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詹姆士看天下 2015/06/15

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警語：本文提及之經濟走勢預測不必然代表基金之績效，基金投資風險請參閱基金公開說明書 警語：本文提及之經濟走勢預測不必然代表基金之績效，基金投資風險請參閱基金公開說明書 2015/06/15

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  1. 1. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 2015/06/15
  2. 2. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 124.26 108.55 59.52 37.26 54.80 2008 2014 () -34.64% -15.70% -36.09% -7.28% -21.11% -12.76% -9.52% -5.56% -18.82%-5.58% Bloomberg() 2014/12/312005/12/31 %
  3. 3. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. Bloomberg1bp=0.01% :2015/6/12 (%) (bp) (bp) (bp) 4.61 386 401 297 6.69 456 463 335 8.60 721 725 461 4.07 224 232 218 () () () () ()
  4. 4. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. : Bloomberg 2015/6/12 (%) 6.14 (&) 4.61 6.69 % % 8.60 -0.78 -0.77 -0.40 -0.31 -0.28 -0.23 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.10 -1 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0 0.2
  5. 5. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 2.2 2.1 1.5 1.3 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 -0.7 1.5 1.3 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.4 -0.1 -0.4 -0.5 -1 0 1 2 3 5 : Bloomberg 2015/6/12 MSCI MSCI (%)
  6. 6. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 6 l 2016 l EIA60 -0.7 -1.2 5.5 0.8 1.4 0.4 -0.4 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.7 -0.4-0.5 -1.9 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 CRB (%) : Bloomberg 2015/6/12 123.39 $1181.65 2.392% $1.1266 $59.96
  7. 7. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 3.0 2.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 -0.3 -0.3 -0.4 -0.4 -0.6 -0.6 -0.8 -0.9 -1.3 -1.7 -3.2 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 7 : Bloomberg 2015/6/12 ==225= (%)
  8. 8. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. (3.0%)EIA 3 (2.9%)M2 (-3.2%) 15 (-1.7%)
  9. 9. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. MERS 9 SARSMERS* SARS 87 MERS NBI 20.9%9.3% 5140 6710 2015/6/8 MERMiddle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus SARSSARSMERS 40.7SARS9.7 2015/6/8 Bloomberg 2015/6/5
  10. 10. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. MERS () 0483() 8309() 3926() ( 0465() 3924() MSCI NBI Bloomberg 2015/6/5 Bloomberg 2015/6/5 Bloomberg 2015/6/5
  11. 11. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 623102 () () ( ) 2008 100% Bloomberg() 2015/5/31*2005/12/31
  12. 12. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 10120% 2% 2004620066 3~6 9 2004 201352014 0%0.25% 9 2004 Bloomberg 2005/5/31~2015/5/31 2004 Bloomberg 2015/6/8
  13. 13. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 343.25% 4%33.752004 21%5.25% 4.25 ! ETF () ()2015/6/9 Bloomberg 2015/6/8
  14. 14. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. Bloomberg
  15. 15. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. ()Bloomberg : 2015/6/12()
  16. 16. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. () Bloomberg : 2015/6/12()
  17. 17. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. : Bloomberg FOMC 6/15() 5() 0.3% -0.3% 5() - -14.0% 11.5% 12.5% 6/16() 5 110 113.5 5CPI 0.7% 0.7% ZEW6 63 65.7 6/17() FOMC 0.25% 0.25% 5CPI() 0.2% 0.3% 6/18() 5CPI() 0.5% 0.1% 5 0.4% 0.7% 7.5% 7.5% 6/19() 4() 0.2% -1.3%
  18. 18. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. FOMC 5200 1301120 G7 OPEC3000OPEC
  19. 19. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. (60%) QE (40%) (2015/6/15)
  20. 20. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 351.23 1.1%52.7%40.2% 31.5%53 122 6561 CCC12
  21. 21. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 7 1,200 1 1.34%
  22. 22. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. G7G7 713 550258 45 11 9650 7,000 3.5%
  23. 23. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. 4 0.4% 0.% 0.% 5 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 5PPI 0.5% 0.4% -0.4% 6 94.6 91.5 90.7 .9% 0.% -0.% GDP 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 4 0.1% 0.4% -0.3% : Bloomberg
  24. 24. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. GDP 3.9% 2.8% 2.4% 5PPI -2.1% -2.2% -2.1% 1.2% - 1.0% 5CPI 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 5PPI -4.6% -4.5% -4.6% 5 6.1% 6.0% 5.9% 5M2 10.8% 10.4% 10.1% 3.9% 3.% 3.7% 1.5% 1.75% 1.75% 1.5% 1.75% 1.75% 0.2% 0.7% 3.8% : Bloomberg
  25. 25. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. (%) MSCI 1770.17 0.55 -2.04 2.93 6.99 3.54 2.49 2094.11 0.06 -1.35 1.98 5.25 1.71 8.16 1265.02 0.32 1.69 2.67 10.94 5.01 8.80 389.38 0.10 -2.62 -2.66 19.42 12.71 11.24 269.42 0.08 -2.67 -0.86 22.36 15.58 12.33 225 20407.08 -0.26 3.32 5.89 19.23 16.83 35.04 4975.06 0.11 3.55 8.50 15.84 13.78 37.20 5166.35 2.85 17.51 50.11 71.43 56.52 144.50 MSCI 979.46 -0.27 -6.13 4.25 6.00 2.42 -6.64 MSCI 482.49 -1.12 -4.66 3.49 7.75 5.47 3.16 MSCI 310.81 0.91 -11.64 9.77 5.60 4.80 -29.35 MSCI 2533.47 2.05 -8.40 8.28 -0.02 -7.12 -25.37 MSCI 270.57 1.33 -9.69 4.06 4.78 -0.07 -19.73 Bloomberg 120.60 0.10 -0.48 -1.11 -0.74 -0.46 2.62 Bloomberg 130.81 -0.23 -1.03 -2.43 -0.75 -1.14 2.41 Bloomberg 135.67 0.00 -0.95 -2.03 -0.84 -0.77 1.43 Bloomberg 149.58 0.01 -0.51 2.17 2.85 2.23 -2.90 Bloomberg 155.57 -0.28 -0.53 1.45 5.36 3.82 0.15 Bloomberg 162.32 -0.40 -0.48 -0.77 2.11 2.17 2.22 ETF 48.45 -0.78 -0.66 2.56 2.87 3.33 0.28 Bloomberg 144.20 -0.31 -0.95 1.39 3.42 2.39 1.01 Bloomberg 124.46 0.10 -0.98 0.52 -0.23 0.03 -1.82 Bloomberg 148.40 -0.77 -1.53 -1.38 0.59 0.62 5.22 Bloomberg 2015/6/12
  26. 26. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. (%) 1.1266 1.37 -1.89 6.31 -9.66 -7.13 -17.23 123.39 1.78 -3.47 -1.78 -4.63 -3.04 -17.57 1.5561 1.91 -1.22 4.76 -0.66 -0.27 -8.53 0.9288 1.16 -1.64 8.17 3.66 6.74 -3.69 1.2322 0.98 -2.48 3.68 -5.26 -5.67 -11.97 0.7731 1.42 -3.80 1.16 -5.87 -5.46 -17.79 1114.63 -0.31 -2.83 1.29 -1.61 -2.35 -8.72 31.0760 -0.45 -1.68 2.17 1.17 2.22 -3.02 6.2084 -0.09 -0.05 0.85 -0.26 -0.06 0.24 13335.00 -0.34 -1.85 -0.64 -4.62 -7.07 -11.34 64.0600 -0.48 -0.84 -1.94 -1.74 -1.58 -6.08 33.6400 0.80 -0.70 -2.34 -2.22 -2.40 -4.04 1.3438 1.02 -2.05 3.14 -2.63 -1.69 -7.24 3.7610 -1.13 -5.21 -1.49 -7.01 -7.00 -14.24 45.4080 -1.20 -1.71 -1.81 -1.23 -1.14 -2.91 12.3793 1.59 -4.77 0.07 -5.08 -6.60 -13.20 2.7135 -1.98 -5.38 -3.52 -12.69 -14.21 -21.26 55.2280 1.60 -10.40 12.50 16.20 9.86 -37.32 3.6804 1.66 -4.37 5.83 -8.82 -4.00 -17.36 277.09 1.25 -3.96 3.07 -10.75 -6.06 -18.68 3.9712 0.91 -2.75 5.30 -9.67 -7.18 -18.83 3.1197 0.72 -3.21 1.48 -14.92 -14.81 -28.48 15.4032 1.96 -2.60 0.07 -4.20 -4.26 -15.34 9.0350 -0.23 -1.09 -2.85 -5.34 -6.31 -10.01 : Bloomberg 2015/6/12
  27. 27. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. (%) () (bp) 30 3.1030 -1.1 17.4 40.4 35.6 35.1 -31.0 10 2.3918 -1.6 24.9 27.8 27.4 22.1 -21.2 0.5180 2.7 11.4 10.8 14.0 18.9 -8.5 0.8340 -1.0 21.0 57.7 21.1 29.3 -52.9 0.8340 -1.0 21.0 57.7 21.1 29.3 -52.9 1.2130 4.9 31.2 71.6 31.8 38.7 -51.9 2.2140 -2.8 44.3 106.5 21.8 32.4 -55.9 2.2500 2.6 51.8 110.0 46.1 63.9 -40.5 3.0370 8.8 75.0 147.7 12.1 35.0 -34.4 3.2050 4.6 36.8 74.8 66.8 68.7 -29.4 9.4500 13.0 45.0 94.0 106.0 143.0 34.0 10.6206 -28.9 14.6 -204.6 -234.2 -238.6 209.8 3.9500 34.0 17.0 52.0 48.0 35.0 -51.0 8.3760 -3.4 40.0 38.4 39.2 40.7 -2.1 12.6100 7.5 -16.9 -83.7 1.9 24.6 63.5 6.1990 -8.9 30.0 9.7 5.7 35.5 48.3 2.4560 -1.0 -14.4 10.6 -24.0 -14.9 -86.5 8.6950 16.9 71.4 133.6 24.5 89.9 67.2 * 7.8870 9.8 -5.8 8.9 5.3 3.0 -70.6 9 3.0650 9.4 18.4 37.2 31.1 33.6 -74.2 : Bloomberg 2015/6/12
  28. 28. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. (%) () MSCI 228.02 -0.44 -5.50 4.60 4.92 -4.12 -25.31 MSCI 230.29 0.77 -4.17 2.07 8.15 3.25 -6.77 MSCI 106.04 1.29 -1.17 4.22 6.39 3.19 1.68 MSCI 199.74 0.58 -0.94 2.26 10.95 7.27 11.54 MSCI 202.77 1.45 -3.49 0.75 4.09 1.43 2.38 MSCI 205.72 0.56 -1.77 1.88 6.97 3.21 -0.18 MSCI 146.73 -0.52 -1.60 2.99 6.77 3.86 13.04 MSCI 70.91 0.94 -2.33 3.05 5.46 3.73 -2.31 MSCI 114.25 -0.09 -4.42 -4.42 -3.81 -7.16 -6.04 MSCI 219.29 0.36 -0.60 3.75 10.48 9.71 18.75 NBI 3806.39 -0.94 2.22 5.31 22.25 19.79 47.12 AMEX 155.84 -2.32 -14.02 -2.99 1.33 -4.99 -29.73 REITs FTSE 13792.72 0.32 -4.00 -4.46 -0.42 -3.20 8.35 REITs FTSE 1670.47 0.36 -4.40 -5.22 -1.01 -3.78 8.12 REITs FTSE 1435.81 1.48 -4.29 -2.94 21.91 14.57 23.18 REITs FTSE 1493.29 1.75 -4.73 -1.08 -0.57 -1.82 0.92 (/) 1181.65 0.82 -3.39 2.07 -0.89 -0.19 -7.39 (/) 15.98 -0.84 -8.81 1.99 -1.24 1.61 -18.83 (/) 5912.00 -0.42 -8.20 1.16 -8.91 -6.16 -10.69 (/) 63.87 0.88 -4.36 16.88 4.65 11.46 -43.66 (/) 59.96 1.40 0.40 33.65 7.19 12.50 -43.94 CRB 223.53 0.45 -3.43 6.09 -7.27 -2.80 -27.89 879.60 -1.20 -1.64 -0.32 -10.90 -9.15 -20.10 : Bloomberg 2015/6/12
  29. 29. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd. / (02)770-88888 6633 (03)620-5699 897 (04)3700-7988 360171 (07)972-1188 39 Copyright2015EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd.
  30. 30. Copyright2014EzfundsSecuri:esInvestmentConsul:ngEnterpriseLtd.

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