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  • 8/7/2019 FEHRENBACHvstofflersNLBv1.0

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    Building 2D/3D optimized Land

    Combat Forces for Decisive

    Strategic Maneuver in the 21stCentury

    "In war the chief incalculable is the human will, which

    manifests itself in resistance, which in turn lies in the

    province of tactics. Strategy has not to overcomeresistance, except from nature. Its purpose is to diminish

    the possibility of resistance, and it seeks to fulfil this

    purpose by exploiting the elements of movement and

    surprise."

    --Sir Basil H. Liddell-Hart

    Air LandSea

    2002 Lieutenant Michael S arks IN USAR d nmic ara aol.com

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    The Two Basic Battles

    1. The Battle Against the Earth: HartsNature

    "We have severly underestimated the Russians, the extent of the country and the

    treachery of the climate. This is the revenge of reality."

    - German General Heinz Guderian, letter to his wife 1941

    Observation

    Closed terrain: mobile forces automatically lighter and 3D air transportable linkage; note

    world is URBANIZING rapidly

    Open terrain: roads, rural areas where we grow food, prairies require GROUND

    FORCES TO CONTROL---we must be able to control these areas...requires 2D

    optimization

    Future Land Forces must FIRST bepowerful against the earth in terms of

    mobility, firepower, survivability, and sustainability--if the earth itself easily smothers theircombat power how can they even begin to think of overwhelming the human enemy?

    Open terrain

    Closed terrain

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    2. The Battle Against Man

    "Natural hazards, however formidable, are inherently less dangerous and less

    uncertain than fighting hazards. All conditions are more calculable, all obstacles

    more surmountable than those of human resistance".

    --Sir Basil H. Liddell-Hart

    The Two competing 21st Century War Thought-Forms in the West

    VS.

    TOFFLERIANS FEHRENBACHIANS

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    1. Ego-centric Gadgetry trumps of the Tofflerians

    Hubris that we have latest gadget that trumps all, computer mentalism

    directing firepower to destroy PLATFORMS since without a platform enemy

    humans cannot abide in temporal air/sea mediums, man is on a gadget

    escalator of human progress (arrogance to exalt human intellect and spendmoney on what makes us feel superior)

    Favorite example: WWII aircraft carriers with 300 mile range aircraft besting

    battleships with 25 mile range guns

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    New replaces old:

    1st Wave: Agrarian

    2nd Wave: Mechanical

    3rd Wave: Information: FIREPOWER TRUMPSALL!

    2nd Wave: Mechanical

    1st Wave: Agrarian

    3rd Wave: Information

    Nave Civilian Utopians: reality on a timeline: man on escalator to heaven

    Ooops! We still live on

    PHYSICALplanet earth

    and grow

    food but timeline

    hubris says we must

    discard this reality

    4000 B.C.Cavemen

    2002A.D.

    Scientists

    Throw out the past:

    not relevant or respected

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    Physicality vs. Earth (thats2nd Wave)

    NOT Important! We will mouse-click firepower!

    Wheeled Armored Car

    Madness: cant MANEUVER

    x-country, swim, airdrop or fight; infantrywill suffer bloody WWI stalemates in cities

    Defeat on the Battlefield:

    no boots-on-the-ground

    decisive, encircling MANEUVER

    LAV3STRYKERFCS

    Afghanistan: Taliban/al Queda

    escape by C3D2

    Kosovo: Serb Army unscathedSOMALIA

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    2. Tactical-centric Reality trumps of the Fehrenbachians

    Must get RESULTS, factors in entire context of reality including gadget vs.

    gadget, human factors that men can live on ground if platforms are taken from

    them; thus MANEUVER is central to control ground where men live (humility to

    focus on what's relevant) since the earth itself is the ultimate "platform" whichundergirds enemy existence/resistance

    Favorite example: 1940s German Army with inferior light tanks encircling BEF

    in France. Military Combat veteran T.R. Fehrenbach wrote inThis Kind of

    War:

    "Americans in 1950 rediscovered something that since Hiroshima they

    had forgotten: you may fly over a land forever; you may bomb it,

    atomize it, pulverize it, and wipe it clean of life--but if you desire to

    defend it, protect it, and keep it forcivilization, you must do this on

    the ground the way the Roman

    Legions did, by putting your

    young men into the mud."

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    Analysis

    Air/Sea not natural mediums for man, rely on gadgets to abide there, more

    susceptible to gadgetry trumps

    Land is where man abides, doesn't need gadgets to abide there, no gadgetryescalator of human progress, latest gadget doesn't nullify/negate/trump earlier

    gadgets, ALL weaponry is relevant and can be lethal; level playing field;

    example: can slit throats of unwary sleeping crewmen in multi-million dollar

    armored car with computer screen, applying AF/Navy thinking to create a

    gadget-centric units that employ counter-gadgetry without physicality versus the

    earth is unsound, enemy can refuse to play "arms race" and accept gadget

    escalator, all weapons in play at all times

    YES!

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    More Problems:

    Tofflerian Ego-Gadgeteers think their brand of computer mentalism

    firepower trumps all; think battlefield will become giant video game;

    Russians callSurveillance Strike Complex (SSC) like aircraftcarriers vs battleships at sea; not so on land! Land forces must be able to

    defeat entire spectrum of enemy gadgets which requires REALITY

    centeredness not expectation that a gadget trump will singularly carry the

    day.

    Land forces must be able to MANEUVER across open and closed terrain

    (Battle against the Earth) and be optimized gadget/weapons wise to prevail

    while doing so against human (Battle against Man) foes who will have ALL

    weaponry types at their disposal, from low to high tech. Low-tech

    advantage will require in open terrain low-tech counters, which is heavier

    armor protection/firepower. High-tech has not REPLACED low-tech in landwarfare, it has SUPPLANTED it

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    Air/Sea Warfare

    High Tech - Low Tech = High Tech Gadget-centric Reality

    Land Warfare

    High Tech + Low Tech = Complex Tactical-centric Reality

    Best Case if Gadgeteers have their way (defined in Reality Context)?

    Ego-Gadgeteers create medium weight tracked vehicle FORCE that is 3D air

    transportable and terrain agile with C4I SA, BUT ISSUB-OPTIMIZED for combat in

    open terrain; too light, will be at disadvantage against human forces with same gadgets

    but with heavier platforms with more weight/capability to work with (2D optimization)!

    Answer is the have two types of land forces!

    2D and 3D Optimized for open and closed

    terrain combats against human foes!

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    We will have a good 3D "extraordinary" force but not the complimenting 2D "ordinary"

    forces to dominate maneuver in open terrains we must have!

    [Sun Tzu'stai" andchi" force constructs]

    In all fighting, the direct method may be used for joining battle, but indirect methods will be

    needed in order to secure victory. In battle, there are not more than two methods of attack - the

    direct and the indirect; yet these two in combination give rise to an endless series of maneuvers.

    The direct and the indirect lead on to each other in turn. It is like moving in a circle - you never

    come to an end. Who can exhaust the possibilities of their combination?-Sun Tzu

    Analogy: WWI British battlecruisers at Jutland getting sunk by heavier German battleship's

    gunfire, M4 Medium offensive tanks versus Heavy Tiger/Panther defensive tanks in WWII

    Worse case if Gadgeteers have their way (defined in Reality Context)?

    Ego-Gadgeteers create medium weight rubber tired wheeled force that is marginally 3D and

    NOT terrain agile, but road-bound, is sub-optimized for maneuver in ALL terrains relyingcompletely on its gadget trump of C4I to direct firepower at a stand-off, with survival mode

    infantry security guards to keep low-tech enemies at bay at high cost in blood (keep RPGs

    away). Neither3D or2D maneuver optimized

    Analogy: LAV-III/Stykers IBCTs or FCS "Units of Action" without 3D or agile 2D cross-

    country fire & maneuver capability versus low-tech enemy who fightsbelt buckle close,

    ambushing these armored cars along roads/trails with low-tech weapons in closed terrainwhere stand-offSA cannot be employed

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    ITS 2D/3D MANEUVER AND FIREPOWER:

    WAR PHILOSOPHIESWE SHOULD BE STUDYING FOR

    21st CENTURY VICTORY THRU 2D/3D OPTIMIZATION--IF WE

    WERE OVER THE FIREPOWER VERSUS MANEUVERCONUNDRUM!

    SUN TZU

    HART

    VAN CREVALD

    BIBLE

    War is about whose ideas dominate

    Defeat the mind of the enemy

    4th Generation War is mind warfare

    Make enemy your friend

    MAN HAS

    ALWAYS

    BEEN TECHNOLOGICALLY ADV

    ANCED, BUTHESA KILLER ANGEL; AS TIME GOES ON DANGERS INCREASE

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    Example of imbalanced fire & maneuver-poor force structure

    againstSurveillance Strike System: October 6, 1973.

    Egyptian ground forces storm across the Suez Canal and

    surprise/overwhelm the Israeli Defense Force (IDF)

    Bar-Lev forward line of troops (FLOT)

    3D Projected

    FLOT

    2D/3D

    2D

    2D

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    The Egyptian Army

    advanced under a

    complete radar-guided,high-medium-low altitude

    surface-to-air missile

    umbrella, backed up

    on the ground by

    hunter/killer infantryteams with Rocket

    Propelled Grenades

    (RPGs) and Sagger1

    Anti-tank Guided Missiles

    (ATGMs) to defeat IDF

    tank ground maneuver: a

    Surveillance Strike

    Complex (SSC) in a Major

    Theatre of War (MTW)

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    When IDF tanks rushed headlong into Egyptian

    Armored formations, they are destroyed by

    SaggerATGMs and RPGs: the invasion

    continued

    RPGs ATGMs

    = Knocked-out IDF tanks

    +

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    "To defeat Israeli armored counter-attacks in 1973, the Egyptians

    employed an average of 55 infantry anti-tank weapons every1,000 meters. Their anti-tank positions were mutually supporting

    and in depth, using Russian-made RPG-7 armor-defeating

    rockets, backed up by Sagger anti-tank guided missiles (ATGMs),

    and Soviet tanks and Saggers in a third echelon. By using the

    maximum stand-off ranges of all anti-tank weapons andneutralizing the Israeli Air Force with an effective air defense

    umbrella over the main battle area ( MBA), the Egyptians

    repulsed attack after attack of Israeli armor."

    -- Major Theodore Sendak, U.S. Army Military Review,

    September 1979 "The Airborne Anti-Armor Defense"

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    The situation desperate, the IDF

    launches fighter-bombers to strafe

    and bomb the Egyptian Armored

    Columns now just a few milesaway from the capital city of

    Israel....

    But they are shot down in

    horrendous numbers....

    Avi Zeira was one of thousands of Israeli Soldiers who

    rushed to the front in a frantic call-up of every able-bodied person in the country:

    "I was so angry that we were surprised," Zeira says. "I was

    really angry, too, that they had better weapons and we didn't

    know about it. I watched as they just shot our planes out of the

    sky, leaving us without cover."

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    Then a miracle happened...the Egyptians paused....

    ...giving the IDF precious time to call up its

    reserves and re-organize itself to defeat the enemy

    surveillance strike complex; their new tactics:

    1. Artillery suppresses enemy

    air defense and ATGM locations

    2. Tracked M113 Mobile infantry clears RPG/

    ATGM locations

    3. Tanks suppress ATGM firing

    signatures, dodge missiles

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    5. Ground maneuver regained---with Artillerysuppressing and tanks destroying enemy air defense sites

    so the IDF Air Force can fly Close Air Support missions

    IDF Centurion

    tank killing

    ADA

    Egyptian Air DefenseArtilery Site

    IDF Air/Ground Team

    4. USAF emergency airlift begins from CONUS and

    USAREUR to replace all lost equipment

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    IDF recon/covering forces

    discover gap in between

    Egyptian armies; IDF

    ground maneuver forces

    under General Sharon

    cross Suez Canal and

    encircle an entire

    Egyptian Army!

    Egyptians sue for peace to

    prevent annihilation!: Israel

    saved

    3D IDF Paratroops!

    2D IDF Armor

    Extended

    FLOT

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    IDF GENERAL AVRAHAM

    ADAN

    (TEL AVIV,

    13/5/97.TRANSLATED.)www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/coldwar/inter

    views/episode-17/adan3.html

    I decided that I would put

    a tank brigade in ambush in

    the sand dunes; I would

    camouflage them with nets

    and they would be there to

    act against the force coming

    from the south. And in the

    morning... no, at night, that

    night we got Paratroopers,

    and they went out into battle

    to broaden the passageway to

    the bridgehead. They arrived

    quite late; they came from

    Sharm-al-Sheikh, from a

    very far-away front, and they

    arrived in helicopters, very

    slowly...and we built up a

    Paratrooper Battalion, which

    entered into a very difficultbattle.

    Helicopter-borne

    Paratroops in

    extended FLOT 3D

    operations!

    200 mile 3D Air

    Assault..at night

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    THE 2D BREAKOUT

    Once across, the tankers overcame local resistance

    and some determined Egyptian commando attacks on

    their laagers as they reorganized. They then

    quickly fanned out into the open desert, crossing thebridges over the sweet water canals. Here was good

    tank country at last, resistance scanty and targets

    plentiful. Their first task was to destroy the Egyptian

    missile bases to clear the skies for the IAF. During the

    day, Adan's and Sharon's tankers destroyed every

    missile site within a perimeter reaching some 20miles along the western bank, breaking havoc among

    administrative troops concentrated in the many army

    camps in the rear zone of the Egyptian armies

    now on the east bank in Sinai. As fast as the Egyptians

    threw in reinforcements, they were destroyed by the

    roaming Israeli armor. Freed from the threat of thesurface-to-air missiles, the IAF blazed away at

    anything that moved, sowing destruction galore.

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    WARNING:

    The 1973 war cost Israel 2,378 men, one third of her

    air force (102 planes), and more than 800 tanks, ashockingly high figure for a country the size of

    Delaware, with about the same number of people as

    Alabama. To comprehend such a loss, a

    comparatively high casualty count on the U.S.

    armed forces would have resulted in 140,000 dead.As in previous conflicts, no official record of the

    Arab losses was ever released, but again we

    estimate that they were higher: about 19,000 dead,

    more than3

    50 fighter planes, 1,300 tanks, and 11ships. Israel won on the battlefield, but in world

    opinion it was the first three days that counted,

    because it showed that superior force structure in a

    well-organized system coupled with surprise were

    not Israeli (nor American) monopolies.

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    Did Israel win? Did the Egyptian SSC work?

    Egypt knew that she could not defeat Israel militarily, so

    Egypt set out to lose the war in such a fashion as to inflict

    maximum casualties on Israel and then win the peace. Egyptdid just that. Egypt halted because Egypt did not want to

    over-run its air defense umbrella. As a result of Egypt's

    "defeat", the Israeli government fell, Egypt got the entire

    Sinai peninsula back and Egypt was able to maneuver the

    U.S. into the Camp David talks whereby the U.S. ended upguaranteeing Egypt's borders with Israel and pledging

    massive aid to Egypt. Egypt's casualties would have been

    less if Egypt had stuck to her original plan, but Egypt

    succumbed to Syria's pleas to launch a limited spoiler attack

    to take the pressure off in Syria's losing fight with Israel. The

    spoiler attack was launched outside of their air defense

    umbrella and was repulsed. The73 war is a perfect

    example of the dictum that war is "a continuation of politics

    by other means".

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    Nevertheless, this doesn't change the fact that it wasn't the Eqyptian

    intention to have Israel cross the Suez and surround their Army. This gave

    Israel a fairly strong bargaining position and made it very clear in the

    mind of Egyptian leaders that the Israelis could be in Cairo in a matter of

    hours. Although all Egyptians are rightfully proud of the initial attack theydon't like to talk about the end result. Lets not forget that Syria intended

    to go all the way to Haifa and Tel Aviv to exterminate the nation of Israel if

    possible--a simultaneous twoMTW type scenario that we seem today

    to want to dismiss as an enemy attack option in order to cut defense

    budgets. The Israelis fought a two front war of extreme violence,beginning with surprise attacks on both fronts and ending with both

    aggressor countries seeing their capitols in danger. The Egyptian pinning

    attack didn't succeed as well as hoped and this is what forced the change

    in plans. The limited Egyptian attack outside of the ADA umbrella didn't

    cause that umbrella to go away-it remained in place and the Israelis used

    combined-arms to crack it.A static defense wouldnt have changed theoutcome since Israel was planning to attack to decide the issue (as per

    their doctrine).

    What ifs are part of war.

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    IDF Colonel David Eshel writes:

    "The Israeli command had anticipated the possibility of a well executedcrossing in their operational concepts. A plan based on the techniques of

    Soviet forced river crossing operations was well known to Israeli

    intelligence; even a film of such a river crossing maneuver was available

    and shown in training. But in actuality, surprise was complete - tactically

    as well as technically. The Israelis were neither prepared psychologically

    nor militarily to accept the fact that the Egyptian Army was capable ofeffectively mounting such an intricate operation.

    The fact that there would not be extensive air support came as a great

    shock to the Israeli troops who, lacking the vast artillery forces of their

    opponents, had been trained to take air support for granted...

    So, although we were not prepared, we attacked with part of our forces on

    8th October, just as they arrived, and again that was a mistake because

    we did not have the power, and again we suffered great losses. Only later

    did we decide to organize first and to switch to an offensive, when we

    were prepared to concentrate all our forces.

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    Lessons Learned for defending MTW aggression:

    1. Side that establishes an effectiveSSC first, lands the

    first blows, usually the attacker taking ground

    2. He that lands all-encompassing massed/precision strikesand/or shattering maneuver wins the first battle, which may

    be the war--

    3. There may be NO RECOVERY to the side receiving

    massed, accurate fires if the enemy doesnt pause (dont

    count on it) and takes ground by maneuver (no territory totrade for time); U.S. doesnt have ally with hundreds of

    tanks/planes to resupply it if lost in first hours of battle

    4. The side receiving SSC fires must be able to absorb,

    misdirect and shrug off fires long enough to establish its

    own SSC and combining of all joint arms to regain theinitiative through MANEUVER--or lose the war.

    5. The key is to asymmetricallyattack the enemys SSC

    boldly at its most critical points to collapse it with

    unrelenting ground maneuver to not give the enemy any

    time to recover, then pursue to victory: armored, 2D/3D

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    There is no one to rescue us if we dont get this right

    --Professor Fred Kagan, U.S. Military Academy on how the U.S. is

    in the same super-power dilemma as England was in 1939, except

    without a potential rescuer with huge industrial base and time tore-arm & re-equip her if she fails to prepare for the right pattern of

    future war

    Israel's big brother (U.S.) made up all IDF combat equipment

    losses and then some within a matter of days. We may not have

    that backup in a conflict of our own. If we are defeated early on it'sentirely possible that no close airfields will exist for us to use. The

    entirely competent Israeli ground forces didn't need any large

    train up. They were ready-to-go as soon as they unloaded the

    equipment off the planes. We have a terrible time getting ready for

    gunnery and NTC deployments. Finally, our complicated

    electronic equipment may not be easily adapted to an existingsituation. If the training and infrastructure don't already exist on

    the ground, introducing it might make things worse.

    ITS TIME FOR THE U.S. ARMY TO RE-INVIGORATE WITH 2D/3D

    CAPABLE FORCES NOW USING EXISTING EQUIPMENT!

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    HowAir-Mech-Strike 2D/3D maneuver warfare

    defeats Surveillance-Strike Complexes

    1. AMS Forces can self-deploy to any location in the world to

    establish a Forward Line Of Troops despite air/sea anti-access strategems and even in the presence ofSSC fires;

    organic ground armored mobility expands options to include

    high-altitude delivery offset from enemy SSC, ADA effects

    and forces in position =powerful against the earth

    CONUS/ISB ---> Drop Zone

    Airdrop USAF t-tail aircraft deliver Forced-Entry

    mobile Assault Echelon (AE) forces under armor

    protection to overcome enemy SSC fires to

    establish expanding FLOT; aircraft fly to ISB to

    shuttle-airland remainder of AMS

    Forces (FOE)into the now secure Assault Landing Zone (AZ)

    Two-Tiered airlift system

    CONUS ---> ISB

    Airlanding pre-loaded 747

    cargo aircraft out of enemy

    SSC fire range bulk deliver

    AMS combat forces QUICKLYunder 96 hours before

    battle/war is lost; cargo 747s

    available NOW in large

    numbers at low-cost

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    AMS: strategically and tactically agile 2D/3D ground

    forces that offer NO easy asymmetric weakness for an

    enemy to exploit =Powerful against man

    Deep rear Rear Close/Far Deep8,000 km back to CONUS 250km from enemy TBAMs 50km from TMAMs 300km in enemy rear

    TSBAZ

    CONUSCombat UAVs

    2D Light Mech

    APAF Cargo 747s, USAF aircraft,

    Army helos (in C-5s or self-deploy)

    Humraam

    CrusaderPatriot/THAAD

    3D

    C-130X

    TBAMs = Theater Ballistic

    Artillery & Missiles

    TMAMs = Tactical Mortars,

    Artillery & Missiles

    Helo SEL

    HIMARS/ATACMs

    Twin 120 mortars

    AGS

    Follow-On-Echelon

    (FOE)

    Assault

    Echelon (AE)

    2D/3D BCTs

    OBJshuttle

    CH-47F

    NMD

    Border Patrol

    NG

    Coast

    Guard/USN

    Space/Air Cover by

    US

    AF/US

    N

    airdrop

    airland

    All Echelons protected from enemy missile attack

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    2. AMS2D optimized forces extend and/or project

    from the FLOT to disrupt/suppress/destroy enemy

    SSC air defenses to enable

    3D decisive maneuver(encirclements, turning movements) or vise-a-versa

    Extended FLOT tactics

    FLOT2D

    3D

    2D

    3D

    Enables 3D

    Force to

    advance

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    Projected FLOT tactics

    Projected FLOT Base

    of Fire/Maneuver

    (Mini-SSC)

    Main FLOT

    3D

    2D

    Enables 2D

    Force toadvance

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    City

    Road Ambushes,

    Mines, RPGs,

    missiles, obstacles,

    predictable = DEATH

    Tracked BCT

    x-country

    mobile avoidsroad threats

    Swims acrossrivers/lakes

    Wins close 1-5kmfight

    Kills armor in

    meeting

    engagements

    Quality infantry

    defeats enemy

    infantry

    RSTA verifies

    targets hit not

    decoys

    3D Forceblocks,

    encircles

    isolates

    severs

    enemy

    2D Force

    Wins far 5-50km fight

    UAVs/UCAVsRobust 2D/3D BCTs win in ANY

    situation

    Scout dogs

    C4I verifies

    data, CAS

    Mobile Crusader, HIMARS,

    EFOGM, Twin 120mm mortar fire

    support KILLS verified targets

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    Missions of the Urban Combat

    Team

    Rapidly Air Deploy Under a Division or Corps HQ as Part of a Joint Force as

    the spearhead for MOUT operations

    Prevent, Contain or Stabilize Crises Through Presence and precise Military

    Operations in Urban Terrain

    Determine Favorable Outcome of urban Small Scale Contingencies (SSCs)

    Act as the urban Combat Force Guarantor in Security and Support

    Operations (SASO) as Part of a U.S. or Multinational Force

    Participate, with Augmentation, in Major Theater Wars (MTWs) insuringurban areas do not hinder decisive maneuver

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    Can we continue to assault

    urban structures using

    predictable top-down or

    bottom-up tactics?

    Slow Ladder

    assaults date

    back to ancient

    times!Stacking teams

    at ground-level

    Helicopter

    rooftop

    assaults

    exposes them

    to enemy fires

    Foot Infantry exposed

    to enemy fires!!!!!

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    Solution to 21st Century

    Urban combat: Modern Siege Engines;

    tracked tanks with combat engineering

    means--original purpose of tanks inthe first place in WWI!

    General Percy

    Hobarts

    Funnieswith PHYSICAL

    MECHANICAL

    ADVANTAGE todirectly cope not

    impotent, rubber-

    tired armored cars

    mouse-clicking pleas

    for firepower help!

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    MOUT VERTICAL ASSAULT

    VEHICLE

    Lethality is Not Always Weaponry

    it can be MANEUVER

    Stealthy Hybrid-Electric

    M113A4 used to

    transport rifle squad

    over rubble, debris

    Combat-proven mobility

    with RPG resistant

    applique armor

    Boom arm delivers

    infantry to

    unexpected spot onbuildings

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    What matters in war is VICTORY, not

    prolonged operations, however brilliantly

    executed

    ---

    3. AMS2D/3D maneuver forces employ maximum fire &

    maneuver to paralyze enemy SSCs as they collapse the

    enemys centers of gravity with lasting, decisive ground

    maneuver, ending the conflict clearly on our favorable terms

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    Questions?LT Michael L. Sparks IN USAR

    [email protected]

    Book:

    www.geocities.com/air_mech_strike/amsbook.htm

    Internet:www.geocities.com/transformationunderfire

    www.geocities.com/strategicmaneuver

    Airborne!