 0.3% 2 0.4% -0.1% 4/15() 3 -0.3% 0.1% 0.05% 0.05% GDP 7.0% 7.3% 4/16() 3 104.0 89.7 3 -- 0.6% 4/17() 3 0.3% 0.2% 3 0.3% 0.2% 4 94.0 93.0
- 16. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. GDP A IMF4.58 QE 3 50 1200
- 17. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. (60%) QE 2 4000 6.3% 4 (40%) IMF4.58QE QE (2015/4/13)
- 18. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 3 201562016 2015 QE3525 600810 100 811694.5 24
- 19. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. BA BBBA AB 1.75% 20153.4%3.1%1.9%0.9% 2.25% 7.5% 9
- 20. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 40 10 281.5% (LIBOR)2.5% 13% 9
- 21. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 3ISM 56.5 56.5 56.9 3 59.2 -- 58.5 3 -0.3 -- 2.0 2JOLTS 513.3 500.7 496.5 4Sentix 20.8 20.8 18.6 2 2.8% 2.8% 3.7% 2 0.5% 0.5% -0.1% 2 0.2% 0.1% -0.4% 2 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% : Bloomberg
- 22. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 2() 1.44 1.20 614 3 1.4% 1.3% 1.4% 3 -4.6% -4.8% -4.8% 1.75% 1.75% 1.75% 2.25% 2.25% 2.25% 7.50% 7.50% 7.50% 3 16.9% 16.8% 16.7% 2() 136 132 150 2() 32 28 20.1 3IPCA 1.32% 1.39% 1.22% 0.7% 0.4% -1.9% 3.8% 1.5% -3.5% : Bloomberg
- 23. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. (%) 4/7 MSCI 1779.47 0.85 3.47 6.04 10.28 4.08 8.61 2102.06 1.03 2.37 3.91 12.13 2.10 15.77 1264.78 0.34 2.65 7.13 20.53 4.99 13.80 412.93 3.80 4.11 19.77 28.41 20.55 25.60 279.63 3.99 3.89 19.10 33.65 21.11 21.49 225 19907.63 2.63 3.39 16.50 30.11 14.08 42.60 4806.88 0.71 4.39 8.69 20.65 9.47 39.94 4034.31 4.41 19.61 24.70 70.51 24.72 89.36 MSCI 1034.59 2.86 10.11 7.78 4.35 8.19 1.89 MSCI 509.84 4.03 9.36 10.17 13.67 11.45 12.21 MSCI 326.76 1.53 15.41 9.59 -9.93 10.18 -19.68 MSCI 2614.23 -0.30 11.73 -0.92 -20.29 -4.16 -20.66 MSCI 290.82 1.02 11.85 6.52 -1.71 7.40 -9.34 Bloomberg 123.13 -0.28 1.16 0.40 2.68 1.63 5.44 Bloomberg 134.32 0.19 -0.02 1.33 2.71 1.51 6.87 Bloomberg 140.14 -0.01 1.33 1.20 2.76 2.50 6.12 Bloomberg 148.14 0.04 1.05 1.78 -0.84 1.24 -2.49 Bloomberg 155.50 0.77 1.46 3.89 1.96 3.78 1.96 Bloomberg 164.12 0.50 0.30 3.10 4.22 3.31 5.29 ETF 48.55 0.56 3.47 3.56 5.44 3.54 5.46 Bloomberg 145.91 0.70 2.79 3.76 1.89 3.61 5.20 Bloomberg 125.89 -0.68 2.15 0.79 0.00 1.18 2.56 Bloomberg 153.36 0.21 2.18 3.50 6.96 3.98 12.20 Bloomberg 2015/4/10
- 24. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. (%) () 4/7 MSCI 236.57 1.75 8.52 7.18 -6.10 -0.52 -15.22 MSCI 229.93 0.45 1.91 5.13 5.11 3.08 -4.69 MSCI 104.82 0.15 3.02 5.55 6.65 2.00 4.88 MSCI 200.72 0.74 2.76 9.76 20.40 7.79 16.69 MSCI 208.73 0.43 3.71 4.05 9.90 4.41 9.74 MSCI 207.50 1.21 2.76 6.71 12.66 4.10 5.58 MSCI 145.80 0.91 2.34 5.04 14.53 3.20 21.13 MSCI 70.22 -0.85 2.05 2.95 4.81 2.72 1.47 MSCI 117.83 -0.32 4.50 4.50 0.72 -4.25 -0.02 MSCI 220.62 2.37 4.38 7.96 18.79 10.37 27.66 NBI 3739.19 5.42 3.45 13.43 39.12 17.68 66.07 AMEX 171.18 -1.21 6.55 -7.23 -11.15 4.36 -24.11 REITs FTSE 14563.64 -3.27 0.88 -2.76 13.18 2.22 21.36 REITs FTSE 1775.82 -3.73 0.76 -3.33 14.26 2.29 21.50 REITs FTSE 1551.74 4.18 4.90 18.62 38.70 23.83 47.36 REITs FTSE 1573.76 1.94 4.25 0.14 7.99 3.47 12.64 (/) 1207.58 -0.60 3.94 -1.22 -1.27 1.92 -8.44 (/) 16.47 -3.11 5.06 -0.71 -5.34 4.80 -17.88 (/) 6039.00 0.99 4.75 -0.84 -9.12 -4.14 -9.26 (/) 57.87 -0.43 2.62 15.49 -35.85 0.94 -46.15 (/) 51.64 -0.96 6.94 6.78 -39.83 -3.06 -50.06 CRB 217.12 -1.32 3.05 -1.17 -21.22 -5.58 -29.82 891.10 -1.22 0.04 -7.43 -4.55 -7.62 -22.71 : Bloomberg 2015/4/10
- 25. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. (%) 4/7 1.0604 -2.91 -0.88 -10.39 -16.03 -12.35 -23.64 120.22 -0.57 0.76 -1.56 -10.45 -0.37 -15.55 1.4632 -1.67 -2.91 -3.55 -8.98 -6.07 -12.83 0.9791 -2.13 2.08 3.65 -2.25 1.55 -10.48 1.2566 -0.67 0.98 -4.71 -10.88 -7.52 -12.97 0.7682 1.19 0.73 -5.82 -11.56 -6.03 -18.39 1092.68 -0.71 2.75 -1.02 -2.03 -0.16 -4.81 31.2260 -1.00 1.01 2.02 -2.62 1.38 -3.92 6.2087 -0.23 0.86 -0.08 -1.25 -0.05 0.06 12927.00 0.25 1.29 -2.54 -5.45 -4.17 -12.14 62.3200 -0.21 0.74 -0.30 -1.58 1.16 -3.61 32.5450 -0.31 0.51 1.03 -0.25 1.12 -0.84 1.3682 -1.03 1.63 -2.48 -6.70 -3.12 -8.63 3.6670 -0.98 1.01 -2.73 -11.16 -4.63 -12.11 44.3850 0.01 -0.18 1.13 0.93 0.75 -0.17 11.9962 -1.66 3.09 -3.92 -7.30 -3.55 -12.71 2.6286 -2.24 0.37 -13.06 -12.98 -11.17 -19.81 53.5858 3.38 16.55 17.83 -24.67 13.34 -33.71 3.7932 -1.66 2.52 -4.77 -12.55 -6.58 -20.74 280.01 -2.25 2.60 -4.16 -13.59 -6.56 -21.42 4.1567 -2.79 -0.02 -8.79 -16.10 -10.94 -22.73 3.0754 1.62 0.84 -13.06 -21.02 -13.59 -28.24 15.2263 -2.06 2.61 -3.76 -11.47 -3.12 -14.21 8.8484 -0.25 -0.89 -2.90 -4.31 -4.33 -9.58 : Bloomberg 2015/4/10
- 26. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. (%) () (bp) 4/7 30 2.5791 2.6 -14.4 5.1 -43.3 -17.3 -94.0 10 1.9473 5.2 -18.2 0.2 -33.3 -22.4 -70.0 0.3450 0.5 -12.4 6.6 -16.0 1.6 -26.4 0.1550 -3.9 -7.9 -33.7 -73.2 -38.6 -136.5 0.1550 -3.9 -7.9 -33.7 -73.2 -38.6 -136.5 0.4340 -5.1 -9.0 -34.6 -81.8 -39.2 -158.4 1.2660 -3.5 4.7 -61.3 -105.7 -62.4 -190.0 1.2320 1.1 -1.0 -49.1 -83.6 -37.9 -193.7 1.6110 -9.8 -9.4 -103.2 -134.6 -107.6 -226.2 2.2940 3.4 -18.1 -3.5 -46.0 -22.4 -172.1 8.4500 29.0 6.0 111.0 -102.0 43.0 -155.0 10.9459 -52.5 -191.6 -256.0 108.2 -206.1 202.0 3.2500 -3.0 -24.0 -23.0 -99.0 -35.0 -233.0 7.7050 -0.5 -27.8 7.5 -41.7 -26.4 -55.1 12.5780 -21.9 -55.5 40.9 105.9 21.4 -8.4 5.7530 -1.3 -32.3 12.2 -16.4 -9.1 -38.2 2.0750 1.0 -31.2 -46.0 -74.2 -53.0 -146.0 7.2480 -4.0 -43.3 -67.0 -114.3 -54.8 -61.7 7.7980 7.5 4.9 -4.8 -65.8 -5.9 -120.3 9 2.5760 4.0 -16.2 13.7 -67.0 -2.5 -135.0 : Bloomberg 2015/4/10
- 27. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. / (02)770-88888 6633 (03)620-5699 897 (04)3700-7988 360171 (07)972-1188 39 Copyright2015EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd.
- 28. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd.