مسح التطورات الاقتصادية والاجتماعية في المنطقة...

Click here to load reader

Upload: escwa

Post on 20-Jan-2016

80 views

Category:

Documents


6 download

DESCRIPTION

يحدد مسح التطوّرات الاقتصادية والاجتماعية في المنطقة العربية 2012 - 2013 عدداً من الخيارات المتاحة للتصدي لهذا التحدي في بيئة محفوفة بعدم اليقين تتحكم بإمكانات التنمية الاجتماعية والاقتصادية في المنطقة. ويقترح المسح سياسات محددة، ويركّز على أهمية الحوار في القضايا المتعلقة بالعمل وإمكانية وضع إطار فعال للتكامل الإقليمي في هذا المجال. ولا بد من رصد سياسات الاقتصاد الكلي من أجل تحديد آثارها على العمل، داخل كل بلد ولكن أيضاً في المنطقة ككل، من أجل تحسين أثر السياسات من حيث قدرتها على خلق فرص العمل. وينبغي أيضاً إعادة النظر في قضايا الهجرة في إطار التكامل الإقليمي العربي، بما يعيد التوازن بين النقص في المهارات والفائض منها والنقص في فرص العمل والفائض منها. والتدابير المالية لا بد أن تحددها استراتيجيات تخصّص حصة من الإيرادات المالية لخلق فرص العمل وتحسين الخدمات العامة في تأمين العمل. ومجموعة الأفكار التي يمكن مناقشتها واسعة جداً من دون التطرق إلى الحجم الإجمالي للتدابير المالية والنقدية. ويبقى من الضروري أن يعتمد القطاع العام مقاربة متوازنة في توزيع الموارد تتسمبالفعالية والكفاءة وتكمّلها آليات عادلة على مستوى السوق. وينبغي تشجيع هذا النوع من المبادرات في إطار الإصلاحات المقترحة في المنطقة للحد من حالات الاستقطاب وتحقيق الاستقرار في مسار التنمية الاجتماعية والاقتصادية في جميع البلدان العربية

TRANSCRIPT

  • 2102-3102

  • 2102-3102

  • 2102-3102

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    3/3102/DGDE/AWCSE/E

    3215-5520 .NSSI

    2410-31

    NOITACILBUP SNOITAN DETINU

  • 2102-3102

    . . . . . . .

    .

    . 2102 3102 . . . . . .

    .

    . 2102-3102 . . .

  • 2102-3102

    . . . .

    .

  • 2102-3102

    ...............................................................................................................................................................................

    - ........................................................................................... 1. ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 3

    . .............................................................................................................................................................................. 8

    . .............................................................................................................................................................................................. 11

    - ............................................................... 31. ................................................................................................................................................................. 51

    . ......................................................................................................................................................... 13

    . ............................................................................................................................................................................. 63

    . ................................................................................................................................ 83

    . ............................................................................................................................................................................................... 64

    - ....................... 94. ................................................................................................................................................................................................ 15

    . ................................................................................................................................................... 25

    . ........................................................................................................................................ 56

    . ............................................................................................................................................................................................... 08

    ......................................................................................................................................... 18

    ......................................................................................................................................... 79

    1-1 1102-4102 ............................................................................................................................. 3

    1-2 0102-3102 ..................................................................................................................................... 4

    1-3 ...................................................................................................................................................... 9

    1-4 9002-4102............................................................................................................................................ 01

    1-5 9002-4102 ........................................................................................................... 11

    2-1 0102-4102............................................................................. 61

    2-2 /8002/3102 ................................................................................................... 04

    2-3 ......................................................................................................................... 44

    2-4 .......................................................................................................................................................................... 54

    2-5 /2102 ............... 74

  • 2102-3102

    3-1 ........................................ 453-2 ............................................................................................................................................. 75

    3-3 .................................................................................................................................................................... 95

    3-4 .......................................................................................................................................................... 95

    3-5 ....................................................................................................................................................................................... 06

    3-6 ................................................................................................................................... 16

    3-7 ..................................................................................................................................................................... 36

    3-8 ........................................................................................................................................... 46

    3-9 ....................................................................................... 56

    3-01 .............................................................................................................................................................. 07

    3-11 ...................................................................................................... 57

    1-1 8002-3102 .......................................................................................................................... 6

    1-2 8002-3102.............................................................................................................................. 7

    1-3 ................................................................................................................................................................ 7

    1-4 .................................................................................................................. 8

    1-5 .......................................................................................................................................................................................... 8

    2-1 9002-4102 .................................................................... 81

    2-2 8002-3102 .............................................................................. 91

    2-3 8002-3102 ............................................................................................................... 02

    2-4 9002-4102 ............................................................................................. 22

    2-5 8002-3102 ....................................................................................................... 32

    2-6 8002-3102........................................................................................................................................ 42

    2-7 9002-3102.............................................................................................. 82

    2-8 9002-4102.......................................................................................... 92

    2-9 8002-3102........................................................................................................................... 03

    2-01 9002-4102 .............................................................................. 13

    2-11 8002-3102 .......................................................................... 23

    2-21 8002-3102........................................................................................................... 33

    2-31 8002-3102 ................................................................................................................................. 53

    2-41 .................................................................................................................................. 73

    2-51 5002 0002-9002 ... 83

    2-61 .................................................................................................................................................................... 93

    2-71 /3102 .................................................................. 14

    2-81 2102 ........................................................................................................ 24

    2-91 ........................................................................................................................................................ 34

    3-1 ................................................................................................................................................................ 25

    3-2 61-56 .............................................................................................................. 25

    3-3 ................................................................................................................ 35

  • 2102-3102

    3-4 ............................................................................................ 55

    3-5 9991-1102 ................................................................ 65

    3-6 .......................................................................................................................................... 65

    3-7 ................................................................................................................. 75

    3-8 .................................................................................................................................................. 85

    3-9 ............................................................................................................................................... 85

    3-01 ............................................................................. 26

    3-11 ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 66

    3-21 .................................................................................................................... 86

    3-31 ............................................................................................................................... 86

    3-41 ........................................................................................................................................................................... 96

    3-51 5002-9002.................................................................................... 17

    3-61 ............................................................................................................................................................................. 37

    3-71 ................................................................................................................................................................... 47

    3-81 ................................................................................................................................................................................... 47

    3-91 ................................................................................................................................................................... 67

    3-02 ......................................................................................................................................... 67

    3-12 ......................................................................................................................................... 67

    3-22 ............................................................................................................................................... 67

    3-32 5102......................................................................................................................... 87

    3-42 5102 ............................................................................................... 87

    3-52 ............................................................................................................................................................. 97

    3-62 ....................................................................................................................................................... 97

    3-72 .................................................................................................................................... 97

    3-82 .............................................................................................................................. 97

    2-1 ........................................................................................................................................................... 62

    2-2 ............................................................................................................................................... 72

    2-3 ......................................................................................................................................................................... 14

    2-4 ................................................................................................................................................. 14

    ......................................................................................................................................... 19 - .......................................................................................................................................... 19

    - ................................................................................................................................................ 39

    - ......................................................................................................................................................... 69

  • 1 2102-3102

  • 3 2102-3102

    -

    -

    1. 2102-3102

    2102 8002-9002. . . 8002 9002 . 2102

    . . . .

    ( 1-1).

    2102 .

    1102-4102 1-1

    4102()3102()2102()11024102()3102()2102()1102

    0.48.45.59.40.44.48.42.2 1.33.23.28.2

    8.15.19.16.20.20.12.14.1 8.13.10.21.36.29.12.28.1

    9.10.24.20.33.11.0-3.0-5.1 (72)8.14.03.03.0-6.13.10.26.0-

    8.54.76.65.97.31.32.35.4 0.52.54.54.64.50.56.48.5

    9.56.61.80.81.56.41.50.18.47.48.42.61.68.55.59.6

    5.50.60.69.62.46.30.33.4 : ( 2-1). (b3102 dna a3102 ,ASED ,snoitaN detinU).

    () / 3102. () / 2102.

  • 4 2102-3102

    . . . . . 2102

    .

    3102 . .

    8002-9002. . . . .

    2102-3102 3102. .

    .

    0102-3102 ( ) 1-23102(*)210211020102

    1.111.111.112.11 3.013.010.019.8

    0.69.59.50.67.86.84.88.8

    ( )2.82.87.84.9

    5.44.43.42.4 5.44.44.47.4-

    9.38.38.39.3 7.66.65.68.6

    5.75.76.76.7 : a3102 ,OLI .

    (*) .

  • 5 2102-3102

    ( 1-2) . .

    .

    2102. 52.0 / 8002. (1-1()) 1 ( 1-1()) . 3102. 8002

    3102 .

    . . (thgirtuO snoitcasnarT yratenoM)

    . (erudecorP ecnalabmI cimonoceorcaM). / 2102 / 2. 52 / 2102 /

    3102 ( 1-1()).

    2102. ( 1-2()). . 2102 . ( 1-2()) . ( 1-1). .

    .

  • 6 2102-3102

    8002-3102 1-1

    ) (

    0.05.00.15.10.25.20.35.30.45.40.5

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    )( )(

    0.05.00.15.10.25.20.35.30.45.40.5

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    0.0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    )( ) ( )( ) (

    ()( )

    () ( )

    () ( )

    : vog.evreserlaredef.www//:ptth.

    : vog.evreserlaredef.www//:ptth

    moc.robilabb.www//:ptth.

    : ed.knabsednub.www//:ptth.

    : () () ()

    .

    2.

    3 . . . 6002 ( 1-3()). ( 1-3()).

    .

    .

    1-3() . ( 1-1()) . . 0.1 3102

  • 7 2102-3102

    1-3

    0.0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002 7002

    0

    002

    004

    006

    008

    0001

    0021

    21 11 01 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 00

    006-

    004-

    002-

    0

    002

    004

    006

    008

    21 11 01 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 00

    ()

    () -

    () -

    : .

    : ( : . )

    .

    8002-3102 1-2

    0.5

    5.5

    0.6

    5.6

    0.7

    5.7

    0.83102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    / ) (075708580959

    001501011511

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    / ) (

    01.1

    02.1

    03.1

    04.1

    05.1

    06.1

    07.1

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    /

    () / () / ()/

    : vog.evreserlaredef.www//:ptth.

    (rodiboJ) 1102. 041 7002 064 / 3102. 1-4() .

    .

    014 2102 8.7 ( 1-4()).

  • 8 2102-3102

    . 2102 ( 1-4()) 4.15 . 3002 . 2102 8.8

    3.01 0102 .

    -

    () 2102 8.88 8.98 4. 2102 8.0

    1-4

    0

    01

    02

    03

    04

    05

    06

    21 01 80 60 40 20 00

    001-

    0

    001

    002

    003

    004

    005

    21 01 80 60 40 20 00%05-

    %0

    %05

    %001

    2102 1102 0102 9002 8002 7002

    () () () ( )

    : / .: / .: .

    1-5

    ) (

    ) ( ) (

    0

    05

    001

    051

    4102 3102 2102 1102 0102 90020

    02

    04

    06

    08

    001

    021

    041

    %0

    %01

    %02

    %03

    %04

    %05

    31 21 11 01 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10

    ) ( ) / (

    / ) ( ) ( ) (

    ) (

    051

    052

    053

    054

    02

    07

    021SU

    /Dbb

    l

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    () () () 2102-3102

    : : (BRC).

    :

    .

    : .

  • 9 2102-3102

    . . . / 2102 . . 3102. 3102

    .

    2102 . . 54.901 2102. 46.421 8 / 47.88 22 /

    ( 1-3).

    . . ( 1-5 ())

    3102.

    3102 . . . . . 3102 1.19 9.311

    4102 ( 1-5()).

    6.32

    ( 1-3 )

    3102

    54.7737.0948.66010264.70119.02118.98110254.90146.42147.8821029.3115.2011.1931020.7110.0019.284102

    : 1102-2102. 3102 / 3102.

  • 01

    2102-3102

    3102 1.22 2102 ( 1-4). 8002 3102 4102. 11 9.2 2102. 1102

    . 2102 .

    648 2102 ( 1-5). 5.201 1.177 3102.

    9002-4102 ( ) 1-44102 ()3102 ()2102 ()110201029002

    5454643423332 0072 0582 8792 9562 2132 162

    089049819688468218527037437337337337

    8 0578 0099 5679 1138 5618 481 2 0052 0552 4342 4652 3232 832

    51 00761 51061 57861 69141 92441 162 576076276866176006

    3 0203 0012 0592 3562 1832 533....281433404004

    3 5963 0773 4083 5563 7543 5931 0011 0211 3111 0811 4021 912

    1 0541 0051 9442641 7841 4745555550707769397382 5262 5962 4361 7862 4772 087

    5558811041031511053415684

    071561751461062682533023672225387387 22 55322 00832 98522 06012 44412 022

    : . ( ).() / 3102.

    () / 3102.

    648 2102

  • 11

    2102-3102

    9002-4102 1-5( )

    4102 ()3102 ()2102 ()1102010290025.318.310.513.511.018.8

    8.295.0015.2117.698.169.84

    0.134.037.131.929.123.51

    0.130.234.438.338.524.71

    7.8727.0928.2436.7132.5121.361

    8.492.998.0016.998.666.95

    7.1456.6651.7362.2956.1041.313 8.110.218.214.317.010.01

    2.487.888.985.975.150.93

    ......0.36.43.4

    0.697.0016.2019.597.663.353.930.145.342.642.434.72

    6.746.050.250.718.743.63

    1.01.01.01.01.01.0

    4.25.25.20.29.16.1

    4.981.492.893.560.484.561.01.01.02.03.02.0

    0.30.23.03.77.91.7

    6.75.76.79.73.64.47.017.91.84.513.618.11 9.7371.1770.6487.8676.8656.344

    : .() / 3102.

    () / 3102.

    .

    .

    -

    . .

    .

    .

    2102 . .

  • 21

    2102-3102

    . . 3002 8002 . 8002.

    . 2102

    .

    . . .

    .

  • 51

    2102-3102

    -

    -

    1.

    2102. . . .

    .

    8.4 2102 2.2 1102 ( 2-1). . 2102 . .

    . . .

    .

    5.5 2102 9.4 1102 ( 2-1). 2102. . 8002-9002. . 2.2 2102

    5.5

    2102 9.4

    1102

  • 61

    2102-3102

    0102-4102 2-1( )

    4102 ()3102 ()2102 ()1102()01024102 ()3102 ()2102 ()1102()0102/

    2.32.38.24.0-0.22.30.34.39.13.4

    0.32.39.28.40.40.32.37.43.64.2-

    2.32.39.21.42.38.30.45.63.06.5

    7.25.29.19.14.2-9.42.52.65.316.61

    8.20.39.27.38.37.45.58.61.71.5

    0.20.27.09.09.08.38.30.42.43.1

    6.27.22.29.26.23.47.47.56.66.4 5.90.112.71.013.112.32.32.29.11.5()

    5.60.61.66.54.25.78.73.116.89.5

    4.50.58.44.40.54.39.27.26.23.2

    5.42.56.69.40.41.28.12.15.10.7

    5.30.37.29.27.32.40.43.52.213.9

    5.70.215.637.44.40.9-1.7-4.13-0.2-4.3

    8.73.94.116.77.76.26.27.1-2.21.5 0.48.46.85.49.32.39.28.29.23.3

    0.35.30.50.515.22.010.517.0013.16-2.4

    6.28.13.19.00.12.59.48.20.57.3

    2.42.56.56.34.48.36.36.29.1-2.3

    5.39.37.55.50.30.53.56.013.9-6.3 0.32.30.58.62.44.35.35.22.21.2

    0.72.30.58.60.44.48.47.48.45.3

    8.50.62.67.53.65.53.68.41.56.5

    ....................

    0.210.221.531.810.315.15.20.7-7.22.5

    0.85.92.014.911.115.35.40.1-3.51-8.6

    0.015.616.422.716.113.22.36.4-3.2-5.5 0.48.45.59.49.30.44.48.42.25.4 ()

    : .() 1102 . / 3102.

    () / 3102.() / 3102.

    () / . () 5002.

  • 71

    2102-3102

    . .

    .

    8.4 3102. . 2102 . . 3102 . . 3102 . . 3102 .

    . . 2102

    .

    2102 3102 . . . . . . / 2102 8 8.6 / 3102. / 1102 . 0102 7 4.5 8.5 .

    2102

    3102

  • 81

    2102-3102

    82 / 1102 51 / 2102.

    . 3102

    9002-4102 2-1

    %0.01-

    %0.5-

    %0.0

    %0.5

    %0.01

    %0.51

    4102 3102 2102 1102 0102 9002

    %0.21-%0.01-%0.8-%0.6-%0.4-%0.2-%0.0%0.2%0.4%0.6%0.8

    %0.01

    4102 3102 2102 1102 0102 9002

    %0.51-

    %0.01-

    %0.5-

    %0.0

    %0.5

    %0.01

    %0.51

    4102 3102 2102 1102 0102 9002

    %0.51-

    %0.01-

    %0.5-

    %0.0

    %0.5

    %0.01

    4102 3102 2102 1102 0102 9002

    %0.6-

    %0.4-

    %0.2-

    %0.0

    %0.2

    %0.4

    %0.6

    %0.8

    %0.01

    4102 3102 2102 1102 0102 9002

    %0.5-

    %0.0

    %0.5

    %0.01

    %0.51

    %0.02

    4102 3102 2102 1102 0102 9002

    : . 2102 3102 4102 . : ( ) .

    .

  • 91

    2102-3102

    .

    2.

    7.5 2102 6.6 1102.

    . 8002-9002. .

    8002-3102 2-2

    )(

    %0

    %01

    %02

    %03

    %04

    %05

    %06

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    )(

    %0

    %01

    %02

    %03

    %04

    %05

    %06

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    )(

    %0

    %01

    %02

    %03

    %04

    %05

    %06

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    %0

    %01

    %02

    %03

    %04

    %05

    %06

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    )(

    )(

    %0

    %01

    %02

    %03

    %04

    %05

    %06

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    )(

    %0

    %01

    %02

    %03

    %04

    %05

    %06

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    : . 2102 3102 .

  • 02

    2102-3102

    8002-3102 2-3

    ) : ( ) : (

    0

    0005

    00001

    00051

    00002

    00052

    00003

    00053

    %0

    %5

    %01

    %51

    %02

    %52

    %03

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    ) : (

    ) : (

    0

    0001

    0002

    0003

    0004

    0005

    0006

    %5-

    %0

    %5

    %01

    %51

    %02

    %52

    %03

    %53

    %04

    %54

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    ) : ( ) : (

    0

    0005

    00001

    00051

    00002

    00052

    00003

    00053

    00004

    00054

    %01-

    %0

    %01

    %02

    %03

    %04

    %05

    %06

    %07

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    0

    0002

    0004

    0006

    0008

    00001

    00021

    00041

    00061

    00081

    %0

    %5

    %01

    %51

    %02

    %52

    %03

    %53

    %04

    %54

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    ) : ( ) : (

    0

    00001

    00002

    00003

    00004

    00005

    00006

    00007

    00008

    00009

    %01-

    %0

    %01

    %02

    %03

    %04

    %05

    %06

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    ) : ( ) : (

    ) : (

    ) : (

    0

    000001

    000002

    000003

    000004

    000005

    000006

    000007

    000008

    %0

    %5

    %01

    %51

    %02

    %52

    %03

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    : .

  • 12

    2102-3102

    .

    .

    3102 . . . . 3102 7.4 . . . 3102 0.3 2.3 8.3 0.4 2.5 5.5

    .

    3102-4102 ( 2-1). 3102 4102 1102-2102 ( 2-2) . 7002-8002 ( 2-3). 7002-8002

    .

    3.

    7.1 2102 2.2 1102. . . . . . .

    7.1 2102

  • 22

    2102-3102

    9002-4102 2-4

    %0.01-

    %0.5-

    %0.0

    %0.5

    %0.01

    %0.51

    %0.02

    4102 3102 2102 1102 0102 9002

    %0.04-

    %0.03-

    %0.02-

    %0.01-

    %0.0

    %0.01

    %0.02

    %0.03

    %0.04

    4102 3102 2102 1102 0102 9002

    %0.51-

    %0.01-

    %0.5-

    %0.0

    %0.5

    %0.01

    %0.51

    4102 3102 2102 1102 0102 9002

    %0.53-

    %0.03-

    %0.52-

    %0.02-

    %0.51-

    %0.01-

    %0.5-

    %0.0

    %0.5

    %0.01

    4102 3102 2102 1102 0102 9002

    %0.01-

    %0.5-

    %0.0

    %0.5

    %0.01

    %0.51

    %0.02

    4102 3102 2102 1102 0102 9002

    %0.51-

    %0.01-

    %0.5-

    %0.0

    %0.5

    %0.01

    %0.51

    %0.02

    4102 3102 2102 1102 0102 9002

    : . 2102 3102 4102 . : ( ) .

    .

    . .

    . .

    .

  • 32

    2102-3102

    3102 6.2 . . 3102.

    ( 2-5). . , ( 2-6). .

    8002-3102 2-5

    %06-

    %05-

    %04-

    %03-

    %02-

    %01-

    %0

    %01

    %02

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    )(

    %01-

    %0

    %01

    %02

    %03

    %04

    %05

    %06

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    )(

    %06-

    %05-

    %04-

    %03-

    %02-

    %01-

    %0

    %01

    %02

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    )(

    %06-

    %05-

    %04-

    %03-

    %02-

    %01-

    %0

    %01

    %02

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    )(

    %06-

    %05-

    %04-

    %03-

    %02-

    %01-

    %0

    %01

    %02

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    )(

    %06-

    %05-

    %04-

    %03-

    %02-

    %01-

    %0

    %01

    %02

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    )(

    : : 2102 3102 . 1102 3102 .

  • 42

    2102-3102

    8002-3102 2-6

    0

    00001

    00002

    00003

    00004

    00005

    00006

    00007

    00008

    %0

    %01

    %02

    %03

    %04

    %05

    %06

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    ) : ( ) : (

    0

    0005

    00001

    00051

    00002

    00052

    00003

    00053

    00004

    %0

    %5

    %01

    %51

    %02

    %52

    %03

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    ) : ( ) : (

    0

    0005

    00001

    00051

    00002

    00052

    00003

    00053

    00004

    %0

    %5

    %01

    %51

    %02

    %52

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    ) : ( ) : (

    0

    0002

    0004

    0006

    0008

    00001

    00021

    00041

    %0

    %2

    %4

    %6

    %8

    %01

    %21

    %41

    %61

    %81

    %02

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    ) : ( ) : (

    0

    0005

    00001

    00051

    00002

    00052

    %0

    %5

    %01

    %51

    %02

    %52

    %03

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    ) : ( ) : (

    0

    001

    002

    003

    004

    005

    006

    007

    008

    %01-

    %5-

    %0

    %5

    %01

    %51

    %02

    %52

    %03

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    ) : ( ) : (

    : .

  • 52

    2102-3102

    4102 ( 2-4)1. 3102 8.7 0.4 2.3 9.2 8.1 . 1.7 .

    . 4.13 2102. . 0102. . 1102 . 1.74 1102 90.78 / 3102 . . 8.5 / 2102

    7.94 / 3102.

    .

    . / 3102 0.61 65 0102. . . . / 3102 32.1 000 693 000 493 2. 51 / 3102 13

    .

    4.

    6.01 2102 3.9 1102. 2102 . 0102. .

    8.5

    / 2102 7.94

    / 3102

  • 62

    2102-3102

    .

    . 5.51 ( 2102 9.75 5102. .

    8.94 2102 3.58 5102. 9.02 26 . 12 5102 2102 3.8 0102 1.85 5102. 04 2102 09 5102 . 4.71 9.85 . 9.61 2,75 . 1.2 . 81 . 09 0102 69 (/

    3102) 74 531 .

    .5 8

    3-.1

    6

    3-.1

    6

    3-.1

    6

    3-.1

    6

    .5 4

    52 9.

    7-4.

    7-4.

    7-4.

    .58

    025.

    928.

    9-0.

    9- 0.

    .59

    .18

    .92

    12 9.

    8-9.

    2102

    3102

    4102

    5102

    5102 4102 3102 2102

    2-1

    8

    73 73

    73

    73

    8

    92

    44

    44

    44

    8

    81

    53

    25

    25

    7

    12

    33

    74

    855102 4102 3102 2102

    2102

    3102

    4102

    5102

    0

    05

    001

    051

    002

    052

    003

    053

    004

    5102 4102 3102 2102 1102

    2102 3102

    4102 5102

    : .

  • 72

    2102-3102

    . .

    ( 2-8). ( 2-7) .

    . 13 2102 7 3102 ( 2-1) . 7 5.1 1102 2.1

    2102.

    . / 3102 000 054 . 4.4 . 92 41 . 02

    . 3.21 .

    3.21-0.02- ( 5102)

    992 ( 5102)0.41-0.0( 5102)

    : .

    01.0-

    04.0-

    31.0

    21.0

    61.0

    42.0

    02.0 92.0-

    80.0

    74.0-

    20.0-

    72.0

    03.0-

    02.0-

    21.0

    11.0

    73.0-

    84.0-

    85.0-

    2-2

  • 82

    2102-3102

    .

    3102 3.5

    . 0102. . .

    .

    . . . . . 3102 0.51 9.4 6.3

    9.2 .

    5.

    6.4 2102 3.2 1102.

    2-7

    9002-3102

    %0.08-

    %0.04-

    %0.0

    %0.04

    %0.08

    %0.021

    4102 3102 2102 1102 0102 9002

    %0.01-

    %0.5-

    %0.0

    %0.5

    %0.01

    %0.51

    4102 3102 2102 1102 0102 9002

    %0.6-

    %0.4-

    %0.2-

    %0.0

    %0.2

    %0.4

    %0.6

    %0.8

    %0.01

    4102 3102 2102 1102 0102 9002

    %0.6-

    %0.4-

    %0.2-

    %0.0

    %0.2

    %0.4

    %0.6

    %0.8

    %0.01

    4102 3102 2102 1102 0102 9002

    : . 2102 3102 4102 .

    : ( ) .

    .

  • 92

    2102-3102

    . 2102 . / 3102 . . 2102. . .

    .

    2102 . ( 2-11). . . . .

    . . . 2102 . /

    3102

    2-8

    8002-3102

    %01-

    %0

    %01

    %02

    %03

    %04

    %05

    %06

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    )(

    %01-

    %0

    %01

    %02

    %03

    %04

    %05

    %06

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    )(

    %06-

    %05-

    %04-

    %03-

    %02-

    %01-

    %0

    %01

    %02

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    )(

    %06-

    %05-

    %04-

    %03-

    %02-

    %01-

    %0

    %01

    %02

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    )(

    : . 2102 3102 .

  • 03

    2102-3102

    .

    3102 2.3 . .

    . . . 3102 3.6 8.4 5.4 5.3 5.2 .

    .

    8002-3102 2-9

    0

    00002

    00004

    00006

    00008

    000001

    000021

    000041

    %05-

    %04-

    %03-

    %02-

    %01-

    %0

    %01

    %02

    %03

    %04

    %05

    %06

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    ) : ( ) : (

    0

    00005

    000001

    000051

    000002

    000052

    %0

    %5

    %01

    %51

    %02

    %52

    %03

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    ) : ( ) : (

    0

    0002

    0004

    0006

    0008

    00001

    00021

    %0

    %2

    %4

    %6

    %8

    %01

    %21

    %41

    %61

    %81

    %02

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    ) : ( ) : (

    0

    0005

    00001

    00051

    00002

    00052

    00003

    %0

    %2

    %4

    %6

    %8

    %01

    %21

    %41

    %61

    %81

    %02

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    ) : ( ) : (

    : .

  • 13

    2102-3102

    -

    2102

    . .

    2-01

    9002-4102

    %0.04-

    %0.03-

    %0.02-

    %0.01-

    %0.0

    %0.01

    %0.02

    %0.03

    %0.04

    4102 3102 2102 1102 0102 9002

    %0.51-

    %0.01-

    %0.5-

    %0.0

    %0.5

    %0.01

    %0.51

    4102 3102 2102 1102 0102 9002

    %0.02-

    %0.51-

    %0.01-

    %0.5-

    %0.0

    %0.5

    %0.01

    %0.51

    4102 3102 2102 1102 0102 9002

    %0.51-

    %0.01-

    %0.5-

    %0.0

    %0.5

    %0.01

    %0.51

    %0.02

    4102 3102 2102 1102 0102 9002

    : . 2102 2102 3102 .

    : ( ) . .

  • 23

    2102-3102

    . . .

    3102.

    .

    8002-3102 2-11

    %06-

    %05-

    %04-

    %03-

    %02-

    %01-

    %0

    %01

    %02

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    )(

    %06-

    %05-

    %04-

    %03-

    %02-

    %01-

    %0

    %01

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    )(

    %06-

    %05-

    %04-

    %03-

    %02-

    %01-

    %0

    %01

    %02

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    )(

    %06-

    %05-

    %04-

    %03-

    %02-

    %01-

    %0

    %01

    %02

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    )(

    %06-

    %05-

    %04-

    %03-

    %02-

    %01-

    %0

    %01

    %02

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    )(

    : . 2102 3102 .

  • 33

    2102-3102

    8002-3102 2-21

    0

    05

    001

    051

    002

    052

    003

    %01-

    %5-

    %0

    %5

    %01

    %51

    %02

    %52

    %03

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    ) : ( ) : (

    0

    02

    04

    06

    08

    001

    021

    041

    061

    081

    002

    %0

    %5

    %01

    %51

    %02

    %52

    %03

    %53

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    ) : ( ) : (

    0

    005

    0001

    0051

    0002

    0052

    0003

    0053

    0004

    %0

    %5

    %01

    %51

    %02

    %52

    %03

    %53

    %04

    %54

    %05

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    ) : ( ) : (

    0

    001

    002

    003

    004

    005

    006

    007

    008

    009

    0001

    %0

    %5

    %01

    %51

    %02

    %52

    %03

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    ) : ( ) : (

    0

    0001

    0002

    0003

    0004

    0005

    0006

    0007

    0008

    0009

    00001

    %5-

    %0

    %5

    %01

    %51

    %02

    %52

    %03

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    ) : ( ) : (

    : .

  • 43

    2102-3102

    . 0.1 07 . 51 / 2102 /

    3102. . . / 3102 / 1102 57.9 . / / / 2102 0.4 . / 2102 / 3102 0.4

    .

    2102 3102 . . . .

    . . 2102 3102. .

    .

    2102. . . . . . 2102 . / 2102

  • 53

    2102-3102

    8002-3102 2-31

    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9

    0.01

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    0.0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    0.01

    0.21

    0.41

    0.61

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    0.0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    0.0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    0.0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    0.0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    0.0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002 0.0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    0.0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    3102 2102 1102 0102 9002 8002

    : .

  • 63

    2102-3102

    . . . 03 .

    .

    -

    1.

    52.1 5.5 0991 1.4 0102 ( 2-31()). 4.7 2102. 6.12 2102 8.71 0102. 2.2 3.1 0102 7.5 2102.

    3. . 9.7 7991 3.0 7002.

    2.7 2102-3102.

    52.1 . 7.22 0991 4.32 2102

    ( 2-41()).

    ( 2-41()). 0991 2102. 0102 2102 . 1.04 44 2102-3102

    5.05 24 .

    . 2-51 2.0 01 . . 52.1

    03

  • 73

    2102-3102

    . . 3 . .

    .

    2.

    . 0102 . . .

    .

    7.43 3.43 . . 9.23

    2-41

    1.31

    4.23

    6.12

    3.12

    3.41

    2.32

    5.05

    1.04

    8.8

    5.51

    2.52

    7.41

    5.91

    9.12

    0.24

    0.44

    0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.0

    0991 2102

    4.81

    3.02

    0.04

    7.22

    5.01

    4.32

    6.24

    4.32

    0.54 0.04 0.53 0.03 0.52 0.02 0.51 0.01 0.5 0.0

    0991 2102

    5.2

    7.4

    9.31

    5.5

    2.2

    3.1

    8.71

    1.4

    2.2

    7.5

    6.12

    4.7

    0.52 0.02 0.51 0.01 0.5 0.0

    0991 0102 2102

    () ( )

    () ( )

    () ( 52.1 )

    : 0991 0102 (teNlacvoP ,knaB dlroW) 2102 .

    3102.: . .

    : (dlroW teNlacvoP ,knaB) .

    : . .

    : (dlroW teNlacvoP ,knaB) .

  • 83

    2102-3102

    9.03 . ( ) ( ) ( 2-61()).

    .

    . . .

    4.

    . .

    5.

    -

    1.

    .

    5002 2-51

    0002-9002

    0

    02

    04

    06

    08

    001

    0 2.

    0 4.

    0 6.

    0 1 8.

    1 2.

    1 2.

    51

    4.1

    6.1

    2 8.2

    2.2

    4.2

    6.2

    3 8.3

    2.3

    4.3

    6.3

    4 8.4

    2.4

    4.4

    6.4

    5 8.5

    2.5

    4.5

    6.5

    6 8.6

    2.6

    4.6

    6.6

    7 8.7

    2.7

    4.7

    6.7

    8 8.8

    2.8

    4.8

    6.8

    9 8.9

    2.9

    4.9

    6.9

    1 8.0

    0

    02

    04

    06

    08

    001 )%( 0P

    : 3102 ,setatS barA fo eugaeL dna snoitaN detinU.

  • 93

    2102-3102

    .

    .

    4.02 2.71 . 8.31 ( 2-71) 1.9 8002 8.31 3102.

    .

    .

    2-2 8.8 5.7 6.5 . 6 1102. 9 04 . 03 051 6. . 7002/8002

    2-61

    2.93

    2.04

    0.23

    4.63

    0.43

    7.83

    8.63

    3.73

    4.33

    9.04

    4.14

    1.03

    4.53

    0.23

    5.53

    0.04

    5.04

    7.73

    0.54 0.04 0.53 0.03 0.52 0.02 0.51 0.01 0.5 0.0

    s0991 INIG s0002 INIG

    ()

    5.93

    9.23

    0.43

    7.43

    0.14

    9.03

    1.83

    3.43

    0.54 0.04 0.53 0.03 0.52 0.02 0.51 0.01 0.5 0.0

    s0991 INIG s0002 INIG

    ()

    : 0991 0102 (teNlacvoP ,knaB dlroW) 2102 . 3102. : .

    .

    : (teNlacvoP ,knaB dlroW).

  • 04

    2102-3102

    771

    7.

    .

    . . 2 . . .

    / 8002 / 3102 2-2

    13 /80021/3102

    ( ) (*)

    ( ) (*)

    07.7039837002 506.136412642102 5(**)08.22349814002 0107.62857121102 01(**)

    01.81083445002 805.62882331102 8 (**)05.52075725002 2102.52285230102 3(**)

    00.000515002 409.91031513102 1 05.229046002 2105.717041102 9

    05.01435237002 900.71765931102 11(**)07.7638646002 305.61330022102 7

    08.319568002 208.319568002 204.670117002 1100.21810513102 1(**)

    04.21130527002 400.21030522102 5 05.21046002 1100.014040102 0101.32568002 502.64562102 21

    07.468215002 501.348219002 600.31334002 400.31339002 21

    08.182445002 1100.2018051102 1100.00487002 0102.11481102 0103.011033002 403.011033002 400.00538002 700.00530102 7

    : : mth.312010dlrow/cra/e-nmw/gro.upi.www//:ptth.: .

    (*) .(**) .

  • 14

    2102-3102

    8.

    2.

    ()

    .

    2-71

    / 3102

    %08.31

    %03.51

    %00.81

    %05.02

    -

    ) ( %08.12

    -

    ) ( %02.32

    %01.42

    : mth.312010dlrow/cra/e-nmw/gro.upi.www//:ptth.

    / 9002 . . 13

    .

    2-3

    . . 34

    000 41 . / 4002 . .

    001 .______________________

    : 7002 ,sebroF dna ;7002 ,sriaffA licnuoC lanoitaN laredeF dna etatS fo yrtsiniM ,setarimE barA detinU.

    2-4

  • 24

    2102-3102

    02 8.8

    ( 2-81).

    7.42 6.9 2102 ( 2-91). 1.73 4.01 1102. . 0102 6.45 4.21 . 57 ( ) .

    3002.

    8.62 1.32 . 6.81 2.3 . . 8.01 4.2 . : () () () ()

    .

    . .

    .

    2-81

    2102

    7.5

    3.9

    2.6

    3.91

    53 03 52 02 51 01 5 0

    : a1102 ,OLI.: :

    .

  • 34

    2102-3102

    . . 08 9 01. . . 2691 .

    . 6791 11. .

    .

    ()

    2-3 2-4 . . ( 2-3). 03

    2-91

    ) ( ) (

    1- 4 9

    41 91 42 92 43 93

    )5002(

    )1102(

    )2102(

    )7002(

    )1102(

    )9002(

    )4002(

    )1102(

    )6002(

    )2102(

    )2102(

    )0102(

    )1102(

    )8002(

    8.1 3.3

    7

    8.01 2.01 1.01

    025.22 2.12

    7.42 2.42 8.62

    1.73

    9.04

    4.115.11

    1.32

    6.9

    9.312.61

    11

    6.5

    4.2

    6.84.8

    5

    2.0 2

    : a1102 ,OLI .

  • 44

    2102-3102

    051 .

    ( ) . 01 . .

    .

    . . .

    .

    ()

    .

    ( ) 2-3

    8.367.357.927.334.66.21(0102)9.698.0832.811.01(4002)

    8.844.446.53.726.542.82(8002)6.543.167.36.127.051.71(8002)9.09874.81.027.09.1(1102)

    9.69962.27.6206.3(5002)2.526.144.51422.952.43(8002)

    8.071.268.7824.129.9(0102)3.084.28417.014.56.6(0002)8.595.731.49.0605.1(1102)

    4.89275.13.322.07.4 (9002)6.867.052.91.632.222.31 (1102)

    5.293.661.73.822.02.5 (8002): a1102 ,OLI.

  • 54

    2102-3102

    . . 36 ( 2-5). 05

    33 .

    . . . 0102 . 1102

    2-4

    8.217.07.429.617.66.93.915.76.12.0(4002)1.4946.31.518.424.3(4002)

    1.05.14.15.2647.43.46.416.023.4(7002)9.01.02.05.009.958.412.313.91.1(5002)

    1.03.919.02.58.21.414.411.91021.41.0(7002)0114.08.11956.19.79.59.14.0(8002)

    1.54.19.49.025.017.355.3(0102)2.01.74.75.29.48.014.416.319.631.2(0002)354.01.001.78.91.75.021.2(1102)

    2.103.459.41.62115.2 (8002)7.117.15.37.314.64.011.92.243.1 (0102)

    3.09.03.03.01.05.745.213.611.7145.0 (8002)7.99.613.158.339.67.4029.1(5002)

    : a1102 ,OLI.

  • 64

    2102-3102

    .

    21.

    . . . . .

    .

    . . . / 3102 042 31.

    . . .

    41.

    . .

    .

    -

    3102 2102. 3102. . .

  • 74

    2102-3102

    . 8002 . .

    .

    . . . . . . .

    . .

    .

    . . . .

    2-5

    / 2102

    05(8002)

    36(8002)66(7002)

    97 (8002)99(8002)

    241(7002):

    gro.oli.atsrobal//:ptth ATSROBAL.

  • 84

    2102-3102

    .

    .

    .

  • 15

    2102-3102

    -

    . . .

    .

    . . 02 . 5.1

    1. .

    .

    . . . . . .

    . . . . .

    -

  • 25

    2102-3102

    . .

    .

    -

    .

    1.

    . . 6.2 0102 4.1 5.2 3.1 4.0 ( 3-1). . 9002 2.583 5102 2.136 0502. 3-1 . . 3-2 61 56 06 5102.

    .

    .

    3-1

    0.0

    5.0

    0.1

    5.1

    0.2

    5.2

    0.3

    : (1102 ,ASED).

    61-56 3-2

    000.05 000.25 000.45 000.65 000.85 000.06 000.26 000.46 000.66 000.86 000.07

    0202 5102 0102 5002 0002 5991 0991 5891

    : (1102 ,ASED).

  • 35

    2102-3102

    101 7.202 2. (87 ) (32 ). 04 6.9 . 07 08 . . 04 3. 03 ( 3-3). 62 . ( ) .

    05 4.

    04 . . .

    ( 3-1).

    7.41 .

    . 5. . 6.

    3-3

    0

    01

    02

    03

    04

    05

    06

    07

    08

    09

    001

    : 1102 ,OLI.

  • 45

    2102-3102

    ( 3-4). . 7. 31 7.34 7.33 8.

    .

    . 1002 0102 6 25 1002 7.24 0102 9. .

    003 . 5 21 1102 (94 ) ( 3-5). 27 9991 46 1102 01.

    .

    2.

    ( 3-6).

    3-1

    0.274.098.744.363.236.992.36(0102)7.854.371.235.854.720.380.73(1102)

    ..............4.357.971.831.737.414.495.16 (2102)4.270.971.547.745.727.395.26 (9002)

    7.683.197.846.851.430.896.36(1102): .

  • 55

    2102-3102

    3-4

    ( )

    9.0

    3.4

    3.6

    8.03

    6.06

    1.7

    9.21

    1.7

    6.6

    7.34

    6.7

    2.11

    1.31

    2.41

    3.91

    0.74

    8.72

    7.02

    9.41

    5.91

    8.12

    9.94

    0.43

    7.26

    5.44

    4.52

    8.43

    7.55

    07 06 05 04 03 02 01 0

    6 7 9

    01 21 31

    2(10

    )2

    2(10

    )1

    2(00

    )9

    2(

    10)1

    2(

    00)9

    : .

    4002 . 26.0 0002 4002 74.0

    4002 8002. ( 28.0 75.0) ( 55.0 24.0)

    ( 3-2).

  • 65

    2102-3102

    ()

    11 ( 3-7). ( 3-8 3-9) 04 . 03 . 15 21. . . 02 03 83 84 . . . .

    31.

    ( 3-3). 52 1 . 1.02 8.7

    3-5

    9991-1102

    04

    54

    05

    55

    06

    56

    07

    57

    9199

    0200

    0210

    0220

    0230

    0240

    0250

    0260

    0270

    0280

    0290

    0201

    0211

    0221

    : .

    3-6

    6

    5

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    7

    8

    2.0 0 2.0- 4.0- 6.0- 8.0- 1- 2.1- 4.1-

    : 1102 ,AWCSE.

  • 75

    2102-3102

    11 1.2 6.2 . .

    ()

    . 0102 41. 51-42

    ( 3-4).

    3-7

    0

    5

    01

    51

    02

    52

    03

    5102 0102 5002 0002 5991 0991

    : ((d.n) FMI).

    3-2

    0002-4002 4002-8002

    0002-8002

    78.019.038.0 66.075.057.0

    55.074.026.0 96.056.037.0

    4002-8002

    90.0132.8140.0-92.172.221.0

    38.033.171.054.082.134.0-

    :1102 ,srehto dna alonidrU-legnA ((d.n) FMI).: 1().

  • 85

    2102-3102

    . 51-42 . 52

    51.

    ()

    . . . 1991 0102 9.0 9.1 2.4 . 2.0- 1991 9991 0002 0102 . 61. .

    .

    .

    3-8

    ( )

    0.81

    3.11

    1.12 4.024.32

    4.62.01

    1.028.32

    5.84

    9.553.95

    3.17

    9.45

    2.96

    6.45

    86

    4.15

    3.14

    9.16

    9.47

    8.16

    5.87

    8.07

    0.54

    4.33

    6.44

    6.83

    1.54

    3.13

    2.42

    8.04

    55 9.45

    7656

    2(10

    )0

    2(10

    )2

    2(00

    )9

    2(00

    )6

    2(10

    )0

    2(10

    )0

    2(10

    )0

    2(10

    )0

    eYm

    ne2(

    10)0

    2(10

    )1

    2(10

    )1

    2(10

    )1

    : (TATSOLI) .

    3-9

    ( )

    0

    01

    02

    03

    04

    05

    06

    07

    08

    09

    001

    )1102( )2102(

    )1102( )9002(

    )0102( )0102(

    : .

  • 95

    2102-3102

    71.

    .

    ()

    3-6. . 04 55 81. . 91.

    3-3

    2.418.012.516.112.19.314.91.02

    3.418.015.511.113.12.411.96.02 0.617.614.714.510.23.514.115.92

    4.210.85.211.97.05.216.79.9

    4.16.25.11.24.08.01.18.7

    0.0-6.03.0-5.01.02.0-3.080.0-3.16.20.20.21.28.10.22.1sisotruK

    5.10.18.01.174.09.08.07.1areB-euqraJ4.05.06.05.07.06.06.04.0

    : .

    3-4( )

    (51-42)

    016.5457.02148.73

    88.52033.54119.83

    33.32213.1273.72

    613.44017.5176.91171

    59.52 334.34122.14

    3.88.91

    415.6223.6

    521.33 : 0102 ,PDNU .

  • 06

    2102-3102

    .

    ( 3-01).

    . 02.

    12. . . 9002 4.92 22.

    .

    3.

    . . . 2102

    .

    ()

    3-7 . 96.0 85.0

    3-5

    ( 0991)

    1991-01020002-01021991-99919.08.12.0-

    2.44.40.4 5.11.11.2

    5.47.59.2( )

    9.63.89.4( )

    0.43.52.2 9.13.22.1

    6.12.11.2 8.15.11.2

    2.26.27.1

    3.17.27.0-( ): .

  • 16

    2102-3102

    42.0 . 43.0 12.0 .

    .

    ()

    ( 3-8).

    . (6991) (4991 6991) (3002)32.

    .

    . .

    3-6 () ( )

    0102900280027002600250024002......898 45342 15089 44635 44

    740 259 2171 831 3698 692 4556 599 3675 924 4355 366 4862 286 4692 44833 64920 86306 15802 24653 35679 24

    ..068 485414 004..897 135675 519011 671 1..080 919492 689755 779644 610 1....

    ......743 141645 311917 221532 411....502 808092 578634 389542 898051 399

    () ( )

    0102900280027002600250024002063 11953 11853 11753 11653 11553 11453 11

    ..300 51824 41114 41097 41160 31150 31776 45472 05328 64341 85963 95134 06920 06106 02320 02094 91563 81266 71037 81469 61125 17025 17915 17815 17715 17615 17515 17

    ..947 8407 9951 9702 8649 01281 01..010 07641 26..009 46394 97664 28

    ..943 74904 84003 84586 74.... ......172 61914 51205 41513 41

    ......482 11536 11600 21274 11914 8456 9747 11624 11871 6943 7257 7

    : a2102 ,AWCSE.: 5002

    5002.

  • 26

    2102-3102

    3-01

    ( )

    04 53 03 52 02 51 01 5 0

    6

    7 9

    01 21

    31

    2(10

    )2

    2(10

    )1

    2(

    00)9

    2(

    10)1

    2(

    00)9

    : .

    . 3-8

    5 01 7.62 1.32 5.31 8.7 .

  • 36

    2102-3102

    6.11 6.4 7.2

    .

    ()

    . . 42.

    .

    52. . (6.25 ) 324 62. 9.41 002 091 .

    3-7

    91

    ( )

    96.05.642

    85.08.50294.05.47

    64.09.4783.08.40243.09.99192.00.813

    82.07.8942.09.51112.09.60501.08.13

    40.02.66100.00.000.00.0

    00.00.000.00.0

    00.00.0 00.00.0

    43.09.806 343.05.989 1

    43.00.556 1 12.05.541 1

    12.06.242 1 41.00.287

    00.00.000.00.0

    00.00.0: 2102 ,CFI dna knaB dlroW.

  • 46

    2102-3102

    ( ) 3-8

    02015

    5

    01

    7.622.9112.457.123.41.327.683.347.123.4

    1.327.683.347.123.40.610.060.030.510.3

    2.518.575.238.012.2 1.518.575.237.011.25.314.673.729.012.2

    0.310.310.310.310.318.70.310.316.87.1

    1.61.729.114.51.10.00.00.00.00.0

    0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

    0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

    0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

    0.00.00.00.00.0

    0.00.00.00.00.0 0.00.00.00.00.0

    0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

    0.00.00.00.00.06.113.347.128.012.2

    6.41.327.83.49.07.26.013.57.20.0

    : 2102 ,CFI dna knaB dlroW.

  • 56

    2102-3102

    72.

    .

    . 01 05 . 03 05 82. . ( ). 07 92. 3-9 1.76 15 9.54 53 . . 8002 1.84

    .

    9991 4002 24.0 ( 3-11).

    ( 3-11).

    .

    .

    -

    .

    .

    3-9

    9791-579108914891-

    58919891-

    09914991-

    59919991-

    00027002-

    3.143.147.246.528.121.761.768.449.6553 53 1.743.9353 4.839.549.542.553.737.858.158.15

    4.344.34

    7.037.039.247.14

    1.151.151.75: 9002 ,DCEO.

  • 66

    2102-3102

    1.

    03 . ( 3-21 3-31).

    ()

    . . . .

    . .

    .

    (1)

    (2) . . .

    (3)

    (4)

    (5)

    3-11

    ( )

    2.12 9.02

    3.82

    4.63 2.63 8.43 2.93 3.73

    0 5

    01 51 02 52 03 53 04 54

    :1102 ,srehto dna alonidrU-legnA.

  • 76

    2102-3102

    .

    .

    ()

    . . . .

    .

    (1) . . 13.

    (2) . .

    .

    ()

    . . ( ) . . 1102 . .

    .

  • 86

    2102-3102

    3-21

    90.0

    16.0-

    20.0

    13.0

    20.0

    63.0

    06.0 04.0 02.0 00.0 02.0- 04.0- 06.0-

    71.0- 11.0-

    70.0 13.0-

    41.0 30.0

    82.0 05.0-

    32.0- 31.0

    04.0- 45.0-

    04.0 03.0 02.0 01.0 00.0 01.0- 02.0 3.0- 04.0-05.0- 06.0-

    : rotacidni/gro.knabdlrow.atad//:ptth.

    . .

    :

    (1) .

    (2)

    .

    . . .

    3-31 (

    )

    0

    5

    01

    51

    02

    52

    61 41 21 01 8 6 4 2 0

    (

    )

    :1102 ,AWCSE.

  • 96

    2102-3102

    1102-2102 . 5

    .

    2102 ( 3-41).

    . .

    .

    ()

    23 . 1 42.0 . . . . 01 2.0

    .

    .

    ()

    ( 3-51) 5 . . . 59.3 54.4 . 44.2

    57.5 .

    3-41

    7.0-

    0.0 5.0 7.0

    3.1

    2.0

    1.1

    1.1-

    3.0

    1.1-

    1.4-

    96.1 97.1

    5.1- 57.0-

    52.1- 13.0-

    96.1

    28.1 60.2 54.2

    59.1- 13.2-

    0.5-

    0.4-

    0.3-

    0.2-

    0.1-

    0.0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    2102 1102 0102 9002 8002 7002 6002 5002 4002 3002 2002 1002

    2.1

    : .

  • 07

    2102-3102

    . .

    .

    () :

    .

    .

    33. . .

    .

    . . . 43. .

    53.

    . 6002 63.

    3-01

    7.91***27.71***C13.0-***42.0-***

    720.0-81000.0- 10.0-10.0

    58.097.0derauqs-R18.087.0derauqs-RdetsujdA

    38.210.3noisserger fo .E.S10.123183.5771diserderauqsmuS

    93.784-41.815-doohilekilgoL26.1224.86citsitats-F

    : .

  • 17

    2102-3102

    73. EMROFNAM 83 93 ADEM

    04.

    . . . 14. . . 24.

    .

    2.

    3002 4002 5002 7002 0102 34. . .

    .

    ()

    .

    :

    (1) (2) .

    3-51

    5002-9002

    82.5

    59.3

    84.2 44.2

    54.4

    67.5

    : rotacidni/gro.knabdlrow.atad//:ptth.

  • 27

    2102-3102

    .

    .

    . . 44. 3102 . 52 ( ). . . . . . 3

    4 ( 3-61).

    1 ( 3-71). 60.2 52.3 34.2 23.1

    .

    ( 3-81).

    . 11 5.1 . . 54 . .

    .

    . 3 8 64.

    02 74.

    .

  • 37

    2102-3102

    . . 84.

    .

    . . 94. 1102

    05.

    ()

    . .

    .

    . .

    001 . - 001 - . 4 0991-0002 (5.32 ) 0002-0102 (6.72 ). 8002-0102 2.82 .

    ( 3-11).

    . .

    ( ) 3-61

    19.2

    05.0 25.0 95.0 15.0

    72.2

    14.4

    15.3 95.3

    13.4

    : .

  • 47

    2102-3102

    . . . 5 . 01 4 1102. 7002 61 91 . . . 7002 .

    5.1 . 5.1 003

    .

    . . 05 . . 97.6 41.4

    3-81

    91.0-

    00.0

    10.0-

    10.0-

    00.0

    00.0

    80.0

    37.1-

    74.1-

    74.3-

    68.0-

    : .

    3-71

    99.0-

    04.0-

    97.0-

    20.0-

    50.0-

    30.0-

    60.0-

    30.0-

    85.0-

    60.2-

    34.2-

    23.1-

    52.3-

    34.1-

    00.0 05.0- 00.1- 05.1- 00.2- 05.2- 00.3- 05.3-

    : .

  • 57

    2102-3102

    70.0 ( 3-02). . . ( 3-32 3-42) 7.7- 9.41- . . . 66.0 . 6 .

    .

    . .

    .

    ()

    .

    . .

    .

    ()

    . 15. 81 5002 7002 . 92 / / 0102.

    3-11

    ( )

    0991-0002

    1002-0102

    8002-0102

    001001001-

    8.93.011.01

    4.44.37.2

    9.583.683.78-

    0.58.50.5

    1.95.88.5

    8.174.275.67-

    2.826.725.32

    : .

  • 67

    2102-3102

    3 4002 0102. 0731 8991 5002 054 012 . 003 8002 78 . 8002

    75 . 003 5002 011 001 .

    25:

    (1) :

    3-02

    57.0

    34.0

    97.6

    17.1

    20.0

    39.0

    23.0

    70.0

    41.4

    06.1

    75.0

    : .

    3-91

    66.0

    53.0

    84.0

    15.0

    04.1

    30.0

    20.0

    82.0

    42.0

    32.1

    91.0

    72.6

    86.2

    87.0

    00.7 00.6 00.5 00.4 00.3 00.2 00.1 00.0

    : .

    3-22

    : .

    3-12

    : .

    09.0-

    65.0-

    98.0-

    00.0

    00.0

    00.0

    00.0

    00.0

    35.0-

    70.1-

    71.0-

    67.7-

    37.1-

    97.0-

    00.0 00.1- 00.2- 00.3- 00.4- 00.5- 00.6- 00.7- 00.8- 00.9-

    00.0

    00.0

    13.1-

    00.0

    00.0

    00.0

    00.0

    00.0

    28.0-

    00.0

    62.0-

    19.41-

    00.0

    00.2- 00.4- 00.6- 00.8- 00.01- 00.21- 00.41- 00.61-

    00.0

    3 4002 0102

  • 77

    2102-3102

    .

    (2) : . .

    (3) : .

    (4) :

    (5) : .