詹姆士看天下 2016/05/16

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Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.2016/05/16

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

84.1599.0759.39

20082014-26.69% -5.61%-36.09% -7.28%-20.81% ---18.82%-5.58%-21.11% -12.76%-9.52% -5.56%

Bloomberg() 2016/4/30%50.3344.5799.83

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#G 64042

: Bloomberg 2016/5/13

3.644.887.96%%5.10

(%)

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#IND>IND>12)HE00H0A0DXEM(20160411)ADOL

3

Bloomberg1bp=0.01% :2016/5/13(%)(bp)(bp)(bp)4.884754792977.966486413355.103833762773.64235230218

()()()()()

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#IND>18)>HE00H0A0DXEM(20160411)ADOLLDMP

4

200bp~300bp: Bloomberg 2016/5/13

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#: Bloomberg 2016/5/13S&P500

MSCIMSCI

(%)

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

: Bloomberg 2016/5/13 105.55 109 (%)

1.7001$1.1309$46.21108.630.124$127394.61

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

7

: Bloomberg 2016/5/13 ==225= (%)

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

8

(1.9%) 6

(-3.0%)(-2.0%) 13 4

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

9

Bloomberg

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#WFII

10

()Bloomberg : 2016/5/13()

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#BLP WEEKLY REPORT :>

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()Bloomberg : 2016/5/13()

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#5/16() 5 NAHB 59585/17() 4 112.0108.9 4 112.8108.6 4 CPI 0.4%0.1% 4 0.3%-0.6%5/18() 4 CPI -0.2%-0.2% 2016 GDP 0.3%-1.1%5/19() FOMC 4 6.75%6.75%7.00%7.00%5/20() 4 0.4%0.2% 4 540533

: Bloomberg

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

13

GDP 6 10 3 50 105.55 109 6 6 OPEC 4 14

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

14

(60%)5 6 3% 1 1 QFII RQFII 6 A MSCI 2015-20 6.5 5 180 OPEC(40%) 10 126 2 21% 12%

(2016/5/16)

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

(Brad Sherman) Fed

4 3 1.3 3.2 1 2.2 2.1 2 4 3 4 10.2

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

16

5011 50 65 50 42 50 20 30 67.5 4 25 9.9

3

6

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

17

2,000 30% 20%

4 4 (CPI) 2.3% (PPI) 3.4% PPI 50

9 71 4

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

18

13 55 22 180 (Michel Temer)

(Ahmet Davutoglu)

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

19

3 0.1%0.1%-0.6% 4 1.3%0.8%-0.3% 4 PPI 0.2%0.3%-0.1% 5 95.589.989.0 GDP 1.5%1.6%1.6% 3 1.9%0.6%-0.8% 3 -1.3%-0.2%-0.7%0.5%0.5%0.5% 3 -0.8%0.0%-1.2%

: Bloomberg

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

20

3 ( )2.98 2.972.43 4 CPI 2.3%2.3%2.3% 4 PPI -3.4%-3.8%-4.3% 4 M2 12.8%13.5%13.4% 4 0.560.801.37 4 6.0%6.5%6.8% 4 10.4%10.6%10.5% ()4.0%4.0%4.0% ( 7 )1.5%1.5%1.5% 3 -0.9%-0.6%1.1% 3 -7.4%--11.3% 3 -0.3%0.4%1.6%

: Bloomberg

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

21

(%)MSCI1635.92-0.44 -2.07 7.63 -1.89 -1.62 -9.47 2046.61-0.51 -1.64 7.97 -0.32 0.13 -3.59 1102.44-1.10 -2.52 10.71 -4.64 -2.94 -11.38 334.680.91 -2.37 4.47 -9.70 -8.51 -15.58 242.220.39 -1.41 7.20 -6.82 -7.41 -11.66 22516412.211.90 -2.59 2.23 -15.37 -13.77 -16.83 4322.111.08 -0.26 7.24 -8.06 -8.62 -10.42 2827.11-2.96 -8.15 -0.33 -21.62 -20.12 -34.39 MSCI796.07-1.15 -5.98 8.84 -2.13 0.24 -23.70 MSCI386.97-1.49 -6.66 5.04 -4.22 -4.12 -23.54 MSCI272.610.31 -2.86 20.07 2.59 11.53 -22.50 MSCI2157.760.01 -2.90 26.06 9.17 17.92 -21.98 MSCI224.80-0.72 -5.64 12.87 -1.58 6.94 -24.96 Bloomberg126.670.30 0.28 0.57 3.75 3.60 4.62 Bloomberg135.76-0.08 0.18 2.66 2.81 3.11 2.88 Bloomberg143.380.19 1.06 5.47 5.31 5.72 4.77 Bloomberg149.510.07 1.75 10.98 4.05 7.16 -0.84 Bloomberg155.300.37 2.02 12.02 3.93 7.39 -0.83 Bloomberg164.19-0.22 0.23 6.43 0.58 3.04 0.45 ETF42.870.16 -0.95 9.25 -3.50 -0.95 -9.87 Bloomberg150.920.60 1.13 7.98 5.67 7.51 3.45 Bloomberg126.26-0.29 -1.22 3.99 3.24 3.63 -0.05 Bloomberg160.880.77 0.86 6.58 7.44 8.48 6.45

Bloomberg 2016/5/13

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

22

(%)()MSCI192.73-0.58 0.99 14.89 -1.80 8.07 -20.13 MSCI196.17-1.40 -1.60 15.10 3.18 6.23 -18.36 MSCI89.80-0.92 -2.35 8.10 -7.90 -7.44 -16.30 MSCI186.58-1.10 -2.47 7.09 -3.45 -3.64 -7.47 MSCI217.100.37 -0.18 5.50 6.58 4.17 3.33 MSCI195.98-0.81 -1.90 8.92 1.34 2.17 -6.42 MSCI140.01-0.16 -5.29 6.22 -4.51 -4.35 -6.10 MSCI71.640.77 -0.36 6.16 5.76 5.46 -1.32 MSCI119.570.20 -0.31 -0.31 7.81 7.07 0.03 MSCI197.840.18 -2.02 4.57 -3.14 -5.88 -10.32 NBI2655.89-0.66 -9.55 -1.81 -21.80 -24.98 -28.68 AMEX221.48-2.06 11.77 46.52 101.18 99.21 22.19 REITsFTSE15661.20-1.32 1.12 16.23 11.25 6.90 9.01 REITsFTSE1899.04-1.62 0.86 15.00 11.23 6.12 8.68 REITsFTSE1398.59-0.25 0.64 9.12 -6.41 -3.80 -6.77 REITsFTSE1706.22-1.20 -0.73 9.81 23.01 15.44 8.86 (/)1273.07-1.15 3.23 6.13 17.67 20.03 4.08 (/)17.11-2.07 5.58 12.50 20.25 23.70 -3.36 (/)4627.50-3.79 -4.19 2.83 -4.09 -1.65 -27.75 (/)47.835.42 11.16 48.88 7.52 28.51 -28.29 (/)46.213.47 14.64 59.33 10.85 24.92 -22.48 CRB182.551.47 5.13 14.91 -1.55 3.64 -21.13 863.721.53 3.80 8.85 4.49 4.82 -1.62

: Bloomberg 2016/5/13

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

(%)1.1309-0.83 0.03 1.54 5.90 4.18 0.01 108.63-1.41 0.17 5.01 13.39 10.67 10.46 1.4365-0.43 0.48 0.28 -5.64 -2.65 -8.35 0.9755-0.31 -1.17 1.33 3.49 2.71 -5.06 1.2940-0.24 -1.35 6.98 2.87 6.79 -6.17 0.7271-1.29 -6.18 2.25 2.47 -0.21 -9.01 1171.47-0.15 -2.35 3.12 -0.67 0.31 -6.13 32.6060-0.67 -0.85 1.14 0.68 0.79 -5.83 6.5320-0.55 -0.82 -0.55 -2.42 -0.59 -5.01 13325.000.17 -1.25 0.41 2.70 3.47 -1.52 66.7737-0.33 -0.19 1.93 -1.01 -0.93 -4.14 35.4550-0.96 -1.33 0.62 1.51 1.69 -5.73 1.3722-0.80 -1.59 2.36 3.60 3.30 -3.24 4.0310-0.67 -3.94 2.48 8.61 6.53 -10.77 46.59000.98 -1.08 1.85 1.09 0.68 -4.07 15.4038-3.49 -6.34 2.07 -7.49 -0.04 -23.23 2.9701-1.45 -4.48 0.16 -3.01 -1.88 -13.20 65.45251.08 1.03 18.96 -0.32 10.64 -25.10 3.8990-0.30 -1.74 2.07 2.56 1.26 -7.06 278.83-1.19 -1.39 0.09 4.64 4.16 -2.11 3.9728-0.80 -0.33 0.83 4.62 4.88 -0.89 3.5335-0.90 -1.00 13.14 8.94 12.09 -13.98 18.1705-1.69 -4.11 3.85 -7.77 -5.37 -16.86 14.15250.42 1.72 4.50 -32.00 -8.63 -36.84

: Bloomberg 2016/5/13

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

(%) () (bp)30 2.5486-7.9-3.5-5.5-50.3-46.7-53.8101.7001-7.9-6.4-4.8-56.6-56.9-59.3-0.10900.5-3.3-19.9-41.4-37.4-56.40.1240-2.0-0.4-13.7-43.4-50.5-60.00.4700-5.10.5-18.5-40.4-51.8-52.71.4730-2.117.5-17.7-9.1-12.3-41.91.60000.613.7-13.9-18.8-17.1-28.43.1550-16.0-7.5-57.939.963.970.93.0100-7.56.5-5.632.66.713.810.060020.049.0-64.020.0-68.0109.08.8300-11.9-41.5-139.2-99.9-72.4-164.43.380014.043.0-5.0-3.05.0-32.09.19605.320.1-2.756.2-59.9106.712.2520-34.3-90.5-404.1-329.0-426.0-47.45.92001.91.2-17.6-18.7-35.7-14.01.7650-0.9-2.2-3.2-56.5-32.0-77.07.7110-7.128.3-26.0-92.6-103.4-28.9*7.4240-0.9-1.4-30.0-22.5-33.7-53.2101.7790-0.16.5-23.4-91.6-72.1-110.4

: Bloomberg 2016/5/13

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#Q1 Bloomberg 2016/5/13NM458329(71.8%)33(7.2%)96(21.0%) ()-1.9%(%)15.4-4.50.1-6.9NM-15.1-12.515.18.7-1.8

456192(42%)97(21%)167(36%)()1.43%(%)6.0-2.20.5-2.3-30.3-8.7-1.711.29.7-10.2

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#BBEA332326

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

105008 (02)770-888886610 (04)3700-7988360171 (07)972-118839Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#