272_usim_4q04_webcast_ingl
TRANSCRIPT
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WebcastFourth Quarter 2004 Results
Presentation:
Paulo Penido Pinto MarquesCFO and Investor Relations Director
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Disclaimer
Declarations relative to business perspectives of the Company,
operating and financial results and projections, and references to
the growth of the Company, constitute mere forecasts and were
based on Managements expectations in relation to future
performance. These expectations are highly dependent on market
behavior, Brazils economic situation, the industry and
international markets, and are therefore subject to change.
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The Steel Industry - Brazil
Brazilian crude steel production totaled 8.3 million tonnes
in 4Q04 and 32.9 million in 2004, a growth of 5.7%.
Domestic flat steel demand grew 13.7% and reached 10.5million tonnes in the year.
Reaction was driven initially by exporting companies and,
from 2H04 onwards, by recovery in investment-stimulated
and domestic consumer segments.
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The Global Steel Industry
World crude steel production: 9% growth in relation to
2003.
Prices: historic highs during the year.
Economic growth in main countries, highlighting North
American and Chinese markets (high steel demand)
Price increases in raw materials used in steel making.
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Consolidated Results QoQ
5
R$ million 4Q 2004 4Q 2003 3Q 2004Chg.%
4Q/4Q
Total Sales Volume (000 t) 2,170 2,120 2,011 2
Net Revenues 3,809 2,442 3,285 56Net Income 1,127 359 1,005 214
EBITDA (a) 1,816 763 1,602 138
EBITDA Margin 47.7% 31.3% 48.8%
Net Debt 3,495 6,744 4,975 -48
Net Debt / EBITDA 0.6x 2.2x 1.1x
(a) Earnings before interest, depreciation, amortization and participations.
Highlights
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Consolidated Results YoY
6
R$ million 2004 2003 Chg.%
Total Sales Volume (000 t) 8,062 7,710 5
Net Revenues 12,230 8,660 41
Net Income 3,019 1,306 131
EBITDA (a) 5,624 3,072 83
EBITDA Margin 46.0% 35.5%
Net Debt 3,495 6,744 -48Net Debt / EBITDA 0.6x 2.2x
(a) Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, amortization and participations.
Highlights
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The System sold 2.2 milliontonnes in 4Q04 and 8.1million tonnes in 2004, 5%more than in 2003.
Domestic sales totaled 5.8
million tonnes in 2004, 8%more than in 2003.
Even with the entry of newplayers, the System ended2004 with a 55% marketshare.
Consolidated exportstotaled 2.3 million tonnes in2004, falling slightly by 4%.
Usiminas - Sales
7
69%78% 67% 67% 75% 65% 64% 73%
72%
72% 71%
Consolidated Sales (000 t.)
1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04
Domestic Market Export Market
25%
75%
1,830
1,939
74%
26%
1,822
65%
35%
2,119
64%
36%
73%
28%
1,910
72%
72%
27%
1,9712,011
29%
71%
2,170
71%
29%
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Usiminas Sales Mix by Product
8
Sales Volume 2004
Hot Rolled
26%
Galvanized
8%
Slab
15%
Processed
Products
5%
Cold Rolled25%
Heavy Plate
21%
Sales Volume 2003
Hot Rolled
27%
Galvanized
8%
Slab
15%
Processed
Products5%
Cold Rolled
25%
Heavy Plate
20%
The breakdown of sales by product remained stable, but with increasedvolume.
Share of heavy plate increased to 21% in the product mix in 2004, as aconsequence of strong demand and higher average prices than other steelproducts offered.
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Usiminas EBITDA
9
88
9
76
0
66
0
76
3
92
1
1.
285
1.
602
1.
816
42%
33%31%
39%
46%
36%
49% 48%
1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04
EBITDA (R$ million) EBITDA Margin
EBITDA reached R$ 1.8billion in 4Q04, increasing138%.
For the year 2004, EBITDArose 83% and passed the R$
5.6 billion mark.
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Usiminas Consolidated Net Debt
8,
1
7,
4
7,
4
6,
7
6,
3
6,
1
5,
0
3,
5
2,7
2,2 2,2
2,0
1,7
2,2
1,1
0,6
1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04
CND (R$ billion) CND/EBITDA
In 2004, solid cashgeneration enabled theSystem to reduce debt byUS$ 621 million.
The Usiminas System
ended the year with US$ 717million in cash.
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Usiminas Total Consolidated Debt
4Q04: R$ 5.4 billion
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By Term
Long Term
74%
Short Term
26%
By Index
Swap CDI
33%
TJLP
11%
US$
38%
IGP-M
6%Outros
12%
Foreign currency
71%
Local currency
29%
The debt profile was extended. The percentage of long-term commitmentsincreased from 63% in Dec 2003 to 74% in Dec 2004.
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Usiminas 4Q04 Consolidated Cash Flow(Brazilian Corporate Law) R$ million
12
1,90219911
160288109
6191481,816
1,324
InitialB
alance
EBITD
A
NewFinancing
Amortization
andFina
ncing
Interest
Workin
gCapitalVariation
Investments
Dividend/
InterestonC
apital
Others
FinalBalan
ce
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Stock Performance in 2004
Valuation of Usiminas PNA(USIM5): 65.3% vs.17.8%Ibovespa index.
Dividends and interest oncapital totaled R$ 1.1 billion,i.e., a 35% dividend pay-outratio and a 9.5% dividendyield.
Usiminas has the thirdlargest weight on the
Ibovespa (4.78% of theIndex).
Company is preparing tolist on Latibex.
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USIMINAS PNA X IBOVESPA IN 2004
12/30/20
03
1/30/200
4
2/29
/200
4
3/30/200
4
4/30/200
4
5/30/200
4
6/30/200
4
7/30/200
4
8/30/200
4
9/30/200
4
10/30/20
04
11/30/20
04
12/30/20
04
USIM5 +65%
IBOVESPA +18%
R$ 32.63
R$ 53.95
26,196
22,236
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Investments (R$ million)
600
910
579
333
475
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
74%
72% New investment phasestarted in 2005-2006
Usiminas:
New coke oven plant,which will make companyself-sufficient in coke.
60MW thermoelectricpower plant to increase selfgeneration in Ipatinga
Cosipa:
Top blowing blast furnace
turbine in to increase selfgeneration in Cubato
Revamping of continuouscasting machine
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Outlook
Brazilian economy tends to grow approx. 3.5% in 2005.
Brazilian flat steel market should grow by 9% in 2005,according to the IBS.
No substantial international price reductions are foreseenin the medium term in function of heated demand and
raw materials increases.
Consequence of this scenario: solid cash generation seen
in last quarters should continue.
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Goals of the Usiminas System in 2005
Maintenance of product sales at 8 million tonne level.
Domestic market continues a priority = 75% of sales,
investing in stability of commercial relations and
maintenance of business profitability.
Market share maintenance, with position of leadership in
flat rolled steel market.
Priority of funds generation given to investment program,maintenance of dividend policy and continuity of debt
repayment.
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For Additional Information:
Usiminas Investor Relations
Luciana Valadares dos [email protected]
Tel: (+55 31) 3499-8619
Douglas Lee [email protected]
Tel: (+55 31) 3499-8856
Matheus Perdigo Rosa
Tel: (+55 31) 3499-8056
COSIPA - Gilson Rodrigues Bentes
Tel: (+55 11) 5070-8980
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Bruno Seno Fusaro
Tel: (+55 31) 3499-8710
www.usiminas.com.br