詹姆士看天下 2015/05/11

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警語:本文提及之經濟走勢預測不必然代表基金之績效,基金投資風險請參閱基金公開說明書 警語:本文提及之經濟走勢預測不必然代表基金之績效,基金投資風險請參閱基金公開說明書 2015/05/11

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  1. 1. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 2015/05/11
  2. 2. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 124.26 108.55 59.52 37.26 54.80 2008 2014 () -34.64% -15.70% -36.09% -7.28% -21.11% -12.76% -9.52% -5.56% -18.82%-5.58% Bloomberg() 2014/12/312005/12/31 %
  3. 3. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. Bloomberg 1bp=0.01% :2015/5/8 (%) (bp) (bp) (bp) 4.41 383 388 297 6.44 453 453 335 8.25 710 701 461 3.89 227 233 218 () () () () ()
  4. 4. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. : Bloomberg 2015/5/8 (%) 5.95 (&) 4.41 6.44 % % 8.25 -0.64 -0.54 -0.32 -0.29 -0.23 -0.13 0.08 0.13 0.16 0.19 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0 0.2 0.4
  5. 5. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 2.5 2.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 -0.7 -1.1 -2.3 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.3 -0.9 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 5 : Bloomberg 2015/5/8 5% MSCI MSCI (%)
  6. 6. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 6 l l 60 l 2.1% 1.6 46.6 16.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.8 2.7 2.1 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 -0.2-0.4-0.8 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 CRB (%) : Bloomberg 2015/5/8 119.76 $1188.38 2.148% $1.1199$59.39
  7. 7. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 2.9 2.2 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 -0.6 -0.8 -1.0 -1.0 -1.1 -1.3 -1.4 -2.0 -2.0 -2.6 -3.1 -5.3 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 7 : Bloomberg 2015/5/8 ==225= (%)
  8. 8. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. (2.9%) (2.2%) 2.2%1 (-5.3%) 4 (-3.1%) 3.1%
  9. 9. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 3% (PetroVietnam)20%(Ocean Bank) 545% (5.7%) 4350.753.5 20114 314 9.4%900 2.843 5 2015/5/4 0555 () - 0302 () 2695 () - 0309 ()
  10. 10. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 100% 55 4% IPO 1197.7%3000 4274500 7 1N 6092 2015/5/6 - 0302 () () 0404 () - 4220 () 4202 ()
  11. 11. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. Bloomberg
  12. 12. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. ()Bloomberg : 2015/5/8()
  13. 13. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. () Bloomberg : 2015/5/8()
  14. 14. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. : Bloomberg 4 5/11() 0.50% 0.50% (5/11-5/15)4 0.9 1.18 (5/11-5/15)4M2 11.9% 11.6% 5/12) 4 0.2% 0.9% 5/13() GDP 1.2% 1.4% 4 10.4% 10.2% 4 6.0% 5.6% 5/14() 4 0.1% 0.2% 5/15() 4 0.0% -0.6% 5 96.0 95.9 1.75% 1.75%
  15. 15. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 4000 40% 44 60
  16. 16. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. (60%) 4 QE 565758 6 1.1% 4 (40%) 4 QE (2015/5/11)
  17. 17. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 4 4 22.35.4%200854 0.1%2.2% 6
  18. 18. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 8 6503315 520152 1.3%1.5%1.9%2.5% 0.5%-0.1%0.1%1.3% 1.5%QE
  19. 19. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 10111 0.255.1%10.252.25% 1.31.5 543 112% 2
  20. 20. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 59 1.6 68 15014% 12.5% 8%20174%
  21. 21. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 3 2.1% 2.0% 0.2% 3 -514 -417 -359 4ISM 57.8 56.2 56.5 4ADP 16.9 20.0 17.5 4 22.3 22.5 12.6 4 5.4% 5.4% 5.5% 4PMI 52.0 51.9 51.9 4PMI 54.1 53.7 53.7 4 -0.8% -0.7% 0.1% 3 0.9% 1.5% -0.9% 3 -0.3% 0.1% 0.5% : Bloomberg
  22. 22. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 4PMI 48.9 49.4 49.2 1 5.10% -- 5.35% 4CPI 1.5% 1.6% 1.4% 4PPI -4.6% -4.5% -4.6% 4() 341.3 396.0 30.8 4 -6.4% 1.6% -15.0% 4 -16.2% -12.2% -12.7% GDP 4.71% 4.94% 5.01% 2.00% 2.00% 2.25% 12.5% -- 14.0% 1.50% 1.50% 1.50% 1.75% 2.00% 2.00% 3 -3.5% -3.0% -9.4% 1.75% 2.00% 2.00% : Bloomberg
  23. 23. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. (%) MSCI 1794.70 0.41 0.86 4.25 4.54 4.97 6.61 2116.10 0.37 0.67 2.30 3.75 2.78 12.65 1234.93 0.56 -2.36 2.78 4.66 2.51 11.53 400.16 1.39 -3.09 7.56 18.07 16.82 18.20 273.20 1.99 -2.30 8.66 21.84 18.33 17.30 225 19379.19 -0.78 -1.44 11.15 14.58 12.44 38.18 4782.82 0.38 -0.13 9.17 15.93 9.33 38.58 4205.92 -5.31 4.39 33.37 70.52 30.19 109.40 MSCI 1034.94 -1.06 0.03 7.67 4.15 8.22 2.78 MSCI 503.13 -2.06 -1.32 7.49 9.02 9.98 13.00 MSCI 343.03 2.08 4.98 14.84 -2.30 15.67 -16.17 MSCI 2745.23 2.54 5.01 9.20 -8.13 0.64 -17.58 MSCI 294.33 -0.17 1.21 7.04 -1.31 8.70 -9.39 Bloomberg 121.90 -0.13 -1.33 -0.60 1.61 0.61 3.96 Bloomberg 132.69 -0.54 -1.19 -0.57 0.99 0.28 4.70 Bloomberg 138.03 -0.23 -1.79 -0.64 1.59 0.96 3.60 Bloomberg 150.40 0.13 1.45 2.66 0.04 2.79 -1.60 Bloomberg 156.62 0.16 0.96 3.12 1.62 4.53 2.14 Bloomberg 163.16 -0.29 -0.41 1.44 2.81 2.70 3.83 ETF 48.59 0.08 0.08 3.32 1.22 3.63 3.64 Bloomberg 146.29 0.19 0.45 2.93 1.65 3.88 4.12 Bloomberg 125.96 -0.32 -0.22 -0.40 -0.72 1.23 1.29 Bloomberg 151.85 -0.64 -1.07 0.26 4.13 2.96 8.15 Bloomberg 2015/5/8
  24. 24. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. (%) () MSCI 243.68 -1.06 3.01 3.22 -7.16 2.47 -17.32 MSCI 238.20 0.80 3.60 4.33 4.57 6.79 -2.95 MSCI 106.59 0.92 1.69 5.74 3.42 3.73 4.87 MSCI 200.66 0.51 -0.03 5.52 12.50 7.76 15.08 MSCI 207.72 0.77 -0.48 1.17 3.93 3.90 5.79 MSCI 207.20 0.19 -0.14 3.70 3.20 3.95 2.98 MSCI 147.62 0.01 1.25 3.94 6.72 4.49 20.07 MSCI 72.54 0.06 3.30 2.04 2.60 6.11 -0.18 MSCI 118.56 0.29 0.62 0.62 -4.05 -3.66 -1.11 MSCI 218.48 0.68 -0.97 6.26 9.10 9.30 21.19 NBI 3684.23 2.39 -1.47 10.95 18.99 15.95 55.84 AMEX 175.99 -2.18 2.81 -6.64 9.64 7.29 -19.81 REITs FTSE 14283.73 0.75 -1.92 -3.75 3.08 0.25 12.46 REITs FTSE 1735.82 0.72 -2.25 -4.32 3.67 -0.02 12.66 REITs FTSE 1473.17 0.83 -5.06 1.72 22.09 17.56 30.71 REITs FTSE 1534.05 -0.59 -2.52 -0.68 2.52 0.86 6.61 (/) 1188.38 0.83 -1.54 -2.46 2.12 0.35 -7.74 (/) 16.47 1.93 0.94 -2.22 4.51 4.59 -15.91 (/) 6387.50 -0.20 6.28 13.05 -4.88 1.39 -5.08 (/) 65.39 -1.61 13.22 19.87 -19.77 14.29 -39.27 (/) 59.39 0.41 14.93 21.52 -23.85 11.41 -40.64 CRB 229.16 0.53 5.54 3.23 -14.44 -0.35 -24.76 882.11 0.72 -1.89 -4.04 -7.57 -8.55 -24.99 : Bloomberg 2015/5/8
  25. 25. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. (%) 1.1199 0.00 5.59 -1.57 -10.56 -7.77 -18.89 119.76 0.32 0.23 0.50 -3.40 -0.07 -14.79 1.5455 2.03 5.11 1.23 -3.10 -0.97 -8.55 0.9303 0.23 4.74 -0.54 3.30 6.49 -4.92 1.2071 0.72 4.09 4.39 -6.32 -3.97 -9.96 0.7932 1.03 4.06 2.32 -9.08 -3.40 -15.65 1088.34 -1.01 0.75 0.65 0.13 0.07 -6.03 30.6990 -0.24 1.95 2.73 -0.42 3.08 -1.76 6.2093 -0.10 0.12 0.54 -1.35 -0.05 0.45 13121.00 -1.34 -0.95 -2.97 -6.79 -5.52 -12.12 63.9375 -0.81 -2.65 -2.77 -3.80 -1.40 -6.06 33.5530 -0.95 -2.96 -2.68 -2.07 -1.92 -2.81 1.3285 0.13 2.92 2.13 -3.13 -0.54 -6.14 3.5985 -0.70 2.92 -0.12 -7.12 -2.95 -10.12 44.6540 -0.14 0.13 -0.68 0.69 0.20 -2.05 11.9183 1.22 1.67 -0.98 -6.03 -3.11 -13.26 2.6962 0.44 -0.89 -7.17 -16.25 -13.34 -22.77 50.9135 1.93 -1.73 22.51 -12.24 14.16 -34.04 3.6134 0.64 4.20 2.07 -7.12 -2.61 -16.47 269.94 0.50 3.54 0.57 -9.07 -3.52 -18.61 3.9646 -0.53 4.73 -1.41 -10.89 -7.02 -19.16 2.9746 1.32 2.51 -6.84 -14.20 -10.66 -25.54 15.1208 2.71 1.51 -0.54 -10.22 -2.66 -14.52 8.9277 -0.23 -0.97 -2.94 -4.69 -5.18 -10.37 : Bloomberg 2015/5/8
  26. 26. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. (%) () (bp) 30 2.9006 7.3 32.2 31.4 -19.2 14.9 -56.3 10 2.1478 3.4 20.1 13.0 -21.3 -2.3 -47.6 0.4210 5.8 7.6 2.6 -7.1 9.2 -18.7 0.5470 17.4 38.4 17.2 -27.0 0.6 -89.9 0.5470 17.4 38.4 17.2 -27.0 0.6 -89.9 0.8360 18.4 39.1 22.2 -34.8 1.0 -106.0 1.6760 18.0 42.8 9.8 -70.0 -21.4 -124.3 1.6650 13.2 46.9 17.6 -49.1 5.4 -121.9 2.2830 18.9 66.0 -13.1 -99.7 -40.4 -117.7 2.6990 6.7 44.1 48.8 4.8 18.1 -115.5 9.3300 -1.0 109.0 171.0 51.0 131.0 13.0 10.4105 -11.4 -100.3 -198.3 30.3 -259.6 128.1 3.7000 26.0 50.0 70.0 -15.0 10.0 -149.0 8.0930 13.7 46.1 64.4 7.0 12.4 -3.1 12.6940 -10.1 16.9 23.3 8.2 33.0 31.1 5.9200 0.8 25.2 30.4 1.4 7.6 -1.1 2.3990 -2.5 28.4 13.2 -27.6 -20.6 -106.1 8.1880 47.8 94.0 77.6 18.1 39.2 14.6 * 7.9830 12.0 19.5 27.9 -22.7 12.6 -77.5 9 2.7760 30.1 11.8 16.5 -52.8 4.7 -72.3 : Bloomberg 2015/5/8
  27. 27. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. / (02)770-88888 6633 (03)620-5699 897 (04)3700-7988 360171 (07)972-1188 39 Copyright2015EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd.
  28. 28. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd.