part Ⅱ 证券投资 估值

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Part证证证证证证 Unit 4 证证证证证证 Unit 5 证证证证证证证 Unit 6 证证证证证证证证证

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Part Ⅱ 证券投资 估值. Unit 4 证券估值原理 Unit 5 证券的行业估值 Unit 6 证券的企业营运估值. 项目 1. 股票估值训练. 任务 1 - 1 (任课教师指导学生自主选股) 绩优股票估值(案例) 贵州茅台( 600519 )的相关资料如下(参考): 1 . 股本规模: 94380 万股,流通股 94380 万股。 2. 2009 年年报基本数据: 1 )每股收益: 4.57 元,每股派息 1.185 元; 2 )每股净资产: 15.33 元; 3 )每股资本公积金: 1.457 元; - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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  • PartUnit 4 Unit 5 Unit 6

  • 1. 116005191 .94380943802. 200914.571.185215.3331.457411.193. 4. 5. 6. 2009169

  • 12 ST6007111 .794639712. 200810.1720.3830.03840.673. 4. 5. 6. 20095

  • 2. 21 081260181. 6800682. 1003. 14. 2008.9.2285. 2008.10.10

  • 221259601. 650650002. 1003. t12.61t22.91t33.21t43.51t53.814. 2007.5.1455. 2008.5.296. 2007.11.142012.5.137. 29.308. 24.33

  • Unit 4 1 2k 3 1 2 3

  • 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6.

  • Unit 4.1 1.

    tptP0r4.1

  • Ptr15r10r5r3t41

  • 2. Pt

    pv--- Pt--- k--- n--- 124.2

  • k3k5k10k15Pvt42

  • 3. 14.3A

  • 24.4

  • 34.5tAPv0PvPv00rkrkrk

  • 4. kkk

  • 4.6 rs rl rg rb rc W1...50.20.350.250.10.1

  • 412.255.43.832.21.64k 4.9

    k3.68k

  • Unit 4.2 1. 12344.74.84.94.10PbtPb0rTt

  • 2. Pbv1

    n=(T-t)2

    4.114.12

  • 3

    4

    4.134.14

  • 3. 1

    24.154.16

  • 3

    44.174.18PbmRyb

  • 4. 1

    24.194.20

  • 42 200892208126018100189222008102865.18k3.91 Pbm65.18r1Pb0100T8nTt80.17.91360k3.91 14.9

  • 24.13

    4.19

  • 34.20

    4.17NPbvPbvPbm

  • 41

  • 6765.1867

    65.1810879.7780.626.218.333.91

  • 5. 1 2

  • 3 k 4

  • Unit 4.3 1. PPne

    PPn+e

    2.

    D--- P--- k--- t---

  • 1DDMS DDMS4.214.22

  • 2CAPM 4.24 4.23

  • 3. 1 2

    Ps--- Ee--- ---- 4.25 4.26

  • 3

  • 4. 1234

  • 5. 1 Net Present Value 4.27 NPsvPsvPsm

  • 2 Internal Rate of ReturnNPsv0PsvPsm Rsirrk 4.28 Rsirr

  • NPsv0 NPsvk Rsirr
  • 43 60000420090.4711.44/2009k3.91BO00.47k3.91Psm11.44 4.24

    4.27

    NPsv>0 4.28

    Rsirr>k

  • Unit 4.4 1.

    Pz--- C--- L--- Q--- P--- 4.29

  • 2. 123

  • Unit 4.5 1. 1 1 PPFmwPmw 4.30 PPFmwPmw 2

  • 2 1 2

  • 2. 1 1 Pcw---Pt---Px--- Pcw=PtPx 4.31 2 Ppw---Px--- Ppw=PxPt 4.32

  • 2 1 2

  • 3 1 2 3

  • 3. 1 1 Pz---P0--- E--- Pz=P0+E 4.33 PsPx Pk=Pz1kn 4.34 Pk--- n--- k---

  • 2 Pg=rPs 4.35 r=P0Px 4.36 Pg--- Px--- Ps--- r--- 3 Pq=rPsPx 4.37

  • 3 1

    2

  • 3 4 5

  • Unit 4.6 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.

  • Unit 4.6.1 1. 1Pt

    24.37

  • PT3

  • 2. 1 1 2 3

  • 2 1 2 3 4 5

  • 3 Pm=Pn+Pe+PwPs 4.39

    Pm Pn Pe Pw Ps

  • 4PPabW2W1cW3WP---W--S---PaacBcC---

  • 3. 1 1 24.40

  • 2 1 PP2P0P1OBAFDECSWd2Ws1W0Ws2Wd1W

  • 2

    3

  • 4. 1 35

  • 2 1

  • 2

  • Unit 4.6.2 1. 1 2 3 Pm=Pn+PePs 4.41

  • 2. 1Pm
  • 3. 1 Pm>P Pm=P Pmyl(n) ym=yl(n) ymk k

  • Unit 4.6.3 1. 1 2 3 4 Pm=Pn+Pe+PwPs

  • 2. 1

    2

  • 3

    4

  • 3. 1NPV NPV=P-Pm 4.42

    NPV>0 NPV=0 NPV

  • 2IRR Pm=D0/k* 4.43 k*=D0/Pm 4.44

    k*>k k*

  • 3 0=1/k 4.45 > 0 < 0 --- 0 ---

  • 4 1 Pa=PT/CT 4.46 PT--- CT--- Pa---/

  • Pav=Ea/k 4.47 Pav--- Ea--- Pa>Pav Pa
  • 2 PTM2 4.48 PT M2 0.1 0.7

  • 200620072008

    20052006200720080970.150.110.710.260.485.424.7418.935.6811.14

  • Unit 4.6.4 1. 12

    Pm=Pn 4.49 Pm=Pn+Ps 4.50

  • 2. 1 2 33. Pn 1Pm>Pn 2Pm
  • 4. 1 2 3

  • 5. 1 2 3 4 5

  • Unit 4.6.5 1. 1 PmPcPrPs 4.51 PcPr Ps2 PmPTPs 4.52 PT Ps

  • Introduction to Futures and Options Markets3thEition3 FSerT 4.53 F S R T

  • 4 1 2 3 4

  • TP

  • 2. 1 PmPcwPtvPs 4.54

    Pcw Ptv 2 PmPpwPtvPs 4.55

    Ppw

  • Introduction to Futures and Options Markets3thEition 3Black-Scholes

    c T P X Nx--S r 4.564.574.584.59

  • 4 12

  • PxP0+P0P

  • PPx0+P0P

  • 3. 1PsPx Pk=Pz1kn 4.60 Pk--- n--- k--- 2 Ps>Px Pk=Pg+Pq+PtvPs 4.61

  • 3

  • Px100

  • 41 2112345678910

  • 2. 212345678

  • 3120030.21366.31.98%20210810051.5%1088/1096/ k2

  • 41 2

  • 3 20070.240018.33.87%5 2007103010061.%103013.85/2007112610.07/ k5

  • Unit 5 1 2 3 1 2 3

  • 1. 2. 3. 4.

  • Unit 5.1 1.

    1

    2

  • 2.

    1 2

  • 3 1 2 3. 123

  • Unit 5.2 1.

    1

    2

  • 2. 12 3

  • 3. 12 3 4

  • 4. 1 2 3 4

  • Unit 5.3 1

  • 2.

    1

    2

  • 3. 1 2

  • Unit 5.4 1.

    1 2

  • 3

  • 4

  • 2. 12 3 1 2 3

  • 3. 1 2 3

  • 4. 1 2 3

  • 5. 1 2 3

  • 51 21234567

  • Unit 6 1 2 3 1 2 3

  • 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.

  • Unit 6.1 1. 12 1 2 3

  • 3

    1 2 3 4

  • 2. 1 1 22 1 2 3

  • 3 1 2 3 44 1 2 35

  • 3. 1122

  • 3 1 2 3

  • 4. 1 1 2 32 1 2

  • 5. 1 1 22 1 2 3 4 5

  • Unit 6.2 1. 1232. 1234

  • 3. 1 1 2 32 1 2

  • 3 1 2 34 1 2 3 4

  • 4. 1234

  • 5. 1236. 12347.

  • 8. 12 1 234 1 2567

  • Unit 6.3 1. 1232. 123

  • 3. 1 1 A=L+OE 6.1 A(Assets) B(Liabilities) OE(Owner,s Equity)

  • 2 a b c

    3 a b c

  • 2 1 2

  • 3

  • 3 1 2 3 4 5

  • 4. =+ 6.2

    =++6.3

    =++ 6.4

    =+ 6.5

  • 5. 1

    1 2 3

  • 2 1 2 33 1 2 3 4

  • 6. 1

    1 2 3 4

  • 2 1 2 3 4 5

  • 3 1 2 3 4 5 6

  • 4 1 2 3 4 5

  • Unit 6.4 1. 1 2 3

  • 2. 1 1 2 = 6.6 3 2

  • 2 1 2 = 6.7 3 1

  • 3 1 2 = 6.8 3

  • 4 1 2 = 6.9 =360 6.10 3

  • 3. 1 1 2 = 6.11 3

  • 2 1 2 = 6.12 3

  • 3 1 = 7.13 2 = 7.14 3

  • 4 1 2 = 7.15 3 11.51

  • 4. 1 1 = 7.16 =360 7.17 3

  • 2 1 = 7.18 2

  • 3 1 = 7.19 2

  • 4 1 =[] 100% 7.20 2

  • 5. 1 1 =/100% 7.21 = 7.22 2

  • 2 1 =/100% 7.23 2

  • 3 1 =100% 7.24 =2 7.25 2

  • 4 1 =/100% 7.26 2

  • 6. 1P2012 1 / 100 7.27 2

  • 3

    1 /100 7.28 2

  • 4 1 /100 7.29 2

  • Unit 6.5 1. 1 7.30 7.312 7.323 7.33

  • 2. 1 7.342Unit 5 7.35

  • 3 7.364 7.375 /100 7.38 2 7.39

  • 3. 1 100 7.40 2 100 7.413 7.42

  • 61123456

  • 212345678

    Introduction to Futures and Options Markets3thEition