詹姆士看天下 2016/03/07

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Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.2016/03/07

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

118.5896.9842.9690.0936.9853.61

20082014()-34.64% -15.70%-36.09% -7.28%-20.81% ---18.82%-5.58%-21.11% -12.76%-9.52% -5.56%

Bloomberg() 2015/12/312005/12/31%

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#G 64042

Bloomberg1bp=0.01% :2016/3/4(%)(bp)(bp)(bp)5.676085702978.807757083358.758257674614.16284268218

()()()()()

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#IND>18)>HE00H0A0IM00ADOLLDMP

3

: Bloomberg 2016/3/4

4.16(&)5.678.80%%8.75

(%)

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#IND>IND>12)4

: Bloomberg 2016/3/431700018%MSCIMSCI

(%)

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

: Bloomberg 2016/3/4

(%)

1.8741$1.1005$35.92113.74-0.044$1259.25

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

6

: Bloomberg 2016/3/4 ==225= (%)

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

7

(18.0%)

(8.0%)

(7.1%)13%

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

8

Bloomberg

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#WFII

9

()Bloomberg : 2016/3/4()

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#BLP WEEKLY REPORT :>

10

()Bloomberg : 2016/3/4()

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#3/7()1-0.3%-0.7%3/8()2NFIB94.193.92015GDP1.5%1.5%10.5%-1.2%2015GDP-1.6%-1.4%2-15.0%-11.2%2-10.2%-18.8%3/9()1-0.2%-0.1%0.50%0.50%3/10()0.05%0.05%-0.40%-0.30%2CPI1.8%1.8%2PPI-4.9%-5.3%(3/10-15)2M213.7%14.0%1.50%1.50%3/11()

: Bloomberg2

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

12

3VIX31016-0.3%-0.4%31016-0.3%-0.4%232

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

13

(60%)5170003OPEC(40%)12

(2016/3/7)

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

224.24.9%20080.1%

117

ISM(ISM)2ISM153.553.449.750548.249.5

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

15

10.410.42.03

20.2%1PPI121%2.9%1PPI12

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

16

GDPGDP6.5%-7%M213%2015CPI3%20153%2015

13% GPIF 3.4%2 GPIF 21% 25%(GPIF) 139.8 GPIF 5.3

Q4GDP3.0%2.5% 2% 10

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

17

15 21546.5Elliot Management75%10

4

Alexander NoVak1

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

18

31201612088002294125%

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

19

1-2.5%0.5%0.9%2ISM49.548.548.211.5%0.3%0.6%2ADP21.419.019.32ISM53.453.153.511.6%2.1%-2.9%224.219.515.124.9%4.9%4.9%1456.8440.0447.02CPI-0.2%0.0%0.3%12.0%1.3%2.1%110.3%10.4%10.4%2Markit51.251.051.02Markit53.052.752.72015GDP1.0%1.0%1.0%

: Bloomberg

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

20

2PMI49.049.449.42PMI48.048.448.42PMI52.7--53.517.00%--17.50%2015GDP3.0%2.5%2.7%2.0%2.0%2.0%14.25%14.25%14.25%2015GDP-3.8%-3.9%-2.5%2CPI8.78%9.40%9.58%1()37.638.062.12CPI8.1%8.5%9.8%

: Bloomberg

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

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(%)MSCI1608.043.45 5.52 -4.66 0.59 -3.29 -7.69 1999.992.67 6.38 -3.71 4.10 -2.15 -3.44 1081.944.31 9.77 -7.07 -4.77 -4.75 -11.14 341.803.09 4.88 -8.24 -3.67 -6.56 -13.29 245.303.14 6.48 -7.45 -1.97 -6.23 -8.17 22517014.785.10 1.16 -13.62 -4.73 -10.61 -10.31 4286.422.09 -1.80 -11.25 -3.23 -9.38 -5.78 2874.153.86 4.00 -18.74 -6.70 -18.79 -11.32 MSCI790.976.88 6.94 -2.08 1.64 -0.40 -18.56 MSCI390.335.21 4.94 -4.15 2.80 -3.29 -18.22 MSCI254.957.09 8.60 1.55 -1.78 4.31 -16.10 MSCI2039.7014.75 16.45 6.22 3.71 11.47 -17.20 MSCI218.478.28 8.66 0.82 -4.03 3.93 -20.61 Bloomberg124.98-0.59 -0.24 2.25 1.83 2.22 2.62 Bloomberg133.410.14 0.61 1.36 1.59 1.33 -0.33 Bloomberg136.970.18 0.74 0.47 0.50 0.99 -1.14 Bloomberg141.322.85 2.74 -1.31 -2.76 1.29 -4.59 Bloomberg146.902.97 3.61 -1.03 -2.67 1.59 -4.72 Bloomberg158.891.42 1.01 -2.38 -1.40 -0.29 -2.77 ETF42.051.69 4.94 -5.94 -4.59 -2.84 -8.65 Bloomberg144.341.57 2.76 1.58 1.74 2.82 0.84 Bloomberg123.631.83 1.64 0.99 2.74 1.46 -1.28 Bloomberg155.101.44 2.55 4.46 4.59 4.58 2.24

Bloomberg 2016/3/4

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

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(%)()MSCI182.536.25 7.74 0.58 -2.32 2.35 -20.02 MSCI186.706.25 8.50 -1.01 -0.38 1.10 -19.37 MSCI89.335.47 5.75 -9.69 -4.84 -7.93 -12.87 MSCI185.913.40 7.11 -6.31 0.45 -3.98 -5.25 MSCI211.262.20 3.14 0.87 9.63 1.37 2.84 MSCI191.563.57 6.42 -1.79 4.41 -0.13 -5.61 MSCI140.563.06 7.50 -6.97 5.05 -3.98 -3.30 MSCI70.282.54 2.76 3.17 4.52 3.46 0.33 MSCI115.042.15 0.15 0.15 7.32 3.02 0.45 MSCI193.550.24 3.02 -6.80 -5.72 -7.93 -8.14 NBI2754.390.77 2.80 -18.88 -22.09 -22.20 -23.14 AMEX171.966.45 16.31 48.95 58.25 54.67 3.22 REITsFTSE14640.373.95 6.08 1.97 12.79 -0.07 3.46 REITsFTSE1788.883.79 5.53 2.50 13.68 -0.04 3.98 REITsFTSE1343.193.78 0.90 -10.05 -5.09 -7.61 -8.95 REITsFTSE1609.691.08 5.69 11.19 22.34 8.91 3.40 (/)1259.252.99 7.67 17.95 12.91 19.08 8.29 (/)15.515.50 1.75 9.34 7.39 12.50 -1.21 (/)5027.506.83 7.26 9.01 -1.81 6.85 -13.91 (/)38.7210.31 14.65 -4.12 -18.01 4.75 -34.62 (/)35.929.58 17.71 -3.43 -21.04 -1.84 -26.71 CRB168.554.25 4.09 -5.61 -14.31 -4.31 -23.43 798.221.44 -1.27 -5.70 -2.72 -3.13 -11.79

: Bloomberg 2016/3/4

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

(%)1.10050.65 -1.81 1.41 -1.61 1.18 1.27 113.740.23 1.75 8.35 4.76 5.59 6.40 1.42292.58 -1.50 -5.57 -6.95 -3.53 -6.03 0.99270.41 -0.75 0.56 -1.95 0.76 -0.86 1.33171.45 4.46 1.25 -0.19 3.80 -5.46 0.74394.39 4.64 2.05 7.11 1.78 -3.71 1203.352.80 -0.11 -3.89 -0.85 -2.35 -8.78 32.96001.14 1.28 -0.79 -0.81 -0.30 -4.61 6.50800.50 0.95 -1.62 -2.34 -0.22 -3.64 13132.001.87 3.87 5.35 7.92 5.00 -1.07 67.09502.24 0.70 -0.61 -0.94 -1.40 -7.20 35.36001.06 0.44 1.46 2.16 1.88 -7.85 1.37472.37 2.03 2.14 3.70 3.04 0.29 4.11222.39 0.80 2.72 3.59 4.43 -11.31 46.92801.11 1.54 0.24 -0.36 -0.05 -6.02 15.34475.09 5.16 -5.23 -8.92 0.83 -21.19 2.90453.04 1.41 0.25 4.37 0.39 -10.47 71.87505.82 8.27 -3.58 -4.03 0.69 -16.20 3.92531.88 0.96 1.33 -3.69 -0.34 -3.63 280.201.67 -1.01 2.91 0.28 3.48 0.30 4.05440.77 -1.32 1.87 -2.33 2.58 0.81 3.75296.18 3.66 -0.01 2.41 5.54 -20.60 17.77462.74 5.06 -4.98 -4.37 -3.18 -12.92 15.20641.70 -6.39 -36.03 -38.71 -14.96 -42.50

: Bloomberg 2016/3/4

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

(%) () (bp)30 2.69475.81.9-31.5-18.9-32.1-2.5101.874111.23.5-39.5-25.0-39.5-24.3-0.04402.1-10.1-38.5-40.4-30.9-45.30.23809.1-6.5-44.0-43.0-39.1-14.50.58007.9-5.5-42.2-43.4-40.8-9.71.4620-1.1-7.2-19.2-41.6-13.47.01.5600-1.2-8.5-17.5-51.6-21.120.03.09701.56.861.158.658.1121.02.98603.4-16.29.06.24.371.610.4100-26.0-23.013.0-17.0-33.0215.09.1863-38.6-95.5-25.1-235.9-36.8-355.33.28003.0-8.0-28.0-35.0-5.029.09.2970-12.516.263.774.3-49.8151.814.7890-129.3-143.7-79.0-29.5-172.3210.86.13301.511.7-14.71.5-14.431.41.877010.21.7-42.3-36.1-20.8-49.37.9240-33.6-18.2-63.1-100.9-82.163.5*7.6620-12.1-17.6-9.5-9.2-9.9-2.3101.8960-20.6-38.2-79.5-96.1-60.4-73.8

: Bloomberg 2016/3/4

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#Q4 Bloomberg 2016/2/29490338(69.0%)55(11.2%)97(19.8%) ()1.5%(%)9.10.50.0-0.4-71.7-18.1-7.026.912.81.1

491180(37%)99(20%)212(43%)()0.43%(%)4.3-7.2-0.6-1.2-35.1-15.30.912.09.3-11.5

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#BBEA332326

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

104016 (02)770-888886610 (04)3700-7988360171 (07)972-118839Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#